• Title/Summary/Keyword: 고장시간간격

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The Study for Software Future Forecasting Failure Time Using Time Series Analysis. (시계열 분석을 이용한 소프트웨어 미래 고장 시간 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Shin, Hyun-Cheul
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.19-24
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    • 2011
  • Software failure time presented in the literature exhibit either constant monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing, For data analysis of software reliability model, data scale tools of trend analysis are developed. The methods of trend analysis are arithmetic mean test and Laplace trend test. Trend analysis only offer information of outline content. In this paper, we discuss forecasting failure time case of failure time censoring. In this study, time series analys is used in the simple moving average and weighted moving averages, exponential smoothing method for predict the future failure times, Empirical analysis used interval failure time for the prediction of this model. Model selection using the mean square error was presented for effective comparison.

A Study on Software Reliability using kappa(2) Distribution (kappa(2)분포를 이용한 소프트웨어 성장모형에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Lee, Sang-Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.361-364
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    • 2005
  • 본 논문에서는 순서 통계량을 이용한 유한 고장 NHPP 모형들이 제안되었다. 이 모형들은 결함당 고장발생률이 단조 증가하거나 단조 감소하는 패턴을 가진다. 그리고 수명 분포에서는 기존의 모형들과 비교하고 kappa(2) 분포를 이용한 소프트웨어 신뢰성 모형을 제안하여 이 모형의 특성과 효율성에 대하여 제시하였다. 고장 간격 시간 자료를 이용한 무한고장 NHPP 모형들에 대한 모수 추정은 최우 추정법을 사용하였고 적용 분포들의 적용을 용이하게 하기 위하여 특수한 형태를 제시하였다. 실제고장 자료를 이용한 자료분석에서는 편차자승합을 이용한 모형 선택과 적합도 및 치우침 검정을 실시하여 그 결과를 나열 하였다.

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예방정비 체제하에서의 공정별 고장시간 간격분석

  • Kim, Chang-Hyun;Kim, Jong-Han
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.35-42
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    • 1991
  • Many authors derived MTTF/MTBF for an operating system by analyzing its actual life time data. However, it is difficult to derive MTTF/MTBF when few breakdowns accur throughout a year. In this paper, we address a new approach to solve that problem under a preventive maintenance policy, in which few breakdowns occur, and also introduce a case study using the results obtained.

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A Study on the Decision of an Optimal Maintenance Period for Ship's Machinery Items using the Cumulative Hazard Rate Function for Weibull Distribution (Weibull형 고장분포를 갖는 선박용 부품의 최적 보전시기의 결정수법에 관한 연구)

  • 유희한
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.90-96
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    • 2000
  • The technology of preventive maintenance and corrective maintenance is widely applied to ships in order to maintain the good voyageable condition. One of the most important fields of marine engineering is to seek the maximum availability and to solve the stochastic maintenance problem such that the cost for corrective maintenance is minimized. Accordingly, for the purpose of making the most suitable maintenance schedule which minimizes the expected cost function, this paper suggests the method to grasp the failure characteristics by the ship's maintenance data that are collected from the past. And, suggests the method to estimate the optimal maintenance interval by using the dynamic programming and the cumulative hazard rate function attained from the maintenance data.

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Quality Function Deployment of Core Unit for Reliability Evaluation of Machine Tools (공작기계 핵심부품의 QFD 기술)

  • 송준엽;이승우;강재훈;강재훈;황주호;이현용;박화영
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2001.04a
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    • pp.59-62
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    • 2001
  • Reliability engineering is regarded as the major and important roll for all industry. And advanced manufacturing systems with high speed and intelligent have been developing for the betterment of machining ability. In this study, we have systemized evaluation of reliability for machinery system. We proposed the reliability assessment and design review method using analyzing critical units of high speed and intelligent machine system. In addition, we have not only designed and developed test bed system for acquiring reliability data, but also apply QFD technique for satisfying quality function which is provided in design phase. From this study, we will expect to guide and introduce the reliability engineering in developing and processing phase of high quality product.

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Evaluation of Reliability for critical unit of machinery system (기계류 핵심 유니트의 신뢰성 평가기술)

  • 이승우;송준엽;강재훈;황주호;이현용;박화영
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.1014-1017
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    • 2000
  • Reliability engineering is regarded as the major and important roll for all industry. And advanced manufacturing systems with high speed and intelligent have been developed for the betterment of machining ability. In this study, we have systemized evaluation of reliability for machinery system. We proposed the reliability assessment and design review method using analyzing critical units of high speed and intelligent machine system. In addition, we have not only designed and developed test bed system for acquiring reliability data, but also have constructing WEB system for suppling reliability which is provided in design phase. From this study, we will expect to guide and introduce the reliability engineering in developing and processing phase of high quality product.

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Method and Application of Reliability Evaluation for Core Units of Machine Tools (공작기계 핵심 Unit의 신뢰성 평가 기법 및 활용에 관한 연구)

  • 이승우;송준엽;황주호;이현용;박화영
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 1997.10a
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    • pp.43-46
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    • 1997
  • Reliability engineering is regarded as the major and important roll for all industry. And advanced manufacturing systems with high sped and intelligent have been developing for betterment of machining ability. In this study, we have systemized evaluation of reliability for machinery system. We proposed the reliability assessment and designed and manufactured reliability test-bed to evaluate reliability. In addition we acquired reliability data using test-bed system and made database to handle reliability data. And also we not only use reliability data by analyzing reliability, but also apply design review method using analyzing critical units of machinery system. Form this study, we will expect to guide and increase the reliability engineering in developing and processing phase of high quality product.

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The Comparative Software Development Cost Model Considering the Change in the Shape Parameter of the Erlang Distribution (어랑분포의 형상모수 변화에 따른 소프트웨어 개발 비용모형에 관한 비교 연구)

  • Yang, Tae-Jin
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.566-572
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    • 2016
  • Software Reliability implemented in software development is one of the most important issues. In finite failure NHPP software reliability models for software failure analysis, the hazard function that means a failure rate may have constant independently for failure time, non-increasing or non-decreasing pattern. In this study, software development cost analysis considering the variable shape parameter of Erlang distribution as the failure life distribution in the software product testing process was studied. The software failure model was applied finite failure Non-Homogeneous Poisson Procedure and the parameters approximation using maximum likelihood estimation was accompanied. Thus, this paper was presented comparative analysis by applying a software failure time data to the software, considering the shape parameter of Erlang distribution for development cost model analysis. When compared to the cost curve in accordance with the shape parameter, the model of smaller shape can be seen that the optimal software release time delay and more cost. Through this study, it is thought that it can serve as a preliminary information which can basically help the software developers to search for development cost according to software shape parameters.

A Study of Infinite Failure NHPP Software Reliability Growth Model base on Record Value Statistics with Gamma Family of Lifetime Distribution (수명분포가 감마족인 기록값 통계량에 기초한 무한고장 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성장 모형에 관한 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Sin, Hyun-Cheul
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.145-153
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    • 2006
  • Infinite failure NHPP models for a record value satisfies mode proposed in the literature exhibit either monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault. In this paper, propose comparative study of software reliability model using Erlang distribution, Rayleigh and Gumbel distribution. Equations to estimate the parameters using maximum likelihood estimation of infinite failure NHPP model based on failure data collected in the form of interfailure times are developed. For the sake of proposing distribution, we used to the special pattern. Analysis of failure data set using arithmetic and Laplace trend tests, goodness-of-fit test, bias tests is presented.

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