• Title/Summary/Keyword: 공변량 자기회귀누적이동평균 모형

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A study on prediction for attendances of Korean probaseball games using covariates (공변량을 이용한 한국프로야구 관중 수 예측에 대한 고찰)

  • Han, Ga-Hee;Chung, Jigyu;Yoo, Jae Keun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.1481-1489
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    • 2014
  • For predicting yearly total attendances in Korean probaseball games, ARIMA models have been widely adopted so far. In this paper, we discuss two other ways of ARIMAX and growth curves with an exogenous variable to predict the attendances. By using the exogenous variable, it turns out that the prediction has been improved compared to ARIMA. It is concluded that various statistical methods must be considered for better prediction, and its results can be applied to predict the attendances of other pro sports.