• Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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• v.8 no.3
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• pp.174-182
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• 2006

This study was to clarify the effects of forest stand changes on hydrological components of evapotranspiration and discharge. The forest-hydrological experimental stations in Gwangneung and Yangju, Gyeonggido near metropolitan Seoul have been operated by the Korea Forest Research Institute since 1979 to clarify the effects of forest types and practices on the water resources and nutrient cycling and soil loss. The hydrological regime of the forested catchments may change as forests develop. The ranges of change may be different depending on forest types. Evapotranspiration can be estimated to 679mm, 580mm and 368mm in planted young coniferous (PYC), natural old-growth deciduous (NOD) and rehabilitated young mixed (RYM), respectively. The slope of the discharge-duration curve shows the capacity of discharge control in a specific catchment. The slope tended to be steeper in RYM than NOD, the better forest condition. The slope in RYM became more gentle as the forest stand developed. Forests can modulate peak flows through interception, evapotranspiration and soil storage opportunity. PYC and RYM showed 100 and 50mm of threshold rainfall for modulating peak flows, respectively. The deciduous forest did not represent sudden changes of peak flow rates to rainfall, even 200 mm rainfall Forest development in PYC may play an important role in modulation of peak flows because peak flow rates reduced after 10 years.

• Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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• v.50 no.3
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• pp.275-285
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• 2017

To investigate the changes of dominant species of benthic macroinvertebrates according to the changes of temperature and precipitation, we surveyed twenty sites of the main Seomjin River in May and September in 2013 and 2014. The temperature, precipitation, water quality factors and substrate composition, which are important factors in benthos habitat environment, were collected and measured. The average temperature of the Seomjin River increased by $0.2^{\circ}C$ in 2014 compared to 2013, and the temperature increased from upstream to downstream, showing a difference of more than $3^{\circ}C$. Also, the annual cumulative precipitation (ACP) was increased toward low latitude. The temperature of Seomjin River increased more than twice in September ($21.7{\sim}24.5^{\circ}C$) after rainfall compared to May ($7.6{\sim}11.3^{\circ}C$) before rainfall, and CP (cumulative precipitation) increased about 3 times before rainfall (263 mm~287.5 mm) and after rainfall (756.3 mm~882 mm). Due to washing effect by summer precipitation, total number of species and individuals for benthic macroinvertebrates were higher in May than in September. Chironomidae sp. and Choroterpes altioculus were dominated in May, Ecdyonurus levis, Macrostemum radiatum and Choroterpes altioculus were dominated in September. As a result of correlation analysis between community indices and environment factors, it was found that there is a high correlation with boulder and sand among substrate compositions. According to the results of cluster analysis based on temperature, CP and the dominant species of benthic macroinvertebrates in Seomjin River, it was divided into two groups following temperature and CP, and the dominant species and geographical position were reflected and divided into detailed groups.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.56 no.6
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• pp.381-392
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• 2023

Precipitation, runoff, and evapotranspiration are changing worldwide due to climate change and human activities. Because watershed runoff is an important component of the hydrological cycle, it is important to investigate the changes in watershed runoff for water resources management. This study collected observed data of runoff, precipitation, temperature, and evapotranspiration in the Geum River basin as well as their synthetic data according to Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) scenarios, investigated the trend of hydro-meteorological variables using the Mann-Kendall test, and quantitatively evaluated the effects of climate change and human activities on the watershed runoff using the climate elasticity approach and the Budyko framework. The results indicated that the relative contribution of climate change and human activity to changes in runoff varies from region to region. For example, the watershed with the greatest contribution from climate change and human activity were the Yongdam Dam (#3001) basin and the Daecheong Dam (#3008) basin, respectively. Future climate change showed an increase in precipitation and temperature in both RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios, resulting in changes in runoff in the Geum River basin from 44.8% to 65.5%, respectively. We concluded that the effect on watershed runoff can be separated into climate change and human activities, which will be important information in establishing sustainable water resource management plans.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2022.05a
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• pp.328-328
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• 2022

GCM은 기후 변수들의 미래 예측을 위해 사용되는 모형이지만, 공간에 대해 저해상도 형태로 결과가 제공되며, 공간적으로 변화하는 국지적 규모의 기후변수(즉, 강수)를 이해하기 위해서는 공간변동성을 고려할 필요가 있다. 강우의 예측은 강우의 생성과 소멸 과정을 추계학적으로 재현하는 일기생성 모형인 AWE-GEN을 이용하여 앙상블 시계열을 생성하고, 구름의 생성과 소멸 및 이동, wet/dry 셀들의 생성과 이동, 지형의 국지적 특성 등을 반영한 시공간 변동 앙상블 시계열은 AWE-GEN-2D 모형을 이용하여 생성하였으며, 국토의 대부분이 산악지형으로 구성된 국내에 적용하여 그 적용성을 검토하였다. 생성된 시공간 격자 기반의 일기생성 시계열은 PRISM을 사용하여 매핑된 강수량의 공간 분포와 비교, 검증하였으며, 측정되지 않은 관측소 또는 원격 지역에 대한 평균 및 극한 강수량의 미래 예측 추정에 사용되었다. 또한, 평균 및 극한 강우의 공간 분포에 대한 미래 변화는 다양한 기간, 이산화탄소 배출 시나리오 등의 영향에서도 고려된다. 본 연구의 결과는 수자원 관리 및 재난 관리 정책을 수립하고 서비스를 제공하기 위한 기본 자료로 사용될 수 있다.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.40 no.1
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• pp.119-126
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• 2020

This study analyzed the effects of future climate change on water resources in the Gyeongan-cheon watershed of the Han River. Considering the uncertainties of GCM climate data, future data using 16 GCMs and SQM downscaling method are used. And SWAT model was applied to simulate the hydrological changes from the past to the future. The maximum to minimum difference according to GCM for the future period (2010-2099) was about 1,500 mm of annual precipitation, 150 mm of evapotranspiration, 1,380 mm of runoff, and the deviation from the mean was -40 % to +60 % of precipitation, ±15 % of evapotranspiration, -60 % to +90 % of runoff, which means that the variability is very high according to GCM. The impacts of climate change over the three future periods showed that precipitation, evapotranspiration, and runoff were expected to increase gradually toward the far future (2070-2099), and would be relatively larger under the RCP 8.5 scenario. On a monthly basis, it was analyzed that precipitation and runoff increased in July to September, while the evapotranspiration decreased in July and August, and increased in September and October. The results of this study are expected to be helpful in understanding the future climate impacts of various GCM data and the uncertainties associated with GCMs.

• Journal of Climate Change Research
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• v.4 no.3
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• pp.221-233
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• 2013

Due to the fact that the speed of climate change in Republic of Korea exceeds the global average speed, sound conservation and tourism strategies should be prepared based on the comparison between the meteorological factors and the number of tourists. In this context, almost 70 percent of the industries in Ulleung-do are closely related to tourism; hence the significance of tourism is increasing. The annual precipitation variation does not show remarkable fluctuation, and most precipitation has a tendency to fall in summer and autumn However, for the years 2010 and 2011, a different trend was exhibited with higher winter precipitation than any other periods. Precipitation intensity is usually stronger in May (in the morning), June (in the afternoon), and no big difference is shown between morning and afternoon precipitation from July to September. The number of tourist is compared to both the precipitation at Ulleung-do and the number of advisories and warnings in the East Sea of Korea using correlation analysis. The results demonstrate that the meteorological factors that reduce the number of tourist are precipitation and the number of advisories and warnings.

• Journal of Climate Change Research
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• v.5 no.1
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• pp.47-59
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• 2014

This study was conducted to estimate of future productivity for major spicy vegetables by the change of meteorological factors, temperature and precipitation. Based on analysis of meteorological factors, incidence of major disease(phytophthora blight and anthracnose) for hot pepper was over 50% with temperature over $18.3^{\circ}C$ in May and precipitation over 532 mm in July. And the meteorological factors in the August have deeply related to the incidence of virus disease(CMV and BBWV2) for hot pepper, however, both the meteorological factors and the incidence of virus disease showed to the opposite tendency. An analysis of the relevance of the white rot disease and the meteorological factors for garlic, a disease was highly investigated with temperature $15.0^{\circ}C$ to $15.9^{\circ}C$ in April to May. On the onion, higher incidence of white rot was investigated with temperature over $4.0^{\circ}C$ in November to January and precipitation over 40 mm in March. The occurrence of major disease for spicy vegetables and meteorological factors as a result of regression analysis, the optimal cultivation area of peppers and onions will be gradually expanded to the central regions in the near future in Korea.

• Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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• v.21 no.4
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• pp.91-107
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• 2018

It is required to monitor and assess the desertification in Tunisia, where the Sahara Desert, which is located in the southern part of Tunisia, is recently expanding northward. In this study, by using remote sensed data, land cover changes were examined, and the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Topsoil Grain Size Index (TGSI) and Albedo are used to monitor and assess desertification in Tunisia. Decision Tree was constructed, and the frequencies and trends of each assessment indicator, desertification degree and land cover were identified. In addition, we analyzed the correlation between assessment indicators and precipitation. As a result, desertification is generally intensifying northward, especially in areas with high levels of desertification. Also, bivariate correlation analysis showed that Albedo, NDVI and TGSI were all highly correlated with precipitation. It indicates that changes in precipitation have also been shown to affect Tunisian desertification. In conclusion, this study has improved the usability of various methodologies considering the assessment indicators based on satellite imagery, Decision Tree, which is a method of evaluating them complexly, and trends of land cover change.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2019.05a
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• pp.326-326
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• 2019

급격한 기후변화가 지속되면서 농업환경은 다양한 환경적 변화를 직면하고 있다. 기후변화로 일어난 이상기후 중 지구온난화와 이상 강수는 농업활동에 큰 영향을 끼치는 요소로 분석되었다. 특히 이상 강수로 인한 가뭄현상은 작물의 수분 공급을 저해하고 이로 인한 생산량 감소는 영농활동과 식량안보에 부정적 영향을 끼칠 것으로 분석되었다. 현재에도 발생하고 있는 가뭄현상으로 인하여 다양한 관개 방법이 진행 중이나 적절한 필요수량이 아닌 관습적 방법으로 관개를 진행하고 있는 실정이다. 우리나라의 1인당 강수량은 세계 1인당 평균 강수량의 1/6 정도이며, 따라서 수자원 절약이 가능한 효율적인 관개수량의 산정이 시급한 실정이다. 이에 본 연구는 미국 농무성(U.S. Department of Agriculture, USDA)와 텍사스 농업생명연구소(Texas A&M Agrilife Research Center)가 개발한 APEX 모델을 활용하여 1) 강수와 작물의 수분스트레스의 관계 및 특성을 평가하고, 2) 대표작물 세가지(고추, 배추, 콩)에 대하여 고정관개 조건에서 생산량과 관개수량의 관계를 분석한다. 그리고 3) 고정관개 조건을 바탕으로 과거 실측자료, 가뭄 시나리오, 그리고 풍수 시나리오에 대한 자동관개 모의를 진행하였다. 이 결과 현재 다양한 지역에서 행해지는 관행적 관개수량과 차이를 보였다. 따라서 본 연구는 향후 수자원 보존을 위한 밭, 논의 적정 관개수량 연구를 위한 기초자료로 활용될 것으로 기대된다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2018.05a
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• pp.191-191
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• 2018

최근 기후 변화로 인한 기상이변으로 인해 가뭄의 심도와 지속시간이 길어져 이로 인한 피해가 가중되고 있다. 본 연구는 국가 물 관리에 필요한 증발산량 자료 생산과 특성을 분석할 목적으로 수행되었으며, 본 연구 결과는 국가 물 관리 및 가뭄 분석 등에 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 2010년 국토교통부에서는 "국가수문관측망"에 증발산량 관측소를 포함하여 증발산량 자료가 정기적으로 생산될 수 있게 하였다. 계획수립 이후 일정기간 동안은 관측 방법과 품질관리 방법 등의 체계화되지 않아 전국적으로 확대되지 못하다가 최근에 와서 확대 설치되고 있다. 현재에는 증발산량 관측소가 한강수계 4개소, 금강수계 2개소, 영산강수계 3개소에서 운영되고 있다. 국토교통부 증발산량 관측소는 에디공분산 방식으로 구축되어 있으며, 자료는 30분 간격으로 생산되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 설마천 관측소의 3개년(2015년~2017년) 자료로 산지 증발산량의 경년 변화를 분석하였다. KoFlux 표준화 프로그램(spike 제거, 밀도 보정 등)으로 자료를 처리하였으며, 자료 보충(Gap-filling)은 FAO-PM, MDV, Kalman Filter 방법으로 수행하였다. 설마천 관측소에서 증발산량을 산정하여 산지 증발산량의 경년변화를 분석한 결과, 증발산량은 강수량과 순복산량의 규모에 따라 상이하였다. 또한 비교적 강수량이 적은 해에 증발산 비율이 커지는 특성을 나타내었다. 이는 가뭄 시 증발산을 왕성하게 하는 환경이 조성되어 발생되는 것으로 분석되었다.