• Title/Summary/Keyword: 기상보정계수

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Water shortage assessment by applying future climate change for boryeong dam using SWAT (SWAT을 이용한 기후변화에 따른 보령댐의 물부족 평가)

  • Kim, Won Jin;Jung, Chung Gil;Kim, Jin Uk;Kim, Seong Joon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.12
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    • pp.1195-1205
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    • 2018
  • In the study, the water shortage of Boryeong Dam watershed ($163.6km^2$) was evaluated under future climate change scenario. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) was used considering future dam release derived from multiple linear regression (MLR) analysis. The SWAT was calibrated and verified by using daily observed dam inflow and storage for 12 years (2005 to 2016) with average Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency of 0.59 and 0.91 respectively. The monthly dam release by 12 years MLR showed coefficient of determination ($R^2$) of above 0.57. Among the 27 RCP 4.5 scenarios and 26 RCP 8.5 scenarios of GCM (General Circulation Model), the RCP 8.5 BCC-CSM1-1-M scenario was selected as future extreme drought scenario by analyzing SPI severity, duration, and the longest dry period. The scenario showed -23.6% change of yearly dam storage, and big changes of -34.0% and -24.1% for spring and winter dam storage during 2037~2047 period comparing with 2007~2016 period. Based on Runs theory of analyzing severity and magnitude, the future frequency of 5 to 10 years increased from 3 in 2007~2016 to 5 in 2037~2046 period. When considering the future shortened water shortage return period and the big decreases of winter and spring dam storage, a new dam operation rule from autumn is necessary for future possible water shortage condition.

Poential evapotranspiration analysis of suweon area (수원지방(水原地方)의 증발산량(蒸發散量) 분석(分析))

  • Shin, Yong Hwa;Hwang, Gye Seon
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.47-55
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    • 1976
  • This study is conducted to find out potential evapotranspiration values computed by a reasonable formula which is well suited among the existing ones for Suweon area. Each formula based on the data from Suweon Agricultural Meteorological Station during 1964 to 1973. Five formulas which are Blanney-Criddle, Thornthwaite, Penman, Jensen-Haise and Truc have been applied for calculation of potential evapotanspiration. Results obtained are summarized as follows. 1. Potential evapotranspiration of Suweon area shows uni-modal distribution which maximum value occurs in summer and minimum value occurs in winter. Annual potential evapotranspiration computed by Blanney-Criddle formula is 1,377 mm and that computed by others ranges from 714mm to 896mm. 2. Potential evapotranspiration computed by Blanney-Criddle formula is higher value than that computed by others, and among the other formulas it's values show little differences. However, relationships between the former and the mean of four others is highly correlated. 3. In comparison with potential evapotranspiration computed by formulas and actual evapotranspiration for rice paddy which is already reported, value for crop coefficient may be 0.8 in local varities, 1.0 in Tongil varity on Blanney-Criddle formula, and 1.2 in local varities and 1.5 in Tongil varity on the mean of four other fomulas. 4. Five formulas may applied for calculation of potential evapotranspiration because of relatively good correlation among them. However Blanney-Criddle formula is one of recommendable ones, because it is easy to compute and requires less data in compare with other formulas.

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Development of Information System based on GIS for Analyzing Basin-Wide Pollutant Washoff (유역오염원 수질거동해석을 위한 GIS기반 정보시스템 개발)

  • Park, Dae-Hee;Ha, Sung-Ryong
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.34-44
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    • 2006
  • Simulation models allow researchers to model large hydrological catchment for comprehensive management of the water resources and explication of the diffuse pollution processes, such as land-use changes by development plan of the region. Recently, there have been reported many researches that examine water body quality using Geographic Information System (GIS) and dynamic watershed models such as AGNPS, HSPF, SWAT that necessitate handling large amounts of data. The aim of this study is to develop a watershed based water quality estimation system for the impact assessment on stream water quality. KBASIN-HSPF, proposed in this study, provides easy data compiling for HSPF by facilitating the setup and simulation process. It also assists the spatial interpretation of point and non-point pollutant information and thiessen rainfall creation and pre and post processing for large environmental data An integration methodology of GIS and water quality model for the preprocessing geo-morphologic data was designed by coupling the data model KBASIN-HSPF interface comprises four modules: registration and modification of basic environmental information, watershed delineation generator, watershed geo-morphologic index calculator and model input file processor. KBASIN-HSPF was applied to simulate the water quality impact by variation of subbasin pollution discharge structure.

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Validation of Complementary Relationship Hypothesis for Evapotranspiration in Multipurpose Dam Basins (다목적댐유역에서의 증발산 보완관계가설 검증)

  • Kim, Jihoon;Kang, Boosik;Kim, Jin-Gyeom
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.549-559
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    • 2017
  • The complementary relationship hypothesis for areal evapotranspirations was validated in the regional-scale area of multipurpose dam basins in Korea and the long-term water balances were indirectly identified. Annual actual evapotranspiration ($ET_A$) was assumed the difference between total annual precipitation and total annual inflow and the available moisture was assumed the total precipitation. The seasonally varying pan coefficient (kp) is estimated as the ratio of the $ET_{pan}$ and the evapotranspiration calculated by FAO Penman-Monteith equation ($ET_{PM}$). The complementary relationships using ground observation data of $ET_P$ and $ET_A$ in the multipurpose dam basins follow generally the typical pattern that $ET_P$ and $ET_A$ is complementary and converges to equivalent evapotranspiration ($ET_W$) under the extreme wet environment. However, $ET_A$ of Juam dam was estimated relatively greater than other basins and exceeds even $ET_P$ at certain range with high moisture availability, which can be understood as the results of possible over-estimation of precipitation or under-estimation of dam inflow. It is expected that the use of evapotranspiration complementary relationship for validating hydrological water balances will contribute to controlling uncertainties in estimating dam inflows during flood season in particular.

Development and application of improving techniques for watershed water cycle to adapt climate change - Lam Takhong reservoir in Thailand (기후변화 적응 유역 물순환 개선기술 개발 및 적용 - Lam Takhong Reservoir (Thailand))

  • Jang, Cheol Hee;Kim, Hyeon Jun;Cho, Jae Pil
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.395-395
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    • 2018
  • 기후변화 및 토지이용변화에 따라 강우량 및 증발산량 등과 같은 물순환계 구성요소가 변화하면 유역에서의 물순환계가 영향을 받게 된다. 이렇게 변화된 유역의 물순환계를 종합적으로 관리하기 위해서는 물순환 개선 기술을 통한 지속가능하고 건전한 물순환체계의 구축이 필요하다. 유역 물순환 개선 기술은 기후변화가 진행 중에 있거나 예상되는 지역에 대하여 강우-유출수를 지연, 저류, 침투시켜 지속가능한 물순환체계를 유지 회복하도록 하는 기술이라 할 수 있다. 한국건설기술연구원에서는 기후변화 대비 수자원 적응기술 개발 연구단(CCAW, Climate Change Adaptation for Water resources)의 연구비 지원을 받아 유역 건전성 및 취약성을 평가 하고 취약한 유역에 대한 물순환 개선기술을 확보하기 위한 연구를 수행 중에 있다. 특히, 수년간 국가연구개발사업을 통해 개발되고 사업화에 성공한바 있는 유역 물순환 평가 모형인 CAT(Catchment hydrologic cycle Assessment Tool)을 수정 개선하여 수요자 중심의 활발한 현장 적용을 도모하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 개발된 유역 물순환 개선 및 평가시스템의 적용성 평가를 위하여 대상유역으로 태국의 Lam Takhong 저수지 유역을 선정하였다. Lam Takhong 저수지 유역은 유역면적은 $1,423km^2$이며 저류량은 약 $440{\times}106m^3$이다. 입력자료인 DEM, Land Cover 자료는 USGS Hydro1K (https://earthexplorer.usgs.gov/), 하천망 및 유역경계 자료는 USGS HydroSHEDS (https://hydrosheds.cr.usgs.gov/dataavail.php), 기상 및 관측 유입량, 저수지 제원 등의 자료는 APEC 기후센터의 협조를 받아 1976년부터 2016년까지의 일단위 자료를 이용하였다. 모의결과는 저수지 월별 관측 유입량과 상류 유역의 모의 유출량을 이용하여 비교-분석 하였다. Lam Takhong 저수지 상류 유역은 APEC 기후센터에서 SWAT 모형을 이용하여 저수지 유입량 분석을 수행한 바 있다. 따라서 본 연구의 결과를 SWAT 모의결과와 비교하여 그 적용성을 검증하였다. 월별 관측 유입량과 저수지 상류 유역 모의 유출량을 비교한 결과 CAT의 경우 결정계수(R2) 값이 0.86, SWAT은 0.76으로 나타나 CAT의 적용 결과가 좀 더 우수한 것으로 나타났다. 모의 결과는 매개변수 최적화 과정을 거치지 않은 결과이며 SWAT 모형과의 결과 비교를 위하여 매개변수는 동일하게 적용하였다. 향후 매개변수 최적화 모듈을 통해 검 보정 단계를 거친다면 정밀한 분석이 가능할 것으로 판단된다.

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Analysis of National Stream Drying Phenomena using DrySAT-WFT Model: Focusing on Inflow of Dam and Weir Watersheds in 5 River Basins (DrySAT-WFT 모형을 활용한 전국 하천건천화 분석: 전국 5대강 댐·보 유역의 유입량을 중심으로)

  • LEE, Yong-Gwan;JUNG, Chung-Gil;KIM, Won-Jin;KIM, Seong-Joon
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.53-69
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    • 2020
  • The increase of the impermeable area due to industrialization and urban development distorts the hydrological circulation system and cause serious stream drying phenomena. In order to manage this, it is necessary to develop a technology for impact assessment of stream drying phenomena, which enables quantitative evaluation and prediction. In this study, the cause of streamflow reduction was assessed for dam and weir watersheds in the five major river basins of South Korea by using distributed hydrological model DrySAT-WFT (Drying Stream Assessment Tool and Water Flow Tracking) and GIS time series data. For the modeling, the 5 influencing factors of stream drying phenomena (soil erosion, forest growth, road-river disconnection, groundwater use, urban development) were selected and prepared as GIS-based time series spatial data from 1976 to 2015. The DrySAT-WFT was calibrated and validated from 2005 to 2015 at 8 multipurpose dam watershed (Chungju, Soyang, Andong, Imha, Hapcheon, Seomjin river, Juam, and Yongdam) and 4 gauging stations (Osucheon, Mihocheon, Maruek, and Chogang) respectively. The calibration results showed that the coefficient of determination (R2) was 0.76 in average (0.66 to 0.84) and the Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency was 0.62 in average (0.52 to 0.72). Based on the 2010s (2006~2015) weather condition for the whole period, the streamflow impact was estimated by applying GIS data for each decade (1980s: 1976~1985, 1990s: 1986~1995, 2000s: 1996~2005, 2010s: 2006~2015). The results showed that the 2010s averaged-wet streamflow (Q95) showed decrease of 4.1~6.3%, the 2010s averaged-normal streamflow (Q185) showed decreased of 6.7~9.1% and the 2010s averaged-drought streamflow (Q355) showed decrease of 8.4~10.4% compared to 1980s streamflows respectively on the whole. During 1975~2015, the increase of groundwater use covered 40.5% contribution and the next was forest growth with 29.0% contribution among the 5 influencing factors.

Effects of Halogen and Light-Shielding Curtains on Acquisition of Hyperspectral Images in Greenhouses (온실 내 초분광 영상 취득 시 할로겐과 차광 커튼이 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Tae-Yang;Ryu, Chan-Seok;Kang, Ye-seong;Jang, Si-Hyeong;Park, Jun-Woo;Kang, Kyung-Suk;Baek, Hyeon-Chan;Park, Min-Jun;Park, Jin-Ki
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.306-315
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    • 2021
  • This study analyzed the effects of light-shielding curtains and halogens on spectrum when acquiring hyperspectral images in a greenhouse. The image data of tarp (1.4*1.4 m, 12%) with 30 degrees of angles was achieved three times with four conditions depending on 14 heights using the automatic image acquisition system installed in the greenhouse at the department of Southern Area of National Institute of Crop Science. When the image was acquired without both a light-shielding curtain and halogen lamp, there was a difference in spectral tendencies between direct light and shadow parts on the base of 550 nm. The average coefficient of variation (CV) for direct light and shadow parts was 1.8% and 4.2%, respective. The average CV value was increased to 12.5% regardless of shadows. When the image was acquired only used a halogen lamp, the average CV of the direct light and shadow parts were 2 .6% and 10.6%, and the width of change on the spectrum was increased because the amount of halogen light was changed depending on the height. In the case of shading curtains only used, the average CV was 1.6%, and the distinction between direct light and shadows disappeared. When the image was acquired using a shading curtain and halogen lamp, the average CV was increased to 10.2% because the amount of halogen light differed depending on the height. When the average CV depending on the height was calculated using halogen and light-shielding curtains, it was 1.4% at 0.1m and 1.9% at 0.2 m, 2 .6% at 0.3m, and 3.3% at 0.4m of height, respectively. When hyperspectral imagery is acquired, it is necessary to use a shading curtain to minimize the effect of shadows. Moreover, in case of supplementary lighting by using a halogen lamp, it is judged to be effective when the size of the object is less than 0.2 m and the distance between the object and the housing is kept constant.

Evaluation of bias and uncertainty in snow depth reanalysis data over South Korea (한반도 적설심 재분석자료의 오차 및 불확실성 평가)

  • Jeon, Hyunho;Lee, Seulchan;Lee, Yangwon;Kim, Jinsoo;Choi, Minha
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.56 no.9
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    • pp.543-551
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    • 2023
  • Snow is an essential climate factor that affects the climate system and surface energy balance, and it also has a crucial role in water balance by providing solid water stored during the winter for spring runoff and groundwater recharge. In this study, statistical analysis of Local Data Assimilation and Prediction System (LDAPS), Modern.-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, version 2 (MERRA-2), and ERA5-Land snow depth data were used to evaluate the applicability in South Korea. The statistical analysis between the Automated Synoptic Observing System (ASOS) ground observation data provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and the reanalysis data showed that LDAPS and ERA5-Land were highly correlated with a correlation coefficient of more than 0.69, but LDAPS showed a large error with an RMSE of 0.79 m. In the case of MERRA-2, the correlation coefficient was lower at 0.17 because the constant value was estimated continuously for some periods, which did not adequately simulate the increase and decrease trend between data. The statistical analysis of LDAPS and ASOS showed high and low performance in the nearby Gangwon Province, where the average snowfall is relatively high, and in the southern region, where the average snowfall is low, respectively. Finally, the error variance between the four independent snow depth data used in this study was calculated through triple collocation (TC), and a merged snow depth data was produced through weighting factors. The reanalyzed data showed the highest error variance in the order of LDAPS, MERRA-2, and ERA5-Land, and LDAPS was given a lower weighting factor due to its higher error variance. In addition, the spatial distribution of ERA5-Land snow depth data showed less variability, so the TC-merged snow depth data showed a similar spatial distribution to MERRA-2, which has a low spatial resolution. Considering the correlation, error, and uncertainty of the data, the ERA5-Land data is suitable for snow-related analysis in South Korea. In addition, it is expected that LDAPS data, which is highly correlated with other data but tends to be overestimated, can be actively utilized for high-resolution representation of regional and climatic diversity if appropriate corrections are performed.