• Title/Summary/Keyword: 강우 강도

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Application of Artificial Neural Network to Improve Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts of Meso-scale Numerical Weather Prediction (중규모수치예보자료의 정량적 강수추정량 개선을 위한 인공신경망기법)

  • Kang, Boo-Sik;Lee, Bong-Ki
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.97-107
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    • 2011
  • For the purpose of enhancing usability of NWP (Numerical Weather Prediction), the quantitative precipitation prediction scheme was suggested. In this research, precipitation by leading time was predicted using 3-hour rainfall accumulation by meso-scale numerical weather model and AWS (Automatic Weather Station), precipitation water and relative humidity observed by atmospheric sounding station, probability of rainfall occurrence by leading time in June and July, 2001 and August, 2002. Considering the nonlinear process of ranfall producing mechanism, the ANN (Artificial Neural Network) that is useful in nonlinear fitting between rainfall and the other atmospheric variables. The feedforward multi-layer perceptron was used for neural network structure, and the nonlinear bipolaractivation function was used for neural network training for converting negative rainfall into no rain value. The ANN simulated rainfall was validated by leading time using Nash-Sutcliffe Coefficient of Efficiency (COE) and Coefficient of Correlation (CORR). As a result, the 3 hour rainfall accumulation basis shows that the COE of the areal mean of the Korean peninsula was improved from -0.04 to 0.31 for the 12 hr leading time, -0.04 to 0.38 for the 24 hr leading time, -0.03 to 0.33 for the 36 hr leading time, and -0.05 to 0.27 for the 48 hr leading time.

Estimation of the Natural Damage Disaster Considering the Spatial Autocorrelation and Urban Characteristics (공간적 자기상관성과 도시특성 요소를 고려한 자연재해 피해 분석)

  • Seo, Man Whoon;Lee, Jae Song;Choi, Yeol
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.723-733
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    • 2016
  • This study aims to analyze the effects of urban characteristics on the amount of damage caused by natural disasters. It is focused on the areas of a municipal level in Korea. Also, it takes into account the spatial autocorrelation of the damage caused by natural disasters. Moran's I statistics was estimated to examine the spatial autocorrelation in the damage from the study area. Subsequent to evaluating the suitability for spatial regression models and the OLS regression model, the spatial lag model was employed as an empirical analysis for the study. It showed that the increase in residential area leads to the decrease in the amount of natural disaster damage. On the other hand, the increase in green area and river basin is associated with the increase in the damage. As a result of empirical analysis, appropriate policy establishment and implementation about the damage-adding factors is needed in order to reduce the amount of damage in the future.

Characteristics of Water Quality at Main Streams and Lake Doam in Daegwallyeong Area (대관령 지역 주요 하천 및 도암호의 수질 특성)

  • Park, Kyeong-Hun;Kim, Byeong-Seok;Yun, Hye-Jeong;Ryu, Kyoung-Yul;Yun, Jeong-Chul;Choi, June-Yeol;Kim, Ki-Deog;Jin, Yong-Ik
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.45 no.6
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    • pp.882-889
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    • 2012
  • This study was surveyed that water physiochemical characteristics and phytoplankton incidence of main stream and Lake Doam near to Daegwallyeong agricultural area. Based on above results, it was conducted to get information overall water characteristics in south Han upstream river. COD value of Lake Doam was $6.1mg\;L^{-1}$ and T-P (Total phosphorous) from there was $0.26mg\;L^{-1}$ which was higher than the value of grade VI based on lake water living environment standard. Suspended solid was an average of 9.77 NTU which was higher than value of lake living standard. Concentration of phytoplankton was over $2.0{\times}10^3Cell\;mL^{-1}$ from July to September. It was considered that cyanobacteria were occurred due to massive influx of nutrient material by high temperature and rainfall during this season. Compare to Ontario's sediment quality guidelines, T-N and T-P was middle value between LEL and SEL in Lake Doam. This value means that contamination in water is serious. Therefore, it is considered that systematic management was needed to reduce and block contamination source.

A Sensitivity Analysis of Cell Size on a Distributed Non-Point Source Pollution Model (분산형 비점오염원 모델에서 단위유역 크기의 민감도 분석)

  • Bae, In-Hee;Park, Jung-Eun;Park, Seok-Soon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.27 no.9
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    • pp.952-957
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    • 2005
  • A sensitivity analysis study was performed to examine the effects of cell size on a distributed non-point source pollution model. The model, AnnAGNPS, whiff is a modified version of USDA's AGNPS, was applied to Eung stream watershed, a tributary of Cheongmi stream located in the South Branch of Han River System. The model components and results, such as channel length, slope, land use, and delivery ratio, were analyzed according to the various cell sizes from 10 to 200 ha. As cell sire increases, channel length decreases due to short-circuiting of meandering creek. The decreased channel length has more significant effects on the model results than any other geomorphological change. When the effects of land use and soil distribution are excluded, sediment delivery loads increase due to shorter time to reach the outlet of the watershed in larger tell size. When those effects are included, however, sediment delivery loads decrease in larger fell size because the variety of land use types can not be inputted. The predominant land use in the applied watershed is forest with very low soil erosion such that the predicted sediment delivery might be much lower than real system. The cell size of 30 ha was determined to produce the most appropriate resolution. Surface runoff and non-point source loads of TN, TP and BOD were predicted and the results agree well with the field measurements. From this study, it was shown that the model results would be very dependent on variations of topography, land use, and soil distribution, as a function of cell size, and the optimum cell size is very important for successful application of distributed non-point source pollution model.

The study on Installation Areas of Permeable Pavement for Stormwater Control (우수유출 저감을 위한 투수성 포장의 설치 면적에 관한 연구)

  • Jang, Young-su;Shin, Hyun-suk
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.18 no.11
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    • pp.104-109
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    • 2017
  • The flooding and deterioration of water quality caused by urbanization and climate change are becoming more serious. In order to respond to this, studies on low impact development (LID) technology, which is designed to restore the hydrological system of the urban basin to its natural state, have been actively pursued all over the world, The announcement of the low carbon green growth law, hydrophilic area special law, etc., highlights the importance of technology such as the LID method. However, whereas various developments have been made in relation to the current LID element technology, there has been little research designed to verify its effectiveness. In this study, we analyzed the optimum spatial distribution of pitcher fire pitcher packing in parking lots using the K - LIDM model to verify the effectiveness of the low impact development (LID) method in the early stages. Using the eight package scenario and the three rain intensity scenarios, it was found that the lower 40% pitcher packaging results in an approximately 90% spill reduction effect, as in the case of the whole pitcher's package. The confirmation of these analyses and experimental verification is expected to ensure that the actual pitcher packaging will be used as a basis for arranging LID facilities such as urban planning and housing development in the future.

Effect of Spatial Soil Salinity Variation on the Emergence of Soiling and Forage Crops Seeded at the Newly Reclaimed Tidal Lands in Korea (신간척지토양의 공간적 염농도 변이가 녹비·사료작물의 출현에 미치는 영향)

  • Sohn, Yong-Man;Jeon, Geon-Yeong;Song, Jae-Do;Lee, Jae-Hwang;Park, Moo-Eon
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.42 no.3
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    • pp.172-178
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    • 2009
  • Relation between spatial variation of soil salinity and emergence of five upland crops such as sudan grass, sesbania, barnyard grass, corn and soybean was studied in the three reclaimed lands of Korea during two years from 2007 to 2008. Although soil salinity is vary high at seeding season, desalting treatment by three days-flooding before seeding, reach at favorable level lower than $6dS\;m^{-1}$ of soil salinity for emergence of soiling and forage crops and then plant number emerged(No. $m^{-2}$) was 55~149 for sudan grass, 118~266 for barnyard grass, 46~115 for sesbania, 3~11 for corn and 6~19 for soybean in 2007. However plant number emerged under no desalting treatment varies place by place because of soil salinity difference in 2008. Plant number emerged after seeding according to soil salinity was well expressed as logarithmic function, and sharply decrease with increase of soil salinity. It is accordingly concluded that desalting treatment of flooding before seeding of upland crops is essential for good emergence in the newly reclaimed land from tidal flat.

Application of multi-dimensional flood damage analysis in urban area (도시지역 침수피해액 산정을 위한 다차원법 적용)

  • Tak, Yong Hun;Kim, Young Do;Kang, Boosik;Park, Mun Hyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.6
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    • pp.397-405
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    • 2017
  • In case of inundation in a city where populations and properties are highly concentrated, unlike rural areas it is necessary to apply the method of calculating the damage amount considering the sewage overflow and the corresponding building damage. In this study, Dorim 1 drainage sector has been analyzed with Multi-Dimensional Flood Damage Assessment (MD-FDA) for flood forecast. It is analyzed with past flood history through the SWMM model and calculated the amount of damage with district base data and the result of flow analysis. The result of the SWMM model to predict a range of flood, it was shown that the wide area after 4 hours (at 16:30) by sewer overflow. The building damage was estimated using MD-FDA. As a result, the maximum flood area has shown as $205,955m^2$ (0~0.5 m: $205,190m^2$, over 0.5 m: $865m^2$) and estimated building damage of Dorim 1 drainage sector is approximately 15.5 billion KRW (Korean won) and other contents is 7 billion KRW (Korean won). Also from 0 to 0.5 m depth estimated damage is approximately 22.4 billion KRW (Korean won) and over 0.5 m is 100 million KRW (Korean won). Based on the results of this study, it would be necessary to estimate the amount of sub-divided flood damage in urban areas according to various damage patterns such as flood depth and flood time.

The Environmental Characteristics and Vegetation Structures of Kirengeshoma Koreana Habitats (나도승마 서식지의 환경적 특성과 식생구조)

  • Cho, Seon-Hee;Kim, Dae-Woo;Kang, Sang-Ho;Jeong, Yeo-Hong;Lee, Sung-Jae;Kim, Joon-Sun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.102 no.3
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    • pp.446-454
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    • 2013
  • The present study investigated the biological agents and environmental conditions of the habitats of the Kirengeshoma koreana, a class 2 endangered species class according to the South Korean Ministry of Environment (MOE), elucidated the structural characteristics of the forest stands in the habitats with the importance value and the diversity index, conducted comparative analysis of the factors, and explored their relationship with environmental factors. According to the results of direction analysis of natural habitats of the Kirengeshoma koreana, the direction was distributed to the north or the northeast, and the slope amounted to $15-40^{\circ}$, thus demonstrating that the slope has little effect. In addition, the results showed that the distribution of Kirengeshoma koreana populations dramatically increased starting in areas at least 600 m above the sea level and that the relative light intensity was 3.79% on an average. Most populations were native to gorges and crevices between rocks so that they mainly tended to inhabit areas that could see soil loss in times of precipitation. In addition, a considerable number of the populations were close to hiking trails as well, thus leading to concerns about their artificial destruction. The soil of layer a in the main growth space of the Kirengeshoma koreana was analyzed and turned out to be strongly acidic, measuring pH 4.45-4.89 (average: 4.68). All investigation sections were typical natural broad-leaved tree areas, and, judging from the fact that the Kirengeshoma koreana was most likely to appear in colonies of the Mongolian oak tree (Quercus mongolica Fisch. ex Ledeb.), the Mongolian oak tree seems to be the species of tree that has the greatest effect on the inhabitation of the Kirengeshoma koreana.

Analysis of Runoff Characteristics for a Small Forested Watershed Using HYCYMODEL - At a watershed in Mt. Palgong - (물순환(循環)모델에 의한 산지소유역(山地小流域)의 유출특성(流出特性) 분석(分析) - 팔공산유역(八空山流域)을 대상(對象)으로 -)

  • Park, Jae Chul;Lee, Heon Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.89 no.5
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    • pp.564-575
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    • 2000
  • This study was carried out to reveal characteristics of long-term runoff by using HYCYMODEL in a small forested watershed. From May to September in 1998 and in 1999, the fitness of HYCYMODEL and runoff characteristics were estimated by HYCYMODEL using rainfall and discharge at the experimental watershed. The function of stage and discharge in the experimental watershed was determined as following equation $Q=11.148H^{2.5867}$($R^2=0.9956$). From May to September in 1998 and in 1999, the runoff rates were 57.7% in 1998 and 87.1% in 1999 at the experimental watershed. The discharge was assumed to be increased because of rainfall intensity difference and thinning. By applicability test, the HYCYMODEL showed good estimation of runoff by optimized fifteen parameters. Comparing runoff characteristics before and after thinning by calculating through HYCYMODEL, direct runoff and base runoff increased 4%, 7%, respectively as evapotranspiration decreased 11%. Parameters $D_{50}$ and $K_h$, which were related to the direct run, and a parameter $K_u$, which was related to the baseflow, were assumed to indicate that forest was changed by the effect of thinning and weathering process of bed rock.

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Influences of Cumulative Number of Days of Rainfall on Occurrence of Landslide (강우량의 누적일수가 산사태 발생에 미치는 영향)

  • Kang, Won-Seok;Ma, Ho-Seop;Jeon, Kwon-Suk
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.105 no.2
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    • pp.216-222
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    • 2016
  • In relation to the impact of cumulative rainfall on landslides in accordance with the cumulative number of days, for the more than 100 mm rainfall, the 3 days cumulative rainfall experienced 64.9% of the total points, which is 986 points out of the 1520 points. The 5 days cumulative rainfall period experienced 60% of the total landslides, which is 846 points out of 1520 points analyzed. The 3 days or 5 days cumulative rainfall thus had a greater effect on landslides than the other days. In addition, for the 101-200 mm rainfall, more landslides occurred in the 10 days cumulative number of days, for the 201-300 mm, more landslides occurred in the 14 days cumulative number of days, whereas the 18 days cumulative number of days had more landslides for the 301-400 mm rainfall. Thus, it is imperative to take into consideration cumulative rainfall and the cumulative number of days of rainfall in the establishment of forecasting and warning systems for landslides, to minimize the damage caused to life and property by landslides.