• Title/Summary/Keyword: 군집화 모형

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Statistical estimation of forest fire risk considering spatial autocorrelation (공간상관성을 고려한 산불발생위험의 통계적 추정)

  • Kwak, Han-Bin;Lee, Woo-Kyun;Lee, Si-Young;Won, Myoung-Soo;Koo, Kyo-Sang;Lee, Myung-Bo;Lee, Byung-Doo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association of Geographic Inforamtion Studies Conference
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    • 2010.09a
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    • pp.93-94
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구는 공간통계적 방법을 이용하여 산불발생의 위험도를 통계적으로 예측하고자 하였다. 연구 재료는 전국에서 발생한 1991년부터 2008년까지 산불발생 위치자료를 이용하였다. 점사상을 양적데이터로 전환하기 위해 전국을 공간격자로 구성하여 격자형 자료화 하여 사용하였다. 전국산불 발생위치를 산불발생위치들 간의 공간상관성을 고려하여 일반적인 통계모형에 공간통계적인 기법을 더하여 산불발생의 위치를 더욱 정확하게 추정하고자 하였다. 이를 위해 회귀모형과 공간모형의 혼합모형의 한 방법인 regression kriging 방법을 적용하였다. 그 결과 공간상관성을 고려한 공간통계적 방법은 산불발생의 공간적 군집을 더욱 정확하게 예측할 수 있었다.

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Characterization of Ecological Networks on Wetland Complexes by Dispersal Models (분산 모형에 따른 습지경관의 생태 네트워크 특성 분석)

  • Kim, Bin;Park, Jeryang
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.16-26
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    • 2019
  • Wetlands that provide diverse ecosystem services, such as habitat provision and hydrological control of flora and fauna, constitute ecosystems through interaction between wetlands existing in a wetlandscape. Therefore, to evaluate the wetland functions such as resilience, it is necessary to analyze the ecological connectivity that is formed between wetlands which also show hydrologically dynamic behaviors. In this study, by defining wetlands as ecological nodes, we generated ecological networks through the connection of wetlands according to the dispersal model of wetland species. The characteristics of these networks were then analyzed using various network metrics. In the case of the dispersal based on a threshold distance, while a high local clustering is observed compared to the exponential dispersal kernel and heavy-tailed dispersal model, it showed a low efficiency in the movement between wetlands. On the other hand, in the case of the stochastic dispersion model, a low local clustering with high efficiency in the movement was observed. Our results confirmed that the ecological network characteristics are completely different depending on which dispersal model is chosen, and one should be careful on selecting the appropriate model for identifying network properties which highly affect the interpretation of network structure and function.

A Development of Hydrological Model Calibration Technique Considering Seasonality via Regional Sensitivity Analysis (지역적 민감도 분석을 이용하여 계절성을 고려한 수문 모형 보정 기법 개발)

  • Lee, Ye-Rin;Yu, Jae-Ung;Kim, Kyungtak;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.43 no.3
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    • pp.337-352
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    • 2023
  • In general, Rainfall-Runoff model parameter set is optimized using the entire data to calculate unique parameter set. However, Korea has a large precipitation deviation according to the season, and it is expected to even worsen due to climate change. Therefore, the need for hydrological data considering seasonal characteristics. In this study, we conducted regional sensitivity analysis(RSA) using the conceptual Rainfall-Runoff model, GR4J aimed at the Soyanggang dam basin, and clustered combining the RSA results with hydrometeorological data using Self-Organizing map(SOM). In order to consider the climate characteristics in parameter estimation, the data was divided based on clustering, and a calibration approach of the Rainfall-Runoff model was developed by comparing the objective functions of the Global Optimization method. The performance of calibration was evaluated by statistical techniques. As a result, it was confirmed that the model performance during the Cold period(November~April) with a relatively low flow rate was improved. This is expected to improve the performance and predictability of the hydrological model for areas that have a large precipitation deviation such as Monsoon climate.

Development of Distributed Rainfall-Runoff Model Using Multi-Directional Flow Allocation and Real-Time Updating Algorithm (II) - Application - (다방향 흐름 분배와 실시간 보정 알고리듬을 이용한 분포형 강우-유출 모형 개발(II) - 적용 -)

  • Kim, Keuk-Soo;Han, Kun-Yeun;Kim, Gwang-Seob
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.3
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    • pp.259-270
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    • 2009
  • The applicability of the developed distributed rainfall runoff model using a multi-directional flow allocation algorithm and a real-time updating algorithm was evaluated. The rainfall runoff processes were simulated for the events of the Andong dam basin and the Namgang dam basin using raingauge network data and weather radar rainfall data, respectively. Model parameters of the basins were estimated using previous storm event then those parameters were applied to a current storm event. The physical propriety of the multi-directional flow allocation algorithm for flow routing was validated by presenting the result of flow grouping for the Andong dam basin. Results demonstrated that the developed model has efficiency of simulation time with maintaining accuracy by applying the multi-directional flow allocation algorithm and it can obtain more accurate results by applying the real-time updating algorithm. In this study, we demonstrated the applicability of a distributed rainfall runoff model for the advanced basin-wide flood management.

Regionalization using cluster probability model and copula based drought frequency analysis (클러스터 확률 모형에 의한 지역화와 코풀라에 의한 가뭄빈도분석)

  • Azam, Muhammad;Choi, Hyun Su;Kim, Hyeong San;Hwang, Ju Ha;Maeng, Seungjin
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.46-46
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    • 2017
  • 지역가뭄빈도분석의 분위산정에 대한 신뢰성은 수문학적으로 균일한 지역으로 구분하기 위해 사용된 장기간의 과거 자료와 분석절차에 의해 결정된다. 그러나 극심한 가뭄은 매우 드물게 발생하며 신뢰 할 수 있는 지역빈도분석을 위한 지속기간이 충분치 않는 경우가 많이 발생한다. 이 외에도 우리나라의 복잡한 지형적 및 기후적 특징은 동질한 지역으로 구분하기 위한 통계적인 처리방법이 필요하였다. 본 연구에서 적용한 지역빈도분석은 여러 지역의 다양한 변수인 수문기상 특성을 분석하여 동질한 지역을 확인하고, 주요 가뭄변수(지속 시간 및 심각도)를 통합 적용하여 각각의 동질한 지역 분위를 추정함으로써 동질한 지역을 구분하는 해결책을 제시하였다. 본 연구에서는 가우시안 혼합 모형(Gaussian Mixture Model)을 기반으로 기반 군집분석 방법을 적용하여 최적의 동질한 지역을 구분하고 그 결과를 우도비검정 및 다른 유효성 검사 지수를 이용해서 확인하였다. 가우시안 혼합 모델에서 산정했던 매개변수를 방향저감 공간으로 표현하기 위해서 가우시안 혼합 모델방향 저감(GMMDR)방법을 적용하였다. 이 변수는 가뭄빈도분석을 위해 다양한 분포와 코풀라(copula) 적합도를 이용하여 추정 비교하였다. 그 결과 우리나라를 4개의 동질한 지역으로 나누게 되었다. 가우시안과 Frank copula를 이용한 Pearson type III(PE3) 분포는 우리나라의 가뭄 기간과 심각도의 공동 분포를 추정하는데 적합한 것으로 나타났다.

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Simulation Analysis for Job Sequences in a Packaging Film Manufacturing Plant (포장용 필름 제조공장의 작업 우선순위 결정을 위한 시뮬레이션 분석)

  • LIU, JIONGKAI;Seo, Dong-Won
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2022
  • The packaging plastic manufacturing(blown film) industry has long developed in China, but most of them are small/medium-sized enterprises, and it is very rare to have appropriate operation plans suitable for their own business. The packaging plastic manufacturing industry(blown film) follows a typical Make-To-Order method, and the sequence of processing orders is very important. Waste of materials incurred by frequent conversions of production cannot be avoided, and generally, related costs incurred during conversion production are also different. Therefore, this study developed a job sequence determination model for improving operating profits using @RISK simulation software, compared and analyzed 3 actionable clustering treatment methods proposed by technical managers and field experts under the actual situation of the factory.

A Method of Extracting Features of Sensor-only Facilities for Autonomous Cooperative Driving

  • Hyung Lee;Chulwoo Park;Handong Lee;Sanyeon Won
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.28 no.12
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    • pp.191-199
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    • 2023
  • In this paper, we propose a method to extract the features of five sensor-only facilities built as infrastructure for autonomous cooperative driving, which are from point cloud data acquired by LiDAR. In the case of image acquisition sensors installed in autonomous vehicles, the acquisition data is inconsistent due to the climatic environment and camera characteristics, so LiDAR sensor was applied to replace them. In addition, high-intensity reflectors were designed and attached to each facility to make it easier to distinguish it from other existing facilities with LiDAR. From the five sensor-only facilities developed and the point cloud data acquired by the data acquisition system, feature points were extracted based on the average reflective intensity of the high-intensity reflective paper attached to the facility, clustered by the DBSCAN method, and changed to two-dimensional coordinates by a projection method. The features of the facility at each distance consist of three-dimensional point coordinates, two-dimensional projected coordinates, and reflection intensity, and will be used as training data for a model for facility recognition to be developed in the future.

Customer Segmentation Model for Internet Banking using Self-organizing Neural Networks and Hierarchical Gustering Method (자기조직화 신경망과 계층적 군집화 기법(SONN-HC)을 이용한 인터넷 뱅킹의 고객세분화 모형구축)

  • Shin, Taek-Soo;Hong, Tae-Ho
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.49-65
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    • 2006
  • This study proposes a model for customer segmentation using the psychological characteristics of Internet banking customers. The model was developed through two phased clustering method, called SONN-HC by integrating self-organizing neural networks (SONN) and hierarchical clustering (HC) method. We applied the SONN-HC method to internet banking customer segmentation and performed an empirical analysis with 845 cases. The results of our empirical analysis show the psychological characteristics of Internet banking customers have significant differences among four clusters of the customers created by SONN-HC. From these results, we found that the psychological characteristics of Internet banking customers had an important role of planning a strategy for customer segmentation in a financial institution.

Dynamic Web Recommendation Method Using Hybrid SOM (하이브리드 SOM을 이용한 동적 웹 정보 추천 기법)

  • Yoon, Kyung-Bae;Park, Chang-Hee
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartB
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    • v.11B no.4
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    • pp.471-476
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    • 2004
  • Recently, provides information which is most necessary to the user the research against the web information recommendation system for the Internet shopping mall is actively being advanced. the back which it will drive in the object. In that Dynamic Web Recommendation Method Using SOM (Self-Organizing Feature Maps) has the advantages of speedy execution and simplicity but has the weak points such as the lack of explanation on models and fired weight values for each node of the output layer on the established model. The method proposed in this study solves the lack of explanation using the Bayesian reasoning method. It does not give fixed weight values for each node of the output layer. Instead, the distribution includes weight using Hybrid SOM. This study designs and implements Dynamic Web Recommendation Method Using Hybrid SOM. The result of the existing Web Information recommendation methods has proved that this study's method is an excellent solution.

Optimal Criterion of Classification Accuracy Measures for Normal Mixture (정규혼합에서 분류정확도 측도들의 최적기준)

  • Yoo, Hyun-Sang;Hong, Chong-Sun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.343-355
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    • 2011
  • For a data with the assumption of the mixture distribution, it is important to find an appropriate threshold and evaluate its performance. The relationship is found of well-known nine classification accuracy measures such as MVD, Youden's index, the closest-to-(0, 1) criterion, the amended closest-to-(0, 1) criterion, SSS, symmetry point, accuracy area, TA, TR. Then some conditions of these measures are categorized into seven groups. Under the normal mixture assumption, we calculate thresholds based on these measures and obtain the corresponding type I and II errors. We could explore that which classification measure has minimum type I and II errors for estimated mixture distribution to understand the strength and weakness of these classification measures.