• Title/Summary/Keyword: 결정론적 해석

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Development of New Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis and Seismic Coefficients of Korea Part II: Derivation of Probabilistic Site Coefficients (신(新) 확률론적 지진분석 및 지진계수 개발 Part II: 확률론적 지진계수 도출)

  • Kwak, Dong-Yeop;Jeong, Chang-Gyun;Lee, Hyunwoo;Park, Duhee
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.10 no.7
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    • pp.111-115
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    • 2009
  • In Korea, the probabilistically developed seismic hazard maps are used with deterministically derived seismic site coefficients in developing the design response spectrum of a specific site. Even though the seismic hazard maps and seismic site coefficients are incompatible, the current design code ignores such incompatibility. If the seismic hazard map and seismic coefficients are both developed in identical probabilistic framework, such problems can be solved. Unfortunately, the available method cannot be use to derive "true" probabilistic site coefficients. This study uses the ground motion time histories, which were developed as the result of a new probabilistic seismic hazard analysis in the companion paper, as input motions in performing one-dimensional equivalent linear site response analyses, from which the uniform hazard response spectra are generated. Another important characteristic of the hazard response spectra are that the uncertainties and randomness of the ground properties are accounted for. The uniform hazard spectra are then used to derive probabilistic site coefficients. Comparison of probabilistic and deterministically site coefficients demonstrate that there is a distinct discrepancy between two coefficients.

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Determination of cross section of composite breakwaters with multiple failure modes and system reliability analysis (다중 파괴모드에 의한 혼성제 케이슨의 단면 산정 및 제체에 대한 시스템 신뢰성 해석)

  • Lee, Cheol-Eung;Kim, Sang-Ug;Park, Dong-Heon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.9
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    • pp.827-837
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    • 2018
  • The stabilities of sliding and overturning of caisson and bearing capacity of mound against eccentric and inclined loads, which possibly happen to a composite caisson breakwaters, have been analyzed by using the technique of multiple failure modes. In deterministic approach, mathematical functions have been first derived from the ultimate limit state equations. Using those functions, the minimum cross section of caisson can straightforwardly be evaluated. By taking a look into some various deterministic analyses, it has been found that the conflict between failure modes can be occurred, such that the stability of bearing capacity of mound decreased as the stability of sliding increased. Therefore, the multiple failure modes for the composite caisson breakwaters should be taken into account simultaneously even in the process of deterministically evaluating the design cross section of caisson. Meanwhile, the reliability analyses on multiple failure modes have been implemented to the cross section determined by the sliding failure mode. It has been shown that the system failure probabilities of the composite breakwater are very behaved differently according to the variation of incident waves. The failure probabilities of system tend also to increase as the crest freeboards of caisson are heightening. The similar behaviors are taken place in cases that the water depths above mound are deepening. Finally, the results of the first-order modal are quite coincided with those of the second-order modal in all conditions of numerical tests performed in this paper. However, the second-order modal have had higher accuracy than the first-order modal. This is mainly due to that some correlations between failure modes can be properly incorporated in the second-order modal. Nevertheless, the first-order modal can also be easily used only when one of failure probabilities among multiple failure modes is extremely larger than others.

The Philosophical View of Nature on the Sasang Constitutional Medicine (사상의학으로 본 철학적 자연관)

  • Choi, Jong-duck
    • Journal of Sasang Constitutional Medicine
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.29-40
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    • 1998
  • 1. The traditional view of nature in oriental medicine originated with a horizontal relation between nature and human. But the Sasang Constitution Medicine is based on the thought that ethical value is due to nature and at the same time nature could be transformed by ethical inclination. 2. The Sasang Constitution Medicine is not only a clinical medicine, but also a nature-philosophical system which implies the korean general view of nature. 3. We must examine a thought critically, four seperated physical structure were indeed deterministic. A deterministic understanding is false, because it is based on the recipiency of western philosophical ontology without reflection. 4. Korean view of nature is not kept in the fixed structure, and then can be opened and transformed by personal doings (practical acts). It is important that Sasang medicine is the pathology centering on man which is embodiment of ethical judgements.

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Evaluation of Chloride Diffusion Behavior and Analysis of Probabilistic Service Life in Long Term Aged GGBFS Concrete (장기 재령 GGBFS 콘크리트의 염화물 확산 거동 평가 및 확률론적 염해 내구수명 해석)

  • Yoon, Yong-Sik;Kim, Tae-Hoon;Kwon, Seung-Jun
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.47-56
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    • 2020
  • In this study, three levels of W/B(Water to Binder) ratio (0.37, 0.42, 0.47) and substitution ratio of GGBFS (Ground Granulated Blast Furnace Slag) rate (0 %, 30 %, 50 %) were considered to perform RCPT (Rapid Chloride Diffusion Test) at the 1,095 aged day. Accelerated chloride diffusion coefficient and passed charge of each concrete mixture were assessed according to Tang's method and ASTM C 1202, and improving behaviors of durability performance with increasing aged days are analyzed based on the test results of previous aged days from the preceding study. As the age of concrete increases, the passed charge and diffusion coefficient have been significantly reduced, and especially the concrete specimens containing GGBFS showed a significantly more reduction than OPC(Ordinary Portland Cement) concrete specimen by latent hydraulic activity. In the case of OPC concrete's results of passed charge, at the 1,095 days, two of them were still in the "Moderate" class. So, if only OPC is used as the binder of concrete, the resistance performance for chloride attack is weak. In this study, the time-parameters (m) were derived based on the results of the accelerated chloride diffusion coefficient, and the deterministic and probabilistic analysis for service life were performed by assuming the design variable as a probability function. For probabilistic service life analysis, durability failure probabilities were calculated using Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) to evaluate service life. The service life of probabilistic method were lower than that of deterministic method, since the target value of PDF (Probability of Durability Failure) was set very low at 10 %. If the target value of PDF suitable for the purpose of using structure can be set and proper variability can be considered for each design variable, it is believed that more economical durability design can be made.

Analysis of Loss of Condenser Vacuum Accident using a Conservative Approach with a Best-Estimate Code (최적코드를 이용한 복수기진공상실 사고의 보수적 해석)

  • Jeong, Hae-Yong
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.175-182
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    • 2015
  • A methodology to determine the most conservative initial condition based on random sampling of operation parameters is established, in which a best-estimate computer code is adopted to minimize the conservatism in code models. To validate the applicability of the suggested method, safety evaluation for a transient of loss of condenser vacuum in a pressurized water reactor is performed. One-hundred different initial conditions are generated by MOSAIQUE program automatically and the peak pressure for the most conservative case is determined from transient analyses. The safety margin obtained with the new approach is almost equivalent to the values determined with the existing methodologies. It is found that the time and human resources required for the safety evaluation could be reduced with the suggested approach.

A Development of Methodology for NOVEC Gas Fire Extinguishing System (NOVEC 가스 소화 설비 설계방법론 개발)

  • Yun, Jeong-In;Choi, Jae-Hyuk
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.206-210
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    • 2015
  • The most important thing for NOVEC gas fire extinguishing equipment is to release NOVEC gas, which contained in the extinguishing container, to the safety section by the time appointed. For this matter, it is significant to decide arrangement and size of the proper piping equipment. This study has developed the design methodology of NOVEC gas fire extinguishing equipment in use of pipe network analysis techniques. Based on the design methodology, each design coefficient is chosen. It is found that the calculated result, which is 6.498 seconds, has been counted within the 10 seconds limit, which is fairly satisfied with extinguishing releasing time based on the developed methodology. At that time, the pressure loss is 21.09bar.

Water distribution system contamination source estimation based on trace analysis (Trace Analysis 기능을 활용한 상수도 관망 내 오염물 유입 지점 추정)

  • Shin, Geumchae;Lee, Seungyub
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.184-184
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    • 2022
  • 지난 2019년 인천시, 서울시 문래동, 포항시 등에서 발생한 수질사고로 인해 국민의 상수도에 대한 신뢰도가 최악의 상황에 있으며, 이후로도 깔따구 유충이 발견되는 등 상수도 관망 내 체계적인 수질 관리 및 빠르고 정확한 수질 사고 발생 지점의 추정이 중요해 지고 있는 실정이다. 오염물 유입 추정은 수리학적 사고로 고려되는 누수와는 달리 상대적으로 그 지점 추정이 어렵다. 대게의 경우 수리해석을 진행하여 유량과 유향을 파악한 뒤 계측 지점에서부터 동일 시간대로 역으로 흐름을 거슬러 올라가며 확률상 높은 지점을 추정하는 것이 일반적인 방법이다. 본 연구에서는 범용 수리해석 프로그램인 EPANET2.2에 내장된 Trace Analysis (이후 trace 분석) 옵션을 사용한 오염물 유입 지점 추정 방법론을 소개한다. 본 연구에서는 방법론의 검증을 위해 오염물 유입지점은 한 곳으로 가정하였다. 해당 방법론은 먼저 절점별 trace 분석을 실시하여 모든 지점에서 수질 관측 지점까지 물이 도달하는데 소요되는 시간을 산정한다. 해당 시간과 오염물 관측 데이터와의 비교를 통해 유입 확률이 높은 지점을 추출한다. 이를 위해 실측 데이터가 필요하며, 결과는 지점별 확률로 나타난다. 모의 결과 1개의 수질 관측 지점으로도 개략적인 지점을 선정할 수 있는 것으로 나타났다. 다만, 수질 관측 지점의 수에 따라 분석 결과의 정확도가 향상한다. 마지막으로 유입 지점 추정 확률이 낮은 경우, 유입 지점 추정 확률을 향상시킬 수 있는 추가 수질 분석 지점을 결정하였다. 본 연구에서 소개한 방법론은 향후 수질 사고 발생 시 최초 확산 방지를 위한 격리 지점 선정에 근거를 제시할 수 있을 것으로 기대하며, 나아가 수질 관측 지점을 결정 및 대응 방안 수립 가이드라인으로 활용할 수 있을 것이다.

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Design Flood Wave for Seepage Analyses through Levees (하천제방의 침투해석을 위한 설계홍수파형 결정)

  • Yoon, Kwang Seok;Yeo, Kyu Dong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2004.05b
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    • pp.1092-1097
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    • 2004
  • 본 연구에서는 제방에 대한 부정류 침투해석시 사용되는 설계홍수파형을 결정하기 위하여 수위자료가 양호한 낙동강 수계 수위관측소 지점의 홍수자료를 수집하고 그 지검에 해당하는 계획홍수량 및 계획홍수위를 조사하였다. 설계홍수파형 결정 방법은 일본의 하천제방설계지침(2000)에서 제시하고 있는 방법을 참고하였으며, 그 적용성을 검토하기 위해서 낙동강의 9개 수위관측소 지점의 과거 홍수사상과 계획홍수량 산정시 사용되었던 설계수문곡선을 이용하여 합성홍수파형을 시험적으로 결정했다. 비교분석하여 침투해석을 위한 설계홍수파형을 결정 방법에 적용한다. 제방의 비정상 침투해석을 위한 설계홍수파형은 홍수지속시간과 감수부경사로 결정할 수 있는데, 홍수지속시간은 합성홍수파의 홍수지속시간이 계획홍수파의 지속시간보다 크게 산정되었는데, 이는 설계시 계획홍수파의 지속시간에 어느 정도 안전율을 적용해야 함을 의미한다. 감수부 경사는 분석된 과거 홍수사상중에는 계획홍수파의 감수부 경사보다 급하게 감소하는 것은 거의 없는 것으로 나타났는데, 감수부 경사는 계획홍수량 산정시 사용했던 수문곡선을 사용하는 것이 안전측 설계가 될 것으로 판단된다. 본 연구는 최근 누수에 의한 제방붕괴가 발생한 바 있는 낙동강 유역에 대해서 시험적으로 적용해 보았으며 그 방법론에 대한 타당성을 확인했다.

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Seismic Safety Assessment of the Turbine-Generator Foundation using Probabilistic Structural Reliability Analysis (확률론적 구조신뢰성해석을 이용한 터빈발전기 기초의 지진 안전성 평가)

  • Joe, Yang-Hee;Kim, Jae-Suk;Han, Sung-Ho
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.33-44
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    • 2008
  • Most of the civil structure - bridges, offshore structures, plant, etc. - have been designed by the classical approaches which deal with all the design parameters as deterministic variables. However, some more advanced techniques are required to evaluate the inherent randomness and uncertainty of each design variable. In this research, a seismic safety assessment algorithm based on the structural reliability analysis has been formulated and computerized for more reasonable seismic design of turbine-generator foundations. The formulation takes the design parameters of the system and loading properties as random variables. Using the proposed method, various kinds of parametric studies have been performed and probabilistic characteristics of the resulted structural responses have been evaluated. Afterwards, the probabilistic safety of the system has been quantitatively evaluated and finally presented as the reliability indexes and failure probabilities. The proposed procedure is expected to be used as a fundamental tool to improve the existing design techniques of turbine-generator foundations.

「성명론(性命論), 사단론(四端論), 확충론(擴充論), 장부론(臟腑論)」을 통해서 본 사상인(四象人) 병론(病論)의 접근

  • Kim, Gang-San;Song, Il-Byeong
    • Journal of Sasang Constitutional Medicine
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.253-269
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    • 1999
  • 1. Purpose We know that Sasang Constitution is decided by difference of Sung-Jung(性情). Lee je-ma emphasized that Sa-Sim-Sin-Mul(事心身物) and Sung-Jung is important key. So, this paper is to know that the characteristics of constitutional symptoms also is explained by Sa-Sim-Sin-Mul and Sung-Jung, to find sequence between Sung-Jung and symptoms. 2. Method Through the Sa-Sim-Sin-Mul, decision of Sasang constitution and physiologics of Jang-Bu(臟腑), each the inerior-exterior characteristics of constitutional symptoms were researched. 3. Results It is found that structual characteristics of interior-exterior, in-out(內外), upper-town(上下) and functional characteristics of Warm-Hot-Cool-Cold(寒熱溫凉), ascent-descent-unfast-fast(升降援束), large-small(大小) are based on Sung-Jung and the summarizing spirit Sa-Sim-Sin-Mul.

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