• Title/Summary/Keyword: 경기력분석

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Predicting Recessions Using Yield Spread in Emerging Economies: Regime Switch vs. Probit Analysis (금리스프레드를 이용한 신흥경제 국가의 불황 예측: 국면 전환 모형 vs. 프로빗 모형)

  • Park, Kihyun;Mohsin, Mohammed
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.53-73
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    • 2012
  • In this study we investigate the ability of the yield spread to predict economic recessions in two Asian economies. For our purpose we use the data from two emerging economies (South Korea and Thailand) that are also known for their openness in terms of exports and imports. We employ both two-regime Markov-Switching model (MS) and three-regime MS model to estimate the probability of recessions during Asian crisis. We found that the yield spread is confirmed to be a reliable recession predictor for Thailand but not for South Korea. The three-regime MS model is better for capturing the Asian financial crisis than two-regime MS model. We also tried to find the duration of economic expansions and recessions. We tested the hypothesis of asymmetric movements of business cycles. The MS results are also compared with that of the standard probit model for comparison. The MS model does not significantly improve the forecasting ability of the yield spread in forecasting business cycles.

Effects of on-base and slugging ability on run productivity in Korean professional baseball (한국 프로야구에서 출루 능력과 장타력이 득점 생산성에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Hyuk Joo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.1065-1074
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this paper is to statistically analyze the effects of on-base and slugging ability on the run productivity in Korean professional baseball. In Section 2, we have investigated the OPS (On-base percentage Plus Slugging average) and introduced new indices of batting ability by modifying the OPS. In Section 3, we have examined the correlation which the batting average, on-base percentage, slugging average, IsoP (Isolated Power), OPS and the indices introduced in Section 2 have with the average runs per game, using the data from all the games of the regular seasons in 2007~2011. In addition, by generalizing the OPS and the indices introduced in Section 2, we have analyzed the correlation of the indices with various weights between the average runs per game. As a result, the weighted OPS consisting of on-base percentage (with weight 57%) and slugging average (with weight 43%) has been found to give the best explanation of the run productivity.

The Relationship Between the Married Middle-aged Women's Life Stress and Depression -The Mediating Effects of Distress Tolerance and Rumination- (중년 기혼 여성의 생활스트레스와 우울의 관계 -고통감내력과 반추의 매개효과-)

  • Kim, Eun-Suk;Chung, Eun-Jung
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.638-650
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    • 2019
  • This study collected 328 self-reporting questionnaires from the married middle-aged women residing in Seoul, Gyeonggi and Daejeon province to explore the mediating effects between distress tolerance and rumination in the relations of life stress and depression. SPSS 20.0 and AMOS 20.0 were used to analyze descriptive statistics, correlation, and structural equation. Following is the summarizaton of the study. First, the life stress showed a significant positive correlation with rumination and depression, and meaningful negative correlation wiith distress tolerance. Also, it showed negative correlation with distress tolerance and rumination. Second, each distress tolerance and rumination showed meaningful mediating effects in the relations of life stress and depression. Third, dual mediating effect of distress tolerance and rumination is showed meaningful in the relations of life stress and depression. Based on the results above, we verified that three variables, life stress, distress tolerance and rumination, affect depression significantly in married middle-aged women and discussed the significance of this result, limitations and suggestions for future studies.

A Study on How to Nurture New Players using Data Analysis (데이터 분석을 활용한 신인급 선수 육성 방안 연구)

  • You, Kangsoo
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.17-21
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    • 2021
  • Recently, in the field of sports, the use of data in conducting games, planning seasons, and operating teams has increased significantly. Also, in order to develop better players, it has become necessary to use data to accurately analyze their performance. Therefore, in this study, various data about rookie players was collected and pre-processed in order to analyze and visualize their performance. Additionally, an analysis was conducted to determine at least how many opportunities should be given to foster rookie players. Then, a data analysis method was presented for nurturing athletes by using data in the field of sports. It is expected that this study will contribute to fostering rookie players by utilizing data.

Comparison of Play Ability of Soccer Fields with Natural Turfgrass, Artificial Turf and Bare Ground (천연잔디, 인조잔디 및 맨땅 축구장에서 축구 경기력 비교)

  • Lee, Jae-Pil;Park, Hyun-Chul;Kim, Doo-Hwan
    • Asian Journal of Turfgrass Science
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.203-211
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    • 2006
  • This study was initiated to investigate the difference of playing ability among soccer fields established with natural turfgrass, artificial turf and bare ground. The soccer fields with natural turfgrasses were established with cool-season grass(Kentucky bluegrass 80%+Perennial ryegrass 20%) and zoysiagrass. The artificial turf field was constructed with Konigreen $DV5000^{TM}$. Bare ground was sandy soil. Data such as ball rolling distance and vertical ball rebound were collected at the Sports Science Town of Konkuk University from 2005 to 2006. A ball in the study was Hummel Air Vision #1, certified by KFA(Korea Football Association) in ball pressure of 1.01b. Ball rolling distance was the longest on bare ground(13.6m), followed by artificial grass(11.4m), cool-season grass(7.8m) and zoysiagrass(4.7m). It decreased with lower frequency in use, stronger rigidity and higher density of turfgrass. Vertical ball rebound was the highest on bare ground(1.0m), followed by artificial grass(0.9m), cool-season grass(0.6m) and zoysiagrass(0.4m). It was lower under conditions of low use frequency, strong rigidity, and high density. Both ball rolling distance and vertical ball rebound were not greatly affected by cool-season grass maintained with high intensity of culture by years after establishment. However, zoysiagrass field under low intensity of culture showed longer in ball rolling distance and higher in vertical ball rebound with time after establishment.

Heritabilities of Growth and Wood Quality Characters in Open-pollinated Progenies of Abies holophylla Max. (전나무 수형목(秀型木)의 풍매차대(風媒次代)에 대한 생장(生長)과 재질특성(材質特性)의 유전력(遺傳力))

  • Ahn, Jin Kwon;Lee, Wi Young;Jo, Dong Gwang;Son, Doo Sik
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.83 no.4
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    • pp.480-485
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    • 1994
  • Growth and wood quality characters such as height, DBH, specific gravity, traceried length and width were measured for 16-year-old open-pollinated progenies of 38 selected plus trees of Abies holophylla Max. The results were as follows ; 1) The superior families in growth and wood quality characters were Chonbuk 4(498.2cm) and Kyonggi 9(485.7cm) for height, Kyonggi 12(9.2cm) and 9(9.1cm) for DBH, Kaongbuk 2(0.480) and Kangwon 7(0.473) for specific gravity, Kyonggi 9(2.77mm) and Kangwon 11(2.71mm) for tracheid length and Kyonggi 9(0.039mm), Kangwon 11, 12 and Kyunggi 7(0.036mm) for tracheid width, respectively. 2) There were significant differences among the families in height and specific gravity at 1% and 5% level. 3) There were high significant negative correlations between specific gravity and other characters such as height, DBH, tracheid length and width at 1% level($r=-0.242^{**}{\sim}-0.635^{**}$) 4) The heritabilities were 0.55 for height, 0.25 for DBH, 0.44 for specific gravity, and 0.24 for tracheid width.

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Asset Prices and Consumption Dynamics in Korea (자산가격변동과 민간소비의 동태적 반응)

  • Kim, Young Il
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.35-73
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    • 2010
  • This paper examines consumption dynamics in relation to asset prices in Korea. Empirical analysis based on the error correction model shows that personal consumption is affected by changes in asset prices but the consumption converges to the long-run level of consumption corresponding to the total income flow in two years. This adjustment in consumption implies that the consumption error, reflected in the error correction term, should have predictability for the future consumption growth during the adjustment period. It is found that the error correction term has a long-run predictability for consumption over up to about 3 years; thus, confirming the error correction model. It is also found that housing prices have larger effects on consumption compared with stock prices in Korea. In addition, the effects of income and asset prices on consumption show bigger effects during contractionary period than expansionary period in business cycles. This paper also analyzes effects of asset wealth that reflects changes in both price and quantity. It is found that asset wealth has a long-run effect on consumption in addition to total income as determinants of consumption. Since wealth effects usually indicate the long-run effect of changes in asset wealth on consumption that is not explained by labor income, which is the proxy for human source of wealth, it is estimated with labor income used as a control variable. According to the estimation, the marginal propencity to consume out of asset wealth is approximately 2%. It means that 1,000won increase in asset wealth may lead to 20 won increase in consumption.

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The Kinetic Analysis K-study of Roche Technique in Horse Vaulting (도마 Roche 기술의 운동역학적 사례분석)

  • Yeo, Hong-Chul;Ryu, Jae-Kyun
    • Korean Journal of Applied Biomechanics
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.201-207
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study was to examine the Roche technique performed by three male subjects in 2003 Taegu World Students Game. Conclusions are as followed. If the angular momentum was increased to counter-clockwise on voulting, the momentum acted like an interrupting factor of body spinning force. The biggest body angle was at VTD phase and the smallest was at BTO phase. At the phase of contacting on vaulting board and taking off from the vaulting board, the biggest personal angle difference between VTD and BTO was found. As the Roche technique was needed not only to fly high but also to increase body spinning rate, the projection angles of Roche technique were showed smaller than those of Cuervo technique. The angular velocity was peak during 2 times forward turn phase. The angular momentum was influenced by angular velocity from BTO and VTD phase.

The politic plan research for furniture industrial activation in the northern part of Gyeonggi-Province

  • Im, Kwang-Soon;Kim, Houn-Chul
    • Journal of the Korea Furniture Society
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.515-524
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    • 2010
  • In line with the government's policies for localization, furniture industry in the northern area in Gyeoggi-province at presence has been operated by several furniture industrial complexes in the region in small scale, but now it should be considered from overall view of furniture industry in order to develop more competitive industry. As a matter of this fact, Gyeonggi-province should be engaged in planning to make various industrial clusters of the furniture-related industry based on the northern area of province at structural as well as politic aspects, with the help of the analyzed status of the current furniture industry in region, in supporting them by the systemized policies and developing the overall program to foster furniture as an international-competitive industry. Therefore this study suggested 'furniture industry center' which will exclusively handle and maintain the network of each furniture company in the northern area of Gyeonggi-province and 'high-tech furniture industry complex' to keep pace with the globalization and to be competitive internationally and also 'common brand business' for the cooperation at technical phase. In order to realize and vitalize such suggestions, it is urgently necessary that the network consists of the furniture companies and the expert of the related department in local universities as the main body for furniture industry, of course Gyeonggi-province as well.

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A Study on Impact of Economic Cycles in Shipbuilding on Managerial Performance of Marine Paint and Coatings Firms (조선산업 경기가 선박용 도료업체 경영성과에 미치는 영향에 대한 연구)

  • Jin-Kook Kim;Chi-Yeol Kim
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.48 no.1
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    • pp.49-54
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    • 2024
  • This paper investigated the impact of economic cycles in the shipbuilding industry on managerial performance of marine paint and coatings firms. As part of the upstream to ship construction, the marine equipment industry plays a critical role in determining the competitiveness of the shipbuilding industry. Despite a close interaction between the two sectors, the majority of research on the marine equipment industry has highlighted securing competitiveness edge and developing advanced technologies, paying little academic attention to the relationship between shipbuilding and managerial performance. In this regard, this paper examined how economic cycles in shipbuilding affected growth and profitability of marine paint and coatings firms. To this end, managerial performances of six marine paint and coatings firms for the period of 2003-2022 were analyzed in panel regressions. Results indicated that the shipbuilding economic cycle proxied by delivery amounts of Korean shipyards was positively associated with growth and profitability of marine paint and coatings firms. However, there was divergence in statistical significance by shipbuilding indicators. While coefficients of compensated gross tonnage, gross tonnage, and monetary amount were statistically significant, that of deadweight tonnage was not. Findings of this study imply that managerial performances of marine paint and coatings firms are affected by the amount of value added from the shipbuilding industry rather than its absolute size.