• Title/Summary/Keyword: 기저모형

Search Result 230, Processing Time 0.031 seconds

SWAT Direct Runoff and Baseflow Evaluation using Web-based Flow Clustering EI Estimation System (웹기반의 유량 군집화 EI 평가시스템을 이용한 SWAT 직접유출과 기저유출 평가)

  • Jang, Won Seok;Moon, Jong Pil;Kim, Nam Won;Yoo, Dong Sun;Kum, Dong Hyuk;Kim, Ik Jae;Mun, Yuri;Lim, Kyoung Jae
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
    • /
    • v.27 no.1
    • /
    • pp.61-72
    • /
    • 2011
  • In order to assess hydrologic and nonpoint source pollutant behaviors in a watershed with Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model, the accuracy evaluation of SWAT model should be conducted prior to the application of it to a watershed. When calibrating and validating hydrological components of SWAT model, the Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient (EI) has been widely used. However, the EI value has been known as it is affected sensitively by big numbers among the range of numbers. In this study, a Web-based flow clustering EI estimation system using K-means clustering algorithm was developed and used for SWAT hydrology evaluation. Even though the EI of total streamflow was high, the EI values of hydrologic components (i.e., direct runoff and baseflow) were not high. Also when the EI values of flow group I and II (i.e., low and high value group) clustered from direct runoff and baseflow were computed, respectively, the EI values of them were much lower with negative EI values for some flow group comparison. The SWAT auto-calibration tool estimated values also showed negative EI values for most flow group I and II of direct runoff and baseflow although EI value of total streamflow was high. The result obtained in this study indicates that the SWAT hydrology component should be calibrated until all four positive EI values for each flow group of direct runoff and baseflow are obtained for better accuracy both in direct runoff and baseflow.

Classical testing based on B-splines in functional linear models (함수형 선형모형에서의 B-스플라인에 기초한 검정)

  • Sohn, Jihoon;Lee, Eun Ryung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.32 no.4
    • /
    • pp.607-618
    • /
    • 2019
  • A new and interesting task in statistics is to effectively analyze functional data that frequently comes from advances in modern science and technology in areas such as meteorology and biomedical sciences. Functional linear regression with scalar response is a popular functional data analysis technique and it is often a common problem to determine a functional association if a functional predictor variable affects the scalar response in the models. Recently, Kong et al. (Journal of Nonparametric Statistics, 28, 813-838, 2016) established classical testing methods for this based on functional principal component analysis (of the functional predictor), that is, the resulting eigenfunctions (as a basis). However, the eigenbasis functions are not generally suitable for regression purpose because they are only concerned with the variability of the functional predictor, not the functional association of interest in testing problems. Additionally, eigenfunctions are to be estimated from data so that estimation errors might be involved in the performance of testing procedures. To circumvent these issues, we propose a testing method based on fixed basis such as B-splines and show that it works well via simulations. It is also illustrated via simulated and real data examples that the proposed testing method provides more effective and intuitive results due to the localization properties of B-splines.

Simulation Conditions based Characteristics of Spatial Flood Data Extension (모의조건에 따른 홍수 유출자료의 공간적 확장 영향분석)

  • Kim, Nam Won;Jung, Yong;Lee, Jeong Eun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.47 no.6
    • /
    • pp.501-511
    • /
    • 2014
  • The effects of initial conditions and input values of the rainfall-runoff model were studied in the applications of a lumped concept model for flood event data extension. For the initial conditions of the rainfall-runoff model, baseflow effects and spatial distributions of saturation points ($R_{sa}$) for the storage function methods (SFM) were analyzed. In addition, researches on the effects of rainfall data conditions as input values for the rainfall-runoff model were performed. The Chungju Dam watershed was selected and divided into 3 catchments including smaller size of 22 sub-catchments. The observed discharge and inflow amounts at Yeongwol 1, Chungju Dam, and Yeongwol 2 water level stations were individually operated as criteria for flood data extension in 30 flood events from 1993 to 2009. Direct and base flow were distinguished from a stream flow. In order to test capability of flood data extension, obtained base flow was applied to the rainfall-runoff model for three water level stations. When base flow was adopted in the model, the Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency(NSE) was increased. The numbers of over satisfaction for model performance (>0.5) were increased over 10%. Saturation points ($R_{sa}$) which strongly influence the runoff amount when rainfall starts were optimized based on the runoff amount at three water level stations. The sizes of saturation points for three locations were similar which means saturation point size is not depending on the runoff amount. The effects of rainfall information for flood runoff were tested at 2002ev1 and 2008ev1. When increased the amount of rainfall information, the runoff simulations were closer to the simulations with full of rainfall information. However, the size of improvement was not substantial on rainfall-runoff simulations in terms of the size of total amount of rainfall.

Simulation of Groundwater Recharge rate in Mandae Watershed using SWAT HRU Mapping module (SWAT HRU Mapping module을 이용한 만대천 유역의 지하수 함양량 모의 평가)

  • Ryu, Ji-Chul;Choi, Jae-Wan;Kang, Hyun-Woo;Tenhunen, John;Shope, Christopher L.;Lim, Kyoung-Jae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2011.05a
    • /
    • pp.384-384
    • /
    • 2011
  • 전 세계적으로 유역단위 수문해석 모형으로 많이 사용되는 SWAT모형은 유역 내 수문 모의시, DEM을 기반으로 유역 평균경사도를 이용하여 경사도-경사장 관계식 산정 경사장을 유역 내모든 수문학적 반응단위(HRU:Hydrologic Response Unit)에 동일하게 적용하는 문제점이 있다. 특히 SWAT모형은 미국지형 기반으로 개발되었기 때문에 유역 평균 경사도가 25% 미만일 경우 유역 평균 경사장 인자가 매우 작은 값으로 산정되어 모두 동일하게 적용된다. 이는 SWAT모형의 수문 및 지하수 함양량 산정 시 우리나라 유역 특성이 제대로 반영되지 않는 채 모의가 이루어질 수 있는 문제를 초래할 수 있다. 따라서 이러한 문제점을 해결하기 위하여 본 연구에서는 강원 발전연구원에서 전수 조사한 실측 경사장 자료가 있는 강원도 양구군 해안면 만대천 유역을 연구 대상지역으로 선정하였고 지하수 함양량을 시공간적으로 분석 할 수 있게 개발 된 SWAT HRU Mapping module에 실측 경사장 자료를 이용하여 2009년 실측 경사장(274m) 적용과 임의의 경사장(5m) 적용에 따른 유출량 및 지하수 함양량을 비교 분석 하였다. 임의의 경사장을 5m로 선정한 이유는 SWAT모형에서 소유역의 경사도가 25%이상일 경우 소유역의 경사장을 모두 0.05m로 산정하여 모두 동일하게 적용하기 때문에 실측 경사장(평균 274m)과 대조군으로 비교하기 위하여 임의의 경사장을 5m로 선정하였다. 2009년 해안면 만대천 유역의 총 강우량은 1341mm이며 실측경사장 및 임의 경사장 적용에 따른 유출특성별 유출량을 비교해보면 직접유출 결과는 두 가지 경사장 모두 큰 차이를 나타내지 않았지만 평균 경사장이 증가 할수록 중간유출은 줄어들고 기저유출이 급격하게 증가하는 것으로 분석되었다. 또한 2009년 만대천 유역의 월별지하수 함양량은 실측경사장과 임의의 경사장 적용에 따라 각각 591mm/yr(함양율 44%) 와 293mm/yr(함양율 22%) 로 나타났으며, 중간유출이 줄고 기저유출이 증가 할수록 지하수함양량 역시 증가 하는 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 SWAT모형에서 기저유출을 정확히 해석하고 지하수함양량을 제대로 산정하기 위해서는 실측 경사장에 적용에 따른 모형의 검 보정이 반드시 이루어져야 한다고 판단된다.

  • PDF

Analysis of Bias in the Runoff Results Due to the Application of Effective Soil Depth (유효토심을 적용한 유출해석 결과의 왜곡 분석)

  • Sunguk Song;Chulsang Yoo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
    • /
    • v.25 no.2
    • /
    • pp.121-131
    • /
    • 2023
  • This study examines the possible problem in the rainfall-runoff analysis process using the VIC (Variable Infiltration Capacity) model caused by using the effective soil depth instead of the soil depth. The parameters of the model are determined as follows. First, parameters that can be determined using available numerical information are fixed. For parameters related to direct runoff and base runoff, the recommended values of the VIC model are applied. In the case of soil depth, four cases are considered: (1) the effective soil depth is applied as the soil depth, (2) 1.5 times of the effective soil depth is applied as the soil depth by reflecting the vertical structure of the soil layer, (3) 1.25 times of the effective soil depth, and (4) 2.0 times of the effective soil depth as alternative soil depths. This study simulates the rainfall-runoff for the period from 1983 to 2020 targeting the Chungju Dam and Soyang River Dam basins of the Han River system. As a result of the study, it is confirmed that when the effective soil depth is applied instead of the soil depth, direct runoff and baseflow have opposite effects, and direct runoff increases by more than 3% while base runoff decreases by the same scale. In addition, the most influential factor in the estimation of the effective soil depth in the Chungju Dam and Soyanggang Dam basins is found to be the proportion of rock outcrop area. The difference between the direct runoff ratio and the base runoff ratio in the two basins is conformed significantly different due to the influence of the rock outcrop area.

A Development of Auto-Calibration for Initial Soil Condition in K-DRUM Model (K-DRUM 개선을 위한 초기토양함수 자동보정기법 개발)

  • Park, Jin-Hyeog;Hur, Young-Teck
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
    • /
    • v.17 no.2
    • /
    • pp.71-79
    • /
    • 2009
  • In this study, a distributed rainfall-runoff model, K-DRUM, based on physical kinematic wave was developed to simulate temporal and spatial distribution of flood discharge considering grid rainfall and grid based GIS hydrological parameters. The developed model can simulate temporal and spatial distribution of surface flow and sub-surface flow during flood period, and input parameters of ASCII format as pre-process can be extracted using ArcView. Output results of ASCII format as post-process can be created to express distribution of discharge in the watershed using GIS and express discharge as animation using TecPlot. an auto calibration method for initial soil moisture conditions that have an effect on discharge in the physics based K-DRUM was additionally developed. The baseflow for Namgang Dam Watershed was analysed to review the applicability of the developed auto calibration method. The accuracy of discharge analysis for application of the method was evaluated using RMSE and NRMSE. Problems in running time and inaccuracy setting using the existing trial and error method were solved by applying an auto calibration method in setting initial soil moisture conditions of K-DRUM.

  • PDF

Effects of Entertainment and Economical Efficiency on the Mobile Advertising Value and Intention (모바일 광고가치와 접속의도에 유희성과 경제성 변수가 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Lee, Bong-Gyou;Kim, Ki-Youn;Lee, Hye-Sun
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartD
    • /
    • v.16D no.1
    • /
    • pp.43-54
    • /
    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is to explore variables that affect users' perceived value of mobile advertising and actual response intention and to analyze causal relationships among variables. In order to verify the relational significance, we built new research model and hypotheses based on the Ducoffe's model(1996). And we found out four independent variables such as entertainment, information usefulness, convenience, economical efficiency, and advertising impact's value as a mediating variable. Especially, we classified into four multi-age groups to investigate properly moderating effects through SEM(path analysis) and difference test. Therefore, it is academical and practical worth that we developed our model to appropriate on mobile advertising's unique property and that we verified our hypotheses and variables focused on age group, whereas previous research did not. For this, we surveyed 345 samples for conducting structural equation modeling in empirical approach. The results of this study supported the statistical significance of all hypotheses except but convenience.

A Development of Auto-Calibration for Initial Soil Moisture Condition in Distributed Runoff Model (분포형 유출모형의 초기토양함수상태 자동보정 기법 개발)

  • Park, Jin-Hyeog;Cha, Kee-Uk;Ryoo, Kyong-Sik;Hur, Young-Teck
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2009.05a
    • /
    • pp.971-975
    • /
    • 2009
  • 본 연구에서는 격자강우량과 GIS와 연계한 격자기반의 공간수문자료들을 모형의 입력매개변수로 활용하고, 수계망을 통하여 유역 출구까지 운동파(kinematic wave)이론에 의해 유출량을 물리적으로 추적해 나가는 격자기반의 분포형 강우-유출모형인 K-DRUM(Kwater Distributed RUnoff Model)을 개발하였고, 지표유출량에 가장 큰 영향을 주지만 실제 관측 및 적용이 용이하지 않은 유역의 초기토양함수상태에 대한 자동보정기법을 개발하였다. 개발된 자동보정기법을 이용하여 남강댐유역을 대상으로 적용가능성을 평가하였다. 연구에서 사용한 강우사상은 남강댐 유역에 큰 영향을 준 태풍 루사 (2002년 8월 31일 01시$^{\sim}$9월1일 23시), 태풍 매미 (2003년 9월 12일 01시$^{\sim}$9월13일 23시), 2004년의 대류성강우 (2004년 7월14일 01시$^{\sim}$7월 16일 10시) 및 태풍 에위니아 (2006년 7월 8일 18시$^{\sim}$7월11일 12시)의 총 4개의 사상을 대상으로 하였다. 개발한 유역의 초기토양함수상태 자동보정기법에 의한 유출모의의 적용성을 검토하기 위하여 모의에 사용된 매개변수 중 토지피복도에 의해 결정되는 조도계수와 토양도에 의해 결정되는 유효토심, 흡인수두계수, 공극률 및 투수계수는 4개의 강우사상에서 모두 동일한 조건으로 설정하였고, 유역내 토양 내부 수분함유량 산정을 위한 초기 기저유출량은 검토대상 기간 시점부에서 관측된 유출량으로 설정하였다. 초기토양함수상태 자동보정기법 적용을 통한 유출해석의 정확도는 체적오차 백분율(VER)과 첨두 유량 오차 백분율(QER)을 이용하여 평가하였으며, 이를 통해 본 모형이 유출량에 대한 정확성을 확보하고자 하였다. 본 연구에서 개발된 자동보정 기법을 적용한 결과, 초기토양조건을 설정하는데 있어서 기존의 시행착오법으로 인해 소요되는 시간과 유역내 토양 특성과 지형형상을 고려하지 않는 설정으로 인해 발생될 수 있는 문제점을 해결할 수 있었으며, 유출계산 결과도 유량의 크기와 첨두시간 모두 관측값과 비교적 잘 맞는 것을 확인할 수 있었다.

  • PDF

A Study on the Development of the Stochastic Continuous Storage Function Model (추계학적 연속형 저류함수 모형 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Byong-Ju;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2009.05a
    • /
    • pp.231-235
    • /
    • 2009
  • 본 연구에서는 홍수예보를 위한 사상형 모형인 저류함수모형 적용시 문제점을 개선하기 위해 기존의 저류함수 모형에 자유수와 장력수의 2개 영역으로 구성된 토양수분모의 컴포넌트를 결합하여 지표유출, 중간유출, 기저유출의 유출수문성분에 대한 연속적인 모의가 가능하도록 하였으며 실시간 홍수예측을 위해 다수의 유량 관측지점과의 실시간 오차 보정이 가능하도록 앙상블 칼만 필터링 기법을 도입하였다. 개발된 모형의 적용성을 평가하기 위해 낙동강 권역을 대상유역으로 선정하였으며 시단위 강우자료, 기상자료, 유량자료를 비롯하여 GIS를 기반의 지형자료를 구축하였다. 연속형 저류함수형의 매개변수 추정결과 주요지점의 관측유량에 대해 높은 적합도를 보였으며 1시간 선행시간의 홍수량 예측결과에서도 높은 정확도를 보이는 것으로 나타났다.

  • PDF