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The Dynamics of Film Genre Box Office Success: Macro-Economic Conditions, Fashion Momentum, and Inter-Genre Competition

영화 장르 흥행의 동학: 거시경제, 유행의 동력, 장르 간 경쟁의 효과

  • Received : 2023.02.15
  • Accepted : 2023.03.14
  • Published : 2023.03.31

Abstract

This study examines how macro-economic conditions, fashion momentum, and inter-genre competition affect movie genre's popularity, thus shaping fashion trends in the feature film market in Korea. Using panel data analysis of genre-specific audience sizes with 6 genre cateories and 132 monthly time points, we found that favorable economic conditions generate the fashion trend in the action/crime genre, while the deterioration of the economic conditions leads to the decline of action/crime genre. The finding implies that economic situations influence cultural consumers' psychological states, which in turn shape the fashion trend in certain direction. Furthermore, we found that the action/crime genre has a greater fashion momentum and its competitive power is stronger than other genres, suggesting that this genre has longer fashion cycle even if other genres rise to the top in their popularity. We argue that such enlengthened fahion cycle and competitive stength of the action/crime genre are associated with its breadth of niche width and audience loyalty. Scholarly and practical implications are discussed.

대표적인 문화 상품인 영화는 시기별로 유행하는 장르가 달라진다는 특성을 갖는다. 본 연구는 거시경제 상황, 장르의 유행 동력, 장르 간의 경쟁이라는 영화시장 내외부의 요인이 영화 장르의 흥행과 그 유행에 어떠한 영향을 미치는지를 분석한다. 분석 결과, 경제 상황이 우호적일 때에는 액션/범죄 장르가 유행의 흐름을 타는 반면, 경제상황이 악화되면 다른 장르에 비해 액션/범죄 장르의 흥행이 크게 꺾이는 것으로 나타났다. 경제 상황이 잠재적 관람객의 소비자 심리에 영향을 미치며, 이러한 심리적 변화가 특정 장르의 흥행에도 영향을 주는 것으로 해석할 수 있다. 또한 액션/범죄 장르는 자체적인 유행의 동력이 크고, 따라서 유행이 상당히 오래 지속되는 특징을 보인다. 나아가 멜로/코미디 장르가 다른 장르와의 경쟁에 가장 취약한 반면, 액션/범죄 장르는 다른 장르와의 경쟁에 크게 영향을 받지 않는 것으로 나타났다. 이 결과는 액션/범죄 장르가 잠재적 관객의 기반이 상당히 넓고, 그 충성도 또한 높기 때문인 것으로 해석된다. 이 연구의 분석 결과는 문화예술 시장을 이해하고 설명하는 것뿐만 아니라, 문화 상품 공급자들이 활용할 수 있는 유용한 전략적 시사점을 제공한다.

Keywords

Acknowledgement

이 논문은 2023년도 정부(산업통상자원부)의 재원으로 한국산업기술진흥원의 지원을 받아 수행된 연구임(P0017123, 2021년 산업혁신인재성장지원사업)

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