• Title/Summary/Keyword: 교역규모

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The Effect of Socioeconomic Factors on Virtual Water Trade (사회경제적 요인이 가상수 교역에 미치는 영향)

  • Park, Sung je;Ryu, Si Saeng;Yoon, Jong-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.579-579
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    • 2016
  • 물이 상품에 내재되어 국가간 이동을 한다는 가상수 개념은 기후변화로 인해 물부족 현상이 심화되면서 세계 각국의 관심을 얻고 있다. 향후 물부족 현상 및 가상수 이동과 관련해 국제적인 물거래에 대한 전세계적 차원의 조치가 있을 가능성이 예상되면서 가상수의 국제적인 이동 추이에 대한 연구가 이루어지고 있다. 그럼에도 불구하고 가상수 교역에 영향을 미치는 요인이 무엇인지에 대한 연구는 아직 미비하다. 따라서 본 연구는 가상수 이동에 영향을 미치는 요인을 사회경제적 요인을 중심으로 탐색한다. 사회경제적요인으로서 국가의 경제위기 경험 유무, 경제규모, 생활수준, 경제성장속도, 그리고 수자원 정책기조를 선정하고, 이러한 요인들이 전세계국가 및 한국의 가상수 교역량 변화에 어느 정도나 영향을 미치는 지를 분석했다. 가상수 교역량에 대한 자료는 UNESCO, UN, FAO의 자료를 토대로 데이터셋을 구축해 활용했다. 총 10개 농축산 품목을 대상으로 산정한 가상수 교역량에 대해 1989년부터 2013년까지 총 24년간의 자료를 분석했다. 분석 결과 아시아 외환위기, 미국발 경제위기 등 세계적 수준의 경제위기는 전반적으로 가상수 교역추이에 큰 영향을 미치지는 않았으나, 미국발 경제위기는 가상수 교역흐름 완화와 일정 정도 관련성을 보였다는 사실을 알 수 있었다. 경제규모와 가상수 교역량은 전반적으로 높은 상관관계를 보였으며, 한국의 경우에는 경제규모 및 생활수준 모두 가상수 교역량과 높은 상관관계를 보였다. 반면 경제성장속도는 가상수 교역량과 큰 상관관계를 보이지 않았다. 시간적으로 보았을 때 한국의 경우 생활수준은 2007년도 이후에 가상수 교역량과 매우 큰 상관관계를 보였다. 경제적 요인, 특히 경제규모가 가상수 교역량과 높은 관계를 보이는 것은 경제력이 상승하면서 생활습관이 변화해 육류소비가 많은 것과도 관련이 있는 것으로 분석되었다. 사회적 요인과 관련해 분석한 수자원 정책의 기조변화는 가상수 교역량 변화에 영향을 미치지 않는 것으로 나타났다.

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Empirical Analysis on Trade Pattern of Korean Motor Industry and Effect of Free Trade Agreement through Panel Gravity Model (패널중력모형을 통한 한국 자동차산업의 교역패턴과 자유무역협정의 영향 분석)

  • Kim, Seog-Min;Jun, Eui-Cheon
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.251-272
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    • 2010
  • This study was done through Panel Gravity Model to analyze the trade pattern of Korean motor industry and empirical analysis was also performed on the effect of regional economies joining to the Korean trade is to draw out some implications. Compared with per capita pattern regarding the income levels of both the countries, the results indicated that trade of Korean motor industry followed GDP pattern in accordance with the overall market. The results of effect on regional economic integration to Korean motor industry reflected 179% and 198% increase in motor trade industry and motor parts trade, respectively. To expand the trade of Korean motor industry at the international competitiveness level, focus should be made on smaller, smarter and greener car with lesser impact on the environment. Hence, the present investigation suggested that government should not delay in retaining the core technology as well as private sector should also aggressively invest in the market.

A Study on the Analysis of Container Distribution channel between Korean Western Ports & Chinese North Ports (북중국 주요항만과 서해안 항만간의 교역 컨테이너 유통경로 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Sam-Hyun
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.161-188
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze traffic volume between the Korean container ports located at the west coast and northern Chinese ports and then the distribution trend of container between Korea and China. The findings of the study are as follows. First, Container traffic between western Korean ports and northern Chinese ports has been increasing due to an increasing trade volume between both countries and geographical accessibility. Second, Seoul and neighboring area tend to use the trade route between the western ports and northern Chinese because of lower logistics costs and time-saved advantage compared to another ports. Third, the growth of the western ports did depend mainly on the northern China oriented growth. Such a fact could leads to the overlapping investment in port development in Korea and another intense competition among national ports to attract cargoes and liners. Therefore, port development policy considering the characteristics and function of national ports have to be established. and also alternatives and strategies for improving the competitive edge of small and medium sized shipping lines against the opening of shipping market have to be worked out.

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Analysis of Structure in the Domestic Supply & Demand of the Raw Materials of Rare Metals (국내 희유금속 수급구조 분석 연구)

  • Kim, Yu Jeong;Lee, Hwa Suk
    • Resources Recycling
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.51-60
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    • 2014
  • In this study, the domestic supply & demand of the raw materials of 35 rare metals was analyzed categorized as four types - ores, metals, compounds and scraps. Foreign trade volumes of the raw materials of rare metals have been steadily increased, furthermore, recently trade growth rate highly exceeds GDP. The raw materials of rare metals - silicon, nickel, molybdenum, manganese, etc. - for steel industry were the most big part of the raw materials of rare metals trade, while the raw materials of rare metals for electronics industry were imported relatively small volumes less than $100 million. However systematic supply & demand management on the raw materials of rare metals for electronics industry is needed since recently growth rate per year has been remarkably high over 20%. Import volumes were about three times bigger than export scale, and most of the raw materials of rare metals were traded as a metal form.

Influencing Factors on the Duration of Offset Agreement (절충교역 계약 소요기간 영향요인)

  • Hong, Seok-Soo;Joung, Tae-Yun;Seo, Jae-Hyun;Hong, Moon-Hee
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2012
  • Republic of Korea has been applying offset to defense acquisition program for some benefits such as modernization of defense industry and enhancement of R&D capabilities since 1983. But in point of implementation, there is the possibility of delay of offset agreements based on the value of proposed technologies. As it often happens that the delay of offset agreement negatively affects the time schedule of main defense deal, it is necessary to prepare for this issue. The purpose of this study is to extract some factors affecting the duration of offset agreement by statistical analysis. Reviewing existing papers and contract process, nationality of enterprise, the number of project participants, properties of project, the number of technologies in the first proposal, level of domestic defense technology in each weapons system, the amount of main contract were used as independent variable and duration of agreement as dependent variable. To hypothesis testing, correlation and multiple regression analysis were conducted using the previous 25 contract cases. As a result of correlation analysis, the amount of main contract, the number of technologies in the first proposal and properties of project have positive relationships with dependent variable. In multiple regression, the amount of main contract and the number of project participants have significant effect on the duration of offset agreement.

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Intra-European Trade Flow and Trade Structure (유럽연합 확대와 역내 교역흐름 및 교역구조 변화)

  • Moon, Nam-Cheol
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.406-420
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    • 2009
  • European economic integration and geographical enlargement brought change in the intra-european trade flow and a trade structure. The first, an european enlargement contributes to the increase in intra-european trade, but its effect relatively becomes smaller successive enlargement. The second, the intra-industry trade increases in the intra-european trade according as an european economic integration and enlargement make possible the economy of scale. In the intra-industry trade, the horizontal intra-industry trade decreases and the vertical intra-industry trade increases. The third, the Western Europe's trade is generally an intra-industry trade, the trade of Southern Europe, Central and Eastern Europe is an inter-industry trade. But the South Europe's trade and Central and Eastern Europe's trade change from the inter-industry trade to the intra-industry trade.

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Estimating Interregional Trade Coefficient of Service Industry using the Gravity Model (중력모형을 이용한 서비스업의 지역간 교역계수 추정)

  • Yun, Kap-Sik;Kim, Jae-Koo
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.457-469
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    • 2010
  • The study aims to estimate interregional trade coefficient of service industry using the gravity model. The gravity model has been widely used for prediction of the level of human interaction between two regions which is positively related to attraction of them and negatively related to the distance between them. To apply the gravity model for explaining the interregional trade flow of service industry, the choice of proper proxy variables which represent a dependent variable and independent variables is most important. However, the literature shows that there are few studies on this issue. Four models concerned to the choice of proxy variables are considered. Finally, this paper employs the least-squares regression analysis to test the model's goodness-of-fit, and suggests the most appropriate model based on the result from the analysis. The result shows that the interregional trade of service industry in regional input-output table developed by The Bank of Korea is desirable as a dependent variable, the service industry output of export region, the population of import region, and the spatial distance between regions are desirable as independent variables.

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Analysis of Changes in Trade Structure of the Raw Materials of Rare Metals in Korea (국내 희유금속 원재료 교역구조 변화 분석 연구)

  • Hwa Suk Lee;Yu Jeong Kim
    • Resources Recycling
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.67-78
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    • 2023
  • The rare metals used as raw materials in high-tech industries undergo changes in demand structures and supply chains following domestic industrial structural shifts and technological advancements, exhibiting high price volatility. Therefore, it is necessary to periodically analyze changes in the demand structures of rare metals. Since domestic demand for most rare metals relies on imports in Korea, the changes in domestic demand for rare metals can be identified by analyzing changes in their trade structure. In the present study, we analyze the changes in trade volume, trade growth rate, trade rankings, and trading countries from 2000 to 2022 for 35 rare metals, categorized into five types-ores, metals, alloys, compounds, and scrap. The trade of the raw materials of rare metals in Korea has generally increased since the 2000s, except for a significant decline in 2009 and 2016. The total trade volume, encompassing both exports and imports, has increased by approximately tenfold in 2022 compared to 2001. Until the mid-2010s, the trade of the raw materials of rare metals was primarily focused on those used in steel-manufacturing such as silicon, nickel, chrome, molybdenum, manganese, and others. However, after that period, there has been an increase in the trade of platinum group metals like palladium, rhodium, platinum, and the raw materials of rare metals for secondary battery-manufacturing such as lithium and cobalt. Particularly in 2022, lithium has become the largest share in trade of the raw materials of rare metals in Korea, due to the price surge and increase in demand.

Trade Change Analysis by Commodities for Korea-China Rail Ferry System Demand Prediction (한중 열차페리 수송수요 예측을 위한 품목별 수출입 변화분석)

  • Shin, Seung-jin;Roh, Hong-seung;Hur, Sung-ho
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.41-56
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    • 2016
  • China is pushing a policy called China's Western Development in order to balance the continent's development level. They are connecting the rich natural resources of the mid-western areas and the capital of the eastern coastal areas of China. Since Korea depends on China the most for trade, it is necessary for Korea to always consider the trade scale and pattern changes of China. Response to changes in the transport and logistics system between the two countries is also demanded. This study aims to analyze the import and export trends between Korean and Chinese provinces of each item from the trade scale point of view. China's global trade routes reorganization and China's western development are considered and the corresponding direction is presented accordingly. The study also suggests strategies to expand the import and export scale with China based on the analysis.

Increasing Returns and Pollution Haven Activities (수확체증 하에서의 오염처리비용회피활동에 관한 연구)

  • Hwang, Seok-Joon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.177-200
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    • 2006
  • The demand for the study about the pollution haven activities under increasing return to scale is increasing since the trade theory under increasing return to scale has been developed. In this paper, based on Davis (1998)'s argument about home market effect, pollution haven activities under increasing return to scale is developed. The result shows that pollution haven effect can be identified with the high trade barriers. When the trade barriers are lowered, both pollution haven effect of heavy polluted industries and migration of low polluted industries are mixed together. Even the behavior under pollution haven hypothesis and that of pollution haven effects are co-existed. Therefore, to keep both environmental protection and continuous economic development, the local government of the region with high environment preservation value encourages the productivity increase of the environmental technique.

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