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여름철 북극 진동과 한반도 폭염의 관련성

The Relationship between the Arctic Oscillation and Heatwaves on the Korean Peninsula

  • 김정훈 (공주대학교 대기과학과) ;
  • 노엘 (공주대학교 대기과학과) ;
  • 김맹기 (공주대학교 대기과학과)
  • Jeong-Hun Kim (Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Kongju National University) ;
  • El Noh (Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Kongju National University) ;
  • Maeng-Ki Kim (Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Kongju National University)
  • 투고 : 2021.10.03
  • 심사 : 2021.12.15
  • 발행 : 2021.12.31

초록

In this study, we identified characteristics of heatwaves on the Korean Peninsula and related atmospheric circulation patterns using data on the daily maximum temperature (TMX) and reanalysis data for the past 42 years (1979-2020) and analyzed their connection to the Arctic oscillation (AO). The heatwave on the Korean Peninsula showed to be stronger and more frequent in the 2000s. The recent strong and frequent heatwaves on the Korean Peninsula are mainly affected by abnormal high-pressure over the Korean Peninsula on the middle/upper-level atmosphere and the strengthening of the North Pacific high pressure. Interestingly, composite difference of sea level pressure showed very similar results to the positive AO pattern. The correlation coefficients between the summertime AO and the TMX and HWD of the Korean Peninsula were 0.407 and 0.437, respectively, which showed a statistical significance in 1%, and showed a clear relationship with the abnormal high-pressure over the Korean Peninsula and the strengthening of the North Pacific high pressure. In addition, in the positive AO phase, the TMX and HWD of the Korean peninsula were approximately 30.1 ℃ and 14.6 days, which were about 1.2 ℃ and 8.8 days higher than in the negative AO phase, respectively. As a result of the 15-year moving average correlation analysis, the relationship between the heatwave and AO on the Korean Peninsula has increased significantly since 2003, and the linear relationship between them has become more apparent. Moreover, after the 2000s, when the relationship developed, AO had more strongly induced the atmospheric circulation pattern to be more favorable to the occurrence of heatwaves in the Korean Peninsula. This study implies that understanding the AO, which is the large-scale variability in the Northern Hemisphere, and the Arctic-mid latitude teleconnection, can improve the performance of global climate models and help predict the seasonality of the summer heatwave on the Korean Peninsula.

키워드

참고문헌

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