• Title/Summary/Keyword: 경험적베이즈

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Comparing the Effectiveness of Road Safety Features by Spatial Scope of Safety Improvement Project (도로안전개선사업의 공간적 범위에 따른 도로안전시설물의 효과도 비교)

  • Park, Gyu-Yeong;Kim, Tae-Hui;Kim, Seong-Uk;Lee, Su-Beom
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.24 no.4 s.90
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    • pp.31-42
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study is to compare the effectiveness of road safety features by spatial scope Spot & Section-based safety Improvement project. Empirical data was collected from black-spot study of Jeonbuk and "Traffic Safety Improvement Project on National Highway 17". Evaluation model of effectiveness was developed by using Empirical Bayes (EB) method. And Relative Effectiveness was measured by Odds Ratio. The result indicates that Section-based safety improvement was $7.09{\sim}77.27%$ more effective than the spot-based. It means that section-based improvement projects should be expanded while considering the characteristics of the section in spot based improvement.

A Study on Bayes and Empirical Bayes Estimates of Poisson Means under Asymmetric Loss Functions (비대칭 손실함수 아래서 포아송평균의 베이즈와 경험적베이즈 추정의 연구)

  • Youn Shik Chung;Chan Soo Kim
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.131-143
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    • 1994
  • Under the asymmetric losses (entropy loss and Stein loss), we find the classes of Bayes and empiricla Bayes estimates for estimating the Poisson means when the distributin of means are believed a priori. Following the idea of Efron and Morris (1973), we have a computer simulation to compute a relative savings loss of proposed estimates as compared to the classical estimates.

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Comparisons of Empirical Bayes Approaches to Censored Accelerated Lifetime Data (가속수명자료에 대향 경험적 베이즈 비료연구)

  • Cho, Geon-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.183-194
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    • 1997
  • In accelerated life tests, the failure time of an item is observed under a high stress level and based on the time, the failure rates of items we estimated at the normal stress level. In this paper, when the mean of the prior distribution of a parameter is known in Weibull lifetime model with censored failure time data, we study various estimating methods to obtain the empirical Bayes estimator of a parameter from the empirical Bayes approach under the normal stress level by considering the fact that the Bayes estimator is the function of prior parameters and of the acceleration parameter representing the effect of acceleration. And we compare the performance of several empirical Bayes estimators of a parameter in terms of the Bayes risk.

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Accident Conversion Effect Analysis of Installing Median Barriers (중앙분리대 설치에 따른 사고전환효과 분석)

  • Park, Min-Ho;Park, Gyu-Yeong;Jang, Il-Jun;Lee, Su-Beom
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.24 no.2 s.88
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    • pp.113-124
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    • 2006
  • Among tile traffic safety facilities, median barriers are installed above 4-lane national roads due to the awareness of haying an effect on preventing the front collision. Studies about the installation effect analysis of median harrier have been carried out through both at home and outside, mainly indicating total accident reduction effect on pertinent sections. In sum, study about how the accident occurrence form is changed at the point classified by the accident type or severity is insignificant. In the case of outside the country, calculating the accident reduction effect according to the type of median barriers is main research and in domestic, though there is a part of researches assessing reduction effect by accident types, it is not reliable in the view or statistics because of using only 1year's before-aftev data installing the facility, So in this Paper. it is the main purpose to presume the accident conversion effect. For this, we conduct an investigation and collect data about 7-year's accident data containing before-after Project, safety facilities foundation records and index of road alignment on the subject of 4-1ane national roads(108.6km) existing median barrier. Next. using the empirical bayes method, we estimate a model construction and accident conversion effect of accident type severity. We expect the result or this Paper will be applied for a policy execution and Presentation of facility standard related to median barrier from now on.