Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography (한국측량학회지)

Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography (한국측량학회)
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Impacts of Social Distancing for COVID-19 on Urban Space Use in Seoul

COVID-19 사회적 거리두기가 도시공간이용에 미치는 영향

  • Received : 2021.11.24
  • Accepted : 2021.12.29
  • Published : 2021.12.31
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Abstract

This paper aims to analyze changes in urban space use due to social distancing measures for COVID-19 using de facto population data in Seoul during daytime, which is estimated by Seoul Metropolitan Government and telecommunication company of KT using public big data and LTE signal data. The result of kernel density estimation and spatial autocorrelation analysis shows that the distribution patterns of de facto population in 2019 and 2020 were generally similar. This is a result of showing that the government's social distancing measures enabled a certain level of normal activities while suppressing the spread of COVID-19. However, analyzing de facto population subtracting 2019 from 2020 showed different results at the micro level. De facto population decreased in commercial areas but increased in residential areas. This means that COVID-19 social distancing measures had spatially uneven effect. The results of analyzing the effect of regional, land use, economic, educational, and accessibility characteristics on the changes of de facto population using spatial regression analysis are as follows. The higher the density of commercial facilities, the more businesses subject to regulations and schools and universities that require non-face-to-face classes, the more de facto population decreased. Conversely, it was found that de facto population increased in areas with many houses and parks due to telecommuting.

이 연구에서는 COVID-19 확산에 따른 정부의 사회적 거리두기 조치가 도시민들의 공간이용행태에 미친 영향을 서울시 생활인구 자료를 이용하여 분석한다. 생활인구는 서울시와 KT가 공공빅데이터와 LTE시그널 데이터를 이용하여 추계한 특정시점, 특징지역에 존재하는 모든 인구이다. 커널밀도추정과 공간자기상관을 이용하여 COVID-19 유행 전후인 2019년과 2020년의 주중 주간생활인구를 분석한 결과, 2019년과 2020년의 생활인구분포는 전반적으로 유사한 패턴을 보였다. 이는 정부의 사회적 거리두기 조치가 COVID-19 확산을 통제하면서도 어느 정도 정상적인 활동을 가능하게 했다는 것을 의미한다. 그러나 2020년과 2019년의 차감생활인구에 대한 분석 결과는 미시적 차원에서 다른 결과를 보여주고 있다. 상업시설과 업무시설이 밀집한 지역에서는 주간생활인구가 감소하였으며 주거지역에서는 증가한 것으로 나타났다. 이는 COVID-19 사회적 거리두기 조치가 공간적으로 균등하지 않은 영향을 발생시켰다는 것을 의미한다. 공간회귀분석을 통해 지역, 토지이용, 경제, 교육, 접근성 특성의 생활인구 변화 영향을 분석한 결과, 상업과 업무시설 밀도가 높을수록, 규제를 받는 업종들과 비대면 수업을 하는 학교와 대학교가 많을수록 주간생활인구가 더 감소한 것으로 나타났다. 반면, 재택근무와 야외활동 증가로 주택과 공원이 많을수록 주간생활인구가 더 증가한 것으로 나타났다.

Keywords

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