Journal of the Korean Society of Safety (한국안전학회지)

The Korean Society of Safety (한국안전학회)
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Analysis of the Effect of Urban Characteristics on the Number of COVID-19 Confirmed Patients

도시특성이 코로나19 확진자 수에 미치는 영향 분석

  • Oh, Hoo (Chungcheongbuk-do Disaster Safety Research Institute) ;
  • Bae, Min Ki (Chungbuk Research Institute)
  • 오후 (충청북도재난안전연구센터) ;
  • 배민기 (충북연구원)
  • Received : 2022.04.20
  • Accepted : 2022.07.08
  • Published : 2022.08.31
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Abstract

The purpose of this study is to contribute to strengthening the response of local governments to the emergence of new infectious diseases by identifying the urban characteristics affecting their spread. To this end, the urban characteristics influencing the spread of infectious diseases were identified from previous studies. Moreover, the variations in the impact of urban characteristics that affected the number of confirmed COVID-19 patients was spatially analyzed using geographically weighted regression (GWR). The analysis indicated that the explanatory power of the GWR was approximately 12.4% higher than that of the ordinary least squares method. Moreover, the explanatory power of the model in the northern regions, such as Seoul, Gyeonggi, and Gangwon, was particularly high, indicating that the urban characteristics affecting the spread of COVID-19 vary by region. The results of this study can be used as a basis for suggesting the formulation of customized policies reflecting the characteristics of each local government rather than a uniform spread reduction policy.

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