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태양광 보급의 결정요인 연구: 자기상관 패널데이터 분석

A Study on Determinants of Photovoltaic Energy Growth: Panel Data Regression with Autoregressive Disturbance

  • 김광수 (에너지정책학과, 한국전력국제원자력대학원대학교) ;
  • 최진수 (에너지정책학과, 한국전력국제원자력대학원대학교) ;
  • 윤용범 (에너지정책학과, 한국전력국제원자력대학원대학교) ;
  • 박수진 (에너지정책학과, 한국전력국제원자력대학원대학교)
  • Kim, Kwangsu (Department of Energy Policy and Engineering, KEPCO International Nuclear Graduate School) ;
  • Choi, Jinsoo (Department of Energy Policy and Engineering, KEPCO International Nuclear Graduate School) ;
  • Yoon, Yongbeum (Department of Energy Policy and Engineering, KEPCO International Nuclear Graduate School) ;
  • Park, Soojin (Department of Energy Policy and Engineering, KEPCO International Nuclear Graduate School)
  • 투고 : 2022.02.24
  • 심사 : 2022.03.17
  • 발행 : 2022.03.31

초록

Climate change is among the most important issues facing mankind in modern society. However, global PV energy expansion has been driven mainly by OECD countries. We investigate the determinants of PV energy growth by panel data of selected OECD countries from 1991 to 2018. We investigate four categories of driving factors: socioeconomic, technological, country specific, and policy factors. The test results support that PV capacity growth is significantly driven by technology development and multidimensional environment policy factors. Socioeconomic factors such as CO2, GDP, and electricity price are statistically significant on the growth of PV energy, too. Whereas, country-specific solar potential factor is the least related. As most of the socioeconomic factors are exogenous, we need to focus more on PV technology development and policy measures.

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과제정보

본 연구는 2019년 산업통상자원부의 지원 한국에너지기술 평가원(KETEP)의 에너지신사업글로벌 인재양성사업으로 지원받아 수행한 인력양성 사업 성과입니다(과제번호 : 20194010000090); 이 논문은 KINGS의 지원을 받아 연구되었습니다.

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