• Title/Summary/Keyword: 국제수지

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해외여건변화(海外與件變化)와 우리나라 국제수지(國際收支)

  • Park, Won-Am
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.25-58
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    • 1987
  • 본(本) 연구(硏究)는 해외여건 변화에 따른 우리나라 국제수지조정과정(國際收支調整過程)의 특징을 밝히며 아울러 이미 발표된 분기모형(分期模型) 추정기간(推定期間)을 1985년 제4분기까지 연장해 재추정한 결과를 보고하고 이를 이용해 해외여건 변화의 효과를 분석하고자 함에 그 목적이 있다. 국제수지(國際收支)의 변동(變動)을 요인별로 분화(分化)하여 보면 제1,2차 오일 쇼크 초기의 경상수지 악화는 유가급등(油價急騰)에 의한 교역조건 악화에 그 주인(主因)이 있다. 이후 경상수지 적자는 서로 다른 과정을 밟아 줄어들게 되는데 1976~77년의 경우 수출촉진(輸出促進)으로, 1981~82년의 경우 총수요조정(總需要調整)으로 국제수지 개선을 도모하였다. 이와 같이 양기간중 상이한 방법으로 적응한 것은 양기간중 해외여건이 서로 달랐기 때문이며 이 점에서 우리나라 국제수지의 조정도 여타 수출지향적(輸出指向的) 성장국(成長國)과 유사한 과정을 밟았다. 분기계량모형(分期計量模型)을 이용하면 제2차 오일 쇼크 기간에는 제1차 오일 쇼크 기간에 비해 유가(油價)가 상대적으로 덜 상승하였으나 해외수요(海外需要) 부진(不振), 달러강세(强勢) 및 고금리(高金利)로 해외여건은 전반적으로 우리 경제에 보다 불리하게 작용하였다. 1986년중 경상수지 흑자는 대부분 해외여건의 호전으로 설명되고 있다.

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해운이슈 - 해운강국 신(新)성장전략, 해운산업의 현황과 육성과제 - 현대경제연구원, 해운업 신성장동력 확보방안 제안 -

  • 한국선주협회
    • 해운
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    • no.2 s.36
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    • pp.11-20
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    • 2007
  • 해운산업은 국민소득증대, 국제수지개선, 고용증가, 국제교역촉진 그리고 관련 산업의 성장 등을 가져옴으로써 국가경제발전에 큰 공헌을 하고 있다. 특히 한국경제와 관련해서 해운산업은 국제수지를 개선하는 데 있어서 큰 몫을 하고 있다. 다음은 현대경제연구원이 최근 펴낸 보고서 '해운강국 신성장전략'을 요약하여 정리한 것이다.

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The Roles of the Exchange Rate and Labor Skill Composition on Vietnam's Trade Balance Vis-à-Vis Main Trading Partners (베트남 무역수지에서 환율 및 노동숙련도 간의 상관관계분석: 주요 무역 상대국 중심으로)

  • Tan, Yan;Uprasen, Utai
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.85-119
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    • 2018
  • This paper investigates the effects of exchange rate and labor skill composition on Vietnam's trade balance with her twenty main trading partners. Using balanced panel data from 2000 to 2016, the authors analyze Vietnam's total trade balance and the trade balance which is disaggregated based on labor skill sophistication. Three main findings are presented. Firstly, exchange rate has a positive effect on Vietnam's trade balance, but the small value of estimated coefficient indicates that its effect is limited. Secondly, Vietnam's trade balance of the high labor-skill produced and medium-skill white collar labor-produced goods is worsened when VND (Vietnamese Dong) depreciates. Thirdly, moving up the labor skill ladder and promoting the none-price competitiveness of the high labor-skill produced and medium-skilled white collar labor-produced goods can improve Vietnam's total trade balance, while promoting the low-skill labor-produced and medium-skill blue collar-labor produced goods can no longer contribute to Vietnam's total trade balance.

The Effect of the Korean Won Exchange Rates on the Korean Service Trade Balance (원화환율의 변화가 국내 서비스무역수지에 미치는 영향)

  • Son, Il tae
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.298-324
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this paper is to examine the effect of the Korean won exchange rates on the Korean service trade balance. Empirical investigation shows that the USD/KRW and JPY/KRW exchange rates have main effects on the Korean service trade balance. Service balance credit and debit(receipts and payments) are negatively related with the USD/KRW and positively related with the JPY/KRW exchange rate. The depreciation of the USD/KRW and JPY/KRW exchange rates leads to the improvement of the service trade balance. Transportation balance is affected by the USD/KRW, JPY/KRW, and CNY/KRW exchange rates, travel balance by the USD/KRW exchange rate, and other business sevice balance by the USD/KRW and JPY/KRW exchange rates.

International Linkage of CO2 Emissions from Fossil Fuels as Embodied in Foreign Trade and Effects of Economic Policy Measure (국제무역에 함유된 지구온난화 가스 배출의 국제연관구조와 경제적 유인정책의 효과)

  • Chung, Hyun-Sik
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.621-655
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    • 2004
  • Emission Trading (ET) among Annex I countries as expounded in Kyoto mechanism can be an effective mean to control Greenhouse Gases(GHGs), particularly $CO_2$ emissions from fossil fuels. For the international ET to be an effective tool to reduce the global emissions, however, it presupposes that there are no carbon leakage, i.e. Annex I emitters will purchase emission permits if emitting above caps, rather than importing emission-intensive goods from non-Annex I countries thus inducing the foreigners to emit instead. The extent to which a country leaks carbon through trade can be revealed by its bilateral balance of current accounts and related Balance of Emissions Embodied in Trade (BEET) supplemented by Emission Terms of Trade (ETT). Earlier studies on BEET and ETT relied on few selected countries in a partial equilibrium context, Korea being treated as insignificant though she is not a minor emitter. This paper is an attempt to examine BEET in the global CGE framework and to compare its structural difference across countries, with a special emphasis on South Korea.

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Industrial Effects of Tariff Removal between Korea and Japan (한·일 양국간 산업별 관세철폐 효과)

  • Lee, Hong Bae;OH, Dong Yoon
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.41-65
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    • 2009
  • This study based on international input-output model shows various static analyses of the effects by estimating the intermediary goods' trade volume that affects the industrial production. When concluding tariff removal between Korea and Japan, as intermediary goods import increases, Korea's trade balance deficit with Japan is expected to grow more than before. However, Korea's increase in export to the world is the largest benefit Korea can earn from tariff removal between the two countries.

A Comparative Study of the Competitiveness of Korea and China's ICT Products : In ASEAN Big 6 Countries (한국과 중국의 ICT 제품 국제경쟁력 비교 연구 - ASEAN Big 6 국가에서 -)

  • Cho, Intaik
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.107-127
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    • 2017
  • This paper aims to analyze comparing the international competitiveness of Korea and China of ICT 10 goods in ASEAN Big 6 countries.(Malaysia, Indonesia, Vietnam, Singapore, Thailand, Philippines). In this study, we investigate major trends in Korea's ICT goods through various data analysis and evaluate. From 2009 to 2016, As analyzed by ESI, CTB, and EMS, This paper showed Korea has increased its export, EMS and Export Competitiveness to ASEAN. However, due to rapid imports, the trade balance deteriorated and ESI decreased. China showed signs of improvement in international competitiveness, although exports, ESI and EMS were declining. Compared to South Korea, China has seen less export bias to ASEAN. ASEAN is becoming an increasingly important trade partner in Korea's ICT exporting. This paper points out several policy implications drawn from its analyses and findings.

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