• Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
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• no.39
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• pp.167-187
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• 2008

This study explores the trends of social security expenditures after financial crisis in welfare states. For the purpose, this study analyzes changes in social expenditures during 1980~2003 in 22 OECD countries. The results show that average total social security expenditure(as a percentage of GDP) among the 22 countries increased from 18.0% in 1980 to 22.3% in 2003. Compared to sharp increases during the great expansion period of the welfare state before 1980s, the increase in social expenditures after 1980s is substantially weakened. The slowdown in the increases of social expenditures is remarkable in the social democratic welfare states where social expenditures have already reached a high level. On the other hand, social expenditures are considerably increased in the lagged welfare states such as South European countries and Japan. As a result, the cross-national difference in social expenditures has continuously decreased. These findings suggest that financial crisis is a key factor of welfare-state reorganization. Countries where social expenditures are in high level need more reforms under the pressure of financial deficits. Since 1980s, they have tried various reforms especially in pensions and unemployment benefits. Facing new and increasing demands for social security as well as financial limitations, the welfare state needs major reforms in the social security system to increase effectiveness/efficiency of existing programs and to iron out priorities among programs.

• Social Workers
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• no.11 s.43
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• pp.14-17
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• 2005

2006년 사회복지 · 보건분야 재정지출이 55조원 규모로 정부 총지출 221조원에서 복지재정이 차지하는 비중이 25%에 이른다고 발표되었다. 정부예산정책처에 따르면 2006년 보건복지부 소관 예산은 10조3,88억 원으로 2005년 비해 12.7% 증가하여 이는 정부 예산 증가율의 2배에 해당된다. 그러나 이는 과거 ‘SOC분야’의 주택부문이 복지분야로 분류체계가 변하면서 발생한 통계적 수치 변화에 불과하다. 2006년 기준으로 12조 1,496억 원 규모의 건설교통부 소관 주택부문 재정이 복지 분야로 포함되었으며, 이로 인해 2006년 예산이 획기적으로 늘어난 것처럼 보이는 것일 뿐 사실상 사회복지 · 보건 분야 재정지출은 12조1,496억 원을 제외하면 42조5,042억 원이다. 정부는 이를 통해 국민기초생활보장의 내실화의 차상위 빈곤계층 지원을 통한 사회안전망의 확충, 저출산 · 고령사회에 대비한 투자 확대 및 공공보건의료 기반을 강화해 ‘사회양극화’를 해소하겠다고 하고 있지만, 여전히 소득보장 기능이 미흡하고 지역 간 복지 불평등 문제를 심화시키며, 재원조달방안이 없는 등 여러 문제점을 안고 있다.

• International Area Studies Review
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• v.21 no.2
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• pp.21-44
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• 2017

Under the new normal, the China's economy growth has changed rapid growth to moderate growth since 2007. With new paradigm, China is facing an abnormally severe employment situation. Also the financial expenditure is an important macro adjustment method. The research analyzes both implications of financial expenditures to employment in China, and the trend of implication in different regions. The research was conducted by 2SLS method using the panel data of 31 Chinese local governments(provinces, cities, and autonomous districts) during 1998 to 2015. The main findings are as follows. In the new normal model(2008-2015), the financial expenditure to urban employment have higher effect than total employment. Also, higher income region have more positive effect than lower income region. Medical, technology expenditure have positive effect to total employment, social security, education expenditure have positive effect to urban employment. In the total model(1998-2015) have similar results with new normal model, but the elasticity is more higher than total model. Ultimately, it can be seen that the efficiency of financial expenditure is lower than new normal model. The government should increase the proportion of expenditure in fields of social security, education, medical, technology, and improve the expenditure structure. So as to promote the effect of financial expenditure to employment in new normal economy.

• Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
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• v.47 no.4
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• pp.217-254
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• 2016

The purpose of this study is comparing fiscal sustainability of 17 welfare states. Borrowed the concept of fiscal space to Ostry et al(2010) and Ghosh et al(2011), this study measures the fiscal sustainability in welfare states. Using data collected from 20 OECD countries from 1986 to 2013, this study attempts to evaluate the financial sustainability of each country. As a result, it is necessary that the appropriate level of tax burden is secured. Tax revenue is the funded basis for maintaining the welfare state, so increasing tax compliance to offset the negative impact of increasing welfare spending will promote social cohesion. In therms of tax structure, in accordance with the ability to pay principle, it is important to raise the equity between the source of taxation. Reducing the gap between labor and capital tax is required to achieve horizontal equity, It is also useful to utilize the financial base of the welfare state by broadening the tax base though a consumption tax. Improving the vertical equity can also make a positive contribution to the fiscal sustainability of the welfare state.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.22 no.1_2
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• pp.193-283
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• 2000

외환위기 이후 재정적자가 급격히 확대되면서 재정적자에 대한 일반인들의 관심이 높아지고 있다. 그러나 재정적자가 거시경제에 구체적으로 어떤 영향을 미치는가에 대한 실증분석은 많지 않은 편이다. 본고는 재정적자가 민간저축률과 물가상승률에 미치는 영향을 살펴보고 있다. 본 논문의 결과를 요약하면 다음과 같다. 첫째, 저축률과 재정적자 사이에는 리카도 동등가설이 예측하는 것과 같은 관계가 표면적으로 발견된다. 즉, 재정지출이 변하지 않을 때 재정적자의 증가는 민간저축률을 증가시켜 국민경제 전체의 저축률은 크게 변하지 않는다. 둘째, 재정수지가 변하지 않더라도 재정지출의 증가는 민간저축을 감소시킨다. 그리고 재정수지가 변하든 변하지 않든 정부소비나 이전지출의 증가는 국민저축률을 감소시킨다. 셋째, 재정적자는 물가에 별 영향을 주지 않는다. 이 가운데 첫째와 셋째의 결과는 별로 새삼스러운 것이 되지 못한다. 그러나 둘째의 결과는 지금까지 논의되지 않았던 사실을 알려주고 있다. 특히 1980년대 말 이후 GDP 대비 재정규모가 추세적으로 증가하고 있으며, 최근의 외환위기 이후에는 금융구조조정 지원 등에 따라 재정규모가 급격히 증가하고 있고, 장기적으로는 국민연금급여 등 사회보장지출의 증가가 예상됨을 고려할 때, 재정규모 증가를 억제하는 일에 보다 적극적인 노력을 기울일 필요가 있음을 알게 된다. 한편 본고에서의 한국은행의 준(準)재정활동을 고려하지 않았으나, 이를 고려할 때에도 재정수지가 물가상승률에 별다른 영향을 미치지 않는지에 대한 추가적 연구가 필요하다고 판단된다.

• Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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• v.39
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• pp.41-73
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• 1999

There are few studies on the estimation of social expenditures, since few efforts so far have been made to introduce and study social expenditures based on OECD standards. Previous studies focused on the total amount based on ILO and IMF criteria, which is limited in the estimation of social expenditures by function and in detail. Accordingly, government and research institutes have faced difficulties from the lack of relevant statistics in establishing policies and performing research. This study, therefore, aims to develop an estimation model for social expenditures, and define the scope of the social security scheme and finances. In the process of developing this model, the accuracy of the scale of social expenditures estimated according to OECD criterion was also considered. Specifically, efforts were made to secure transparency of estimation through omission or duplication of expenditures. The estimation of Korea's social expenditures is applied to this model. The estimates for the year 1997 revealed 30,918.2 billion Won or 6.82% of GDP, which is a 20.8% increase per annum.

• 한국사회정책
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• v.25 no.3
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• pp.3-35
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• 2018

This article critically reviews the arguments that deny the financial feasbility and effectiveness of universal basic income as an alternative to existing social security systems and makes some suggestions to design effective and efficient basic income schemes. Regarding the financial feasibility of universal basic income, I argue that replacement of the existing regressive tax expenditures with universal basic income without raising tax rates can effectively reduce tax burden or provide income support to a majority of people except the rich. Addition of basic income to the tax base and reduction of the number of beneficiaries of public assistance and the amount of cash payment for them can further help save money. Regarding the redistributive effect, I note that the targeting ability of the existing social security systems is not good and that "the paradox of redistribution" that universal-type programs tend to be more redistributive than selective programs applies to universal basic income as well. I demonstrate significant redistributive effect of a hypothetical revenue-neutral basic income scheme and reviews several empirical studies done in Korea and abroad to show that basic income can be more effective in redistribution than social insurances or public assistance programs. Lastly, I emphasize the need to construct a reliable tax-benefit microsimulation model to help researchers to study redistributive effects of basic income schemes and other taxes and social policies.

• Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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• v.69 no.2
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• pp.9-30
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• 2017

Generally, regime shift occurs less frequently than policy change and/or government change. Regime shift needs alterations and changes along the three critical components which constitute a domestic regime: (1) the character of the socioeconomic coalition that rules the country; (2) the political and economic institutions through which power is acquired and exercised; and (3) the public policy profile that give political direction to the nation. This paper tries to examine characteristics of the welfare regime of Korea, and explore policy reform options for the welfare regime shift in Korea. From the viewpoint of livelihood security perspective, I firstly tries to examine development process of Korean welfare regime and specify the main characteristics of that regime. Secondly, I present three policy reform options: (1) reform of the formal political institutions such as electoral system and government type; (2) restructuring of the composition of government expenditure structure; and (3) reduction of the informal employment. These three policy reform options are related to the alteration of socioeconomic coalitions and the changes of the political and economic institutions. Instead of concluding remarks, I finally suggest two debate topics to the round table discussion.

• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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• v.19 no.2
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• pp.141-156
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• 2013

Researchers in welfare services of local government in Korea have rather been on isolated issues as disables, childcare, aging phenomenon, etc. (Kang, 2004; Jung et al., 2009). Lately, local officials, yet, realize that they need more comprehensive welfare services for all residents, not just for above-mentioned focused groups. Still cases dealt with focused group approach have been a main research stream due to various reason(Jung et al., 2009; Lee, 2009; Jang, 2011). Social Security Information System is an information system that comprehensively manages 292 welfare benefits provided by 17 ministries and 40 thousand welfare services provided by 230 local authorities in Korea. The purpose of the system is to improve efficiency of social welfare delivery process. The study of local government expenditure has been on the rise over the last few decades after the restarting the local autonomy, but these studies have limitations on data collection. Measurement of a local government's welfare efforts(spending) has been primarily on expenditures or budget for an individual, set aside for welfare. This practice of using monetary value for an individual as a "proxy value" for welfare effort(spending) is based on the assumption that expenditure is directly linked to welfare efforts(Lee et al., 2007). This expenditure/budget approach commonly uses total welfare amount or percentage figure as dependent variables (Wildavsky, 1985; Lee et al., 2007; Kang, 2000). However, current practice of using actual amount being used or percentage figure as a dependent variable may have some limitation; since budget or expenditure is greatly influenced by the total budget of a local government, relying on such monetary value may create inflate or deflate the true "welfare effort" (Jang, 2012). In addition, government budget usually contain a large amount of administrative cost, i.e., salary, for local officials, which is highly unrelated to the actual welfare expenditure (Jang, 2011). This paper used local government welfare service data from the detailed data sets linked to the Social Security Information System. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the factors that affect social welfare spending of 230 local authorities in 2012. The paper applied multiple regression based model to analyze the pooled financial data from the system. Based on the regression analysis, the following factors affecting self-funded welfare spending were identified. In our research model, we use the welfare budget/total budget(%) of a local government as a true measurement for a local government's welfare effort(spending). Doing so, we exclude central government subsidies or support being used for local welfare service. It is because central government welfare support does not truly reflect the welfare efforts(spending) of a local. The dependent variable of this paper is the volume of the welfare spending and the independent variables of the model are comprised of three categories, in terms of socio-demographic perspectives, the local economy and the financial capacity of local government. This paper categorized local authorities into 3 groups, districts, and cities and suburb areas. The model used a dummy variable as the control variable (local political factor). This paper demonstrated that the volume of the welfare spending for the welfare services is commonly influenced by the ratio of welfare budget to total local budget, the population of infants, self-reliance ratio and the level of unemployment factor. Interestingly, the influential factors are different by the size of local government. Analysis of determinants of local government self-welfare spending, we found a significant effect of local Gov. Finance characteristic in degree of the local government's financial independence, financial independence rate, rate of social welfare budget, and regional economic in opening-to-application ratio, and sociology of population in rate of infants. The result means that local authorities should have differentiated welfare strategies according to their conditions and circumstances. There is a meaning that this paper has successfully proven the significant factors influencing welfare spending of local government in Korea.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.11 no.1
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• pp.51-70
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• 1989

본고(本稿)에서는 사회보장제도확충(社會保障制度擴充)과 관련된 자원배분(資源配分)과 소득재분배효과(所得再分配效果)를 국제비교(國際比較)와 경제적(經濟的) 결과(結果)를 중심으로 논하였다. 90년대를 향한 한국사회(韓國社會)가 처한 중요한 과제는 넓은 의미에서 형평(衡平)의 제고(提高) 및 국민복지수준(國民福祉水準)의 향상(向上)이다. 따라서 장기적 측면에서 볼 때 우리의 사회보장정책(社會保障政策)의 기본방향(基本方向)은 소극적 성격의 단순한 소득이전적(所得移轉的) 복지정책(福祉政策)이 아니라 그 원인을 제거하고 발생을 예방하는 적극적 복지정책(福祉政策)이어야 한다. 이를 위하여 사회보장부문(社會保障部門)에 대한 정책(政策)의 책임이 보다 강조되어야 하며 구체적으로 재정지출(財政支出)의 우선순위(優先順位)를 높여야 한다. 그러나 우리는 형평(衡平)의 추구(追求)를 단계적(段階的)으로 추진하면서도 동시에 경제성장(經濟成長)의 효율(效率)을 상당한 수준에서 유지하는 슬기를 가져야 할 것이다.