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Improving prediction performance of network traffic using dense sampling technique

밀집 샘플링 기법을 이용한 네트워크 트래픽 예측 성능 향상

  • Jin-Seon Lee ;
  • Il-Seok Oh
  • 이진선 (우석대학교 정보보안학과) ;
  • 오일석 (전북대학교 컴퓨터인공지능학부)
  • Received : 2024.02.28
  • Accepted : 2024.05.14
  • Published : 2024.06.28

Abstract

If the future can be predicted from network traffic data, which is a time series, it can achieve effects such as efficient resource allocation, prevention of malicious attacks, and energy saving. Many models based on statistical and deep learning techniques have been proposed, and most of these studies have focused on improving model structures and learning algorithms. Another approach to improving the prediction performance of the model is to obtain a good-quality data. With the aim of obtaining a good-quality data, this paper applies a dense sampling technique that augments time series data to the application of network traffic prediction and analyzes the performance improvement. As a dataset, UNSW-NB15, which is widely used for network traffic analysis, is used. Performance is analyzed using RMSE, MAE, and MAPE. To increase the objectivity of performance measurement, experiment is performed independently 10 times and the performance of existing sparse sampling and dense sampling is compared as a box plot. As a result of comparing the performance by changing the window size and the horizon factor, dense sampling consistently showed a better performance.

시계열인 네트워크 트래픽 데이터로부터 미래를 예측할 수 있다면 효율적인 자원 배분, 악성 공격에 대한 예방, 에너지 절감 등의 효과를 거둘 수 있다. 통계 기법과 딥러닝 기법에 기반한 많은 모델이 제안되었는데, 이들 연구 대부분은 모델 구조와 학습 알고리즘을 개선하는 일에 치중하였다. 모델의 예측 성능을 높이는 또 다른 접근방법은 우수한 데이터를 확보하는 것이다. 이 논문은 우수한 데이터를 확보할 목적으로, 시계열 데이터를 증강하는 밀집 샘플링 기법을 네트워크 트래픽 예측 응용에 적용하고 성능 향상을 분석한다. 데이터셋으로는 네트워크 트래픽 분석에 널리 사용되는 UNSW-NB15를 사용한다. RMSE와 MAE, MAPE를 사용하여 성능을 분석한다. 성능 측정의 객관성을 높이기 위해 10번 실험을 수행하고 기존 희소 샘플링과 밀집 샘플링의 성능을 박스플롯으로 비교한다. 윈도우 크기와 수평선 계수를 변화시키며 성능을 비교한 결과 밀집 샘플링이 일관적으로 우수한 성능을 보였다.

Keywords

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