DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

The Impact of Public Pension on Chinese Household Consumption

  • Ya-Hao LI (Department of Economics, College of Commerce, Jeonbuk National University) ;
  • Fan YANG (Department of Economics, College of Commerce, Jeonbuk National University) ;
  • Shuang ZHANG (Department of Economics, College of Commerce, Jeonbuk National University)
  • Received : 2024.03.10
  • Accepted : 2024.03.29
  • Published : 2024.03.30

Abstract

Purpose: The improvement of the social security system can greatly affect residents' future uncertainty, and it is important to study the relationship between public pensions and household consumption. Research design, data and methodology: Using the 2018 China Household Panel Survey (CFPS) data, the instrumental variable method is used to analyze the impact of pension insurance on urban residents' consumption. Results: The results of the study show that there are differences in the impact of three different pension insurance systems on household consumption. The pension insurance for public sector significantly boosts household consumption, and having a pension insurance for public sector can increase household consumption by 7.7%. The pension insurance for enterprise employee will reduce household consumption, but this is only significant for urban households. The pension insurance for urban and rural residents has a negative impact on household consumption. For the 16- to 39-year-old group, having a pension insurance for urban and rural residents will reduce household consumption by 5.7%. At the same time, household income, assets, scale, and education level will positively stimulate household consumption. Conclusions: The study reveals varying impacts among different pension types, highlighting the need for optimizing social security schemes to incentivize higher consumption rates.

Keywords

References

  1. Bai., C. E., Wu, B. Z., & Jin, Y. (2012). The Impact of China's Pension Insurance Contributions on Consumption and Savings. Chinese Social Sciences, 8, 48-71.
  2. Barro, R. J., & MacDonald, G. M. (1979). Social security and consumer spending in an international cross section. Journal of Public Economics, 11(3), 275-289. doi:10.1016/0047-2727(79)90024-0
  3. Blake, D. (2004). The impact of wealth on consumption and retirement behaviour in the UK. Applied Financial Economics, 14(8), 555-576. doi:10.1080/0960310042000233863
  4. Feldstein, M. (1974). Social security, induced retirement, and aggregate capital accumulation. Journal of Political Economy, 82(5), 905-926. doi:10.1086/260246
  5. Feng, J., He, L., & Sato, H. (2011). Public pension and household saving: Evidence from urban China. Journal of Comparative Economics, 39(4), 470-485. doi:10.1016/j.jce.2011.01.002
  6. Leimer, D. R., & Lesnoy, S. D. (1982). Social security and private saving: New timeseries evidence. Journal of Political Economy, 90(3), 606-629. doi:10.1086/261077
  7. Shi, Y. & Wang, M. C. (2010). The Effect of Pay-As-You-Go Pension Insurance on Savings: An Empirical Study Based on China's Panel Data. Quantitative and Technological Economic Research, (3), 96-106.
  8. Zhang, J. (2008). Effects of Social Security Wealth on the Consumption of Chinese Urban Households. Journal of Shandong University: Philosophy and Social Sciences, (3), 105-112.
  9. Zong, Q. Q., Liu, C., & Zhou, Y. H. (2015). Social Pension Insurance and Household Financial Asset Investment in China: Evidence from the China Household Finance Survey (CHFS). Financial Research, (10), 99-114.
  10. Zou, H., Yu, K. Z., & Li, A. L. (2013). Research on the Influence of Endowment Insurance and Medical Insurance on Urban Household Consumption. Statistical Research, 30(11), 60-67.