Acknowledgement
본 연구는 한국연구재단의 중견연구자지원사업(2020R1A2C1012919)과 한국환경산업기술원의 가뭄대응 물관리혁신기술개발사업(2022003610001)의 지원을 받아 연구되었습니다.
References
- Cho, S.W., Kim, W.S., and Won, S.H. (2018). "Scenario development for loss estimation according to port disaster." Korea E-Trade Research Institute, Vol. 16, No. 2, pp. 39-60. (In Korean)
- Chung, H.W., Kim, Y.S., Kim, K.T., Choi, H.J., and Hong, S.J. (2021). The impact of future changes on the social welfare: Delphi surveys and scenario planning. Korea Institute for Health and Social Affairs. (In Korean)
- Frischen, J., Meza, I., Rupp, D., Wietler, K., and Hagenlocher, M. (2020). "Drought risk to agricultural systems in Zimbabwe: A spatial analysis of hazard, exposure, and vulnerability." Sustainability, Vol. 12, No. 3, pp. 1-23. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12030752
- Jeong, W.H. (2016). Evaluation of Boryeong Dam water supply capacity and research on drought response measures. ChungNam Institute. (In Korean)
- Kahn, H., and Wiener, A.J. (1967). Year 2000; a framework for speculation on the next thirty-three years. EUA: The MacMillan Company, New York, NY, U.S.
- Kim, J.E., Kim, M.J., Choi, S.J., Lee, J.H., and Kim, T.W. (2022). "Drought risk assessment considering regional socio-economic factors and water supply system." Journal of Korea Water Resources Association, Vol. 55, No. 8, pp. 589-601. (In Korean)
- Kim, J.E., Lee, B.S., Yoo, J.Y., Kwon, H.H., and Kim, T.W. (2021a). "Low-flow frequency analysis and drought outlook in water districts under climate change scenarios: A case study of Gim cheon-si, Korea." Journal of Wetlands Research, Vol. 23, No. 1, pp. 14-26. (In Korean) https://doi.org/10.17663/JWR.2021.23.1.14
- Kim, J.E., Yu, J.S., Ryu, J.H., Lee, J. H., and Kim, T.W. (2021b). "Assessment of regional drought vulnerability and risk using principal component analysis and a Gaussian mixture model." Natural Hazards, Vol. 109, No. 1, pp. 707-724. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-021-04854-y
- Kim, J.U., Lee, J.W., and Kim, S.J. (2019). "Evaluation of the future agricultural drought severity of South Korea by using reservoir drought index (RDI) and climate change scenarios." Journal of Korea Water Resources Association, Vol. 52, No. 6, pp. 381-395. (In Korean)
- Kotir, J.H., Smith, C., Brown, G., Marshall, N., and Johnstone, R. (2016). "A system dynamics simulation model for sustainable water resources management and agricultural development in the Volta River Basin, Ghana." Science of the Total Environment, Vol. 573, pp. 444-457. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.08.081
- Lee, M.H., and Kim, S.B. (2021). A study on establishment of cooperative system for drought management to respond to climate crisis. Korea Environmental Institute. (In Korean)
- Mallampalli, V.R., Mavrommati, G., Thompson, J., Duveneck, M., Meyer, S., Ligmann-Zielinska, A., and Borsuk, M.E. (2016). "Methods for translating narrative scenarios into quantitative assessments of land use change." Environmental Modelling & Software, Vol. 82, pp. 7-20. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2016.04.011
- Nam, W.H., Hayes, M.J., Wilhite, D.A., Tadesse, T., Svoboda, M.D., and Knutson, C.L. (2014). "Drought management and policy based on risk assessment in the context of climate change." Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers, Vol. 56, No. 2, pp. 2-15. (In Korean)
- Peddada, K. (2013). "Risk assessment and control." Journal of Governance and Regulation, Vol. 2, pp. 51-59. https://doi.org/10.22495/jgr_v2_i2_p4
- Qin, Q.X., and Zhang, Y.B. (2018). "Evaluation and improvement of water supply capacity in the region." Journal of Management and Sustainability, Vol. 8, No. 4, pp. 113-124. https://doi.org/10.5539/jms.v8n4p113
- Rangecroft, S., Birkinshaw, S., Rohse, M., Day, R., McEwen, L., Makaya, E., and Van Loon, A.F. (2018). "Hydrological modelling as a tool for interdisciplinary workshops on future drought." Progress in Physical Geography: Earth and Environment, Vol. 42, No. 2, pp. 237-256. https://doi.org/10.1177/0309133318766802
- Sahana, V., Mondal, A., and Sreekumar, P. (2021). "Drought vulnerability and risk assessment in India: sensitivity analysis and comparison of aggregation techniques." Journal of Environmental Management, Vol. 299, 113689.
- Schwab, P., Cerutti, F., and Helene von Reibnitz, U. (2003). "Foresight-using scenarios to shape the future of agricultural research." Foresight, Vol. 5, No. 1, pp. 55-61. https://doi.org/10.1108/14636680310471299
- Singh, G.R., Jain, M.K., and Gupta, V. (2019). "Spatiotemporal assessment of drought hazard, vulnerability and risk in the Krishna River basin, India." Natural Hazards, Vol. 99, pp. 611-635. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-019-03762-6
- Song, M.S., Kim, T.W., Lee, J.J., and Yun, H.S. (2017). "HABs risk mapping for aquaculture farm using GIS in south sea of Korea." Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation, Vol. 17, No. 5, pp. 377-383. (In Korean) https://doi.org/10.9798/KOSHAM.2017.17.5.377
- Wang, H., Huang, J., Cheng, X., Zhou, H., and Yuan, Y. (2022). "Scenario simulation of water resources development and utilization based on a system dynamics model." International Journal of Water Resources Development, Vol. 38, No. 3, pp. 447-463. https://doi.org/10.1080/07900627.2021.1908235
- Yang, J.S., Park, J.H., and Kim, N.K. (2012). "Development of drought vulnerability index using trend analysis." KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research, Vol. 32, No. 3B, pp. 185-192.
- Yeo, H.S., Kim, Y.H., and Kim, J.H. (2023). "Forecasting of future technology based on the law of technology evolution and scenario planning: Focused on telemedicine & digital health service." Asia-pacific Journal of Convergent Research Interchange, Vol. 9, No. 3, pp. 169-191.
- Yoo, J.Y., Kwon, H.H., and Kim, T.W. (2015). "Drought management and response in the United Kingdom." KSCE Magazine, Vol. 63, No. 2, pp. 60-65. (In Korean)
- Yu, J.S., Kim, T.W., and Park, D.H. (2019). "Future hydrological drought risk assessment based on nonstationary joint drought management index." Water, Vol. 11, No. 3, pp. 1-12. https://doi.org/10.3390/w11030532