DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

Negative Conversion of Polymerase Chain Reaction and Clinical Outcomes according to the SARS-CoV-2 Variant in Critically Ill Patients with COVID-19

  • Tae Hun Kim (Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital) ;
  • Eunjeong Ji (Medical Research Collaboration Center, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital) ;
  • Myung Jin Song (Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital) ;
  • Sung Yoon Lim (Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital) ;
  • Yeon Joo Lee (Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital) ;
  • Young-Jae Cho (Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital)
  • Received : 2022.11.15
  • Accepted : 2023.02.07
  • Published : 2023.04.30

Abstract

Background: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is an ongoing global public health threat and different variants of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) have been identified. This study aimed to analyse the factors associated with negative conversion of polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and prognosis in critically ill patients according to the SARS-CoV-2 variant. Methods: This study retrospectively analysed 259 critically ill patients with COVID-19 who were admitted to the intensive care unit of a tertiary medical center between January 2020 and May 2022. The Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) was used to evaluate comorbidity, and a negative PCR test result within 2 weeks was used to define negative PCR conversion. The cases were divided into the following three variant groups, according to the documented variant of SARS-CoV-2 at the time of diagnosis: non-Delta (January 20, 2020-July 6, 2021), Delta (July 7, 2021- January 1, 2022), and Omicron (January 30, 2022-April 24, 2022). Results: The mean age of the 259 patients was 67.1 years and 93 (35.9%) patients were female. Fifty (19.3%) patients were smokers, and 50 (19.3%) patients were vaccinated. The CCI (hazard ratio [HR], 1.555; p<0.001), vaccination (HR, 0.492; p=0.033), and Delta variant (HR, 2.469; p=0.002) were significant factors for in-hospital mortality. The Delta variant (odds ratio, 0.288; p=0.003) was associated with fewer negative PCR conversion; however, vaccination (p=0.163) and remdesivir (p=0.124) treatments did not. Conclusion: The Delta variant of SARS-CoV-2 is associated with lower survival and negative PCR conversion. Contrary to expectations, vaccination and remdesivir may not affect negative PCR conversion in critically ill patients with COVID-19.

Keywords

Acknowledgement

This research was supported by the Seoul National University Bundang Hospital research fund (No. 06-2019-0050) and the National Research Foundation of Korea Grant funded by the Korean Government (2021K1A4A7A02097757).

References

  1. Song J, Park DW, Cha JH, Seok H, Kim JY, Park J, et al. Clinical course and risk factors of fatal adverse outcomes in COVID-19 patients in Korea: a nationwide retrospective cohort study. Sci Rep 2021;11:10066. 
  2. World Health Organization. Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic [Internet]. Geneva: WHO; 2023 [cited 2023 Feb 18]. Available from: https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019. 
  3. National Institutes of Health. Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) treatment guidelines [Internet]. Bethesda: NIH; 2023 [cited 2023 Feb 18]. Available from: https://www.covid19treatmentguidelines.nih.gov/. 
  4. Buszko M, Park JH, Verthelyi D, Sen R, Young HA, Rosenberg AS. The dynamic changes in cytokine responses in COVID-19: a snapshot of the current state of knowledge. Nat Immunol 2020;21:1146-51.  https://doi.org/10.1038/s41590-020-0779-1
  5. World Health Organization. Clinical management of severe acute respiratory infection when novel coronavirus (nCoV) infection is suspected: interim guidance, 25 January 2020 [Internet]. Geneva: WHO; 2020 [cited 2023 Feb 18]. Available from: https://apps.who.int/iris/handle/10665/330854. 
  6. Zang X, Xiong L, Zhu J, Zhao F, Wang S, Zeng W, et al. The value of early positive nucleic acid test and negative conversion time of SARS-CoV-2 RNA in the clinical outcome of COVID-19 patients. Front Med (Lausanne) 2022;9:826900. 
  7. Milani L, Cigliano F, Catalano A, Macciotta A, Viola M, Caramello V, et al. Characteristics of patients affecting the duration of positivity at SARS-CoV-2: a cohort analysis of the first wave of epidemic in Italy. Epidemiol Prev 2021;45:533-42. 
  8. Huai Luo C, Paul Morris C, Sachithanandham J, Amadi A, Gaston DC, Li M, et al. Infection with the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) delta variant is associated with higher recovery of infectious virus compared to the alpha variant in both unvaccinated and vaccinated individuals. Clin Infect Dis 2022;75:e715-25.  https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/ciab986
  9. Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency. Outbreak report of COVID-19 during designation of class 1 infectious disease in the Republic of Korea (January 20, 2020 and April 24, 2022) [Internet]. Cheongju: KDCA; 2022 [cited 2023 Feb 18]. Available from: https://www.kdca.go.kr/board/board.es?mid=a30501000000&bid=0031&list_no=719926&act=view#. 
  10. Charlson ME, Pompei P, Ales KL, MacKenzie CR. A new method of classifying prognostic comorbidity in longitudinal studies: development and validation. J Chronic Dis 1987;40:373-83.  https://doi.org/10.1016/0021-9681(87)90171-8
  11. Glasheen WP, Cordier T, Gumpina R, Haugh G, Davis J, Renda A. Charlson comorbidity index: ICD-9 update and ICD-10 translation. Am Health Drug Benefits 2019;12:188-97. 
  12. Hodcroft E. SARS-CoV-2 mutations and variants of interest [Internet]. CoVariants; 2023 [cited 2023 Feb 18]. Available from: https://covariants.org. 
  13. Shiehzadegan S, Alaghemand N, Fox M, Venketaraman V. Analysis of the Delta variant B.1.617.2 COVID-19. Clin Pract 2021;11:778-84.  https://doi.org/10.3390/clinpract11040093
  14. Starr TN, Greaney AJ, Dingens AS, Bloom JD. Complete map of SARS-CoV-2 RBD mutations that escape the monoclonal antibody LY-CoV555 and its cocktail with LY-CoV016. Cell Rep Med 2021;2:100255. 
  15. Shi R, Shan C, Duan X, Chen Z, Liu P, Song J, et al. A human neutralizing antibody targets the receptor-binding site of SARS-CoV-2. Nature 2020;584:120-4.  https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2381-y
  16. McKeigue PM, McAllister DA, Hutchinson SJ, Robertson C, Stockton D, Colhoun HM. Vaccine efficacy against severe COVID-19 in relation to delta variant (B.1.617.2) and time since second dose in patients in Scotland (REACT-SCOT): a case-control study. Lancet Respir Med 2022;10:566-72.  https://doi.org/10.1016/S2213-2600(22)00045-5
  17. WHO Solidarity Trial Consortium; Pan H, Peto R, Henao-Restrepo AM, Preziosi MP, Sathiyamoorthy V, et al. Repurposed antiviral drugs for COVID-19: interim WHO solidarity trial results. N Engl J Med 2021;384:497-511.  https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMoa2023184
  18. Winstead RJ, Christensen J, Sterling S, Morales M, Kumar D, Bryson A, et al. Effect of remdesivir on COVID-19 PCR positivity and cycle threshold in kidney transplant recipients. Transplantology 2021;2:291-3.  https://doi.org/10.3390/transplantology2030028
  19. Jefferson T, Spencer EA, Brassey J, Heneghan C. Viral cultures for coronavirus disease 2019 infectivity assessment: a systematic review. Clin Infect Dis 2021;73:e3884-99.  https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/ciaa1764
  20. Shenoy S. SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19), viral load and clinical outcomes; lessons learned one year into the pandemic: a systematic review. World J Crit Care Med 2021;10:132-50.  https://doi.org/10.5492/wjccm.v10.i4.132
  21. Ynga-Durand M, MaaB H, Milosevic M, Krstanovic F, Pribanic Matesic M, Jonjic S, et al. SARS-CoV-2 viral load in the pulmonary compartment of critically ill COVID-19 patients correlates with viral serum load and fatal outcomes. Viruses 2022;14:1292. 
  22. Salto-Alejandre S, Berastegui-Cabrera J, Camacho-Martinez P, Infante-Dominguez C, Carretero-Ledesma M, Crespo-Rivas JC, et al. SARS-CoV-2 viral load in nasopharyngeal swabs is not an independent predictor of unfavorable outcome. Sci Rep 2021;11:12931. 
  23. Mizrahi B, Bivas-Benita M, Kalkstein N, Akiva P, Yanover C, Yehezkelli Y, et al. Results of an early second PCR test performed on SARS-CoV-2 positive patients may support risk assessment for severe COVID-19. Sci Rep 2021;11:20463.