• Title/Summary/Keyword: 계측오차

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Evaluation of satellite precipitation prediction using ConvLSTM (ConvLSTM을 이용한 위성 강수 예측 평가)

  • Jung, Sung Ho;Le, Xuan-Hien;Nguyen, Van-Giang;Choi, Chan Ul;Lee, Gi Ha
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.62-62
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    • 2022
  • 홍수 예보를 위한 강우-유출 분석에서 정확한 예측 강우량 정보는 매우 중요한 인자이다. 이에 따라 강우 예측을 위하여 다양한 연구들이 수행되고 있지만 시·공간적으로 비균일한 특성 또는 변동성을 가진 강우를 정확하게 예측하는 것은 여전히 난제이다. 본 연구에서는 딥러닝 기반 ConvLSTM (Convolutinal Long Short-Term Memory) 모형을 사용하여 위성 강수 자료의 단기 예측을 수행하고 그 정확성을 분석하고자 한다. 대상유역은 메콩강 유역이며, 유역 면적이 넓고 강우 관측소의 밀도가 낮아 시·공간적 강우량 추정에 한계가 있으므로 정확한 강우-유출 분석을 위하여 위성 강수 자료의 활용이 요구된다. 현재 TRMM, GSMaP, PERSIANN 등 많은 위성 강수 자료들이 제공되고 있으며, 우선적으로 ConvLSTM 모형의 강수 예측 활용가능성 평가를 위한 입력자료로 가장 보편적으로 활용되는 TRMM_3B42 자료를 선정하였다. 해당 자료의 특성으로 공간해상도는 0.25°, 시간해상도는 일자료이며, 2001년부터 2015년의 자료를 수집하였다. 모형의 평가를 위하여 2001년부터 2013년 자료는 학습, 2014년 자료는 검증, 2015년 자료는 예측에 사용하였다. 또한 민감도 분석을 통하여 ConvLSTM 모형의 최적 매개변수를 추정하고 이를 기반으로 선행시간(lead time) 1일, 2일, 3일의 위성 강수 예측을 수행하였다. 그 결과 선행시간이 길어질수록 그 오차는 증가하지만, 전반적으로 3가지 선행시간 모두 자료의 강수량뿐만 아니라 공간적 분포까지 우수하게 예측되었다. 따라서 2차원 시계열 자료의 특성을 기억하고 이를 예측에 반영할 수 있는 ConvLSTM 모형은 메콩강과 같은 미계측 대유역에서의 안정적인 예측 강수량 정보를 제공할 수 있으며 홍수 예보를 위한 강우-유출 분석에 활용이 가능할 것으로 판단된다.

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A study on the path following of an unmanned surface vessel (무인선의 경로추종에 관한 연구)

  • Hansol Park;Namsun Son;Chunseon Pyo;Jae yong Lee
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2022.11a
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    • pp.187-187
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    • 2022
  • 최근 선박의 자율운항기술이 활발하게 연구되어 오면서, 경로추종 제어 및 충돌회피 등의 자율운항 기술 연구가 많이 진행되고 있으며 그에 따른 시뮬레이션과 실해역 시험 등도 활발하게 수행되고 있다. 이러한 자율운항기술 중 본 연구에서는 AUV(Autonomous Underwater Vehicle) 진회수 시 모함에 활용되며 쌍동선형을 갖는 쌍동형 무인수상선을 대상으로 경로추종 제어에 대한 실해역 시험을 수행한 내용을 소개한다. 대상선인 쌍동형 무인수상선은 배수량이 약 10ton, 최대속도 10knots를 기준으로 설계된 선형이며 Sail drive 타입의 쌍축 추진기를 탑재하고 있으며 Fig. 1에 나타내었다. 실해역 시험은 경기도 화성시에 위치한 제부마리나 전면 해역에서 여러 속도에 대해 Fig. 2의 경로(빨간색)를 활용하여 수행되었다. 해당 경로는 변침각이 45도까지 이루어져 있다. 경로추종 제어 알고리즘은 목표경유점을 향하기 위해 선수각을 제어하는 부분과 목표속도로 추진하기 위해 속도를 제어하는 부분으로 나뉘어져 있다. 선수각 제어 시 경로와 무인선과의 위치 오차를 줄이는 방향으로 선수각이 향할 수 있도록 알고리즘이 설계되었다. 속도 제어의 경우 RPM 별로 실제 속도를 계측하여 데이터화 한 후, 실제 속도가 명령 속도와 다를 경우 RPM을 가감하여 명령 속도로 추진하기 위해 제어할 수 있도록 하였다. Fig. 2에서 파란색 선은 설계한 알고리즘을 활용하여 경로추종 제어를 한 결과의 궤적을 보여준다.

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A Study on the Reliability of Detecting Reinforcement Embedded in Concrete in Various Factors Using Electromagnetic Induction Method and Electromagnetic Wave Method (전자기유도법과 전자파레이더법을 이용한 각종인자에 따른 철근탐사의 신뢰성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jong-Ho;Oh, Kwang-Chin;Park, Seung-Bum
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.179-186
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    • 2008
  • Probing inside of concrete structures is one of the important steps in assessing condition of the structure. For the assessment, electromagnetic induction method and electromagnetic wave method are currently applied to the measurement of cover depth, and the detection of reinforcement embedded in concrete. To determine detection capability of locating reinforcement embedded in concrete, commercially available nondestructive testing (NDT) equipments have been tested. The equipments include electromagnetic wave system and electromagnetic induction system. In the tests, nine concrete specimens which have the dimensions of 1,000mm(length))${\times}$300mm(width) with thickness varying from 125mm to 150mm are used. The reinforcement are located at 45, 60, 100mm depth from the concrete surface. Horizontal reinforcement spacing has been set over 100mm. From the outcome, it is shown that error is increased as the diameter of reinforcement enlarge in case of using electromagnetic induction method. In case of using electromagnetic wave method, the detection of reinforcement embedded in deep is good in the view of reliability because of using the relative permittivity on the real cover depth.

A study on the preorthodontic prediction values versus the actual postorthodontic values in Class III surgery patients (골격성 III급 부정교합 환자에서 술전 교정전 예측치와 교정 후 실측치의 차이에 관한 연구)

  • Hwang, Chung-Ju;Kwon, Hee-Jeong
    • The korean journal of orthodontics
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    • v.33 no.1 s.96
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2003
  • The purpose of this study was to find out and evaluate discrepancies between preorthodontic prediction values and actual postorthodontic values and factors contributing to it in 45 patients(17 male, 28 female) who were diagnosed as skeletal Class III ma)occlusion and received presurgical orthodontic treatment and orthognathic surgery at Yonsei university dental hospital. Lateral cephalograms were analysed at pretreatment(T1), orthodontic Prediction(T2), immediately before surgery(T3) and designated the landmark as coordinates or X and Y axes. The samples were divided according to ALD, upper and lower incisor inclination(Ul to SN, IMPA), COS, extraction, the position of extracted teeth and the statistical significance was tested to find out the factors contributing to the prediction. The results were as follows: 1. Differences between preorthodontic prediction values and actual postorthodontic values(T2-T3) were statistically significant(p<0.05) in the x coordinates of U6mbc, L1x and in y coordinates of U1i, U1x, U6me, U6mbc, L6mbc 2. The accuracy of prediction is relatively higher in horizontal changes compared to vortical changes. 3. The statistical significance(p<0.05) between prediction and actual values is observed more in the landmarks of the maxilla than the mandible. 4. Differences between prediction and actual values of incisor and first molar were statistically significant(p<0.05) according to extraction vs non-extraction, extraction type, ALD in the maxilla and according to ALD, IMPA in the mandible. Discrepancies between preorthodontic prediction values and actual postorthodontic values and factors contributing to the prediction must be considered in treatment planning of Cl III surgical patients to increase the accuracy of prediction. Furthermore future investigations are needed on the prediction of vortical changes.

Hydrological Drought Assessment and Monitoring Based on Remote Sensing for Ungauged Areas (미계측 유역의 수문학적 가뭄 평가 및 감시를 위한 원격탐사의 활용)

  • Rhee, Jinyoung;Im, Jungho;Kim, Jongpil
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.525-536
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    • 2014
  • In this study, a method to assess and monitor hydrological drought using remote sensing was investigated for use in regions with limited observation data, and was applied to the Upper Namhangang basin in South Korea, which was seriously affected by the 2008-2009 drought. Drought information may be obtained more easily from meteorological data based on water balance than hydrological data that are hard to estimate. Air temperature data at 2 m above ground level (AGL) were estimated using remotely sensed data, evapotranspiration was estimated from the air temperature, and the correlations between precipitation minus evapotranspiration (P-PET) and streamflow percentiles were examined. Land Surface Temperature data with $1{\times}1km$ spatial resolution as well as Atmospheric Profile data with $5{\times}5km$ spatial resolution from MODIS sensor on board Aqua satellite were used to estimate monthly maximum and minimum air temperature in South Korea. Evapotranspiration was estimated from the maximum and minimum air temperature using the Hargreaves method and the estimates were compared to existing data of the University of Montana based on Penman-Monteith method showing smaller coefficient of determination values but smaller error values. Precipitation was obtained from TRMM monthly rainfall data, and the correlations of 1-, 3-, 6-, and 12-month P-PET percentiles with streamflow percentiles were analyzed for the Upper Namhan-gang basin in South Korea. The 1-month P-PET percentile during JJA (r = 0.89, tau = 0.71) and SON (r = 0.63, tau = 0.47) in the Upper Namhan-gang basin are highly correlated with the streamflow percentile with 95% confidence level. Since the effect of precipitation in the basin is especially high, the correlation between evapotranspiration percentile and streamflow percentile is positive. These results indicate that remote sensing-based P-PET estimates can be used for the assessment and monitoring of hydrological drought. The high spatial resolution estimates can be used in the decision-making process to minimize the adverse impacts of hydrological drought and to establish differentiated measures coping with drought.

Improvement of GPS positioning accuracy by static post-processing method (정적 후처리방식에 의한 GPS의 측위정도 개선)

  • 김민선;신현옥
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.251-261
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    • 2003
  • To measure the GPS position accuracy and its distribution according to the length of the baseline, 30 minutes to 24 hours observations at the fixed location were conducted with two GPS receivers (Ll, 12 channels) on May 29 to June 2, 2002. The GPS data received at the reference station, the rover station and the ordinary times GPS observation station operated by the National Geography Institute in Korea were processed in kinematic and static post-processing methods with a post -processing software. The results obtained are summarized as follows: 1. The number of the satellite that could be observed continuously more than six hours was 16 and most of these satellites were positioned at east-west direction on May 31, 2002. The number of the satellite observed and the geometric dilution of precision (GDOP) determined by the average of every 10 minute for the day were 8 and 3.89, respectively. 2. Both the average GPS positions before and after post-processing were shifted (standalone: 1.17 m, post -processing: 0.43m) to the south and west. The twice distance root mean square (2drms) measured with standalone was 6.65m. The 2drms could be reduced to 33.8% (standard deviation 0=17.2) and 5.3% (0=2.2) of standalone by the kinematic and the static post-processing methods, respectively. 3. The relationship between the length of the baseline x (km) and the 2drms y (m) obtained by the static post-processing method was y=0.00l6x+0.006 $(R^2=0.87)$. In the case of the positioning with the static post-processing method using the GPS receiver, it was found that a positioning within 20cm 2drms was possible when the length of the baseline was less than 100km and the receiving time of the GPS is more than 30 minutes.

A Reliability Analysis of Slope Stability of Earth-Rockfill Dam (Earth-Rockfill Dam사면파괴에 대한 신뢰도 연구(I))

  • 박현종;이인모
    • Geotechnical Engineering
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.21-32
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    • 1991
  • The purpose of this paper is to develop a reliability model for slope stability of Earth-rockfill dams which accounts for all uncertainties encountered. The uncertain factors of the design variables include the cohesion, the angle of internal friction, and the porewater Pressure in each zone. More specifically, the model errors in estimating those variables are studied in depth. To reduce the uncertainties due to model errors, updated design variables are obtained using Bayesian Theory. For stability analysis, both the two-dimesional stability analysis and the three-dimensional stability analysis where the end effects and the system reliability concept are considered are used for the reliability calculations. The deterministic safety factor by the three-dimensional analysis is lager than that by the two-dimensional anlysis. However, the probability of failure by the three-dimensional analysis is about 3.5 times larger that by the two-dimensional analysis. It is because the system reliability concept is used in the three-dimensional analysis. The sensitivity analysis shows that the probability of failure is more sensitive to the uncertainty of the cohesion than that of the angle of internal friction.

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Estimation of Vegetation for Chinese Cabbage Using Hyperspectral Imagery (초분광 영상을 이용한 배추의 생육 추정)

  • Kim, Won Jun;Kang, Ye Seong;Kim, Seong Heon;Kang, Jeong Gyun;Jun, Sae Rom;sarkar, Tapash Kumar;Ryu, Chan Seok
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Agricultural Machinery Conference
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    • 2017.04a
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    • pp.40-40
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    • 2017
  • 본 연구는 빛의 파장대가 넓어 보다 다양한 접근과 검출이 가능한 초분광 카메라 (VNIR spectral camera PS, SPECIN Filand)를 이용하여 정식시기가 다른 배추를 생육단계별로 영상을 취득한 후 배추 캐노피의 전 파장 (400~1000nm)으로 생육 추정모델을 개발하기 위해 수행하였다. 정식시기가 다른 배추를 생육단계별로 초분광 카메라로 영상을 취득한 후 취득된 영상 ($348{\times}1040$)을 ENVI (ver. 5.2, Exelis Visual Information Solutions, USA) 프로그램을 이용하여 식생지수 NDVI로 작물과 배경을 구분하였다. 배추 캐노피 영역에 전 파장을 산출한 후 반사판 영역의 전 파장을 이용하여 광 보정된 반사율을 산출하였다. 통계 프로그램인 R Project (ver.3.3.3, Development Core Team, Vienna, Austria)를 이용하여 배추의 반사율과 계측한 생육 정보를 PLSR (Partial least squares regression) 분석하여 정확도($R^2$) 및 정밀도 (RMSE [g,cm,count], RE [%])로 나타내었고 그 모델은 full-cross validation (FV) 하여 타당성을 검증하였다. 정식시기가 다른 배추의 모든 생육단계의 생육정보를 이용하여 PLSR (Partial least squares regression) 결과 엽장을 추정한 모델의 $R^2$는 84% 이상의 정확도와 RMSE 3.2cm 이하의 좋은 정밀도를 보였다. 엽폭을 추정한 모델의 $R^2$는 73% 이상의 정확도와 RMSE 3.5cm 이하의 정밀도를 보였고 엽수를 추정한 모델의 $R^2$는 93% 이상의 정확도와 RMSE 6.3Count 이하의 정밀도로 보여 캐노피의 전 파장을 이용해 생육을 추정하는 것이 가능하다고 판단되었으며 이 모델들의 타당성 검증에서도 좋은 정확도와 정밀도를 보였다. 그러나 배추의 중요한 생육인자 중 생체중을 추정한 모델의 $R^2$는 89% 이상으로 정확도가 높았으나 RMSE 571.1g 이하로 낮은 정밀도를 보여 생체중을 정확히 추정하기 어려웠다. 따라서 다른 통계분석방법으로 전 파장과 생육정보를 분석하거나 특정 밴드를 선택하여 산출한 식생지수를 이용한 추정 모델의 개발을 통하여 오차를 개선할 필요가 있다고 사료된다. 추후 반복 실험하여 분석한 추정 모델과 비교 분석하여 다양한 환경 및 생물 조건에 범용성을 가진 모델을 개발할 필요가 있다.

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Defect Depth Measurement of Straight Pipe Specimen Using Shearography (전단간섭계를 이용한 직관시험편의 결함 깊이 측정)

  • Chang, Ho-Seob;Kim, Kyung-Suk
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Nondestructive Testing
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.170-176
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    • 2012
  • In the nuclear industry, wall thinning defect of straight pipe occur the enormous loss in life evaluation and safety evaluation. To use non-destructive technique, we measure deformation, vibration, defect evaluation. But, this techniques are a weak that is the measurement of the wide area is difficult and the time is caught long. In the secondary side of nuclear power plants mostly used steel pipe, artificiality wall thinning defect make in the side and different thickness make to the each other, wall thinning defect part of deformation measure by using shearography. In addition, optical measurement through deformation, vibration, defect evaluation evaluate pipe and thickness defects of pressure vessel is to evaluate quantitatively. By shearography interferometry to measure the pipe's internal wall thinning defect and the variation of pressure use the proposed technique, the quantitative defect is to evaluate the thickness of the surplus. The amount of deformation use thickness of surplus prediction of the actual thickness defect and approximately 7 percent error by ensure reliability. According to pressure the amount of deformation and the thickness of the surplus through DB construction, nuclear power plant pipe use wall thinning part soundness evaluation. In this study, pressure vessel of thickness defect measure proposed nuclear pipe of wall thinning defect prediction and integrity assessment technology development. As a basic research defected theory and experiment, pressure vessel of advanced stability and soundness and maintainability is expected to contribute foundation establishment.

The effect of growth hormone treatment on craniofacial growth in short stature children (저신장 소아에서 성장호르몬 치료가 두개안면골 성장에 미치는 영향)

  • Chung, Sung-Ho;Kim, Jin-Wook;Park, Yong-Hoon;Hwang, Chung-Ju;Lee, Hee-Kyung
    • The korean journal of orthodontics
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    • v.40 no.4
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    • pp.227-238
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    • 2010
  • Objective: The purpose of this study was to analyze the effect of growth hormone treatment (GHT) on craniofacial growth in children of short stature. Methods: Nineteen untreated children of short stature were referred from the Pediatric Department, Yeungnam University Hospital as a subject group. All subjects had lateral cephalograms taken before, after 1 year and after 2 years of growth hormone treatment. As a reference group, we selected 19 normal children with paired sampling who matched the subjects' age and sex, from the Department of Orthodontics, Kyungpook National University Hospital. Results: Before GHT, anterior cranial base length and upper posterior facial height, posterior total facial height, mandibular ramus length, and mandibular corpus length were significantly smaller in the reference group. In angular craniofacial measurements, saddle angle and mandibular plane angle were larger. SNA and SNB were smaller in the reference group. After two years of GHT, growth hormone accelerated growth in several craniofacial components. The posterior total facial height, the anterior, posterior cranial base length, and the mandibular ramus length were increased. And the difference in mandibular plane angle and ANB values compared with the reference group was decreased. Conclusions: GHT over 2 years leads to a craniofacial catch-up growth tendency, which is pronounced in interstitial cartilage and condylar cartilage.