Machine Learning Based Model Development and Optimization for Predicting Radiation

방사선량률 예측을 위한 기계학습 기반 모델 개발 및 최적화 연구

In recent years, radiation has become a socially important issue, increasing the need for accurate prediction of radiation levels. In this study, machine learning-based models such as Multiple Linear Regression (MLR), Random Forest (RF), XGBoost, and LightGBM, which predict the dose rate by time(nSv h^-1) by selecting only important variables, were used, and the correlation between temperature, humidity, cumulative precipitation, wind direction, wind speed, local air pressure, sea pressure, solar radiation, and radiation dose rate (nSv h^-1) was analyzed by collecting weather data and radiation dose rate for about 6 months in Jangseong, Jeollanam-do. As a result of the evaluation based on the RMSE (Root Mean Squared Error) and R-Squared (R-Squared coefficient of determination) scores, the RMSE of the XGBoost model was 22.92 and the R-Squared was 0.73, showing the best performance among the models used. As a result of optimizing hyperparameters of all models using the GridSearch method and comparing them by adding variables inside the measuring instrument, it was confirmed that the performance improved to 2.39 for RMSE and 0.99 for R-Squared in both XGBoost and LightGBM.