• The Optical Journal
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• s.143
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• pp.16-19
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• 2013

산업연구원에서 발표한 '2013년 경제 산업 전망'에 따르면 우리나라의 2013년 국내경제는 수출이 급격히 둔화되면서 전반적으로 부진했던 2012년에 비해 다소 완화될 전망이다. 세계경제 부진 완화에 따른 수출회복, 유가안정에 따른 교역조건 개선에 힘입어 2013년 실질 국내총생산(GDP) 증가율이 3.1%에 이를 것으로 예상된다. 수출은 세계경제 부진 완화로 하반기로 갈수록 증가율이 높아지면서 연간 5.8% 내외 증가가 예상되며, 수입은 증가세를 회복하겠으나 수출과 내수의 낮은 증가세 및 유가안정 등에 따라 6.3%의 다소 완만한 증가가 예상된다. 민간소비는 가계부채 부담이 제약요인으로 작용하나 유가안정과 환율하락에 따른 교역조건 및 구매력 개선에 힘입어 2%대 후반 증가가 예상된다. 2013년 10대 주력산업은 세계경제의 부진 완화에 힘입어 2012년보다 회복될 것으로 보인다. 특히 일반기계와 반도체가 생산과 수출에서 상대적으로 호조를 나타내면서 10대 주력산업의 회복을 견인할 전망이다. 한편 10대산업이 전체 수출에서 차지하는 비중이 2010년 73.9%에서 2012년 69.0%로 크게 감소했으며 2013년에도 하락세가 지속될 추세다. 전통 주력산업의 수출 견인차 역할이 시장 성숙, 경쟁 심화 등의 이유로 인해 위축되고 있어 신수출동력의 발굴이 필요하다.

• Korean Journal of Rural Living Science
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• v.10 no.2
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• pp.1-14
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• 1999

The purposes of this study are to identify the factors affecting asset and debt choice behavior of rural households as well as to examine the differences in asset and debt choice behavior between rural and urban households. The data are taken from Korean Household Panel Study conducted in 1996 by Daewoo Economic Research Institute. Among 2,833, a final sample of 2,625 -537 rural and 2,088 urban sample- is used in this study. The results show that, the asset and debt choice behavior of rural households is totally different from that of urban households. The ratio of rural households holding all types of financial assets and sales credit is less than that of urban households while the ratio of holding real asset and loan is greater in rural than urban households. The most influential variable on the ownership of asset and debt is the age of household head. And there exist interrelationships between ownership of different assets and debts.

• 해운
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• s.83
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• pp.12-16
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• 2011

2011년 하반기 세계경제는 고유가와 유럽 재정우기 등 상반기 충격요인들의 향배에 의해 결정될 것이다. 3분기에도 4%대의 소비자물가 상승세가 이어지면서 국내경기는 하반기 중 회복의 활력이 세지 않을 전망이다. 원화절상, 일본 대체효과 소멸 등으로 수출활력이 다소 둔화되고 설비투자도 대기수요가 충족되면서 상승세가 꺾일 전망이다. 이에 따라 2011년 하반기 국내경제 성장률은 4.5%, 연간으로는 4.1% 수준을 기록할 것으로 전망된다. 가계부채, 건설사 및 저축은행 부실문제 등이 우리경제의 장기적인 불안요인으로 작용하겠지만 단기간 내 경제에 심각한 충격을 줄 정도는 아닌 것으로 보인다. 하반기 중에도 물가안정 대책에 초점이 두어져야 하며 단계적인 정책금리 인상으로 기대 인플레이션 상승을 억제할 필요가 있다. 하반기의 시작점에서 경제악화 요인들은 어떠한 것들이 있으며, 효과적으로 대처하기 위해서 현재의 상황과 앞으로의 전망을 살펴볼 필요가 있다. 다음은 LG 경제연구소에서 발표한 "2011년 하반기 세계경제 환경 및 국내경제 정책 전망"의 주요 내용을 정리 요약한 것이다.

• Journal of Consumption Culture
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• v.15 no.1
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• pp.93-118
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• 2012

The purpose of this study was to examine the effect of a householder's working type on household saving from the perspective of precautionary saving behavior theory and the determinants of household saving by householder's working type. The data for this study was from the 2009 year of the Korea Welfare Panel Survey (KOWEPS), consisting of 2,463 households with householders whose working type was regular or non-regular employment(temporary, daily or public work). OLS regression analyses and Chow-tests were performed. In the regression analyses, the dependent variables for household saving were precautionary saving and precautionary asset. Precautionary saving was operationalized with the amount of average monthly saving and the ratio of average monthly saving to average monthly disposable income, and precautionary asset was operationalized with the amount of financial assets and the ratio of financial assets to net assets. The independent variables were household income, household assets, householder's working type(regular, non-regular), householder's age, sex, education level and marriage status, income level, the number of household members, housing type, debt, and public transfer income. Monthly average total consumption expenditures for household income, and net assets for household assets, the existence of spouse for marriage status, poverty for income level were used. Public transfer income was classified into three, social insurance, basic assistance and government assistance. For the analyses, Stata 11.0 version was used. The results are as follows: Householder's working type was significantly related to the precautionary saving behavior of a household. However, the precautionary saving and the precautionary asset of a household with a householder in non-regular working type was lower than those of a household with a householder in regular working type. This result is not consistent with the expectation from the perspective of precautionary saving behavior that the saving of a household with a householder in non-regular working type is expected to be higher than that of a household with a householder in regular working type. According to the analyses of the determinants for precautionary saving behavior by householder's working type, monthly average total consumption expenditures, debt, net assets, poverty, the number of household members, basic assistance were statistically significant variables. The positive relation of basic assistance to precautionary saving(the amount of average monthly saving and the ratio of average monthly saving)is a noteworthy result in the analyses of the determinants for household saving by householder's working type. The above results suggest the followings. First, it is easy to predict the unstability of economic life of a household with a householder in non-regular working type because of relatively low precautionary saving and precautionary asset. The reason for the low precautionary saving and the low precautionary asset may be a low current income of the household in spite of its willingness to save. If this reasoning is possible, it suggests that policies are needed for households with householders in non-regular working type to save. Second, the relatively low precautionary saving and precautionary asset of a household with a householder in non-regular working type suggest also their long-term economic stability. This suggests they need to try a long-term financial planning even though they have limitations to save for future because of their low current income. It is necessary to develop the financial planning for the households with unstable incomes. Third, the determinants for precautionary saving behavior by householder's working type were mostly the ones which reflect the economic condition of a household. This suggests that the economic condition of a household is a core factor for household saving. Consequently, it emphasizes the efforts for a household to acquire the adequate level of income for saving. Forth, the positive relation of basic assistance to precautionary saving(the amount of average monthly saving and the ratio of average monthly saving) suggests the possibility for a household to accumulate the precautionary saving and the precautionary asset in the channel of basic assistance.

• Proceeding of Spring/Autumn Annual Conference of KHA
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• 2011.04a
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• pp.296-300
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• 2011

It's well known that housing is one of the largest holdings in household wealth and at the same time the majority of households highly concentrate on it for their wealth accumulation. Coupled with a low interest rate and increasing housing price, the rationale is conspicuous and the propensity to debt-financed consumption becomes strengthened. This research was to examine the risk of home financing. In doing so, the study utilized several secondary data to identify the characteristics of households who finance loans for home buying in three regions of the nation - so-called Bubble 7, Seoul Metropolitan Area, and others. Based on the 2009 KB survey, the major findings were as follows: the majority of the studied households in Seoul Metropolitan Area who owned a house lived in rental housing, housing accounted for 89% of the household wealth, and home loans taken on were a ballon payment amortized for a short-term period (5 years) with an adjustable interest rate. In addition, the payment method most of the households depend on is income. The financing mechanism fueled debt load of the households, and further they are financially very vulnerable to such factors as increase in interest rate, unemployment and market downturn. In the absence of understanding the financial system, the consumption behavior leads to house-poor, so that financial accountability and ethics are addressed while the intervention of the government in home financing system should be more cautious but stimulate financial soundness in household wealth accumulation.

• Human Ecology Research
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• v.55 no.3
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• pp.275-287
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• 2017

The recent Great Recession of 2008 was a period of sharp economic decline throughout the late 2000s. All socio-demographic groups were impacted by the economic downturn, however, Hispanic households were particularly hard hit. It is not a recent phenomenon that minority groups often have greater problems related to credit and debt repayments. A better understanding of these racial/ethnic differences in credit and debt has been hindered by the propensity of many studies to pool all racial/ethnic minorities together and compare them to white households. Using a Heckman-type selection model with a combination of the 2010 and 2013 Survey of Consumer Finances datasets to study household debt repayment problems, we found that racial/ethnic groups have been differently impacted by the recent Great Recession in terms of debt repayment problems. Hispanic households were less likely to hold debt; however, those with debt were just as likely as white households and African American households to be delinquent in repayments. This finding is contrary to prior research that indicated Hispanics with debt were less likely than white and African American households to be delinquent on repayments prior to the Great Recession of 2008. We propose possible explanations for the increase in debt repayment problems, that includes increased assimilation into the U.S. culture of credit use, the circumstance of being more recent home buyers prior to the decline, and living in states that suffered the greatest decline in housing value.

• Journal of Families and Better Life
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• v.14 no.2
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• pp.111-126
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• 1996

Debt was defined as all kinds of borrowings made by families in including credit card debt. The purpose of the study was to investigate the effects of family debt management on financial satisfaction. A model of debt management and financial satisfaction was developed based on the Deacon-Firebaugh's systems approach to family resource management and the variables comprising input throughput and output were based on the theoretical background asnd previous researches. Data were collected from 763 households' money managers residing in Seoul during Summer of 1995 and the statistical methods utilized included correlation coefficient multiple regression and path analyses. It was responded about 82% of the households had been indebted indicating the use of debt being a general way of living in this society. The results showed that financial satisfaction lowered with larger amount of monthly debt payment and with their uncertiainty regarding their capability to repay debt. The input which exerted direct effects on financial satisfaction were income asset financial expectations and family life cycle. And consumption demand on debt and easiness in extending credit had strong indirect effects on financial satisfaction via the throughput variables. The most powerful predictor of financial satisfaction via the throughput variables. The most powerful predictor of financial satisfaction was perceived difficulty in managing debt which was the instrumental output.

• 월간 기계설비
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• s.263
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• pp.46-49
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• 2012

정부는 지난 5월 10일 '주택거래 정상화 및 서민 중산층 주거안정 지원방안'을 발표했다. 이번 지원방안은 주택시장 과열기에 도입했던 규제들을 정상화해 시장기능이 원활히 작동하도록 하는 한편 실수요자들의 내집 마련 지원을 확대하고 중소형 임대주책 공급 등 서민 주거안정을 강화하는 것이 핵심이다. 여기에는 $\bigtriangleup$강남 3구에 적용되던 투기지역 지정 해제 $\bigtriangleup$일반공공택지내 분양권 전매제한 기간 2년으로 단축 $\bigtriangleup$민영주택 재당첨 제한 사실상 전면 폐지 $\bigtriangleup$양도세 비과세 대상 주택보유기간 2년으로 단축$\bigtriangleup$2년 미만 보유주택에 부과하던 중과세 세율 부담 완화 등이 포함됐다. 또 자금지원과 중소 임대주택 공급확대를 위해 $\bigtriangleup$우대금리 보금자리론 지원대상 및 한도 확대 $\bigtriangleup$생애최초 주택구입자금 확대 $\bigtriangleup$동일인 대출보증 한도 증액 $\bigtriangleup$세대구분형 아파트 적용 범위 확대 $\bigtriangleup$2~3인용 도시형생활주택에 대한 주택기금 지원한도 증액 $\bigtriangleup$1대1 재건축 주택규모 제한 완화 등도 담겼다. 그러나 이번 대책에는 건설 부동산시장이 고대했던 DTI 규제 완환 방안은 가계부채 증가에 대한 우려 때문에, 취득세 추가 감면 조치는 지방자치단체 재정난에 대한 우려 때문에 포함되지 않았다.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.17 no.11
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• pp.474-482
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• 2016

This paper presents an empirical analysis on the relationship between consumer sentiment and macro-economic indices by consumer's characteristics such as age, income and employment type. According to the empirical analysis based on the Consumer Sentiment Index(CSI) of the Bank of Korea and other macro-economic indices, the following study findings are presented. First, individual consumer sentiment depends not only on GDP growth, but also on other macro-economic conditions such as wage, employment, consumer and asset price, and debt burden. Second, the degree of importance of the macro-economic indices on determining individual consumer sentiment varies strongly according to consumers' characteristics. These findings reveal that the gap between consumer sentiment and GDP growth can largely be explained by considering the other macro-economic indices and consumer's characteristics.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.19 no.1
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• pp.90-102
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• 2018

In preparation of the increase in the domestic debts and the rise in the US interest rate, the Korean government has started to strengthen the regulation on the property market since 2017. So, it is likely that the sales in the domestic construction market would be decreased. Even in the overseas plant projects market, as there has been the continuous increase in the cost and the resulting increase in the losses, it looks hard for the large construction companies to keep their credit ratings as they are now. This study is designed to check Korean government's property policy and any possible problems caused by the overseas and domestic economic environment, which include the property market policy, interest rate, rise in the property price and lackluster sales in housing market. It showed the change in the credit ratings by finding out the sales, work capability, sales in non-governmental projects, operating profits and PF contingency liabilities. For this study, the questionnaires were sent to 30 practical experts to analyze the effect of the risk factor on the outside credit rating of large construction companies.