• Title/Summary/Keyword: 가격변동성

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Analysis of Real Estate Investment Trusts' Performance By Risk Adjustment Model (위험조정모형을 활용한 미국 REITs의 부동산 유형별 성과 분석)

  • Park, Won-Seok
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.665-680
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    • 2009
  • This study aims at analyzing the performance of Real Estate Investment Trusts(REITs) by Risk Adjustment Model. The main results are as follows. Firstly, most property types of REITs gain positive(+) excess overall returns at first and second period. On the contrary, most property types of REITs gain negative(-) excess overall returns and their standard deviations are larger at financial crisis period. Secondly, lodging, regional mall and commercial mortgage show lower risk-lower return, and freestanding, apartment and specialty show higher risk-higher return than average REITs, according to the CAPM results of . Moreover CAPM results of show the characteristics of REITs as investment commodities changes into higher risk-higher return for financial crisis period. Lastly, risk adjusted demanded returns of REITs are affected positively(+) by systemic risks and negatively(-) by unsystemic risks, according to the Risk Adjustment Model results of both and . Comparing risk adjusted demanded returns of REITs with their realized returns, healthcare reveals the largest outperformance.

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Dynamic Changes of Urban Spatial Structure in Seoul: Focusing on a Relative Office Price Gradient (오피스 가격경사계수를 이용한 서울시 도시공간구조 변화 분석)

  • Ryu, Kang Min;Song, Ki Wook
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.11-26
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    • 2021
  • With the increasing demand for office space, there have been questions on how office rent distribution produces a change in the urban spatial structure in Seoul. The purpose of this paper is to investigate a relative price gradient and to present a time-series model that can quantitatively explain the dynamic changes in the urban spatial structure. The analysis was dealt with office rent above 3,306 m2 for the past 10 years from 1Q 2010 to 4Q 2019 within Seoul. A modified repeat sales model was employed. The main findings are briefly summarized as follows. First, according to the estimates of the office price gradient in the three major urban centers of Seoul, the CBD remained at a certain level with little change, while those in the GBD and the YBD continued to increase. This result reveals that the urban form of Seoul has shifted from monocentric to polycentric. This shows that the spatial distribution of companies has gradually accelerated decentralized concentration implying that the business networks have become significant. Second, contrary to small and medium-sized office buildings that have undertaken no change in the gradient, large office buildings have seen an increase in the gradient. The relative price gradients in small and medium-sized buildings were inversely proportional among the CBD, the GBD, and the YBD, implying their heterogeneous submarkets by office rent movements. Presumably, those differences in the submarkets were attributed to investment attraction, industrial competition, and the credit and preference of tenants. The findings are consistent with the hierarchical system identified in the Seoul 2030 Plan as well as the literature about Seoul's urban form. This research claims that the proposed method, based on the modified repeat sales model, is useful in understanding temporal dynamic changes. Moreover, the findings can provide implications for urban growth strategies under rapidly changing market conditions.

Efficiency Evaluation of Defence Industry Firms by Utilizing DEA (DEA를 활용한 국내 방산업체 효율성 분석)

  • Choi, Jae-Ho;Lee, Yoon-Woo;Jang, Min-uk;Seo, Sang-Won
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.9
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    • pp.501-507
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    • 2018
  • Owing to the complexity and modernization of weapon systems, the role of the defense industry in producing military supplies has become increasingly important. In previous defense industries, price competitiveness was a key factor in the product choice. On the other hand, as exports of domestic military supplies are expanding rapidly based on superior quality, there is a need to evaluate objectively the efficiency of management in the domestic defense industry. In this study, the efficiency of management was measured using DEA, which is one of the decision methodologies. In addition, the number of employees (QA Employee) and R&D performance were set as input variables to utilize DEA, and the output variables were based on sales and operating profit. Based on the results of the analysis, a future study will measure the efficiency of the management of domestic defense industry to help guide a strategic development plan.

Strategy of Critical Materials Management in the World (세계(世界) Critical materials 관리(管理)를 위한 전략(戰略))

  • Kim, Yu Jeong
    • Resources Recycling
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.3-12
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    • 2013
  • It is necessary to manage risk of metals which are has rigid supply structures and expected demand expansion, considering to industry structure and resource securing capacity of each country. Countries conducted various criticality analyses and selected mainly rare metals as critical materials(or Critical metals or Critical raw materials). This study examined cases of metals risk evaluation and management which are based on technology changes and imbalance supply-demand. EU and U.S.A evaluated risk on metals needed as supply expansion of renewable energy. Japan forecasted demand of rare metals needed in Japan's growth engine industry. U.K analyzed criticality of metals, considering environmental burden occurred from mining to refining. Critical materials has features such as weak price signal, inelastic supply structure, demand volatility in technology change.

The Economic Analysis of A Solid Refuse Fuel (SRF) Project in the Urban Area (가연성 폐기물 고형연료(SRF) 사업의 경제성 분석)

  • Jang, EunMi;Cho, Yongsung
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.245-254
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    • 2013
  • Korea government promote renewable energy as the core of their energy matrix to break the dependence and reduce greenhouse effects. This study analyzes the economic assessment of Solid Refuse Fuel project in urban area, considering the marginal external costs of air pollution in this area. Assessment index defined as costs (i.e., construction cost, operation cost) and benefit (margin, external cost) data which is located in Sudokwon landfill site. The result indicates that cost-benefit analysis of SRF is calculated as 1.0. In addition, SRF project is very sensitive about electric power selling price, operating cost and labor cost according to inflation rates. This study shows that the sustainability of SRF project is required the government financial support like investment funds as well as policy support. Variability analysis of SRF economic assessment due to renewable energy can be used for making policies in various fields such as waste and public energy field.

패널자료(資料)를 이용한 자본구조(資本構造) 결정요인(決定要因)의 추정(推定)

  • Kim, Hae-Jin;Lee, Hae-Yeong
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.33-56
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    • 1995
  • 본(本) 연구(硏究)는 자본구조이론과 전통적 연구에서 제시된 변수를 통합하고 횡단면(橫斷面) 요인(要因)과 시계열(時系列) 요인(要因)을 결합하여 우리나라의 자본구조결정 요인을 식별할 수 있는 이론적(理論的) 모형(模型)을 제시하여, 또한 제시된 모형을 한국증권시장(韓國證券市場)의 자료(資料)를 이용하여 실증적(實證的)으로 분석(分析)하였다. 그리고 실증적 분석에는 횡단면(橫斷面) 자료(資料)와 시계열(時系列) 자료(資料)를 결합하는 패널자료추정법(資料推定法)을 사용하였다. 본(本) 연구(硏究)에서 제시된 자본구조이론(資本構造理論)과 관련된 결정 요인으로는 기업(企業)의 성장기(成長機)을, 내부주주(內部株主)의 지분율(持分率) 그리고 내부주주수(內部株主數)의 비율 등을, 전통적 횡단면 요인으로는 경영위험(經營危險), 자산구성(資産構成), 수익성(收益性), 기업규모(企業規模) 등을, 그리고 전통적 시계열 요인으로는 법인세율(法人稅率)과 물가수준(物價水準) 등을 제시하였다. 본(本) 연구(硏究)에서 다루는 실증분석기간은 1981년 1월부터 1990년 12월까지의 10년간이었으며, 추출된 표본기업(標本企業)의 수(數)는 104개사이다. 실증적 분석결과, 본(本) 연구(硏究)에서 제시된 설명변수들이 자본구조(資本構造)의 변동(變動)을 49.91%정도 설명하고 있으며 설명변수 중 기업(企業)의 성장기회(成長機會), 내부주주(內部株主)의 지분을, 경영위험(經營危險), 수익성(收益性), 기업규모(企業規模), 물가수준(物價水準) 등은 자본구조의 결정 요인으로 통계적인 의미를 갖는 변수로 밝혀졌으며 회귀계수(回歸係數)의 부호도 기대하였던 바와 일치하고 있다. 질산으로 처리된 것이 컸고 0.75 M과 1.0 M의 질산을 사용했을 때는 작음이 확인되었다. 이상의 실험결과들로부터 친수성인 $NH_4Y$형 제올라이트를 소수성의 것으로 변환시키기 위한 수증기의 온도는 $500^{\circ}C$$600^{\circ}C$가, 그리고 질산의 농도는 0.5 M이 적합한 것으로 결론지을 수 있고, 이와 같은 결론은 BET비표면적과 TPV값과 같은 경향을 보인 벤젠과 톨루엔의 흡착용량측정결과로 입증되었다. 탈알루미늄된 제올라이트들의 수분에 대한 Si/Al비와 흡착용량은 각각 높은 농도의 질산으로 처리된 것일수록 증가하고 감소하여 소수성이 증가함을 나타내었다.(不適合性)이 나타났다. 본 연구는 기존의 기대수익률(期待收益率) 위주의 요일효과(曜日效果) 분석에서 주식수익률(株式收益率)의 분산(分散) 즉, 변동성(變動性)에 촛점을 두어 분석하였으며, 이는 투자자의 정확한 위험측정(危險測定)수단의 제공이라는 면에서 의의(意義)가 있을 것으로 생각된다.據金) 운용(運用)에 관한 정책수립시(政策樹立時) 금융선진국(金融先進國)의 증거금(證據金) 정책운용(政策運用)을 통한 시장관리(市場管理) 경험(經驗)을 어느 정도 참고할 수 있음을 시사한다고 할 것이다. 한다. 실증분석결과는 본문의 <표 1>에 제시되어 있으며 그 내용을 간략하게 요약하면 다음과 같다. (A) 실증분석모형 : 본 연구에서는 다기간 자산가격결정모형중에서 대표적인 Lucas (1978)모형을 직접 사용한다. $$1={\beta}\;E_t[\frac{U'(C_{t+1})\;P_t\;s_{t+1}}{U'(C_t)

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Economic Evaluations of Facility Farms by the Introduction of Mango Ultra-High Density Pot Cultivation (망고 초밀식 화분재배 도입 시설농가의 경제성 평가)

  • Jeong, U Seok;Kim, Seongsup
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.279-290
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    • 2021
  • This study evaluated the economic feasibility of facility farms according to the introduction of the ultra-high density pot cultivation (UHDPC) for mango. The basic model was selected as a representative farmhouse case in the Jeonnam region, and seven scenarios for conventional crops were tested. The economic feasibility of crop switching was analyzed through partial budget analysis (PBA). The PBA analysis results were supplemented by adding a sensitivity analysis and a break-even point (BEP) analysis. As a result of the analyses, it was found that crop conversion was economical because the increase in the profit coefficient was greater than the increase in the loss coefficient due to the introduction of mango for all conventional crops. The economics of introducing mango was more sensitive to changes in gross income than to changes in cost items. The results show the detailed conditions of crop selection according to the conditions and preferences of individual farms by presenting the direction of increase and decrease by budget item and information on the amount of increase or decrease. In particular, the BEP analysis result, which is about half of the farms case, is significant in that it presents the minimum target value according to production and market risks.

A Study on the Application Effect of Central-Grid PV System at a Streetlamp using RETScreen - A Case Study of Gwangjin-gu - (RETScreen을 이용한 가로등의 계통연계형 태양광시스템 적용 효과 분석 - 서울시 광진구를 중심으로 -)

  • Kang, Seongmin;Choi, Bong-Seok;Kim, Seungjin;Mun, Hyo-dong;Lee, Jeongwoo;Park, Nyun-Bae;Jeon, Eui-Chan
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2014
  • With continued economic growth, Korea has seen an increase in the nighttime activities of its citizens as hours of activity have extended into night. There is an increasing trend in energy consumption related to citizens' nighttime activities. In order to analyze ideas for an efficient replacement of the power consumption of streetlights and for profit generation by applying grid-type solar systems, this study used an RETScreen model. Through energy analysis and cost analysis, the application benefit and viability of grid-type solar street light systems were analyzed. With analysis result of a total weekly power generation of 114 kWh via a grid-connected solar streetlight system, it was shown that the net present value of a grid-connected solar street light system is 155,362 KRW, which would mean a payback period of about 5.2 years, and as such, it was shown that profit could be generated after about 6 years. In addition, if the grid-connected solar power generation system proposed by this study is to be applied, it was shown that 401,935 KRW in profit could be generated after the 20-year useful life set for the solar system. In addition, the sensitivity analysis was performed taking into account the price fluctuations of SMP, maintenance. As a result, a payback period has increased by 1~2 years, and there were no significant differences. Because the most important factor that affect the economic analysis is the cost of supply certification of renewable energy, a stable sales and acquisition of this certification are very important. the Seoul-type Feed in Tariff(FIT) connected to other institutions will enable steady sales by confirming to purchase the certification for 12 years. Therefore, if those issues mentioned above are properly reflected, Central-grid PV system project will be able to perform well in the face of unfavorable condition of solar PV installation.

Energy Economic Analysis of Standard Rural House Model with PV System (PV 시스템이 적용된 농어촌 주택 표준모델의 에너지 경제성 분석)

  • Lee, Chan Kyu;Kim, Woo Tae
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.1540-1547
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    • 2013
  • The energy economic analysis of the standard rural house model with PV system was performed based on annual energy demand calculation using the EnergyPlus to contribute in reducing building energy which occupies 25% of national energy consumption and in developing a low-energy & eco-friendly house model. Two types of PV system installation was considered to cover electricity demand for cooling, electric, and heating devices. For the selected house model, heating energy demand is 7 times higher than cooling energy demand. For the Case1, it is favorable to use electricity from PV system for cooling and electric devices and to sell surplus electricity. For the Case2, it is favorable to use electricity from PV system for cooling, electricity and heating devices and to sell surplus electricity. Considering the installation cost of PV system and heat pump air conditioning system, the break-even point of Case1 and Case2 are about 13 and 11 years respectively. Although the installation cost of Case2 is more expensive, Case2 provides three times more profit than Case1 after the break-even point. Because the expected average life time of the selected PV system is 25 years, Case2 is more favorable option for the given standard rural house model.

Analysis of Size and Economic Sensitivities according to Changes in Component Replacing Costs of Renewable Hybrid Generation System (신재생복합발전시스템의 각 구성품 교체비용변화에 따른 용량 및 경제성 민감도 분석)

  • Lim, Jong Hwan
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.71-78
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    • 2015
  • This paper presents a method for analyzing the size and economic sensitivity of a new renewable hybrid generation system according to changes in the component replacement costs based on HOMER (Hybrid Optimization Model for Electric Renewables). The design of a hybrid system can be optimized by reducing the size of a sensitive component based on sensitivity analysis using the change in cost of a component. Sensitivity analysis can also provide information on what combinations are necessary for the optimal hybrid system. As an example, sensitivity analysis was performed on the residential load provided by HOMER, and the effects of component replacement costs on the system size and cost were quantitatively analyzed.