• Title/Summary/Keyword: 거시경제 환경

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The Global Financial Crisis and Its Impacts on the Housing Systems of Western European Welfare States (세계경제위기에 따른 서유럽 복지국가의 주택시스템 변화 분석)

  • Lee, Hyunjeong;Lee, Jongkwon
    • Korea Real Estate Review
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.105-120
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    • 2014
  • This research is to examine the impacts of the on-going global financial crisis on the housing systems of welfare states. Four developed economies in the Western Europe were selected for the analysis, and the qualitative research employed in-depth interviews with scholars in the fields of housing market and social policy in order to meet the research goal. The major findings indicate that the global economic crisis embedded into the liberalization of housing finance and the inadequacy of regulatory measures caused the vicissitude of housing markets, and its scale and magnitude could be determined by the resilience of each state's housing system. While the globalization of housing finance markets rendered easy borrowing for homeownership, intensive competition for excessive lending among financial institutions backed by heavy reliance on inter-bank and overall bank triggered market volatility, and further worsened household and public debts. It's clearly evident that a housing system with varied safety nets becomes a greater cushion to bear the risks of the financial crisis and to weather the economic storm.

An Exploratory Study of Technology Planning Using Content Analysis & Hype Cycle (뉴스 내용분석과 하이프 사이클을 활용한 기술기획의 탐색적 연구: 클라우드 컴퓨팅 기술을 중심으로)

  • Suh, Yoonkyo;Kim, Si jeoung
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.80-104
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    • 2016
  • Existing methodologies of technology planning about promising new technology focused on target technology itself, so it is true that socio-environmental context which the relevant technology has influence on is not well understood. In this respect, this study is aimed to questingly examine that news content analysis methodologies widely available in the field of science communication can be applied as a complementary methodology for contextual understanding of socio-environment in terms of technology planning about promising new technology. In the co-evolutionary environment of technology-society, promising new technology shows hype phenomenon regarding the relation with the society. Based on this, this study performed news content analysis and examined if the consequences of analysis would match hype cycle. It tried to explore substantive content understanding by socio-environment factors according to specific news frame content. To do this, new content analysis was performed targeting cloud computing as a representative promising new technology. The result of news content analysis targeting general newspapers, business news, IT special newspapers revealed that the tendency of news reporting matched the trend of hype cycle. Particularly, it was verified that reporting attitude and news frame analysis provided useful information to understand contextual content depending on social, economic, and cultural environment factors about promising new technology. The results of this study implied that news content analysis could overcome the limitation of technology information analysis focusing on academic journal patent usually applied for technology planning and could be used as a complementary methodology for understanding the context depending on macro-environment factors. In conclusion, application of news content analysis on the phase of macro-environment analysis of technology planning could contribute to the securement of mutually balanced view in the co-evolutionary perspective of technology-society.

Macro-environmental Drivers and Technological Evolution of Complex Product System: Evidence from Nuclear Power Plant (거시환경요인과 복합제품시스템의 기술진화: 원자력 발전 플랜트의 사례를 중심으로)

  • Kwak, Kiho;Kim, Wonjoon;Kim, Minki;Cho, Chang Yeon
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.89-125
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    • 2017
  • Complex product systems (CoPs) is a engineering-intensive products with high-ended design technology, which are closely linked with national economic growth and development of social infrastructures. Accordingly, in order to understand the technological evolution of CoPs, it is necessary to identify the macro-environmental drivers surrounding the CoPs and their impact on the technological evolution of the CoPS. Therefore, we investigate the effect of policy, economic and social drivers on the technological evolution of CoPS by implementing the longitudinal case study on nuclear power plant during the periods between 1950 and 2010s. Based on the analysis of various sources of secondary data and primary data through interviews, we found that the technological evolution of nuclear power plant is progressed as "Phase 1: Application research for peaceful utilization of nuclear energy" between 1950s and 1960s, "Phase 2: The first renaissance of nuclear energy" during 1970s, "Phase 3: Enhancement of safety and the catch-up of latecomers in nuclear energy" between 1990s and 2000s, and "Phase 4: Top prioritization of safety and the development of next generation reactors for the second renaissance of nuclear energy" since 2010s. We also found that various kinds of policy, economic and social drivers, such as energy policy, investment in technology development, economic growth and energy demand, social acceptability and environmental concern, have affected the technology evolution of nuclear power plant at each phase. We emphasize the role of macroenvironmental drivers in the technological evolution of CoPS. We also suggest that countries that endeavor to develop CoPs need to utilize those drivers for enhancing competitiveness and sustaining leadership.

The influence of Brexit on Container Volume of Korea (브렉시트(Brexit)의 한국 컨테이너물동량에 대한 영향)

  • Choi, Bong-Ho;Lee, Gi-Whan
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.67-81
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    • 2016
  • This paper examines the influence of Brexit on container volume of Korea, especially of macroeconomic variables such as exchange rate and industrial production of EU and United Kingdom. To do this, we use monthly time series data during 2000-2016, and introduce the analysis method of cointegration test and VECM, and analyze the influence of industrial production and exchange rate of EU and U.K. on container volume of Korea. The results are as follows. First, the container volume of Korea is influenced by the exchange rate and industrial production of EU in the long run. But the exchange and industrial production of U.K. influenced on only export container volume of Korea, and the influence of U.K. macroeconomic variables on container volume of Korea was not large in the long lun. Second, In the shot run, the influence of exchange rate on container volume of Korea, especially on export container volume was significant in EU and U.K. To sum up, the influence of EU macroeconomic variables on container volume of Korea is larger than that of U.K., and the influence of exchange rate variable is more significant than that of industrial production variable.

A Study on the Construction Plan of Smart Fish Farm Platform in the Future (미래 스마트 양식 플랫폼의 구축방안에 대한 연구)

  • Choi, Joowon;Lee, Jongsub;Kim, Youngae;Shin, Yongtae
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.9 no.7
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    • pp.157-164
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    • 2020
  • As the consumption of fishery products continues to increase, aquaculture industry has emerged instead of fishing industry facing limitations of fish stock resources. Recently, smart fish farming industry has rapidly developed through convergence with 4th Industrial Revolution technology. Accordingly, it is important to derive a future model of smart fish farming platforms in order to secure the superiority of the aquaculture industry and the technology standard hegemony. In this study, the future direction of smart fish farm platform was derived through the analysis of environment related to politics, economy, society, and technology related to smart fish farming by applying PEST methodology of macro-environment analysis. It is expected that it will help the public and industrial circles in planning and implementing related projects by including the entire process of value chain of aquaculture industry of breeding, production, management and distribution, and by presenting advanced models based on artificial intelligence and digital twin.

A Study on Evaluation Factors for the Development of Public Services Export Decision Support Tools (공공서비스 수출 의사결정지원도구의 개발을 위한 평가요인도출)

  • Park, Jong-Seok;Kwon, Hyeog-In;Lee, Jin-Hwa;Lee, Hye-Lim
    • Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.39-40
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    • 2015
  • 전자정부를 중심으로 해외 공공서비스 시장의 지속적 확대에 따라, 국내 공공서비스 제공 기업들의 해외 시장 진출이 증가하고 있다. 이에 본 연구는 국내 공공서비스 보유 기업의 해외 진출을 지원하기 위한 의사결정지원도구를 개발하고자 하며, 크게 기업역량측면과 국가환경측면 두 가지로 구분하였다. 개발을 위해 전문가 대상의 중요도 평가를 통한 공공서비스 수출의 핵심요인을 도출하였다. 기업역량평가를 위한 요인은 수출관련 인적자원, 수출관련 조직자원, 수출관련 조직기능, 수출 마케팅 전략, 수출경쟁우위 등 5개 요인이 도출되었으며, 국가환경평가를 위한 요인은 제도적 요인, 인프라, 거시경제여건, 시장 운영 효율성, 기술혁신 및 성숙도, 상품시장 효율성 등 6개 요인이 도출되었다. 수출의사결정 지원에 대한 탐색적 연구로 공공서비스 수출 활성화의 토대를 마련하고자 한다.

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Strategies of Korean Trade Companies According to Russian WTO Accession (러시아 WTO가입에 따른 우리나라 기업의 대응전략)

  • Lee, Jae-Hyun
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.313-332
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    • 2013
  • Large tundra of the Russian Empire, has rich resources and science and technology, and a huge domestic market potential is rapidly changing. Based on the abundant energy resources such as oil, gas, and minerals, as foreign trade is active, the huge capital is moving. And commitment the active SOC by improving laws and regulations and changes in the structure of the Russian economy. One of them pushed the WTO since 1993, 19 years to see fruition join the WTO (World Trade Organization). As the official entry into force August 22, Russia, July 10, 2012, Congress passed the treaty after joining the WTO and of the 156th WTO member countries, was officially join. As the WTO, Russia has the world's 11th-largest economy in the steel tariffs from 30% to 15% are exported to Russia, South Korea Car TV parts from 10% to 0%, reduced from 20% to 5% Korean export companies to export to Russia, etc., is expected to become the new land of opportunity. Russia hopes the changes improve the investment environment, the service industry, manufacturing revitalization the macroeconomic sectors of the economy through the WTO, and forecast, but the consumption increased revenue due to tariff cuts, falling import prices and the real economy, and weak manufacturing base. On the one hand, the perspective of concern. In conclusion, Russia joining the WTO, and the feed to improve the fairness and transparency of the market opening, the Russian advance in Korean companies be facilitated and strong complementary cooperation, especially in manufacturing is expected. In this paper, after Russia joining the WTO, trade liberalization, and ready for a new era of economic cooperation between Korea and Russia, at the point of expanding openness to propose strategies to analyze the problems of Korean companies during the Russian advance.

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Predicting Raw Material Price Fluctuation Using Signal Approach: Application to Non-ferrous Metals (신호접근법을 이용한 비철금속 상품가격변동 예측모형 연구)

  • Kim, Ji-Whan;Lee, Sang-Ho
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.143-152
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    • 2009
  • Recent raw material prices fluctuation has been unexpectedly high and that made Korean economic activities to be depressed. Because most raw material supply in Korea depends upon oversea imports, unexpected raw material price fluctuation affects Korean industrial economies through macroeconomic variables. So Korean government enforces some political measures such as demand management and the supply-security assurance as long-range policies, and reservation and general early warning system as short-range policies. In short-range policies, it is necessary to be expected short term fluctuation. Up to recently, there have been many researches and most of those researches use parametric methods or time series analyses. Because those methods and analyses often generate inadequate relations among variables, it is possible that some consistent variables are left out or the results are misunderstood. This study, therefore, is aim to mitigate those methodological problems and find the relatively appropriate model for economic explanation. So that, in this paper, by using non-parametric signal approach method mitigating some shortages of previous researches and forecasting properly short-range prices fluctuation of non-ferrous materials are presented empirically.

New Computable General Equilibrium Analysis of the Effects of Greenhouse Gas Emissions Reduction Policies (새로운 연산가능일반균형모형을 이용한 온실가스 감축정책의 영향 분석)

  • Han, Minsoo;Moon, Jin-Young
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.169-205
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    • 2021
  • This study quantitatively analyzes the impact of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction policies on the global economy. To this end, we develop a multi-national and multi-industry static computational general equilibrium model that includes three components-GHG emissions from production, disutility due to GHG emissions, and governments' GHG emissions reduction policies. Then we calibrate the model with the relevant data and solve for the equlibrium using the most recent methodology (exact hat algebra). We find that the strengthening of unilateral GHG emissions reduction policies for each country reduces carbon emissions from domestic producers, but does not necessarily reduce global carbon emissions as production is relocated to other countries. On the other hand, we can reduce GHG emissions when all major countries simultaneously implement the strengthened reduction policies proposed by the OECD (2016). Our results imply that aligned reduction efforts of major countries are necessary to reduce global GHG emissions.

The Economic Impact of the Korean Port Industry on the National Economy : from the Viewpoint of Macroeconomics (한국항만산업이 국가경제에 미치는 영향에 관한 분석 - 거시경제의 관점에서 -)

  • Moon, S.H.
    • Journal of Korean Port Research
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.65-92
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    • 1992
  • The Korean central government has not appreciate the full extent of the impact of seaports on the national economy. As a consequence port investment has not been given sufficient priority and capacity has failed to keep pace with demand. The principal reason for this failure is the fact that the linkages (or relationships) of the port transport industry with other sectors have not been quantified and fully appreciated. To overcome this dificiency this paper developed a port input-output model to determine the economic impact of the port industry on the national economy. This impact study was conducted by analysing the impact of the Korean port industry upon the national economy from the macroeconomic viewpoint, and identifying the spreading effects of port investments upon the nation's economy. The analysis of the economic impact of the port industry suggests that its contribution to the Korean economy is substantial. What the model shows is, in quantifiable terms, there are the strong economic linkages between the port industry and the other sectors of the national economy. The contribution of the port industry to the Korean economy was summarised in the Conclusion section.

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