• Title/Summary/Keyword: 가중 표준 편차

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A Spatial Interpolation Model for Daily Minimum Temperature over Mountainous Regions (산악지대의 일 최저기온 공간내삽모형)

  • Yun Jin-Il;Choi Jae-Yeon;Yoon Young-Kwan;Chung Uran
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.2 no.4
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    • pp.175-182
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    • 2000
  • Spatial interpolation of daily temperature forecasts and observations issued by public weather services is frequently required to make them applicable to agricultural activities and modeling tasks. In contrast to the long term averages like monthly normals, terrain effects are not considered in most spatial interpolations for short term temperatures. This may cause erroneous results in mountainous regions where the observation network hardly covers full features of the complicated terrain. We developed a spatial interpolation model for daily minimum temperature which combines inverse distance squared weighting and elevation difference correction. This model uses a time dependent function for 'mountain slope lapse rate', which can be derived from regression analyses of the station observations with respect to the geographical and topographical features of the surroundings including the station elevation. We applied this model to interpolation of daily minimum temperature over the mountainous Korean Peninsula using 63 standard weather station data. For the first step, a primitive temperature surface was interpolated by inverse distance squared weighting of the 63 point data. Next, a virtual elevation surface was reconstructed by spatially interpolating the 63 station elevation data and subtracted from the elevation surface of a digital elevation model with 1 km grid spacing to obtain the elevation difference at each grid cell. Final estimates of daily minimum temperature at all the grid cells were obtained by applying the calculated daily lapse rate to the elevation difference and adjusting the inverse distance weighted estimates. Independent, measured data sets from 267 automated weather station locations were used to calculate the estimation errors on 12 dates, randomly selected one for each month in 1999. Analysis of 3 terms of estimation errors (mean error, mean absolute error, and root mean squared error) indicates a substantial improvement over the inverse distance squared weighting.

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Computation of Tides in the Northeast Asian Sea by Blending the Topex/Poseidon Altimeter Data (Topex/Poseidon 고도계 자료를 이용한 북동 아시아 해역의 조석 산정)

  • Kim, Chang-Shik;Matsumoto, Koji;Ooe, Masatsugu;Lee, Jong-Chan
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2001
  • Tidal computations of $M_2,\;S_2,\; K_1$ and $O_1$ constituents in the northeast Asian sea are presented by blending the Topex/Poseidon (T/P) altimeter data into a hydrodynamic model with $5'{\times}5'$ resolution. A series of sensitivity experiments on a weighting factor, which is the control parameter in the blending method, are carried out using $M_2$ constituent. The weighting factor is set to be in inverse proportion to the square root of water depth to reduce noises which could occur in data-assimilative model by blending T/P data. Model results obtained by blending the T/P-derived $M_2,\;S_2,\; K_1$ and $O_1$ constituents simultaneously are compared with all T/P-track tidal data; Average values of amplitude and phase errors are close to zero. Standard deviations of amplitude and phase errors are approximately 2 cm and less than 10 degrees respectively. The data-assimilative model results show a quite good agreement with T/P-derived tidal data, particularly in shallow water region (h<250m). In deep water regions, T/P-derived tidal data show unreasonable spatial variations in amplitude and phase. The data-assimilative model results differ from T/P-derived data, but are improved to show reasonable spatial variations in amplitude and phase. In addition, the T/P-blended model results are in good agreement with coastal tide gauge data which are not blended into the model.

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Detecting Ventricular Tachycardia/Fibrillation Using Neural Network with Weighted Fuzzy Membership Functions and Wavelet Transforms (가중 퍼지소속함수 기반 신경망과 웨이블릿 변환을 이용한 심실 빈맥/세동 검출)

  • Shin, Dong-Kun;Zhang, Zhen-Xing;Lee, Sang-Hong;Lim, Joon-S.;Lee, Jung-Hyun
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.9 no.7
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    • pp.19-26
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    • 2009
  • This paper presents an approach to classify normal and ventricular tachycardia/fibrillation(VT/VF) from the Creighton University Ventricular Tachyarrhythmia Database(CUDB) using the neural network with weighted fuzzy membership functions(NEWFM) and wavelet transforms. In the first step, wavelet transforms are used to obtain the detail coefficients at levels 3 and 4. In the second step, all of detail coefficients d3 and d4 are classified into four intervals, respectively, and then the standard deviations of the specific intervals are used as eight numbers of input features of NEWFM. NEWFM classifies normal and VT/VF beats using eight numbers of input features, and then the accuracy rate is 90.1%.

Evaluation of a Diffusive Sampler for the Measurement of Formaldehyde using Colorimetric Method (흡광광도법을 이용한 포름알데히드 확산측정기의 평가)

  • Yim, Bong-Been;Kim, Sun-Kyu;Jung, Eui-Suk;Kim, Sun-Tae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.606-613
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    • 2005
  • The badge-type diffusive sampler for the measurement of formaldehyde in indoor air using three types of colorimetric methods such as chromotrophic acid(CTA), 3-methyl-2-benzothiazolinone hydrazone(MBTH), and 4-amino-3-hydrazino-5-mercapto-1,2,4-triazole(AHMT) method. The washing of the collection filter with several cleaning solution was effected with satisfactory results, regardless of the types of cleaning solutions. The concentrations of absorbance solution in each colorimetric method were experimentally determined by considering the sampling rates. The variation blank values in each colorimetric method was below 15%. As compared with CTA and AHMT methods, the reproducibility of MBTH method was excellent and was below 10% relative standard deviation. The collected formaldehyde mass and time-weighted concentration had a good correlation (correlation coefficient > 0.93). The limit of detection and limit of quantitation, and minimum sampling time were closely correlated to the sampling rates for the measurement of formaldehyde in each method.

A Study on the Assessment of Right-tail Prediction Ability of Extreme Distributions using Simulation Experiment (모의 실험을 이용한 Right-tail quantiles의 극치 분포형 비교 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Jinseok;Kim, Taereem;Song, Hyun-Keun;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.158-158
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    • 2016
  • 본 연구에서는 극치 분포의 오른쪽 꼬리 부분 예측 시 안정적인 확률수문량 산정하는 확률분포형과 매개변수 추정 방법을 평가하기 위해 Monte Carlo 모의를 수행하였다. 수문자료의 빈도해석에 적합한 것으로 알려진 generalized extreme value (GEV), Gumbel (GUM), generalized logistic (GLO), gamma3 (GAM3), normal (NOR), log-normal3 (LN3) 총 6개의 확률분포형을 바탕으로 오른쪽 꼬리 부분의 확률수문량 추정 성능을 모의 실험을 통해 평가하고자 한다. 30년 이상 자료를 보유한 기상청 지점의 지속기간별 연최대값 자료를 분석한 결과를 바탕으로 모분포를 GEV분포로 선정하였으며 평균이 1.0, 표준편차 0.5, 왜곡도 계수는 0.5, 1.0, 2.0, 3.0, 4.0이 되도록 가정하였다. 또한 자료 길이에 따른 성능 평가를 위해 표본 크기 20, 50, 100, 150, 200개에 대해 분석을 수행하였다. 위와 같은 가정으로 총 25종류(왜곡도계수 5개 ${\times}$ 표본 크기 5개)의 발생된 모분포에 6가지의 확률분포형과 3가지의 매개변수 추정방법(모멘트법, 최우도법, 확률가중모멘트법)을 조합한 18가지의 모델을 비교 분석해보았다. 평가방법으로는 평균 제곱근 오차(Root Mean Square Error, RMSE), 편의(bias), 평균 상대오차(Mean Relative Difference, MRD), 평균 절대 상대오차(Mean Absolute Relative Difference, MARD)를 사용하여 적용 모델의 성능을 비교 분석하였다.

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Reference Values and Water quality Assessment Based on the Regional Environmental Characteristics (해역의 환경특성을 고려한 해양환경 기준설정과 수질등급 평가)

  • Rho, Tae-Keun;Lee, Tong-Sup;Lee, Sang-Ryong;Choi, Man-Sik;Park, Chul;Lee, Jong-Hyun;Lee, Jae-Young;Kim, Seung-Su
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.45-58
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    • 2012
  • For the development of reference values and evaluation of water quality in various environmental conditions, we divided the coastal region around Korean peninsular into 5 distinctive ecological regions based on the influence of surface current, depth, tidal range, turbidity, and climate condition. We used national marine environment monitoring data collected by National Fisheries Research & Development Institute(NFRDI) from 2000-2009. For the reference values, we used maximum seasonal mean from 2000 to 2007 for DIN, DIP, and chlorophyll-a and minimum seasonal mean for secchi depth measured at stations without the influence of river runoff in each ecological regions. For the reference value of bottom dissolved oxygen saturation, we used minimum mean value of 90% calculated from minimal riverine influence stations of whole regions. We calculated enrichment score for each assessment criteria. The enrichment score of DIN, DIP, and Chlorophyll-a was 1 (=< reference value), 2 (< 110% of reference value), 3 (< 125% of reference value), 4 (< 150% of reference value), and 5 (> 150% of reference value). The enrichment score of DO saturation and Secchi depth was 1 (> reference value), 2 (> 90% of reference value), 3 (>75 % of reference value), 4 (> 50% of reference value), and 5 (< 50% of reference value). We calculated water quality index using weighted linear combination of five enrichment score for the comparison of whole regions. From the water quality index distribution calculated from all stations between 2000 and 2007 period, we classified into 5 grade based on the standard deviation calculated from total water quality index. We assigned grade very good(I), good(II), moderate(III), bad(IV), and very bad(V) when the water quality index was less than 23, minimum + 1 sd, +2 sd, +3 sd, and grater than minium+ 3 sd, respectively.

Quantification of Brain Images Using Korean Standard Templates and Structural and Cytoarchitectonic Probabilistic Maps (한국인 뇌 표준판과 해부학적 및 세포구축학적 확률뇌지도를 이용한 뇌영상 정량화)

  • Lee, Jae-Sung;Lee, Dong-Soo;Kim, Yu-Kyeong;Kim, Jin-Su;Lee, Jong-Min;Koo, Bang-Bon;Kim, Jae-Jin;Kwon, Jun-Soo;Yoo, Tae-Woo;Chang, Ki-Hyun;Kim, Sun-I.;Kang, Hye-Jin;Kang, Eun-Joo
    • The Korean Journal of Nuclear Medicine
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    • v.38 no.3
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    • pp.241-252
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    • 2004
  • Purpose: Population based structural and functional maps of the brain provide effective tools for the analysis and interpretation of complex and individually variable brain data. Brain MRI and PET standard templates and statistical probabilistic maps based on image data of Korean normal volunteers have been developed and probabilistic maps based on cytoarchitectonic data have been introduced. A quantification method using these data was developed for the objective assessment of regional intensity in the brain images. Materials and Methods: Age, gender and ethnic specific anatomical and functional brain templates based on MR and PET images of Korean normal volunteers were developed. Korean structural probabilistic maps for 89 brain regions and cytoarchitectonic probabilistic maps for 13 Brodmann areas were transformed onto the standard templates. Brain FDG PET and SPGR MR images of normal volunteers were spatially normalized onto the template of each modality and gender. Regional uptake of radiotracers in PET and gray matter concentration in MR images were then quantified by averaging (or summing) regional intensities weighted using the probabilistic maps of brain regions. Regionally specific effects of aging on glucose metabolism in cingulate cortex were also examined. Results: Quantification program could generate quantification results for single spatially normalized images per 20 seconds. Glucose metabolism change in cingulate gyrus was regionally specific: ratios of glucose metabolism in the rostral anterior cingulate vs. posterior cingulate and the caudal anterior cingulate vs. posterior cingulate were significantly decreased as the age increased. 'Rostral anterior'/'posterior' was decreased by 3.1% per decade of age ($P<10^{-11}$, r=0.81) and 'caudal anterior'/'posterior' was decreased by 1.7% ($P<10^{-8}$, r=0.72). Conclusion: Ethnic specific standard templates and probabilistic maps and quantification program developed in this study will be useful for the analysis of brain image of Korean people since the difference in shape of the hemispheres and the sulcal pattern of brain relative to age, gender, races, and diseases cannot be fully overcome by the nonlinear spatial normalization techniques.

Stochastic FE Analysis of Plate Structure (평판구조의 추계론적 유한요소해석)

  • 최창근;노혁천
    • Computational Structural Engineering
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.127-136
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    • 1995
  • In this paper the stochastic FE analysis considering the material and geometrical property of the plate structure is performed by the weighted integral method. To consider the stochasity of the material and geometrical property, the stochastic field is assumed respectively. The mean value of the stochastic field is 0 and the value of variance is assumed as 0.1. The characteristics of the assumed stochastic field is represented by auto-correlation function. This auto-correlation function is used in evaluating the response variability of the plate structure. In this study a new auto-correlation function is derived to concern the uncertainty of the plate thickness. The newly derived auto-correlation function is a function of auto-correlation function and coefficient of variation of the assumed stochastic field. The two results, obtained by proposed Weighted Integral method and Monte Carlo Simulation method, are coincided with each other and these results are almost equal to the theoretical result that is derived in this study. In the case of considering the variability of plate thickness, the obtained result is well coincide with those of Lawrence and Monte Carlo simulation.

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A Development of Rainfall Simulation Model Using Piecewise Generalize Pareto Distribution (불연속 Pareto 분포를 활용한 강수 모의발생 모델 개발)

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han;So, Byung-Jin;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.88-88
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    • 2011
  • 수자원에서 일강수량 모의기법은 다양한 목적으로 활용되고 있으며 기본적으로 수공구조물 설계 및 수자원계획을 수립하기 위한 입력 자료로서 이용된다. 수자원계획은 장기적인 목적을 가지고 수행되는 것이 일반적이며 우리가 목표로 하는 장기간의 일강수량자료의 획득이 어렵기 때문에 단기간의 일강수량자료를 장기 모의하여 이용하게 된다. 일강수량을 모의하는데 있어서 강수계열의 단기간의 기억(memory)을 활용한 Markov Chain 모형이 가장 일반적이며, 기존 Markov Chain 모형을 통한 일강수량 모의에서 발생하는 가장 큰 문제점은 극치강수량을 재현하기 어렵다는 점이다. 이러한 문제점으로 인해 수자원 계획을 수립하는데 있어서 불확실성을 가중시키고 있다. 특히 일강수량 모의기법을 통해서 추정되는 빈도강수량의 과소추정으로 인해 수공구조물 설계 시에 신뢰성을 확보하는 데 문제점이 있다. 이러한 점에서 본 연구에서는 기존 Markov Chain 모형에서 일강수량에 평균적인 특성과 극치특성을 동시에 재현할 수 있도록 불연속 Kernel-Pareto Distribution 기반에 일강수량모의기법을 개발하였다. 한강유역의 3개 강수지점에 대해서 기존 Markov Chain 모형과 본 연구에서 제안한 방법을 적용한 결과 여름의 일강수량 모의 시 1차모멘트인 평균과 2-3차 모멘트 모두 효과적으로 재현하지 못하는 문제점이 나타났다. 그러나 본 연구에서 제안한 불연속 Kernel-Pareto 분포형 기반 Markov Chain 모형은 여름의 일강수량 모의 시 강수계열의 평균적인 특성뿐만 아니라 표준편차 및 왜곡도의 경우에도 관측치의 통계특성을 매우 효과적으로 재현하는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구에서 제시한 방법론은 전체적으로 기존 Markov Chain 모형에 비해 극치강수량을 재현하는데 유리한 기법으로 판단되며, 또한 극치강수량을 일반강수량으로부터 분리하여 모의함으로서 평균 및 중간값 등 낮은 차수에 모멘트 등 일강수량에 전체적인 분포특성을 더욱 효과적으로 모의할 수 장점을 확인하였다.

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Seasonal Trend of Elevation Effect on Daily Air Temperature in Korea (일별 국지기온 결정에 미치는 관측지점 표고영향의 계절변동)

  • 윤진일;최재연;안재훈
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.96-104
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    • 2001
  • Usage of ecosystem models has been extended to landscape scales for understanding the effects of environmental factors on natural and agro-ecosystems and for serving as their management decision tools. Accurate prediction of spatial variation in daily temperature is required for most ecosystem models to be applied to landscape scales. There are relatively few empirical evaluations of landscape-scale temperature prediction techniques in mountainous terrain such as Korean Peninsula. We derived a periodic function of seasonal lapse rate fluctuation from analysis of elevation effects on daily temperatures. Observed daily maximum and minimum temperature data at 63 standard stations in 1999 were regressed to the latitude, longitude, distance from the nearest coastline and altitude of the stations, and the optimum models with $r^2$ of 0.65 and above were selected. Partial regression coefficients for the altitude variable were plotted against day of year, and a numerical formula was determined for simulating the seasonal trend of daily lapse rate, i.e., partial regression coefficients. The formula in conjunction with an inverse distance weighted interpolation scheme was applied to predict daily temperatures at 267 sites, where observation data are available, on randomly selected dates for winter, spring and summer in 2000. The estimation errors were smaller and more consistent than the inverse distance weighting plus mean annual lapse rate scheme. We conclude that this method is simple and accurate enough to be used as an operational temperature interpolation scheme at landscape scale in Korea and should be applicable to elsewhere.

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