프로젝트 리스크관리와 낙관주의 편향

  • 임종권 (바름브레인 ) ;
  • 김홍연 (삼부토건 기술연구소)
  • 발행 : 2024.10.14

초록

키워드

참고문헌

  1. Autralian Transport Assessment and Planning (ATAP) (2018), ATAP Guidelines O2 - Optimism Bias
  2. Bain, R (2009) 'Error and Optimism Bias in Toll Road Traffic Forecasts', Transportation, Vol. 36, No. 5, September 2009, Springer, Netherlands
  3. DiBartolomeo, M. (2020) Project Optimism Bias in Capital Investment Decision Making
  4. GAO (2020) Cost Estimating and Assessment Guide - Best Practices for Developing and Managing Program Costs
  5. Hillson, D. (2009) Optimism, Pessimism, Realism and Risk, Risk Doctor Briefing
  6. HM Treasury, UK(2024) The Green Book: Appraisal and Evaluation in Central Government
  7. HM Treasury, UK(2023) The Orange Book: Management of Risk - Principles and Concepts
  8. HM Treasury (2013) Supplementary Green Book Guidance Optimism Bias
  9. MacDonald, M. (2002) Review of Large Public Procurement in the UK
  10. IRM (2013) Managing Cost Risk and Uncertainty in Infrastructure Projects
  11. Kahneman, D.,Tversky, A. (1979). "Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk". Econometrica. 47 (2): 263-291.
  12. Kim, H.Y. and Lim, J. K.(2024), "Key institutions and operational cases of modern project risk management" , Vol.25 No.5 (2024-10), Journal of the Korean Society of Construction Management
  13. 1Lim, J.K, Cho, I.S., Heo, J. H. (2024) Necessity and Background of Project Risk Management, Vol.25 No.5 (2024-10), Journal of the Korean Society of Construction Management
  14. Park(2017) Efficient financial management by improving the total business expense management system, Korea Public Finance Information Service
  15. Sharot, T. The optimism Bias, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B8rmi95pYL0
  16. WSDOT (2022) Cost Risk Estimating & Management Glossary Wikimedia.org The Cognitive Bias Codex https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/6/65/Cognitive_bias_codex_en.svg