• Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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• v.17 no.4
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• pp.563-568
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• 2007

This paper presents a methodology for predicting nonlinear time series based on the neural network with weighted fuzzy membership functions (NEWFM). The degree of classification intensity is obtained by bounded sum of weighted fuzzy membership functions extracted by NEWFM, then weighted average defuzzification is used for predicting nonlinear time series. The experimental results demonstrate that NEWFM has the classification capability of 92.22% against the target class of GDP. The time series created by NEWFM model has a relatively close approximation to the GDP which is a typical business cycle indicator, and has been proved to be a useful indicator which has the turning point forecasting capability of average 12 months in the peak point and average 6 months in the trough point during 5th to 8th cyclical period. In addition, NEWFM measures the efficiency of the economic indexes by the feature selection and enables the users to forecast with reduced numbers of 7 among 10 leading indexes while improving the classification rate from 90% to 92.22%.

• Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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• v.15 no.3
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• pp.109-116
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• 2014

This study proposed new instance selection using neural network with weighted fuzzy membership functions(NEWFM) based on Takagi-Sugeno(T-S) fuzzy model to improve the classification performance. The proposed instance selection adopted weighted average defuzzification of the T-S fuzzy model and an interval selection, same as the confidence interval in a normal distribution used in statistics. In order to evaluate the classification performance of the proposed instance selection, the results were compared with depending on whether to use instance selection from the case study. The classification performances of depending on whether to use instance selection show 77.33% and 78.19%, respectively. Also, to show the difference between the classification performance of depending on whether to use instance selection, a statistics methodology, McNemar test, was used. The test results showed that the instance selection was superior to no instance selection as the significance level was lower than 0.05.