• Title/Summary/Keyword: 기후일치도

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The performance evaluation of nonstationary index flood models (비정상성 홍수지수모형의 성능 평가)

  • Nam, Woosung;Kim, Sooyoung;Kim, Taereem;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.26-26
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    • 2015
  • 기후변화나 인위적인 요인 등에 의해 수문 자료에 비정상성(nonstationarity)이 나타나면서 정상성 가정 하에서 수행되는 빈도해석으로는 정확한 확률수문량 산정이 어려운 실정이다. 최근 이를 보완하기 위한 비정상성 빈도해석에 대한 연구가 진행되고 있고, 이와 더불어 비정상성 지역빈도 해석에 대한 관심도 높아지고 있다. 비정상성 지역빈도해석은 대개 홍수지수법(index flood method)을 기반으로 진행되고 있는데, 홍수지수와 성장곡선(growth curve)에 시간에 따른 변화를 고려하느냐의 여부에 따라 다양한 형태의 홍수지수모형이 적용되고 있다. 본 연구는 다양한 형태의 홍수지수모형의 성능을 평가하여 비정상성 자료에 적합한 형태를 선정하는 것을 목적으로 한다. 이를 위해 위치 매개변수가 시간에 따라 변화하는 비정상성 GEV 분포(GEV100)를 모분포로 하는 지점들로 지역들을 구성하고, Monte Carlo 모의를 통해 발생시킨 자료에 여러 형태의 홍수지수모형을 적용하여 각 모형의 성능을 평가하였다. 모의실험 결과 홍수 지수는 시간에 따른 변화가 없고, 성장곡선은 시간에 따라 변화하는 형태인 홍수지수모형이 다른 형태의 모형에 비해 대체로 더 정확한 확률수문량을 산정할 수 있는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 우리나라 기상청 관할 강우 관측 지점들 중 GEV100 분포가 적합한 것으로 선정된 지점들을 하나의 지역으로 구성하여 모의실험에서 적용한 것과 동일한, 여러 형태의 홍수지수모형을 적용한 결과 모의실험 결과와 일치하게 성장곡선에만 비정상성 고려된 홍수지수모형이 상대적으로 정확한 확률강우량을 산정하는 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 GEV100 모형 기반의 비정상성 지역빈도해석을 수행하기 위해서는 성장곡선만 시간에 따라 변화하는 홍수지수모형이 적합할 것으로 판단된다.

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Density of Chigger Mites as Tsutsugamushi Vectors Collected from Jinan, Jeollabuk-do (전북 진안에서 채집한 쯔쯔가무시 매개 털진드기 밀도)

  • Lee, Hyeok Jae;Park, Chul
    • Korean Journal of Clinical Laboratory Science
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    • v.52 no.4
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    • pp.364-371
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    • 2020
  • The Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is conducting surveillance of climate change vectors across all regions in Korea to counteract the spread of these vectors. As a part of this surveillance project, wild rodents were captured using traps to investigate the spread of chigger mites, the vector of Tsutsugamushi disease, across Jeonbuk, Jinan region, and to conduct studies on pathogens. Twenty samplers were used to sample chigger mites weekly from September to November in four different locations. Six hundred and eleven chigger mites of eight varying types were captured. The largest number of captured chigger mites was N. tamiyai, with 434 samples (71.0%). With the addition of 66 wild rodents captured from traps, 3,050 chigger mites were sampled, which yielded a Chigger index of 46.2. The monthly Chigger index was highest in November with a value of 206.1. the result of the test conducted in the presence of pathogens showed two positive results, each from May and September, out of all 85 pools. This result was aligned with the increased frequency in tsutsugamushi disease cases in spring and fall seasons.

A Study on Evaluation Method of Cable Tension for Railway Steel Composite Bridge (강철도 복합교량 케이블의 장력 평가기법에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Jung-Youl;Lee, Soo-Jae;Chung, Jee-Seung
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.407-413
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    • 2022
  • In this study, the empirical formula for evaluating cable tension based on long-term measurement for about 3 years according to temperature change was proposed by proving the correlation between the expansion joint displacement of the upper road bridge and the cable tension of the lower railway bridge. The tension prediction results using the empirical formula for tension evaluation each cables proposed in this study were found to be in good agreement with the cable tension using the vibration method within 3%. Therefore, it was analyzed that it could be applied together with the vibration method that was an experimental technique, to predict and evaluate the cable tension in serviced railway steel composite bridge. As a result of applying the estimated temperature calculated by the empirical formula for expansion proposed in this study to the empirical formula, it was analyzed that a high level of reliability could be secured when compared with the vibration method. Therefore, it is judged that the empirical formula for cable tension evaluation reflecting the estimated temperature proposed in this study can be used to predict the tension of cables according to climate change in the future and establish a maintenance plan.

Development of the sediment transport model using GPU arithmetic (GPU 연산을 활용한 유사이송 예측모형 개발)

  • Noh, Junsu;Son, Sangyoung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.56 no.7
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    • pp.431-438
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    • 2023
  • Many shorelines are facing the beach erosion. Considering the climate change and the increment of coastal population, the erosion problem could be accelerated. To address this issue, developing a sediment transport model for rapidly predicting terrain change is crucial. In this study, a sediment transport model based on GPU parallel arithmetic was introduced, and it was supposed to simulate the terrain change well with a higher computing speed compared to the CPU based model. We also aim to investigate the model performance and the GPU computational efficiency. We applied several dam break cases to verified model, and we found that the simulated results were close to the observed results. The computational efficiency of GPU was defined by comparing operation time of CPU based model, and it showed that the GPU based model were more efficient than the CPU based model.

Applicability of SURR Model for Geum-River Basin (금강 유역에 대한 SURR 모형의 적용성 평가)

  • Lim, Ye Jin;Heo, Jae-Yeong;Ngoc, Tien Duong;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.361-361
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    • 2022
  • 최근 기후변화의 영향으로 국지성 집중호우에 의한 홍수 피해가 빈번히 발생하고 있으며, 이로 인한 인명 및 재산 피해가 증가하고 있다. 2020년의 경우, 최장 기간 장마로 인해 금강유역을 비롯한 전국에서 산사태, 제방 붕괴, 침수 등 많은 피해가 발생하였다. 이러한 홍수피해 저감을 위해서는 신뢰도 높은 홍수량 예측이 요구된다. 특히, 토양수분과 같이 시간에 따른 유역 수문 정보를 모의 과정에서 고려하는 것이 매우 중요하다. 아울러, 유역 전반에 대한 토양수분 정보는 실시간으로 획득하는 것이 어려워 이를 고려할 수 있는 강우-유출모형을 활용하는 것이 바람직하다. 이러한 수문모형으로 SURR(Sejong University Rainfall Runoff) 모형이 있으며 다양한 적용 및 평가를 통해 모형 활용성에 대한 증진이 요구되는 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 저류함수 기반의 시단위 연속형 강우-유출모형(SURR 모형)을 활용한 강우-유출 모의를 수행하여 홍수 피해가 컸던 금강유역을 대상으로 모형의 적용성을 평가하고자 한다. 평가기간은 2006~2020년으로써 유량관측 지점별 매개변수 검·보정을 수행하였다. 관측 및 모의 유량에 대한 도시적 및 통계적(CC, RMSE, NSE) 평가를 수행하여 유출 모의에 대한 정확도를 평가하였다. 평가결과, 관측 및 모의 유량 간의 거동이 유사한 것으로 나타났으며 첨두유량 및 시간이 비교적 잘 일치하는 것으로 나타나 대상유역의 신뢰도 높은 유출량을 모의하는데 적합한 것으로 확인되었다. 본 연구 결과는 향후 AI 기법과 연계한 돌발홍수 예측 연구에 활용하여 정확도 높은 유역 홍수량 예측 및 선행시간 확보에 도움이 될 것으로 기대된다.

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Quaternary Geology and Paleoecology of Hominid Occupation of Imjin Basin (임진강유역 구석기 공작의 고생태학적 배경)

  • Seonbok Yi
    • The Korean Journal of Quaternary Research
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.25-50
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    • 1988
  • The survival of rich evidence of palaeolithic occupation found in the Imjin-Hant'an River basin was possible due to many fortuitous geological conditions provided there. Formation of the basalt plain in a narrow valley system which developed during the late Mesozoic insured the appearance of a basin of sedimentation in which archaeological sites would be preserved with relatively minor post-depositional disturbance. Geomagnetic and K-Ar dating indicates that lava flows occurred during the Brunes Normal Epoch. During and after the process of basin sedimentation, erosion of the plain was confined to the major channel of the present river system which developed along the structural joints formed by the lava flow. Due to characteristic columnar structure and platy cleavage of the basalt bedrock, erosion of the basalt bedrock occurred mainly in vertical direction, developing deep but narrow entrenched valleys cut into the bedrock. Consequently, the large portion of the site area remained intact. Cultural deposits formed on top of the basalt plain were left unmodified by later fluvial disturbances due to changes in the Hant'an River base-level, since they were formed about 20 to 40m above the modern floodplain. Sedimentological evidence of cultural deposits and palynological analysis of lacustrine bed formed in the tributary basin of the Hant'an River indicate that hominid occupation occurred in this basin under rapidly deteriorating climatic conditions. From three thermoluminescence dates, the timing of hominid occupation as represented by 'Acheulian-like' bifaces apparently occur sometime during 45,000 BP. Thus, deposition of cultural layers in this basin approximately coincides with the beginning of the second stadial of the final glacial, during which the Korean Peninsula must have had provided a sanctuary for prolonged human occupation.

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Effects of Soil Organic Matter Contents, Paddy Types and Agricultural Climatic Zone on CH4 Emissions from Rice Paddy Field (벼 논에서 토양 유기물 함량, 논 유형 및 농업기후대가 CH4 배출에 미치는 영향)

  • Ko, Jee-Yeon;Lee, Jae-Saeng;Woo, Koan-Sik;Song, Seok-Bo;Kang, Jong-Rae;Seo, Myung-Chul;Kwak, Do-Yeon;Oh, Byeong-Gun;Nam, Min-Hee
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.44 no.5
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    • pp.887-894
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    • 2011
  • To evaluate the effects of abiotic factors of paddy fields on greenhouse gases (GHGs) emissions from rice paddy fields, $CH_4$ emission amounts were investigated from rice paddy fields by different soil organic matter contents, paddy types, and agricultural climatic zone in Yeongnam area during 3 years. $CH_4$ emission amounts according to soil organic matter contents in paddy field were conducted at having different contents of 5 soil organic matters fields (23.6, 28.7, 31.0, 34.5, and $38.0g\;kg^{-1}$), The highest $CH_4$ emission amount was recorded in the highest soil organic matters plot of $38.0g\;kg^{-1}$. High correlation coefficient (r=$0.963^{**}$) was obtained between $CH_4$ emissions from paddy fields and their soil organic matter contents. According to paddy field types, $CH_4$ emission amounts were investigated at 4 different paddy fields as wet paddy, sandy paddy, immature paddy, and mature paddy. The highest $CH_4$ emissions was recorded in wet paddy (100%) and followed as immature paddy 64.0%, mature paddy 46.8%, and sandy paddy 23.8%, respectively. For the effects of temperature on $CH_4$ emissions from paddy fields, 4 agricultural climatic zones were investigated, which were Yeongnam inland zone (YIZ), eastern coast of central zone (ECZ), plain area of Yeongnam inland mountainous zone (PMZ), and mountainous area of Yeongnam inland mountainous zone (MMZ). The order of $CH_4$ emission amounts from paddy fields by agricultural climatic zone were YIZ (100%) > ECZ (94.6%) > PMZ (91.6%) > MMZ (78.9%). The regression equation between $CH_4$ emission amounts from paddy fields and average air temperature of Jul. to Sep. of agricultural climatic zone was y = 389.7x-4,287 (x means average temperature of Jul. to Sep. of agricultural climatic zone, $R^2=0.906^*$)

GIS Spatial Analysis of Vulnerability of Protected Cultivation Area to Meteorological Disaster : A Case Study of Jeollanambuk Province, South Korea (GIS를 이용한 시설재배의 기상재해 취약지역 해석 - 전라남북도의 사례를 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Dong Hyeon;Kang, Dong Hyeon;Lee, Si Young;Son, Jin Kwan;Park, Min Jung;Yoon, Yong-Cheol;Yun, Sung-Wook
    • Journal of Bio-Environment Control
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.87-99
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    • 2017
  • Recently the increase in an abnormal climate events and meteorological disasters which causes a great damage to greenhouse facilities. To minimize and evaluate the expected damages it is necessary to prepare countermeasures and a management system in advance. For this purpose, a quantitative analysis of weather and abnormal climate are needed to investigate protected cultivation areas which are vulnerable to natural disasters. This study focused on protected cultivation areas in Jeolla province, South Korea. Surrogate variables were calculated to analyze the vulnerable areas to meteorological disasters, and spatial distribution analysis was also performed by using GIS to present vulnerable areas on map. The map thus created and was compared with actual data of damages by meteorological disasters which occurred in target areas. The result of the comparison is as follows: About 50% of the target areas showed an agreement between the map created in this study and the actual data, these areas includes Gwangju metropolitan city, Naju city, Yeongam County, Jangseong County, Hampyeong County, and Haenam County. On the other hand, other areas, including Gunsan city, Mokpo city, and Muan County, suffered low damage in spite of high levels of vulnerability to meteorological disasters. This result was considered to be affected by such variables as different structural designs and management systems of greenhouses by region. This study carried out an analysis of meteorological data to find out more detailed vulnerability to protected cultivation area and to create a map of vulnerable protected cultivation areas. In addition, the map was compared with the record of natural disasters to identify actual vulnerable areas. In conclusion, this study can be utilized as basic data for preventing and reducing damages by meteorological disasters in terms of design and management of greenhouses.

Regional Analysis of Forest Eire Occurrence Factors in Kangwon Province (강원도 지역 산불발생인자의 지역별 유형화)

  • 이시영;한상열;안상현;오정수;조명희;김명수
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.135-142
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    • 2001
  • This study attempts to categorizes the factors of forest fire occurrences based on regional meteorologic data and general forest no characteristics of 18 cities and guns in Kangwon province. lo accomplish this goal, some statistical analyses such as analysis of variance, correspondence analysis and multidimensional scaling were adopted. To reveal the forest fires pattern of study region, a categorization process was conducted by employing the quantification approach which modified and quantified the metric-data of fire occurrence dates. Also, The fire occurrence similarity was compared by using multidimensional scaling for each study region. The major results are summarized as follows: It was found that the meteorological factors emerged as different to each region are average and maximum temperature, minimum dew point temperature and average and maximum wind speed. In the result of correspondence analysis representing relationships between fire causes and study regions, Kangrung is caused by arsonist, Chulwon, Hwachen and Yanggu caused by military factor, Sokcho and Chunchen caused by the debris burning, and Samchuk caused by general man-caused fires, respectively. Finally, the forest fire occurrence pattern of this study regions were divided into five areas such as, group I including Samchuk, Kangryung, Chunchen, Wonju, Hongchen and Hhoingsung, group II including Donghae, Taebaek, Yangyang and Pyongchang, group III including Jungsun, Chulwon and Whachen, group Ⅵ including Gosung, Injae and Yanggu, and group V including Shokcho and Youngwol.

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Comparison of Wind Vectors Derived from GK2A with Aeolus/ALADIN (위성기반 GK2A의 대기운동벡터와 Aeolus/ALADIN 바람 비교)

  • Shin, Hyemin;Ahn, Myoung-Hwan;KIM, Jisoo;Lee, Sihye;Lee, Byung-Il
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.37 no.6_1
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    • pp.1631-1645
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    • 2021
  • This research aims to provide the characteristics of the world's first active lidar sensor Atmospheric Laser Doppler Instrument (ALADIN) wind data and Geostationary Korea Multi Purpose Satellite 2A (GK2A) Atmospheric Motion Vector (AMV) data by comparing two wind data. As a result of comparing the data from September 2019 to August 1, 2020, The total number of collocated data for the AMV (using IR channel) and Mie channel ALADIN data is 177,681 which gives the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 3.73 m/s and the correlation coefficient is 0.98. For a more detailed analysis, Comparison result considering altitude and latitude, the Normalized Root Mean Squared Error (NRMSE) is 0.2-0.3 at most latitude bands. However, the upper and middle layers in the lower latitudes and the lower layer in the southern hemispheric are larger than 0.4 at specific latitudes. These results are the same for the water vapor channel and the visible channel regardless of the season, and the channel-specific and seasonal characteristics do not appear prominently. Furthermore, as a result of analyzing the distribution of clouds in the latitude band with a large difference between the two wind data, Cirrus or cumulus clouds, which can lower the accuracy of height assignment of AMV, are distributed more than at other latitude bands. Accordingly, it is suggested that ALADIN wind data in the southern hemisphere and low latitude band, where the error of the AMV is large, can have a positive effect on the numerical forecast model.