한국건설관리학회논문집 (Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management)

  • 제22권2호
  • /
  • Pages.3-11
  • /
  • 2021
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  • 2005-6095(pISSN)
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  • 2465-9703(eISSN)
한국건설관리학회 (Korea Institute of Construction Engineering and Management)
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미얀마 부동산 개발형사업 기획단계의 리스크 요인 추출 및 AHP 중요도 분석

Extracting Risk Factors and Analyzing AHP Importance for Planning Phase of Real Estate Development Projects in Myanmar

  • 김수용 (부경대학교 토목공학과) ;
  • 정재훈 (부경대학교 대학원 건설관리학과) ;
  • 양진국 (동의대학교 건축공학전공)
  • Kim, Sooyong (Department Civil Engineering, College of Engineering, Pukyong National University) ;
  • Chung, Jaihoon (Interdisciplinary Program of Construction Engineering and Management, Graduate School, Pukyong National University) ;
  • Yang, Jinkook (Architectural Engineering Major, Division of Urban, Architecture and Civil Engineering, Dong-eui University)
  • 투고 : 2020.05.28
  • 심사 : 2020.10.06
  • 발행 : 2021.03.31
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초록

미얀마는 아시아 국가 중 개발 가치가 높은 미개발 국가이다. 이에 미국을 비롯한 다양한 국가에서 시장 진출을 고려하고 있는 상황이다. 이러한 측면에서 부동산 개발 프로젝트의 수요는 외국인들의 유입 증가와 미얀마 경제성장에 따라 증가할 것으로 예측된다. 하지만 미얀마는 국가적 리스크를 포함해 해외 진출기업의 측면에서 위험도가 높은 국가이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 미얀마에 관한 자료분석을 실시해 리스크 유발요인을 추출한 후 전문가(법률, 금융, 기술, 현지 전문가) 심층인터뷰를 실시하였다. 이를 통해 106가지 리스크 요인을 추출하였으며, 친화도법을 활용해 3차에 걸친 그룹핑 작업을 실시하여 최종 리스크 분류 체계를 구축하였다. 그리고 AHP 기법을 활용해 각 요인별 상대적 중요도를 분석하여 제시하였다. 그 결과 해당 국가 관련 리스크, 자금 관련 리스크, 분양 관련 리스크의 중요도가 높게 나타났다. 본 연구결과는 미얀마 부동산 개발형사업의 진출기업에게 리스크관리 기준을 제공할 것으로 기대된다.

Myanmar is an undeveloped country with high development value among Asian countries. Therefore, various countries including the U.S. are considering entering the market. In this respect, demand for real estate development project is forecast to grow on increased inflow of foreigners and Myanmar's economic growth. However, Myanmar is a high-risk country in terms of overseas companies, including national risk. In this study, we conducted an in-depth interview with experts (law, finance, technology, and local experts) after analyzing data on Myanmar to extract risk-causing factors. Through this, 106 risk factors were extracted, and the final risk classification system was established by conducting three-time groupings using the affinity diagramming. And the relative importance of each factor was presented using the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) technique. As a result, the country-related risk, the fund-related risk, and the pre-sale-related risk were highly important. The research results are expected to provide risk management standards to companies entering the Myanmar real estate development type project.

키워드

참고문헌

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