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Prognostic Value of Residual Circulating Tumor DNA in Metastatic Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma

  • Hongkyung Kim (Department of Laboratory Medicine, Chung-Ang University College of Medicine) ;
  • Jinho Lee (Department of Laboratory Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Severance Hospital) ;
  • Mi Ri Park (Department of Laboratory Medicine, Graduate School of Medical Science, Brain Korea 21 Project, Yonsei University College of Medicine) ;
  • Zisun Choi (Dxome Co., Ltd.) ;
  • Seung Jung Han (Dxome Co., Ltd.) ;
  • Dongha Kim (Dxome Co., Ltd.) ;
  • Saeam Shin (Department of Laboratory Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Severance Hospital) ;
  • Seung-Tae Lee (Department of Laboratory Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Severance Hospital) ;
  • Jong Rak Choi (Department of Laboratory Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Severance Hospital) ;
  • Seung Woo Park (Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Severance Hospital)
  • Received : 2024.07.04
  • Accepted : 2024.12.20
  • Published : 2025.03.01

Abstract

Background: Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) is a potential biomarker in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). However, studies on residual ctDNA in patients post-chemotherapy are limited. We assessed the prognostic value of residual ctDNA in metastatic PDAC relative to that of carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9). Methods: ctDNA analysis using a targeted next-generation sequencing panel was performed at baseline and during chemotherapy response evaluation in 53 patients. Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were first evaluated based on ctDNA positivity at baseline. For further comparison, patients testing ctDNA-positive at baseline were subdivided based on residual ctDNA into ctDNA responders (no residual ctDNA post-chemotherapy) and ctDNA non-responders (residual ctDNA post-chemotherapy). Additional survival analysis was performed based on CA19-9 levels. Results: The baseline ctDNA detection rate was 56.6%. Although clinical outcomes tended to be poorer in patients with baseline ctDNA positivity than in those without, the differences were not significant. Residual ctDNA post-chemotherapy was associated with reduced PFS and OS. The prognosis of ctDNA responders was better than that of non-responders but did not significantly differ from that of ctDNA-negative individuals (no ctDNA both at baseline and during post-chemotherapy). Compared with ctDNA responses to chemotherapy, a ≥50% decrease in the CA19-9 level had less effect on both PFS and OS based on hazard ratios and significance levels. ctDNA could be monitored in half of the patients whose baseline CA19-9 levels were within the reference range. Conclusions: Residual ctDNA analysis post-chemotherapy is a promising approach for predicting the clinical outcomes of patients with metastatic PDAC.

Keywords

Acknowledgement

We thank the patients who participated in this study and their families.

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