• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.18 no.1
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• pp.137-146
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• 2011

Long-term care insurance is a social insurance system that provides benefits to the elderly who have difficulty taking care of themselves for a period of at least 6 months. This system was started in July, 2008 and it is very important to set proper judgement ratings for the approval process. We try to develop and improve the judgement rating system using decision tree models. Our tree model is found to be more stable and efficient than the previous one.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.31 no.6
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• pp.693-706
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• 2018

It is very important to support the elderly with disability ageing in place. Assisting devices can help them to live independently in their community; however, they have to be used appropriately to meet care needs. This study develops an assisting device recommendation system for the beneficiaries of long-term care insurance that include algorithms to decide the most appropriate type of assisting device for beneficiaries. We used long-term care (LTC) insurance data for grade assessment including 8,084 beneficiaries from July 2015 to June 2016. In addition, we collected standard care plans for assisting devices, that power-assessors made, considering their performance and ability that could subsequently be matched with grade assessment data. We used a decision-tree model in data-mining to develop the model. Finally, we developed 15 algorithms for recommending assisting devices. The findings might be useful in evidence-based care planning for assisting devices and can contribute to enhancing independence and safety in LTC.

• Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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• v.100 no.1
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• pp.34-41
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• 2011

Vegetation structure, composition and diversity were quantified for 10 samples ($10m{\times}10m$) representing woody vegetation and for 30 samples ($1m {\times}3m$) representing understory vegetation in Pinus parviflora and Tsuga sieboldii forest of Taeharyeong, Ulleung-gun (Gyeongsangbuk-do). P. parviflora was limitedly advanced to sapling layer from seedling stage, and based on Mantel tests, composition of canopy layer was not established in ground woody vegetation. Non-metric multidimensional scaling revealed influence of biotic and abiotic factors in species composition of woody and understory vegetation. In the result of multiple regression model, abundance of P. parviflora (density and breast height area) and percent cover of woody debris were significant predict variables for understory diversity. These results suggest that relatively large disturbance is required for regeneration of P. parviflora and T. sieboldii forest, and control of expansion of monocultural understory species that monopolize resources such as Carex blepharicarpa and Maianthemum dilatatum, is necessary for maintenance of diversity.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2023.05a
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• pp.239-239
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• 2023

최근 도시화 및 기후변화에 따른 재난의 피해가 증가하고 있다. 국내 기상청에서는 호우 및 태풍에 대한 예·경보(주의보, 경보)를 전국적으로 통일된 기준(3시간, 12시간 누적강우량)에 따라 발령하고 있다. 이에 따라 현재 예·경보 기준에는 피해가 발생한 사상에 대한 지역별 특성이 고려되지 않는 문제점이 있다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 문제점을 해결하기 위하여 서울특별시, 인천광역시, 경기도의 호우 및 태풍에 대한 재해사상별 발생한 피해액 및 누적강우량을 활용하여 재해강도의 단계별 기준을 수립하고, 입력자료로 관측된 강우값을 활용하여 발생할 수 있는 재해의 발생 강도를 분류하는 모형을 개발하고자 하였다. 본 연구에서는 호우 및 태풍에 의한 재해 피해액의 분위별로 재해강도 단계(관심, 주의, 경계, 심각)를 분류하였고, 재해강도 단계에 따른 누적강우량 기준을 지자체별로 제시하였으며, 분류한 재해의 강도 단계를 모형의 종속변수로 활용하였다. 재해피해가 발생하지 않은 무강우 지속시간을 산정하여 호우 사상을 분류하였다. 지자체별로 재해 발생강도 분류 모형 개발을 위하여 머신러닝 모형 4가지(의사결정나무, 서포트 벡터 머신, 랜덤 포레스트, XGBoost)를 활용하였다. 본 연구에서 분류한 피해가 발생하지 않은 호우사상 및 피해가 발생한 사상별로 강우량, 지속시간 최대 강우량(3시간, 12시간), 선행강우량, 누적강우량을 독립변수로 입력하여 종속변수인 재해 발생 강도를 분류하였다. 각 모형별로 F1 Score를 이용한 정확도 평가 결과, 의사결정나무의 F1 Score가 평균 0.56으로 가장 우수한 정확도를 가지는 것으로 평가되었다. 본 연구에서 제시하는 머신러닝 기반 재해 발생 강도 분류모형을 활용하면 호우 및 태풍에 의한 재해에 대하여 지자체별로 재해 발생 강도를 단계별로 파악할 수 있어, 재난 담당자들의 의사결정을 위한 참고 자료로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• Korean journal of applied entomology
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• v.54 no.3
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• pp.179-189
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• 2015

In 2014, surveys were conducted in Korea to study the geographical distribution, host plants, and potential habitats of Pochazia shantungensis. The occurrence of P. shantungensis was confirmed in 43 cities and counties nationwide, and identified for the first time in Gyeongsangbuk-do. P. shantungensis has a wide range of diverse host plants comprising 113 species in 53 families, including crops, fruits, and forest trees. Since the hemipteran was first reported in Korea, 138 species from 62 families have been identified as P. shantungensis host plants. This insect feeds on the following major host plants: Malus pumila, Aralia elata, Styrax japonicus, Salix gracilistyla, Broussonetia kazinoki, Albizia julibrissin, Ailanthus altissima, Castanea crenata, Robinia pseudoacacia, and Cornus officinalis. Potential habitat was analyzed in the present study using the Maxent model with 12 variables (8 climate, 1 land cover, 1 forest type, 1 ecological zoning, and 1 distance). The model ROC AUC was 0.884, indicating a high accuracy. In the present study, precipitation of warmest quater, mean temperature of warmest quarter, forest type, and land cover were the most significant factors affecting P. shantungensis distribution, and habitat.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.18 no.5
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• pp.265-279
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• 2018

This study conducted an experiment using data mining techniques to develop prediction models of worker job turnover. The experiment used data from the '2015 Graduate Occupational Mobility Survey' by the Korea Employment Information Service. We developed the prediction models using a decision tree, Bayes net, and artificial neural network. We found that the decision tree-based prediction model reported the best accuracy. We also found that the six influential factors affecting employees' turnover intention are type of working time, job status, full-time or not full-time, regular working hours per week, regular working days per week, and personal development opportunities. From the decision tree-based prediction model, we derived 12 rules of employee turnover for all job types. Using the derived rules, we proposed helpful directions for enhancing workers' job tenure. In addition, we analyzed the influential factors affecting employees' job turnover intention according to four job types and derived rules for each: office (ten rules), culture and art (nine rules), construction (four rules), and information technology (six rules). Using the derived rules, we proposed customized directions for improving the job tenure for each group.

• Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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• v.27 no.3
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• pp.291-306
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• 2018

This study was designed to predict potential habitat of Japanese evergreen oak (Quercus acuta Thunb.) in Korean Peninsula considering its dispersal ability under climate change. We used a species distribution model (SDM) based on the current species distribution and climatic variables. To reduce the uncertainty of the SDM, we applied nine single-model algorithms and the pre-evaluation weighted ensemble method. Two representative concentration pathways (RCP 4.5 and 8.5) were used to simulate the distribution of Japanese evergreen oak in 2050 and 2070. The final future potential habitat was determined by considering whether it will be dispersed from the current habitat. The dispersal ability was determined using the Migclim by applying three coefficient values (${\theta}=-0.005$, ${\theta}=-0.001$ and ${\theta}=-0.0005$) to the dispersal-limited function and unlimited case. All the projections revealed potential habitat of Japanese evergreen oak will be increased in Korean Peninsula except the RCP 4.5 in 2050. However, the future potential habitat of Japanese evergreen oak was found to be limited considering the dispersal ability of this species. Therefore, estimation of dispersal ability is required to understand the effect of climate change and habitat distribution of the species.

• Journal of Digital Convergence
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• v.16 no.1
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• pp.231-242
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• 2018

The efficient management of the Length of Stay(LOS) is important in hospital. It is import to reduce medical cost for patients and increase profitability for hospitals. In order to efficiently manage LOS, it is necessary to develop an artificial intelligence-based prediction model that supports hospitals in benchmarking and reduction ways of LOS. In order to develop a predictive model of LOS for acute stroke patients, acute stroke patients were extracted from 2013 and 2014 discharge injury patient data. The data for analysis was classified as 60% for training and 40% for evaluation. In the model development, we used traditional regression technique such as multiple regression analysis method, artificial intelligence technique such as interactive decision tree, neural network technique, and ensemble technique which integrate all. Model evaluation used Root ASE (Absolute error) index. They were 23.7 by multiple regression, 23.7 by interactive decision tree, 22.7 by neural network and 22.7 by esemble technique. As a result of model evaluation, neural network technique which is artificial intelligence technique was found to be superior. Through this, the utility of artificial intelligence has been proved in the development of the prediction LOS model. In the future, it is necessary to continue research on how to utilize artificial intelligence techniques more effectively in the development of LOS prediction model.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.14 no.7
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• pp.3368-3373
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• 2013

The purpose of this study was to analyze the risk factors of self-reported voice problem. Data were from the Korea National Health and Nutritional Examination Survey 2008. Subjects were 3,600 persons (1,501 men, 2,099 women) aged 19 years and older. A prediction model was developed by the use of a exhaustive CHAID (Chi Squared Automatic Interaction Detection) algorism of decision tree model. In the decision tree analysis, pain and discomfort during the last 2 weeks, age, the longest occupation and thyroid disorders was significantly associated with self-reported voice problem. The findings of associated factors suggest potential ways of targeting counseling and prevention efforts to control self-reported voice problem.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.31 no.6
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• pp.53-66
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• 2013

The major purpose of this study is to evaluate methodologies to predict the injury severity of pedestrian-vehicle collisions. Methodologies to be evaluated and compared in this study include Binary Logistic Regression(BLR), Ordered Probit Model(OPM), Support Vector Machine(SVM) and Decision Tree(DT) method. Valuable insights into applying methodologies to analyze the characteristics of pedestrian injury severity are derived. For the purpose of identifying causal factors affecting the injury severity, statistical approaches such as BLR and OPM are recommended. On the other hand, to achieve better prediction performance, heuristic approaches such as SVM and DT are recommended. It is expected that the outcome of this study would be useful in developing various countermeasures for enhancing pedestrian safety.