• Title/Summary/Keyword: 공간시차모형

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주택가격(住宅價格)에 내재(內在)된 대기질(大氣質)의 가격측정(價格測定) - 공간계량경제모형(空間計量經濟模型)을 이용한 접근(接近) -

  • Kim, Jong-Won
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.61-84
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    • 1997
  • 본 연구는 기존의 특성가격기법(特性價格技法)(hedonic price technique)에 공간(空間)개념을 도입한 계량경제모형을 이용하여 분석하였다. 이 공간시차모형은 기존의 모형과 달리 특성변수의 변화에 따른 직(直) 간접효과(間接效果)를 동시에 포착할 수 있는 장점을 가지고 있다. 또한 공간시차모형의 회귀진단 및 가설검정 결과는 공간시차모형이 적합한 것으로 나타났다. 이 경우 공간시차를 고려하지 않은 OLS 회귀분석 결과의 계수들은 편기추정(biased)된 동시에 효율적(efficiency)이지 못하다는 것이다. 회귀분석 결과는 주택에 자본화된 대기오염에 대한 잠재가격(潛在價格)(marginal implicit price)은 주택평균가격의 약 1.5% 정도인 것으로 추정된다.

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Prediction of apartment prices per unit in Daegu-Gyeongbuk areas by spatial regression models (공간회귀모형을 이용한 대구경북 지역 단위면적당 아파트 매매가격 예측)

  • Lee, Woo Jung;Park, Cheolyong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.561-568
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    • 2015
  • In this study we predict apartment prices per unit in Daegu-Gyeongbuk areas by spatial lag and spatial error models, both of which belong to so-called spatial regression model. A spatial weight matrix is constructed by k-nearest neighbours method and then the models for the apartment prices in March, 2012 are fitted using the weight matrix. The apartment prices in March, 2013 are predicted by the fitted spatial regression models and then performances of two spatial regression models are compared by RMSE (root mean squared error), RRMSE (root relative mean squared error), MAE (mean absolute error).

The Effects of Neighborhood Segmentation on the Adequacy of a Spatial Regression Model (인근지역 범위 설정이 공간회귀모형 적합에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Chang Ro;Park, Key Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.48 no.6
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    • pp.978-993
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    • 2013
  • It can be advantage as well as disadvantage to use the spatial weight matrix in a spatial regression model; it would benefit from explicitly quantifying spatial relationships between geographical units, but necessarily involve subjective judgment while specifying the matrix. We took Incheon City as a study area and investigated how the fitness of a spatial regression model changed by constructing various spatial weight matrices. In addition, we explored neighborhood segmentation in the study area and analyzed any influence of it on the model adequacy of two basic spatial regression models, i.e., spatial lagged and spatial error models. The results showed that it can help to improve the adequacy of models to specify the spatial weight matrix strictly, that is, interpreting the neighborhood as small as possible when estimating land price. It was also found that the spatial error model would be preferred in the area with serious spatial heterogeneity. In such area, we found that its spatial heterogeneity can be alleviated by delineating sub-neighborhoods, and as a result, the spatial lagged model would be preferred over the spatial error model.

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The Forecasting of Monthly Runoff using Stocastic Simulation Technique (추계학적 모의발생기법을 이용한 월 유출 예측)

  • An, Sang-Jin;Lee, Jae-Gyeong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.159-167
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    • 2000
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate the stochastic monthly runoff model for the Kunwi south station of Wi-stream basin in Nakdong river system. This model was based on the theory of Box-Jenkins multiplicative ARlMA and the state-space model to simulate changes of monthly runoff. The forecasting monthly runoff from the pair of estimated effective rainfall and observed value of runoff in the uniform interval was given less standard error then the analysis only by runoff, so this study was more rational forecasting by the use of effective rainfall and runoff. This paper analyzed the records of monthly runoff and effective rainfall, and applied the multiplicative ARlMA model and state-space model. For the P value of V AR(P) model to establish state-space theory, it used Ale value by lag time and VARMA model were established that it was findings to the constituent unit of state-space model using canonical correction coefficients. Therefore this paper confirms that state space model is very significant related with optimization factors of VARMA model.

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Analysing Spatial Usage Characteristics of Shared E-scooter: Focused on Spatial Autocorrelation Modeling (공유 전동킥보드의 공간적 이용특성 분석: 공간자기상관모형을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Sujae;Koack, Minjung;Choo, Sangho;Kim, Sanghun
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.54-69
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    • 2021
  • Policy improvement such as the revision of the Road Traffic Act are proposed for personal mobility(especially e-scooter) usage. However, there is not enough discussion to solve the problem of using shared e-scooter. In this study, we analyze the influencing factors that amount of pick-up and drop-off of shared e-scooter by dividing the Seoul into a 200m grid. we develop spatial auotcorrelation model such as spatial lag model, spatial error model, spatial durbin model, and spatial durbin error model in order to consider the characteristics of the aggregated data based on a specific space, and the spatial durbin error model is selected as the final model. As a result, demographic factor, land use factor, and transport facility factors have statistically significant impacts on usage of shared e-scooter. The result of this study will be used as basic data for suggesting efficient operation strategies considering the characteristics of weekday and weekend.

The Impact of Urban Characteristics on Carbon Emissions of Buildings in Seoul: Application of Spatial Regression Analysis (도시특성이 건축물의 탄소배출에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구: 서울시 424개 행정동에 대한 공간회귀분석의 적용)

  • Hang Hun Jo;Heung Soon Kim
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.77-92
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    • 2023
  • The aim of the study is to analyze urban characteristics that affect carbon emissions of buildings. The analysis was conducted at the level of 424 administrative districts in Seoul. The main variables used in the analysis were energy consumption and carbon emissions of buildings published in the Seoul Metropolitan Government's energy information platform 2021. It was found that carbon emissions per unit building were high in Jongno, Gangnam, Guro, and Mok-dong. A regression analysis using the spatial lag model (SLM) identifies that the variables that affect the carbon emissions of buildings were; commercial, educational, business and industrial facility variables as built environment factor; number of residents; traffic volume, number of bus routes and number of subway stations as transportation facilities factors; and environmental factors such as green area and river area.

An Analysis of Impact of Urbanization on Income Inequality in Korea: Considering Serial Correlations, Spatial Dependence and Common Factor Effect (우리나라 소득불평등에 도시화가 미치는 영향 분석: 지니계수의 시차 자기상관, 공간의존성, 공통요인 효과를 고려하여)

  • So-youn Kim;Suyeol Ryu
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.310-323
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    • 2023
  • Urbanization and income distribution issues are global interest, and the results of studies on the impact of urbanization on income inequality are different for each country and period. This study analyzes the impact of urbanization on income inequality using regional data from 2000-2021. In particular, serial correlation, spatial dependence, and common factor effects of the Gini coefficient are confirmed and analyzed through a dynamic spatial panel regression model. As a result, urbanization has a positive effect on reducing income inequality. Therefore, it is necessary to continuously promote regional urbanization to improve the income distribution problem. Areas with already high urbanization rates should reduce income inequality by narrowing the wage gap by expanding training opportunities for low-skilled workers, and need to come up with measures to prevent counter-urbanization.

Onion yield estimation using spatial panel regression model (공간 패널 회귀모형을 이용한 양파 생산량 추정)

  • Choi, Sungchun;Baek, Jangsun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.873-885
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    • 2016
  • Onions are grown in a few specific regions of Korea that depend on the climate and the regional characteristic of the production area. Therefore, when onion yields are to be estimated, it is reasonable to use a statistical model in which both the climate and the region are considered simultaneously. In this paper, using a spatial panel regression model, we predicted onion yields with the different weather conditions of the regions. We used the spatial auto regressive (SAR) model that reflects the spatial lag, and panel data of several climate variables for 13 main onion production areas from 2006 to 2015. The spatial weight matrix was considered for the model by the threshold value method and the nearest neighbor method, respectively. Autocorrelation was detected to be significant for the best fitted model using the nearest neighbor method. The random effects model was chosen by the Hausman test, and the significant climate variables of the model were the cumulative duration time of sunshine (January), the average relative humidity (April), the average minimum temperature (June), and the cumulative precipitation (November).

Determinants of Apartment Prices in Busan: A Spatial Quantile Regression (공간적 분위수 회귀분석에 의한 부산 아파트 가격 결정요인 분석)

  • Yoon, Jong-Won;Park, Sae-Woon;Jeong, Tae-Yun
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.155-175
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    • 2018
  • Lots of previous researches on determinants of apartment prices in Korea consider spatial dependence while few studies regard endogeneity of spatial lag by adding a spatial lag to an OLS regression. Thus, this study intends to include this spatial lag in its analysis of determinants of apartment price in Busan by using a two-stage quantile regression. The empirical results are : the coefficient of spatial lag variable is more than 0.5 and is statistically significant at 1% level. From this result we can confirm that the effect of the price of nearby apartment on that of another apartment is very big. We also find that apartment buyers prefer larger size, height in both the total floors and living floor, south-facing living room with a ocean view, and proximity to metros, high school and coast. Unlike our expectation, however, mountain view is less favored than building view, which we can guess is because apartments with mountain views are mostly located in the low-priced apartment area where some of their living rooms face north. Quantile regression also explains the effect of hedonic characteristics on apartment price better than OLS estimation. For instance, the effect of south facing living room variable on the price is twice larger in high-price apartments than in low-price counterparts. And the effect of vicinity to the coast or the ocean is ten times bigger in high priced apartments.

Analysis of Spatial Location Determinants on Motion Picture Theater in Various Regions within the City of Seoul (서울시 구(區)별 영상산업 입지의 공간적 결정요인 분석)

  • An, Kwang-Hyun
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.165-177
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    • 2009
  • This study shed light on searching spatial location pattern of movie theaters by operating screens in theater as proxy variable to find spillover effects and spatial determinants. After taking procedure to find spatial spillover effect by GIS 3D analyst, movie theaters in Seoul metropolitan area are formed in four categorized regions, such as Kangbuk, Kangnam, Kangseo, and Kangdong. Regions which have larger number of screens than others show that they affect to relevant regions directly. In addition, this study analyzes that people have tendencies to visit movie theater while they use other similar facilities such as music, publishing, and public performance facilities. Therefore, trend of agglomeration of similar enterprise including motion picture industry has a spillover effect and economy of scale when they are gathered in specific regions which are specialized as certain usage.