• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제5권4호
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• pp.429-440
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• 1996

A global carbon cycle model (GCCM), that incorporates interaction among the terrestrial biosphere, ocean, and atmosphere, was developed to study the carbon cycling aid global carbon budget, especially due to anthropogenic $CO_2$ emission. The model that is based on C, 13C and 14C mass balance, was calibrated with the observed $CO_2$ concentration, $\delta$13C and $\Delta$14C in the atmosphere, Δ14C in the soil, and $\Delta$14C in the ocean. Also, GCCM was constrained by the literature values of oceanic carbon uptake and CO, emissions from deforestation. Inputs (forcing functions in the model) were the C, 13C and 14C as $CO_2$ emissions from fossil fuel use, and 14C injection into the stratosphere by bomb-tests. The simulated annual carbon budget of 1980s due to anthropoRenic $CO_2$ shows that the global sources were 5.43 Gt-C/yr from fossil fuel use and 0.91 Gt-C/yr from deforestation, and the sinks were 3.29 Gt-C/yr in the atmosphere, 0.90 Gt-C/yr in the terrestrial biosphere and 2.15 Gt-C/yr in the ocean. The terrestrial biosphere is currently at zero net exchange with the atmosphere, but carbon is lost cia organic carbon runoff to the ocean. The model could be utilized for a variety of studies in $CO_2$ policy and management, climate modeling, $CO_2$ impacts, and crop models.

• East Asian Economic Review
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• 제18권3호
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• pp.277-299
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• 2014

Climate negotiations have been going on for the last two decades and the awareness for impacts of climate change has improved substantially. However, the trends of global $CO_2$ emissions did not reveal any encouraging signs, with developing countries emitting even more $CO_2$ and industrialized nations showing no signs of reducing emissions to below their 1990 levels. In order to meet the ambitious targets set by the Stern report for the next two decades, it is important to find new and path-breaking approaches to climate change. This paper attempts to analyze the use of carbon/development space historically, at present and in the future with a focus on equity. Trends analysis focuses on the last two decades (Post Rio) and the carbon budget based analysis considers a period of 1850-2050. Industrialized countries are found to have significantly overshot their budgeted allocation for the last 160 years. Both the developing and industrialized countries are overshooting the present budget estimates based on world per capita budget for the next forty years and proportional to the population of each country. It is important for the industrialized countries to bring down their emissions to meet their carbon budgets while the developing countries use their development space as a guideline for their development path. Furthermore, this paper presents aggressive and regressive scenarios for the industrialized countries to compensate for the climate debt they have created.

• 한국농림기상학회지
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• 제23권4호
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• pp.198-221
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• 2021

1960-70년대 대규모 산림녹화 이후에 한국의 산림은 점차 노령화되고 있다. 노령림의 순 CO₂ 교환은 이론적으로 중립에 가깝지만, 교란이나 관리에 의해 CO₂ 흡원 또는 발원이 될 수 있다. 본 연구는 한국의 광릉 낙엽활엽수 노령림(GDK)의 CO₂ 수지 역학을 이해함으로써, 다음 두 가지 질문에 답하고자 하였다: (1) 보전되고 있는 GDK는 과연 이론적으로 알려져 있는 CO₂ 중립인가? (2) 관측된 CO₂ 수지의 경년 변동이 문헌에 보고된 조절 인자들과의 선형적인 인과관계로 설명이 가능한가? 이에 답하기 위해, 본 연구는 KoFlux GDK 관측지에서 에디 공분산 기술로 2006년부터 2020년까지 15년 동안 관측된 CO₂ 플럭스 자료와 생기상학적 자료를 분석하였다. 연구 결과, (1) GDK는 15년 자료를 평균해서 보면 약한 CO₂ 발원이며, 관측기간 동안 흡원과 발원 사이를 오갔으나 최근 5년 동안 CO₂ 발원으로서의 강도가 증가하고 있다. (2) 전천일사, 생장기간, 엽면적지수의 경년 변동은 총 일차생산량(Gross Primary Production, GPP)의 경년변동과 양의 상관관계(R²=0.32~0.45)가 있는 반면, 기온과 지표면 온도의 경년 변동은 생태계 호흡(Ecosystem Respiration, RE)의 경년 변동과 유의한 상관관계가 없었다. 또한, 관측기간 초반(첫 10년)의 CO₂ 플럭스와 기상요인 및 생물학적 요인으로 학습시킨 기계학습은 관측기간 후반(최근 5년)의 GPP와 RE의 경년 변동을 제대로 모사해내지 못했다. 단, 고사목에서 배출된 탄소 추정량이 CO₂ 발원으로의 전환에 일부 기여했을 것으로 추정된다. GDK의 장기 CO₂ 수지 역학에 대해 올바로 이해하고 해석하기 위해서는, 분석과 모델링을 위한 복잡계과학 기반의 새로운 프레임워크가 필요하다. 더불어, 플럭스 모니터링 및 자료 품질 유지와 함께 고사목과 교란을 지속적으로 모니터링하는 것이 중요함을 다시 한 번 확인하였다.

• Ocean and Polar Research
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• 제26권3호
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• pp.501-506
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• 2004

The observational proxy estimates suggest that the North Atlantic overturning stream function associated with the North Atlantic Deep Water (NADW) production and outflow was substantially weaker during the last glacial maximum (LGM) than that observed under present conditions. The impact of the changes in overturning circulation on the glacial carbon budget is investigated using a box model. The carbon box model reveals that the atmospheric $CO_2$ concentration is more sensitive to change in the overturning circulation of the North Atlantic than that of the Southern Ocean, especially when North Atlantic overturning becomes weaker. For example, when the strength of the North Atlantic overturning circulation is halved, the atmospheric $CO_2$ concentration is reduced by 50ppm of that associated with the accumulation of $CO_2$ in the deep ocean. This result implies that a weaker North Atlantic overturning circulation may play an important role in the lowering of LGM atmospheric $CO_2$ concentration.

• 보건행정학회지
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• 제13권2호
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• pp.125-143
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• 2003

This study was conducted to estimate the future government budget in medical expenditures using for the low-income handicapped, because medical expenditures to the low-income handicapped is escalating in these days. It became a big problem not only to the central-government but also to the district-government because they have to subsidize a part of co-payment. This study was designed to project the future government budget using structural model. For the short-term projection, the structural model is stronger than the regression model. The data used for this study were the population projection data based on National Census Data(2000) of the National Statistical Office, the data of Ministry of Health & Welfare, and the data of National Health Insurance Corporation from November 2m to June 2001. The results of the study are summarized as follows: The future government budget in medical expenditures using to the low-income handicapped will be 15-18 billion Won in the year 2003, 16-23 billion Won in 2004, 18-30 billion Won in 2005, 19-38 billion Won in 2006 and 21-49 billion Won in 2007. It is predicted that they would be increasing rapidly. Therefore, the government budget in medical expenditures using for the low-income handicapped must be enlarged.

• 한국환경생태학회지
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• 제32권6호
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• pp.676-685
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• 2018

경북 안동 사문암 지역의 소나무군락에서 2017년 01월부터 2017년 12월까지 1년간 매목조사, 미기상 및 토양호흡 측정을 통해 탄소수지를 측정하였다. 사문암 지역에서 토양호흡량은 연중 42.48 ~ 262.61 g $CO_2{\cdot}m^{-2}{\cdot}month^{-1}$의 범위로, 평균 $151.71{\pm}75.09g$ $CO_2{\cdot}m^{-2}{\cdot}month^{-1}$로 측정되었다. 대조구인 비사문암 지역의 소나무림에서는 연중 20.94 ~ 449.24 g $CO_2{\cdot}m^{-2}{\cdot}month^{-1}$의 범위로 조사되었으며, 평균 $165.09{\pm}118.96g$ $CO_2{\cdot}m^{-2}{\cdot}month^{-1}$로 측정되었다. 사문암 지역과 비사문암 지역의 총 탄소저장량은 각각 91.90, $222.85ton{\cdot}ha^{-1}$로 나타났으며, 연간 탄소흡수량은 각각 7.99, $17.41ton{\cdot}ha^{-1}{\cdot}yr^{-1}$로 나타났다. 사문암 지역은 연간 $5.3tonC{\cdot}ha^{-1}$, 비사문암 지역은 연간 $14.49tonC{\cdot}ha^{-1}$를 흡수하는 것으로 나타났다.

• 한국수산과학회지
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• 제47권6호
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• pp.1026-1036
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• 2014

Real-time monitoring for environmental factors (temperature, salinity, chlorophyll-a, etc.) and fugacity of carbon dioxide ($fCO_2$) was conducted at an oyster Crassostrea gigas farm in Goseong Bay, south coast of Korea during 2-4th of November, 2011. Surface temperature and salinity were ranged from $17.9-18.7^{\circ}C$ and 32.7-33.8, respectively, with daily and inter-daily variations due to tidal currents. Surface $fCO_2$ showed a range of $390-510{\mu}atm$ and was higher than air $CO_2$ during the study period. Surface temperature, salinity and $fCO_2$ are showed significant correlations with chl.-a and nutrients, respectively. It means when chl.-a value is high in surface water of the oyster farm, active biological production consume $CO_2$ and nutrients from environments and produce oxygen, suggesting a tight feedback between biological processes and environmental reaction. Thus, factors affecting the surface $fCO_2$ were evaluated using a simple mass balance. Temperature and biological productions by phytoplankton are the main factors for $CO_2$ drawdown from afternoon to early night, while biological respiration increases seawater $CO_2$ at night. Air-sea exchange fraction acts as a $CO_2$ decreasing gear during the study period and is much effective when the wind speed is higher than $2-3m\;s^{-1}$. Future studies about organic carbon and biological production/respiration are required for evaluating the roles of oyster farms on carbon sink and coastal carbon cycle.

• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제26권11호
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• pp.1255-1266
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• 2017

Phosphorus (P) is an essential and major nutrient for both plants and animals. However, anthropogenic P in the environment may cause severe problems such as the deterioration of water quality. Therefore, it is essential for the Korean government to manage P in the agricultural sector. The annual P budget for Korea was 46 kg P ha-1 in 2013, placing Korea in second among Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries. P surplus and deficiency in agricultural lands can be estimated according to the P budget, which is one of the OECD agri-environment indicators. In the P budget, it is important to ensure consistency in the input-output data sources, in order to apply national and regional policies for the environmentally sound management of agricultural P. This study examines the impacts on the input-output data sources in the regional P budget in Korea. P budgets were between 99-145 kg-P/ha, depending on different data sources. We suggest two recommended data combinations (DC 1 and DC 2) for reliability of the data. P budgets calculated using DC 1 and DC 2 were 128 kg-P/ha and 97 kg-P/ha, respectively. According to the results, one of the core factors affecting P budgets was crop production. In this study, DC 2 was recommended rather than DC 1 in order to consider the cultivated areas for various crops. It is also necessary to analyze the sensitivity of the coefficients used in P budget in the future.

• 대기
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• 제25권1호
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• pp.85-97
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• 2015

This study is to investigate future changes in carbon cycle using the HadGEM2-Carbon Cycle simulations driven by $CO_2$ emissions. For experiment, global carbon budget is integrated from the two (8.5/2.6) representative concentration pathways (RCPs) for the period of 1860~2100 by Hadley Centre Global Environmental Model, version 2, Carbon Cycle (Had-GEM2-CC). From 1985 to 2005, total cumulative $CO_2$ amount of anthropogenic emission prescribed as 156 GtC. The amount matches to the observed estimates (CDIAC) over the same period (136 GtC). As $CO_2$ emissions into the atmosphere increase, the similar increasing tendency is found in the simulated atmospheric $CO_2$ concentration and temperature. Atmospheric $CO_2$ concentration in the simulation is projected to be 430 ppm for RCP 2.6 at the end of the twenty-first century and as high as 931 ppm for RCP 8.5. Simulated global mean temperature is expected to rise by $1.6^{\circ}C$ and $3.5^{\circ}C$ for RCP 2.6 and 8.5, respectively. Land and ocean carbon uptakes also increase in proportion to the $CO_2$ emissions of RCPs. The fractions of the amount of $CO_2$ stored in atmosphere, land, and ocean are different in RCP 8.5 and 2.6. Further study is needed for reducing the simulation uncertainty based on multiple model simulations.

• 한국해양학회지:바다
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• 제17권4호
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• pp.243-251
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• 2012

부산시 기장군 일광 해조류양식장에서 2011년 7월 5일부터 6일까지 약 30시간동안 해양 표층수의 수온, 염분 등의 환경인자와 pH와 이산화탄소분압($fCO_2$)을 연속 관측하였다. 표층수의 수온과 염분은 $12.5{\sim}17.6^{\circ}C$, 33.7~34.0범위를 보였으며, 조석과 광주기, 해류 등의 영향으로 일변화 및 일간변화를 크게 나타내었다. 이산화탄소분압과 pH는 381~402 ${\mu}atm$, 8.03~8.15범위를 보였으며, 엽록소는 0.8~5.8 ${\mu}g\;L^{-1}$ 범위를 보였다. 이산화탄소분압, pH 그리고 엽록소는 최대 간조와 성층이 강했던 5일 오후 5시 전후에 최소 및 최고치를 보였으며, 이는 엽록소에 의한 생물생산 결과 이산화탄소는 낮고 pH는 높아진 것을 의미한다. 해조양식장 이산화탄소변화에 대한 단순 수지모델을 적용한 결과, 낮에는 생물생산에 의한 감소가 수온상승, 대기와의 교환에 의한 증가와 상쇄하는 것으로 나타났으며, 밤에는 대기와의 교환 물리적 혼합에 대한 과대 평가로 관측치보다 다소 높게 나타났다. 모델결과는 해조양식장 이산화탄소분압 총변화량의 14~40%는 해조류의 일차생산에 의한 것으로 나타났다.