응용통계연구 (The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics)

  • 제35권1호
  • /
  • Pages.77-91
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  • 2022
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  • 1225-066X(pISSN)
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  • 2383-5818(eISSN)
한국통계학회 (The Korean Statistical Society)
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혼동행렬의 상관계수를 이용한 최적분류점

Optimal threshold using the correlation coefficient for the confusion matrix

  • 홍종선 (성균관대학교 통계학과) ;
  • 오세현 (성균관대학교 통계학과) ;
  • 최예원 (성균관대학교 통계학과)
  • Hong, Chong Sun (Department of Statistics, Sungkyunkwan University) ;
  • Oh, Se Hyeon (Department of Statistics, Sungkyunkwan University) ;
  • Choi, Ye Won (Department of Statistics, Sungkyunkwan University)
  • 투고 : 2021.10.18
  • 심사 : 2021.12.15
  • 발행 : 2022.02.28
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초록

의학통계와 신용평가 분야에서 혼합분포함수를 판별하는 최적분류점 추정하기 위하여 판별력을 측정하는 다양한 정확도 측도들이 존재한다. 최근에 혼동행렬 빈도수로 표현되는 Matthews의 상관계수와 정밀도와 재현율의 조화평균인 F1 통계량의 정확도 측도들이 최적분류점을 추정하는데 연구되었다. 본 연구에서는 이런 정확도 측도들 중에서 표본크기에 의존하는 정확도 측도들은 두 표본크기 차이가 많은 경우에 최적분류점을 설정하는데 적절하지 않음을 발견한다. 그리고 대안적인 정확도 측도로 혼동행렬의 비율들의 함수인 상관계수를 정의하고, 이를 최대화하는 분류점을 최적분류점으로 추정하는 방법을 제안하고 이 방법의 유용성과 활용성에 대하여 토론한다.

The optimal threshold estimation is considered in order to discriminate the mixture distribution in the fields of Biostatistics and credit evaluation. There exists well-known various accuracy measures that examine the discriminant power. Recently, Matthews correlation coefficient and the F1 statistic were studied to estimate optimal thresholds. In this study, we explore whether these accuracy measures are appropriate for the optimal threshold to discriminate the mixture distribution. It is found that some accuracy measures that depend on the sample size are not appropriate when two sample sizes are much different. Moreover, an alternative method for finding the optimal threshold is proposed using the correlation coefficient that defines the ratio of the confusion matrix, and the usefulness and utility of this method are also discusses.

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