• Title/Summary/Keyword: 간결성의 원리

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Temporal distritution analysis of design rainfall by significance test of regression coefficients (회귀계수의 유의성 검정방법에 따른 설계강우량 시간분포 분석)

  • Park, Jin Heea;Lee, Jae Joon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.4
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    • pp.257-266
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    • 2022
  • Inundation damage is increasing every year due to localized heavy rain and an increase of rainfall exceeding the design frequency. Accordingly, the importance of hydraulic structures for flood control and defense is also increasing. The hydraulic structures are designed according to its purpose and performance, and the amount of flood is an important calculation factor. However, in Korea, design rainfall is used as input data for hydrological analysis for the design of hydraulic structures due to the lack of sufficient data and the lack of reliability of observation data. Accurate probability rainfall and its temporal distribution are important factors to estimate the design rainfall. In practice, the regression equation of temporal distribution for the design rainfall is calculated using the cumulative rainfall percentage of Huff's quartile method. In addition, the 6th order polynomial regression equation which shows high overall accuracy, is uniformly used. In this study, the optimized regression equation of temporal distribution is derived using the variable selection method according to the principle of parsimony in statistical modeling. The derived regression equation of temporal distribution is verified through the significance test. As a result of this study, it is most appropriate to derive the regression equation of temporal distribution using the stepwise selection method, which has the advantages of both forward selection and backward elimination.

Comparison of Regression Coefficient Significance Test for Temporal Distribution by Multiple Regression Analysis Method (다중회귀분석 방법에 따른 시간분포 회귀식의 회귀계수 유의성 검정 비교)

  • Lee, Sung Ho;Lee, Jae Joon;Park, Jin Hee
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.205-205
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    • 2019
  • 우리나라에서 강우의 시간분포를 위해 보편적으로 사용되고 있는 방법은 Huff 4분위법으로 강우의 시간적 분포특성을 나타내는 무차원 시간분포곡선을 제시한 것으로, 강우의 지속기간을 4분위로 구분하여 각 분위의 강우량 중 가장 큰 값이 속해 있는 구간을 선택하여 그 구간의 위치에 따라 분위를 정하는 방법이다. 현재 실무에서는 Huff의 분위별 곡선에 대한 회귀식은 지속기간 전반에 걸쳐 정확도가 높은 이유로 6차식을 적용하고 있으나, 통계 모델링에서 간결함의 원리에 따라 회귀식이 간결할 필요가 있으며, 통계적 유의수준에 기초하여 회귀계수를 결정하여야 하므로 유의성 검정 방법을 통한 검정결과를 비교할 필요가 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 다중회귀분석 방법에 따른 회귀계수 유의성 검정결과 비교를 위하여 구미지역의 무차원 누가우량 백분율을 이용한 시간분포 회귀식을 이용하여 유의성 검정 방법인 분산분석 방법(Analysis of Variance)과 변수선택 방법(Backward Selection)의 검정 결과를 도출 및 비교하였다. 통계프로그램인 프로그래밍 R을 이용하여 변수선택 방법 중 후방제거법 함수를 이용하여 최종 회귀식을 도출하고 또한 7차 회귀식을 분산분석을 이용한 후방제거법으로 회귀계수를 제거하는 방법으로 최종 회귀식을 산정하였다. 분산분석을 이용한 후방제거법의 유의성 검정결과는 프로그래밍 R을 이용한 후방제거법의 결과와 동일한 것으로 분석되었다. 일반적으로 설계강우량의 시간분포를 위한 방법으로 사용되고 있는 Huff의 4분위 방법의 시간분포 회귀식은 회귀계수의 유의성 검정이 이루어지고 있지 않으므로 본 연구결과를 통해 설계강우량 시간분포 회귀식의 유의성 검정방법 제시 및 결과도출과정을 통해 시간분포 회귀식 산정기법으로 활용할 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

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Application and Evaluation of Object-Oriented Educational Programming Language 'Dolittle' for Computer Science Education in Secondary Education (중등 컴퓨터과학교육을 위한 객체지향형 EPL '두리틀'의 적용 및 평가)

  • Kwon, Dae-Yong;Gil, Hye-Min;Yeum, Yong-Cheul;Yoo, Seoung-Wook;Kanemune, Susumu;Kuno, Yasushi;Lee, Won-Gyu
    • The Journal of Korean Association of Computer Education
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    • v.7 no.6
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2004
  • Current computer education is difficult to educate basic concepts and principals of the computer science because the 7th curriculum of computer education is focused on the application of software. According to the ACM K-12 report about the computer science education model, current computer education is taking the wrong way and we should put the highly priority on the education of the fundamentals through programming languages for a better computer education oriented to the computer science. This paper introduces a new object-oriented educational programming language "Dolittle". The design principals of Dolittle are simple syntax of Korean, incremental programming, text based programming, aliasing of function, and object-oriented programming. Being applied to middle school classes, we can confirm that Dolittle is easy to learn, and gives rise to high interest and keeps interest through a course, and also is of great practical use in class for programming novice.

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Statistical significance test of polynomial regression equation for Huff's quartile method of design rainfall (설계강우량의 Huff 4분위 방법 다항회귀식에 대한 유의성 검정)

  • Park, Jinhee;Lee, Jaejoon;Lee, Sungho
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.3
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    • pp.263-272
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    • 2018
  • For the design of hydraulic structures, the design flood discharge corresponding to a specific frequency is generally used by using the design storm calculated according to the rainfall-runoff relationship. In the past, empirical equations such as rational equations were used to calculate the peak flow rate. However, as the duration of rainfall is prolonged, the outflow patterns are different from the actual events, so the accuracy of the temporal distribution of the probability rainfall becomes important. In the present work, Huff's quartile method is used for the temporal distribution of rainfall, and the third quartile is generally used. The regression equation for Huff's quadratic curve applies a sixth order polynomial equation because of its high accuracy throughout the duration of rainfall. However, in statistical modeling, the regression equation needs to be concise in accordance with the principle of simplicity, and it is necessary to determine the regression coefficient based on the statistical significance level. Therefore, in this study, the statistical significance test for regression equation for temporal distribution of the Huff's quartile method, which is used as the temporal distribution method of design rainfall, is conducted for 69 rainfall observation stations under the jurisdiction of the Korea Meteorological Administration. It is statistically significant that the regression equation of the Huff's quartile method can be considered only up to the 4th order polynomial equation, as the regression coefficient is significant in most of the 69 rainfall observation stations.

Maps of Japan and the Understanding of Japan in the Joseon Dynasty (조선시대의 일본지도와 일본 인식)

  • 오상학
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.32-47
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    • 2003
  • The Joseon had made maps of Japan with information that gained during the exchanges with Japan on the basis of the polio of maintaining amicable relations. The elaborate map of Japan similar to Haenggido was in Honilgangniyokdaekukdojido(Map of integrated lands and regions of historical countries and capitals, made in 1402, and more accurate map of Japan was found in Haedongjegukgi(Chronicle of the countries of the Eastern Sea, compiled by Sinsukju in 1471. These products were due to openness of foreign exchanges in 15th century. After 16th century, understanding of Japan based on China-centric view was intensified, as the confucianism of Chu-tzu planted its roots deeply in Joseon society as the social doctrine. These tendency were reflected in the map-making, accordingly many kinds of maps of Japan in the atlas were meager in contents and distorted in shorelines. Apart these currents, as comings and goings of official envoy became brisk, elaborated maps of Japan were imported and copied in the Joseon dynasty. Consequently these maps helped the elites of Joseon to raise understanding of Japan.

An Analysis of Improvement and Compilation Issues of Mathematics Textbooks for Elementary Schools: Focusing on the 2015 Revised Elementary School Mathematics Textbook Government Published (초등학교 수학 교과서 개선과 편찬 상의 이슈 분석: 2015 개정 초등학교 수학 국정 교과용 도서를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Hwa Young
    • Education of Primary School Mathematics
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.411-431
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, implications for future curriculum compilation were sought by analyzing the process and results of compiling books for elementary school mathematics textbooks government published according to the 2015 revised curriculum. The 2015 revised elementary mathematics textbooks government published was operated with a systematic compilation system so that academia and school field experts across the country could demonstrate their expertise. As improvements in content, the unit and time to strengthen basic computational skills were increased, and the mathematical concept and principle introduction method and algorithm presentation method were improved, and the internal connection between contents was strengthened. The learning period was adjusted, such as moving and arranging contents that are difficult for students to understand to the upper semester or the upper grade. In the 1st and 2nd graders, the amount of reading was drastically reduced to suit the students' level of Korean, and sentences and vocabulary were improved, and instructions were briefly revised. As for editing and design improvements, illustrations of each unit's introduction and contextual pictures were presented in detail, and the characters in the textbook were consistently presented across all grades, giving children characters a role to actively participate in learning in the textbook. In the process of compiling, the media, the National Assembly, and civic groups raised opinions that sentences and vocabulary in first-year textbooks are more difficult than students' level of Hangeul education, that reducing textbooks makes it difficult for students to understand. Accordingly, efforts to improve textbook compilation and the results were viewed. Through the overall analysis as above, for future compilation of state-authored textbooks and certified textbooks, a plan to improve textbook compilation for students and teachers and a plan to operate compilation was proposed.