• Title/Summary/Keyword: 교란변수

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Estimating Average Causal Effect in Latent Class Analysis (잠재범주분석을 이용한 원인적 영향력 추론에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Gayoung;Chung, Hwan
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.27 no.7
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    • pp.1077-1095
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    • 2014
  • Unlike randomized trial, statistical strategies for inferring the unbiased causal relationship are required in the observational studies. Recently, new methods for the causal inference in the observational studies have been proposed such as the matching with the propensity score or the inverse probability treatment weighting. They have focused on how to control the confounders and how to evaluate the effect of the treatment on the result variable. However, these conventional methods are valid only when the treatment variable is categorical and both of the treatment and the result variables are directly observable. Research on the causal inference can be challenging in part because it may not be possible to directly observe the treatment and/or the result variable. To address this difficulty, we propose a method for estimating the average causal effect when both of the treatment and the result variables are latent. The latent class analysis has been applied to calculate the propensity score for the latent treatment variable in order to estimate the causal effect on the latent result variable. In this work, we investigate the causal effect of adolescents delinquency on their substance use using data from the 'National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent Health'.

Dynamic Effects Analysis on a Solar Array Due to Attitude Control Thruster Plume (자세제어 추력기 배기가스에 의한 태양전지판의 동적 영향 분석)

  • Chae, Jongwon;Han, Cho Young;Jun, Hyoung Yoll
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.43 no.9
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    • pp.799-804
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study is to analyse the dynamic disturbances(disturbed forces and disturbed torques) due to attitude control thruster's plume impingement on the solar arrays. To produce database of the dynamic disturbances a sweep analysis was done, in which the two parameters are used; the distance between the thruster and solar arrays and the thruster tilt angle. Based on the database, a third order polynomial approximation is computed to represent the characteristics of the disturbed forces and torques. The final results are the coefficients of the approximation for each solar array angle position. These results as input data are used to optimize the configuration of the attitude control thrusters. This analysis is appled to the two candidate solar arrays for Geo-Kompsat-2 satellite and the results of the disturbed forces and disturbed torques are compared and analysed.

Disturbance Effects on the Stiffness of Normally Consolidated Clay (정규압밀 점성토의 교란에 따른 강성 변화)

  • Park, Hae-Yong;Shin, Hyun-Young;Oh, Myoung-Hak;Cho, Wan-Jei
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.27 no.7
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    • pp.69-79
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    • 2011
  • Laboratory tests are generally used to determine the input parameters for the selected constitutive models controlling various stress and drainage conditions, but have disadvantages in that the tests are performed on the samples obtained from the bore hole which are prone to be disturbed by various factors such as the tube penetrations, sample preparations and storage. To overcome these disadvantages, it is necessary to understand the effect of disturbance on the stiffness of the sample, especially the normally consolidated clays which are generally considered as soft clays. Therefore, in this study triaxial tests are performed on the normally consolidated kaolinite to evaluate the sample disturbance effects on the stiffness and to determine the field representative input parameters. The stress path results show that the shear and coupling modulus degradation patterns with strain are affected seriously by the disturbance. However, the strengths of the normally consolidated kaolinite are little influenced by the disturbance.

Numerical Study on a Reaction Wheel and Wheel-Disturbance Modeling (반작용휠 및 휠 교란 모델링에 관한 해석적 연구)

  • Kim, Dae-Kwan;Oh, Shi-Hwan;Yong, Ki-Lyuk;Yang, Koon-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.38 no.7
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    • pp.702-708
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    • 2010
  • Reaction wheel assemblies(RWA) are expected to be one of the largest high frequency disturbance sources to the optical payload of satellites. To ensure the tight pointing-stability budget and high image quality of satellites, a vibration isolation device should be applied to the main disturbances. For developing the isolating system, the disturbances need to be identified and modeled accurately. In the present study, a modeling technique of RWA and its disturbance was described. The micro-vibration disturbances were generated numerically by using an analytical wheel and disturbance model. The parameter estimation scheme of the model was suggested, and the RWA and disturbance modeling technique was verified through the numerical example analysis. The analytical results show that the wheel and disturbance model can be accurately established by using the modeling technique proposed in the present study. The wheel and disturbance model is expected to be useful for development of the RWA isolator system.

A Parallel Kalman Filter for Estimation of Magnetic Disturbance and Orientation Based on Nine-axis Inertial/Magnetic Sensor Signals (9축 관성/자기센서를 이용한 자기교란 및 자세 추정용 병렬 칼만필터)

  • Lee, Jung Keun
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.40 no.7
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    • pp.659-666
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    • 2016
  • Magnetic disturbance is one of the main factors that deteriorate the accuracy of orientation estimation methods based on inertial/magnetic sensor signals. This paper proposes a parallel Kalman filter(KF) that explicitly detects magnetic disturbances and thus can accurately estimate 3D orientation in magnetically disturbed environments. Due to the parallel nature of the proposed KF, even severe magnetic disturbances only affect yaw estimation, while roll and pitch values remain accurate. Consequently, the proposed KF can be effectively used in various applications that involve magnetically inhomogeneous environments, such as robots, ships, and planes.

Vibration Control of a Robot Manipulator with a Parallel Drive Mechanism (평행구동방식 로봇 조작기의 진동제어)

  • 최승철;하영균;박영필
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.2015-2025
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    • 1991
  • A long and light-weight forearm of the vertical 2 DOF robot manipulator with a heavy payload driven by parallel drive mechanism is modelled as a Euler-Bernoulli beam with a tip mass subjected to a high speed rotation. Governing equation is obtained by Hamilton's principle and represented as state variable form using the perturbed variables which describe the perturbed errors at the manipulator's final configuration. Digitial optimal control and observer theory are used to suppress the forearm vibration and control the positions of the joint angles with measured/estimated state feedback. Computer simulations and experimental results are obtained and compared each other.

Dynamic analysis of magnetic head slider at ultra low clearance (마그네틱 헤드 슬라이더의 극소 공기막에 대한 동특성 해석)

  • 장인배;한동철
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.1487-1494
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    • 1990
  • In this paper the dynamic characteristics of self acting air lubricated slider bearing of hard disk/head system are investigated. The dynamic equations of magnetic head mechanism considering both parallel and pitch motion and the time dependent modified Reynolds equation are analyzed and the dynamic pressure distribution of air film is numerically calculated in frequency domain by small perturbation method and finite difference scheme with variable grid. The dynamic response of the slider spacing is obtained accordingly as the moving recording surface vibrates in parallel mode.

Comparison of Control Methods for Estimation Bias in Unmatched Analysis of Matched Data (짝을 이룬 자료분석시 야기되는 Estimation Bias의 Control Methods)

  • Yoo, Keun-Young
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.23 no.3 s.31
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    • pp.247-254
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    • 1990
  • 짝짓기 방법은 교란변수를 통제하기 가장 좋은 방법으로 알려져 있으나, 모수추정시 그 계산방법이 복잡하고, 포함된 모든 정보를 이용할 수 없다는 단점을 갖고 있다. 그럼에도 불구하고, conditional 모델을 이용한 matched 분석법은 짝지은 자료 분석시 가장 좋은 방법으로 인정되고 있다. 그러나 명확한 confounding 현상을 통제할 목적이 아닌 상태에서 짝지워진 자료를 matched 분석법으로 모수추정하는 경우나, 올바로 짝지워진 자료를 분석법의 편이성 때문에 unmatched 분석을 시도하는 경우, 오히려 estimation bias가 야기될 수 있다. 이러한 estimation bias의 통제능력을 몇 가지 분석방법을 이용하여 비교하고자, 1:2로 대응된 한 환자-대조군 자료를 이용하여 Mantel-Haenszel 분석법, 두가지의 unconditional model을 이용한 다변량분석법의 결과를 conditional model을 이용한 matched 분석법의 결과와 비교하였다. 1. Matched 분석법의 대용방법으로 사용된 세 가지 방법들은 모수추정면에서나 가설검정능력면에서 차이를 서로 보이지 않았다. 2. 짝짓기에 사용된 변수가 분석자료내에서 confounder나 effect modifier로 작용되지 않았음이 명백한 경우에는 이들 세 가지 통제 방법과 matched 분석법간에 차이가 없었다. 3. 짝짓기에 사용된 변수가 분석자료내에서 effect modifier로 작용하지는 않았으나, Confounder로 작용한 것으로 추정되는 경우, unmatched 분석법으로 인해 야기된 estimation bias의 통제능력이 이들 세 가지 대용방안 모두에서 인정되었다. 4. 짝짓기에 사용된 변수가 분석자료내에서 effect modifier로 작용하고 있음을 직접 확인할 수 있는 경우에는, overmatching에 의한 estimation bias를 의심할 수 있었으며, 이들 세 가지 통제방법은 오히려 unmatched 분석 방법에 가까운 모수를 추정하였다.

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Stability Analysis of Wakes with Chemical Reaction (연소 반응을 가지는 후류 유동의 불안정성)

  • 신동신;홍성제
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers Conference
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    • 1998.04a
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    • pp.17-17
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    • 1998
  • 연소반응을 가지는 후류(wake)는 가스터빈 연소실의 flame holder 등에서 발생한다. 후류유동의 안정성 혹은 불안정성은 이러한 유동에 있어서 많은 영향을 끼치므로 상당히 중요하다. 본 연구는 위와 같이 연소 반응에 의한 밀도구배를 가지는 후류유동에 대하여 불안정성 해석을 수행하였다. 교란에 대한 지배방정식은 Navier-Stokes 방정식에서 점성항을 제외한 Euler 방정식을 고려하였다. 충류유동의 압력은 일정하다고 가정하였다. 교란 방정식을 유도하기 위하여 충류 유동이 평행하여 유동 방향에 수직한 방향의 구배만이 존재한다고 가정하였다. 모든 변수들은 충류 유동의 값과 움직이는 파장의 형태를 가지는 작은 교란의 합으로 생각하여 압력에 대한 교란방정식을 구하며, shooting법과 Newton-Raphson법에 근거를 두는 반복법을 사용하여 풀었다. 불안정성 해석을 수행하는 기본 유동의 속도장 및 온도장은 불안정성 해석을 수행하는 기본 유동의 속도장 및 온도장은 비압축성의 경우 우선 Gaussian Profile 가정함과 동시에 연소반응을 포함하는 유동장을 보다 정확히 구하기 위하여 Navier-Stokes 방정식으로부터 구한 결과를 사용하였다. 연소반응을 포함하는 유동장을 구할 때에는 해석상 편의를 위해 예혼합물질은 이상기체로, 화학반응은 1단계의 비가역반응으로 가정하였으며, 반응열로 인한 부력의 효과는 무시하였다. 위와 같은 유동장을 가지고 불안정성 해석을 수행한 결과 후류유동은 두 개의 변곡점을 가지며 sinuous 모드와 varicose모드의 두 개의 불안정성 모드가 있음을 보였다. 밀도 변화가 있는 경우나 밀도 변화가 없는 경우 모두 sinuous 모드의 가장 불안정한 모드가 varicose 모드의 가장 불안정한 모드보다 더 불안정함을 보여주어 후류 유동은 자유 유동에 가까운 위상 속도를 가지는 sinuous 모드에 의해 지배될 것임을 예측할 수 있다. 연소반응이 완전연소에 가까울수록 그리고 압축성 효과가 클수록 유동내부의 온도가 증가하고 점성 또한 증가하여 후류유동은 안정됨을 알 수 있었다 유동변수들의 contour로부터 유동의 특성을 예측한 결과 baroclinic 항이 dilatational 항보다 상대적으로 크며, 중심선 상하에 생기는 vortex를 더욱 성장시킬 것으로 생각된다.

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The Association between cardiovascular disease and Periodontal Disease on Convergence Study in Adults over Age 40. (40세이상 성인의 심혈관질환과 치주질환 관련성에 관한 융합적 연구)

  • Lee, Yeon-Kyoung;Kim, Min-A
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.65-71
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the relationship between cardiovascular disease and periodontal disease. The subjects were 3,149 adults over 40 years of age using the third year National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (2015). Data were analyzed using the SPSS 22.0 program. As a result, the relationship between cardiovascular disease and periodontal disease was 1.27 times higher in obesity group compared to normal group, when adjusted for disturbance variables (age, smoking status, drinking status, income) In hypertensive patients, the hypertension group had a 1.32-fold higher risk of periodontal disease when the disturbance variables (age, smoking status, drinking status, income) were adjusted compared to those without hypertension. Therefore, cardiovascular disease is associated with periodontal disease, and it can be used as a good basis for educational and preventive measures to reduce or prevent the incidence of cardiovascular disease and periodontal disease in the future.