DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

Development of flood hazard and risk maps in Bosnia and Herzegovina, key study of the Zujevina River

  • 투고 : 2022.03.07
  • 심사 : 2022.07.07
  • 발행 : 2022.12.25

초록

Floods represent extreme hydrological phenomena that affect populations, environment, social, political, and ecological systems. After the catastrophic floods that have hit Europe and the World in recent decades, the flood problem has become more current. At the EU level, a legal framework has been put in place with the entry into force of Directive 2007/60/EC on Flood Risk Assessment and Management (Flood Directive). Two years after the entry into force of the Floods Directive, Bosnia and Herzegovina (B&H), has adopted a Regulation on the types and content of water protection plans, which takes key steps and activities under the Floods Directive. The "Methodology for developing flood hazard and risk maps" (Methodology) was developed for the territory of Bosnia and Herzegovina, following the methodology used in the majority of EU member states, but with certain modifications to the country's characteristics. Accordingly, activities for the preparation of the Preliminary Flood Risk Assessment for each river basin district were completed in 2015 for the territory of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Activities on the production of hazard maps and flood risk maps are in progress. The results of probable climate change impact model forecasts should be included in the preparation of the Flood Risk Management Plans, which is the subsequent phase of implementing the Flood Directive. By the foregoing, the paper will give an example of the development of the hydrodynamic model of the Zujevina River, as well as the development of hazard and risk maps. Hazard and risk maps have been prepared for medium probability floods of 1/100 as well as for high probability floods of 1/20. The results of LiDAR (Light Detection and Ranging) recording were used to create a digital terrain model (DMR). It was noticed that there are big differences between the flood maps obtained by recording LiDAR techniques in relation to the previous flood maps obtained using georeferenced topographic maps. Particular attention is given to explaining the Methodology applied in Bosnia and Herzegovina.

키워드

참고문헌

  1. Akbari, G. and Firoozi, B. (2010), "Implicit and explicit numerical solution of Saint -Venant's equations for simulating flood wave in natural rivers", 5th National Congress on Civil Engineering (Vol. 7), Feridowsi University of Mashhad, May.
  2. Alexander, M. et al. (2016), "Analysing and evaluating flood, London", STAR-FLOOD Consortium, Flood Hazard Research Centre.
  3. Bates, P.D., Horritt, M.S., Aronica, G. and Beve. K. (2004). "Bayesian updating of flood inundation likelihoods conditioned on flood extent data", Hydrolog. Proc., 18, 3347-3370. https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.1499.
  4. Brody, S., Zahran, S., Highfield, W. and Bernhardt, S. (2009), "Policy learning for flood mitigation: A longitudinal assessment of the community rating system in Florida", Risk Anal., 29(6), 912-929. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2009.01210.x.
  5. Chow, V.T. (1959), Open-Channel Hydraulics, McGraw-Hill, New York.
  6. Cook, A. and Merwade, V. (2009), "Effect of topographic data, geometric configuration and modeling approach on flood inundation mapping", J. Hydrol., 377(1-2), 131-142. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.08.015.
  7. Costabile, P., Costanzo, C., Ferraro, D., Macchione, F. and Petaccia, G. (2020), "Performances of the new HEC-RAS version 5 for 2-D hydrodynamic-based rainfall-runoff simulations at basin scale: Comparison with a state-of-the art model", Water, 12(9), 2326. https://doi.org/10.3390/w12092326.
  8. Dhungel, S., Barber, M.E. and Mahler, R.L. (2019), "Comparison of one- and two-dimensional flood Modeling in urban environments", Int. J. Sustain. Develop. Plan., 14(4), 356-366. https://doi.org/10.2495/SDP-V14-N4-356-366.
  9. DPPFB&H (2009), "Uredba o vrstama i sadrzaju planova zastite od stetnog djelovanja voda/Decree on the types and content of protection plans against adverse effects of water of the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, Sl. Novine FB&H", br. 26/09.
  10. EK (2010), Procjena Rizika i Mapiranje-Smjernice za Upravljanje Katastrofama, Evropska Komisija, Brisel, 21.12.2010 SEC (2010), 1626 Konacna Verzija.
  11. EU NACE Revision, 2 Categories (2008), Statistical Classification of Economic Activities in the European Community, EUROSTAT Methodologies and Working Papers, European Communities.
  12. EU, B&H (2017), Sporazum o Stabilizaciji i Priodruzivanju Izmedu EU i B&H, (SL L 164, 30.6.2015., str. 2.).
  13. Eureopean Commisino, EC (2000), Water Framework Directive (WFD), 2000/60/EC.
  14. Eureopean Commisino, EC (2007), Flood Risk Assessment and Management (Flood Directive), 2007/60/EC.
  15. European Environment Agency (2017), Bosnia and Herzegovina Land Cover Country Fact Sheet 2012, https://www.eea.europa.eu/themes/landuse/land-cover-country-fact-sheets/ba-bosnia-and-herzegovinalandcover-2012.pdf/.
  16. EXCIMAP (2007), Handbook on Good Practices for Flood Mapping in Europe, s.l.: s.n.
  17. Ferreira, D.M., Fernandes, C.V.S. and Gomes, J. (2017), "Verification of Saint-Venant equations solution based on the lax diffusive method for flow routing in natural channels", RBRH, 22, https://doi.org/10.1590/2318-0331.011716104.
  18. Fewtrell, T.J., Duncan, A., Sampson, C.C., Neal, J.C. and Bates, P.D. (2011), "Benchmarking urban flood models of varying complexity and scale using high resolution terrestrial LiDAR data", Phys. Chem. Earth, Parts A/B/C, 36(7-8), 281-291. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pce.2010.12.011.
  19. Field, C.B., Barros, V., Stocker, T.F. and Dahe, Q. (2012), Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation: Special Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press.
  20. FOP (2015), Federalni Plan Odbrane od Poplava, Sluzbene Novine FB&H 07-1-25/1-1473-4/15.
  21. Hadzic, E. and Bonacci, O. (2019), "Okolisno prihvatljivo upravljanje vodotocima", Univerzitet u SarajevuGradevinski fakultet, Sarajevo.
  22. Hadzic, E., Mulaomorevic-Seta, A., Milisic, H. and Lazovic, N. (2018), "Estimation of peak flood discharge for an ungauged river and application of 1D hec-ras model in design of water levels", Advanced Technologies, Systems, and Applications II, IAT 2017, Eds. Hadzikadic, M., Avdakovic, S., Lecture Notes in Networks and Systems, Vol. 28, Springer, Cham.
  23. Haraguchi, M. and Lall, U. (2015), "Flood risks and impacts: A case study of Thailand's floods in 2011 and research questions for supply chain decision making", Int. J. Disast. Risk Reduct., 14, 256-272. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2014.09.005.
  24. HEIS (2013), Preliminarna Procjena Poplavnog Rizika na Vodotocima II Kategorije U FB&H Knjiga 3, Sarajevo.
  25. HEIS (2015), EU Floods Recovery Programme, Floods and Landslides Risk Assessment for the Housing Sector in Bosnia And Herzegovina, Sarajevo, B&H.
  26. Horritt, M.S. and Bates, P.D. (2002), "Evaluation of 1D and 2D numerical models for predicting river flood inundation", J. Hydrol., 268(1-3), 87-99. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-1694(02)00121-X.
  27. Imamovic, A. (2015), "Uzroci poplava u slivu rijeke Bosne s osvrtom na poplave u maju 2014", ANUB&H Conference, Sarajevo.
  28. Jabucar, D. and Lukovac, N. (2014), "Implemantacija EU Direktive o poplavama. Sarajevo, Upravljanje rizicima od poplava i ublazavanje njihovih stetnih posljedica", Akademija B&H.
  29. Jongman, B., Hochrainer-Stigler, L. and Feyen, J. (2014), "Increasing stress on disaster-risk finance due to large floods", Nat. Climate Change, 4, 264-268. https://doi.org/10.1038/NCLIMATE2124.
  30. Kaufmann, M., van Doorn-Hoekveld, W.J. and Gili, H.K. (2016), Analysing and Evaluating Flood Risk Governance in the Netherlands: Drowning in Safety?, STARFLOOD Consortium, Utrecht.
  31. Konadu, D. and Fosu, C. (2009), "Digital elevation models and GIS for watershed modeling and flood prediction-A case study of Accra Ghana", Ed. Yanful, E.K., Appropriate Technologies for Environmental Protection in the Developing World, Heidelberg, Berlin. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4020-9139-1_31.
  32. Kundzewicz, Z., Pinskwar, I. and Brakenridge, G.R. (2013), "Large floods in Europe", Hydrol. Sci. J., 58, 1-7. https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2012.745082.
  33. Larrue, C., Bruzzone, S., Levy, L., Gralepois, M., Schellenberger, M., Tremorin, J.B., ... & Thuillier, T. (2016), "Analysing and evaluating flood risk governance in France: From state policy to local strategies", STAR-FLOOD Consortium, Tours, France.
  34. Milisic, H., Hadzic, E., Suvalija, S. and Jahic, E. (2021) "Floodplain mapping using HEC-RAS and lidar data: A case study of Bistrica River (Vrbas River Basin in B&H)", International Conference "New Technologies, Development and Applications, June.
  35. Mujic, F. (2014), "Izrada mapa rizika od poplava na poplavnom podrucju rijeke Usore FB&H, na potezu od usca rijeke Usore u rijeku Bosnu do uzvodne VS Kalosevici", Diploma Thesis.
  36. Patel, D.P., Ramirez, J.A., Srivastava, P.K., Bray, M. and Han, D. (2017). "Assessment of flood inundation mapping of Surat city by coupled 1D/2D hydrodynamic modeling: A case application of the new HECRAS 5", Nat. Hazard., 89(1), 93-130. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-017-2956-6.
  37. Plate, E.J. (2002), "Flood risk and flood management", J. Hydrol., 267, 2-11. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-1694(02)00135-X.
  38. Prohaska, S. and Ilic, A. (2010), "Nova metoda za definisanje visestruke koincidencije poplavnih talasa na slozenim recnim sistemima", Vodoprivreda, 42, 125-135.
  39. Saadi, Y. (2008), "One-dimensional hydrodynamic modelling for river flood forecasting", Civil Eng. Dimens., 10(1), 51-58. https://doi.org/10.9744/ced.10.1.pp.%2051-58.
  40. UNDP (2016), Third National Communication and Second Biennial Update Report on Greenhouse Gas Emissions of Bosnia and Herzegovina.
  41. US Army Corps of Engineers, H.E. (2016), HEC-RAS, River Analysis System-Hydraulic User's Manual Version 5.