Journal of the Korean Burn Society (대한화상학회지)

Korean Burn Society (대한화상학회)
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The Accuracy of Prediction Models in Burn Patients

화상환자에서 사망예측모델의 성능 평가에 관한 연구

  • Woo, Jaeyeon (Department of Surgery, Hallym University Kangnam Sacred Heart Hospital) ;
  • Kym, Dohern (Department of Surgery, Hallym University Hangang Sacred Heart Hospital)
  • 우재연 (한림대학교 강남성심병원 외과학교실) ;
  • 김도헌 (한림대학교 한강성심병원 외과학교실)
  • Received : 2021.03.21
  • Accepted : 2021.04.13
  • Published : 2021.06.30
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Abstract

Purpose: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the accuracy of four prediction models in adult burn patients. Methods: This retrospective study was conducted on 696 adult burn patients who were treated at burn intensive care unit (BICU) of Hallym University Hangang Sacred Heart Hospital from January 2017 to December 2019. The models are ABSI, APACHE IV, rBaux and Hangang score. Results: The discrimination of each prediction model was analyzed as AUC of ROC curve. AUC value was the highest with Hangang score of 0.931 (0.908~0.954), followed by rBaux 0.896 (0.867~0.924), ABSI 0.883 (0.853~0.913) and APACHE IV 0.851 (0.818~0.884). Conclusion: The results of evaluating the accuracy of the four models, Hangang score showed the highest prediction. But it is necessary to apply the appropriate prediction model according to characteristics of the burn center.

Keywords

References

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