• Title/Summary/Keyword: 계절내 진동

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East Asian Precipitation and Circulation Response to the Madden-Julian Oscillation (매든-줄리안 진동의 위상에 따른 동아시아 지역의 강수와 순환의 변동성)

  • Han, Sang-Dae;Seo, Kyong-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.282-293
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    • 2009
  • This study examines the effects of the Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) or the Intraseasonal Oscillation (ISO) on precipitation, temperature and circulation anomalies over East Asia according to the eight different MJO phases during the winter and summer seasons. A nonlinear response appears the wintertime precipitation pattern during the phase of 3 (where the MJO center is located over the Eastern Indian Ocean) and 8 (where the MJO center is located over the Western Hemisphere) over the Korean Peninsula. That is, for these phases, the positive precipitation anomalies appear for the MJO intensity less than 2 standard deviations while the negative precipitation anomalies appear in the case of the MJO intensity greater than 2 standard deviations. The negative precipitation anomaly in the latter case is duandard d stronger anomalous anticyclone formed over the Korean Peninsula and cold and dry advection by northerly winds. The response of precipitation and circulation to the boreal summer ISO is also investigated.

Vertical Vorticity Structure Associated with the Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation: Barotropic or Baroclinic? (여름철 계절내 진동에 의한 대기 와도의 연직 구조: 순압성 또는 경압성?)

  • Song, Eun-Ji;Seo, Kyong-Hwan
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.259-265
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    • 2012
  • This study investigates the reason why the barotropic vorticity structure prevails vertically in response to the enhanced convection associated with the boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation over the central Indian Ocean. The relative vorticity tendency analysis for a 2.5-layer simplified model demonstrates that the barotopic vorticity structure is predominant due to the following two factors: 1) vertical easterly shear on the meridional gradient of barotropic divergence (which induces generation of barotropic vorticity twice larger than that of baroclinic vorticity); and 2) vertical easterly shear on the meridional gradient of baroclinic divergence (which appears only in relation to the generation of barotropic vorticity). The percentage of contribution by each term to barotropic and baroclinic vorticity tendency equations is presented.

The 40~50Day Intraseasonal Oscillation of the Geostationary Meteorological Satellite High Cloud Amount (GMS 상층운량의 40~50일 계절만 진동)

  • 하경자;서애숙
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.5 no.5
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    • pp.619-633
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    • 1996
  • Intraseasonal variability of the tropical convection over the Indian/western Pacific is studied using the Geostationary Meteorological Satellite high cloud amount. This study is directed to find the tropical-extratropical interaction in the frequency range of intraseasonal and interannual variabilities of the summer monsoon occured over the domain of 90E-171W and 495-50N. Especially, in order to investigate the intraseasonal interaction of last Asia summer monsoon associated with the tropical convections in the high cloud amounts, the spatial and time structure of the intraseasonal oscillation for the movement-and the evolution of the large-scale connections are studied. To describe the spatial and the time evolution, the extended empirical orthogonal function analysis is applied. The first mode may be considered to a normal structure, indicating that the strong convection band over 90E-120E is extended to sastward but this mode was detected as the intraseasonal variability during summer monsoon. It is found that the dominant intraseasonal mode of the tropical convection consists of the spatial changes over a broad period range centered around 40~50days.

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Evaluation of Dam Inflow Predictability Using Hybrid Seasonal Forecasting System (하이브리드 계절예측 시스템을 이용한 댐 유입량 예측성 평가)

  • Cho, Jaepil;Kim, Chul-Gyum
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.27-27
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    • 2017
  • 신뢰성 있는 수개월 선행시간의 댐 유입량 예측은 가뭄 상황으로 진입하는 시점에서 효율적인 댐 운영을 위해 필수적이다. 최근 기후변화로 인한 강수량의 경년 및 계절 내 변동성이 증가됨에 따라서 기존의 과거 통계치를 이용한 댐 운영 의사결정은 많은 도전을 받고 있다. 최근 엘리뇨-남방진동(ENSO) 등의 전구기후지수와 지역수문기후와의 원격상관성을 활용하여 수개월 이후에 대한 수문조건을 통계적으로 예측하기 위한 연구가 시도되고 있다. 또한 매월 제공되는 역학적 예측모형으로부터 생산된 월단위 예측정보를 유량예측을 위한 유역모형에 활용하기 위하여 편이보정 및 상세화 기법이 개발되어 활용되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 댐 유입량 예측을 위해 SWAT 모형을 선정하였고 최장 6개월 선행 강수량 및 기온의 예측을 위해서 하이브리드 계절예측 시스템을 활용하였다. 이 시스템은 전지구역학적 예측모형의 자료를 편이보정을 거쳐 직접적으로 사용하는 단순 편이보정(Simple Bias Correction, SBC) 방법에 회귀모형을 이용하여 통계적인 방법으로 예측자료를 생산하는 전구기후지수 기반의 Climate Index Regression (CIR), 실시간 재분석자료 기반의 Observation-based Moving Window Regression (MWR-Obs), 역학적 예측모형의 예측자료 기반의 Moving Window Regression (MWR) 방법을 통합하여 사용하고 있다. 충주댐을 대상으로 우선 관측자료를 이용하여 SWAT 모형을 검 보정한 후, 관측기간에 대하여 하이브리드 시스템에 의한 예측 기상자료를 적용하여 모의된 댐 유입량과 관측 유입량과의 비교를 통해 예측성을 평가하였다. 본 연구는 다양한 기후정보를 활용하여 댐 유입량 예측에 있어서 예측성을 높이고자 시도되었으며, 도출된 결과는 향후 충주댐 운영에 유용한 정보를 제공할 수 있는 것으로 판단된다.

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Classification of Intraseasonal Oscillation in Precipitation using Self-Organizing Map for the East Asian Summer Monsoon (동아시아 여름몬순 지수의 자기조직화지도(SOM)에 의한 강수량의 계절 내 진동 분류)

  • Chu, Jung-Eun;Ha, Kyung-Ja
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.221-228
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    • 2011
  • The nonlinear characteristics of summer monsoon intraseasonal oscillation (ISO) in precipitation, which is manifested as fluctuations in convection and circulation, is one of the major difficulty on the prediction of East Asian summer monsoon (EASM). The present study aims to identify the spatial distribution and time evolution of nonlinear phases of monsoon ISO. In order to classify the different phases of monsoon ISO, Self-Organizing Map(SOM) known as a nonlinear pattern recognition technique is used. SOM has a great attractiveness detecting self-similarity among data elements by grouping and clustering such self-similar components. The four important patterns are demonstrated as Meiyu-Baiu, Changma, post-Changma, and dry-spell modes. It is found that SOM well captured the formation of East Asian monsoon trough during early summer and its northward migration together with enhanced convection over subtropical western Pacific and regionally intensive precipitation including Meiyu, Changma and Baiu. The classification of fundamental large scale spatial pattern and evolutionary history of nonlinear phases of monsoon ISO provides the source of predictability for extended-range forecast of summer precipitation.

Analysis on the Variability of Korean Summer Rainfall Associated with the Tropical Low-frequency Oscillation (적도 저주파 진동과 관련된 한반도 여름철 강수의 변동성 연구)

  • Moon, Ja-Yeon;Choi, Youngeun;Park, Changyong
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.48 no.2
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    • pp.184-203
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    • 2013
  • This study analyzes the variability of Korean summer rainfall associated with the tropical low-frequency oscillation using long-term observation data. From the EOF analysis, the first mode showed opposite phase between the South and the North Korea with the regime shift in rainfall variability since the mid-1990s. The summer precipitation over South Korea tends to increase in southern part during strong El Ni$\tilde{n}$o where the warm sea surface temperature extends to far eastern tropical Pacific. In weak La Ni$\tilde{n}$a, the increased precipitation directly influences from the western tropical Pacific to the mid-latitude. In June, the rainfall over South Korea is positively correlated with the Indian Summer Monsoon while in July, it is negatively correlated with the Western North Pacific Summer Monsoon. In August, highly negative correlation between the rainfall over South Korea and the Indian Summer Monsoon is found.

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Electrochemical characteristics of WC-27NiCr and WC-10Co4Cr coated Al bronze (WC-27NiCr과 WC-10Co4Cr로 코팅된 동합금의 전기화학적 특성)

  • Kim, Min-Seong;Park, Jae-Cheol;Jang, Seok-Gi;Kim, Seong-Jong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Surface Engineering Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.80-80
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    • 2011
  • 세계 기후 변화와 불안정한 유가 변화에 대응하고 국내산업의 저탄소 녹색성장을 위해 신재생에너지 개발이 활발하게 이루어지고 있다. 해양에너지 중에서 조류발전은 대규모 댐을 건설할 필요가 없어 비용이 적게 소요되고 특히 날씨 변화나 계절에 관계가 없고, 발전량이 예측 가능하므로 신뢰성 있는 에너지원으로 적용이 가능하다. 조류발전기 블레이드에 폴리머계 복합재료와 스테인리스강이 대부분인데, 이 재료는 특정 회사에서만 제작 가능하며, 충격에 약하고, 균열전파 속도가 빠르며, 대단히 고가이며, 수입에 의존하고 있는 실정이다. 이러한 조류발전에 사용되는 블레이드는 가혹한 부식, 캐비테이션 그리고 침식환경에 노출되어 있어 내구성이 우수한 제품개발이 대단히 중요하며, 조류발전 블레이드를 동합금으로 제작시, 내식성이 뛰어나며 구리의 특성상 해양생물 서식을 방지할 수 있고, 내캐비테이션 특성, 내구성, 가공성 및 유지보수가 용이한 장점이 있다. 이러한 동합금에 WC-27NiCr와 WC-10Co4Cr를 초고속 화염용사(HVOF)를 이용하여 코팅층의 캐비테이션 특성 및 전기화학적 거동을 연구하였다. 본 연구에서는 조류발전용 블레이드의 재료로 사용하려는 동합금에 WC-27NiCr와 WC-10Co4Cr이 용사코팅된 시험편을 사용하였다. 다채널 부식시험기인 WonA-tech WMPG-1000을 이용하여, 자연전위를 측정하였으며, 분극실험은 자체 제작한 홀더를 사용하여 $0.3318cm^2$를 노출 시켜 실험하였다. 기준전극은 은/염화은 전극을, 대극은 백금 전극을 사용하였다. 양분극과 음분극 실험을 통해 개로전위에서의 부식거동을 확인하였고, 정전위 실험도 실시하였다. 실험 종료 후 3D현미경 및 전자주사현미경(SEM)을 사용하여 코팅층 표면의 손상거동을 관찰하였다. 캐비테이션 실험은 ASTM-G32 규정에 의거하여 압전효과를 용한 진동발생 장치(RB 111-CE)를 사용하였다. 수조는 전기화학적 부식의 영향을 고려하여 아크릴로 제작하였고, 시험편은 실험장비에 맞게 파인커팅머신을 이용하여 $20mm{\times}20mm$로 절단하여 사용하였으며 혼과 대향하도록 하여 1mm 간격을 두어 실험하였다. 실험 실시 전, 미소전자저울을 사용하여 무게감소량을 측정하였으며 표면관찰을 통하여 캐비테이션 거동을 관찰하였다.

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A Review of Recent Climate Trends and Causes over the Korean Peninsula (한반도 기후변화의 추세와 원인 고찰)

  • An, Soon-Il;Ha, Kyung-Ja;Seo, Kyong-Hwan;Yeh, Sang-Wook;Min, Seung-Ki;Ho, Chang-Hoi
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.2 no.4
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    • pp.237-251
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    • 2011
  • This study presents a review on the recent climate change over the Korean peninsula, which has experienced a significant change due to the human-induced global warming more strongly than other regions. The recent measurement of carbon dioxide concentrations over the Korean peninsula shows a faster rise than the global average, and the increasing trend in surface temperature over this region is much larger than the global mean trend. Recent observational studies reporting the weakened cold extremes and intensified warm extremes over the region support consistently the increase of mean temperature. Surface vegetation greenness in spring has also progressed relatively more quickly. Summer precipitation over the Korean peninsula has increased by about 15% since 1990 compared to the previous period. This was mainly due to an increase in August. On the other hand, a slight decrease in the precipitation (about 5%) during Changma period (rainy season of the East Asian summer monsoon), was observed. The heavy rainfall amounts exhibit an increasing trend particularly since the late 1970s, and a consecutive dry-day has also increased primarily over the southern area. This indicates that the duration of precipitation events has shortened, while their intensity became stronger. During the past decades, there have been more stronger typhoons affecting the Korean peninsula with landing more preferentially over the southeastern area. Meanwhile, the urbanization effect is likely to contribute to the rapid warming, explaining about 28% of total temperature increase during the past 55 years. The impact of El Nino on seasonal climate over the Korean peninsula has been well established - winter [summer] temperatures was generally higher [lower] than normal, and summer rainfall tends to increase during El-Nino years. It is suggested that more frequent occurrence of the 'central-Pacific El-Nino' during recent decades may have induced warmer summer and fall over the Korean peninsula. In short, detection and attribution studies provided fundamental information that needed to construct more reliable projections of future climate changes, and therefore more comprehensive researches are required for better understanding of past climate variations.

Dinosaur Tracksite at Jeori, Geumseongmyeon, Euiseonggun, Gyeongsangbukdo, Korea(National Monument No. 373) - Occurrences, Significance in Natural History, and Preservation Plan - (경북 의성군 금성면 제오리 공룡발자국화석 산지(천연기념물 제373호) - 산상, 자연사적 가치 및 보존 방안 -)

  • Paik, In Sung;Kim, Hyun Joo;Kang, Hee Cheol;Lim, Jong-Deock
    • Korean Journal of Heritage: History & Science
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.268-289
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    • 2013
  • The Dinosaur tracksite at Jeori, Geumseongmyeon, Euiseonggun, Gyeongsangbukdo, Korea (National Monument No. 373) has been studied in the aspects of location, stratigraphy, sedimentology, fossil occurrence, unique geological records, literature, significance in natural history, preservation, and management. On the basis of these features, the Jeori tracksite has been assessed semiquantitavely. The Jeori tracksite occurs in the Sagok Formation (Albian) of the Euiseong sub-basin, and over 300 footprints forming 12 sauropod trackways, 10 ornithopod trackways, and 1 theropod trackways are preserved in this tracksite. The track-bearing deposits consist of tabular-bedded medium- to fine-grained arkose with mudstone drape, interlaminated fine-grained sandstone to siltstone and mudstone, and shaly mudstone. The dinosaur tracks are preserved in the interlaminated fine-grained sandstone to siltstone and mudstone, and most of them are observed as underprints. The track-bearing deposits are interpreted as sheetflood deposits on the floodplain under a seasonal paleoclimatic condition with alternating of wetting and drying periods. Multiple tension fractures with NE strike were formed in the track-bearing bed, which resulted in that tracks seem to occur in several horizons. The significance in natural history of the tracksite can be summarized as follows: 1) the historical implication of the Jeori tracksite as the firstly designated National Monument of dinosaur fossil sites, 2) the high density of the occurrence of diverse footprints (over 300) within small area (about $1,600m^2$), and 3) the significance of the tension fractures associated with the track-bearing bed as geoeducational records for the understanding the development of fault. In order to share the value of the Jeori tracksite in the aspect of natural history with the community and public, the interpretive panel should be modified to include figures explaining paleoenvironment and tension fault development. In addition it is recommended that a brochure be published briefly explaining the tracksite and to educate the residents about the natural and social significance of the tracksite. For the safety of visitors it would be desirable for the road in front of the tracksite to be moved at least 10 m southward, which could mitigate the shaking of the track bed caused by traffic.