DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

Sharia-based Stocks: Do Muslim Investors Prefer Metaphysical or Materialistic Returns?

  • MAHASTANTI, Linda Ariany (Management Department, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Kristen Satya Wacana) ;
  • ASRI, Marwan (Management Department, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Gadjah Mada) ;
  • PURWANTO, Bernardinus M. (Management Department, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Gadjah Mada) ;
  • JUNARSIN, Eddy (Management Department, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Gadjah Mada)
  • 투고 : 2020.09.30
  • 심사 : 2020.12.14
  • 발행 : 2021.01.30

초록

Faith-based investment instruments, such as sharia-based stocks, have developed rapidly in recent years. When investing in these instruments, investors tend to emphasize materialistic returns as measured with monetary returns and metaphysical returns, such as blessings from God (Allah) because of their observance of Islamic teachings. In this respect, it is important to investigate the role of individuals' religiosity in investment decision making in Sharia-based financial products. An equally crucial research question is whether individuals' religiosity levels affect expected material returns as measured by the tolerable negative returns of sharia-based stocks. This study relies on a survey method that involves university students in Java island who actively invest through the Investment Gallery of their faculties/ universities as the sample. Data is then analysed with the multinomial regression analysis technique. The results show that individuals who are more observant of their religious teachings are more likely to fully invest their funds in Sharia-based stocks and exhibit greater tolerance towards the negative returns of Sharia-based stocks. The findings indicate that Muslim investors who are more observant of Islamic teachings emphasize metaphysical returns from their investment decisions.

키워드

1. Introduction

The last several years have witnessed the rapid growth of the sharia-based capital market in Indonesia, as indicated by the data of the Indonesian Stock Exchange (IDX) that records an increase of sharia-based investors. In particular, during the last five years, the number of Sharia-based investors has increased from 2,705 investors in late 2014 to 62,480 investors per October 2019, with a level of activity of 32 percent. The data suggest that Sharia-based stocks have been a major investment instrument for Indonesians.

Increases in Sharia-based stock investments in recent years show that investors do not solely search for the return factor in making investment decisions but also consider the investment products’ social values. This view is in line with Akerlof (1980), Romer (1984) and Arfah et al. (2020). They proposed that individuals are motivated by social norms and motives when making decisions because they are unwilling to lose reputations in their social environments. This perspective is also consistent with Kubler (2001) who argues that social norms generally affect an individual’s behaviour, while Kim and Venkatachaman and Rajgopal (2011) and Baker and Nofsinger (2012) reveal the impact of social norms on individuals’ preferences and investment decisions. Hence, investors’ preferences in making investment decisions align with their norms and ethical values obtained from their social environments or religious teachings. Consequently, investors tend to abandon investments in stocks that are considered as not consistent with their perspectives. In this respect, Muslim societies manage to clearly identify stocks that violate their norms derived from Islamic religious teachings as non-Islamic (conventional) stocks and stocks that adhere to Islamic religious norms as Islamic (Sharia- based) stocks. Besides, Muslim retail investors will follow Islamic trade rules because of their high religiosity levels (Awadhi and Dempsey, 2017) and trust for Islamic product (Islamic bank) Usman (2015).

Sharia-based stocks are stocks with specific segments because they are based on Islamic religious teachings. Merton (1987) proposes a market segmentation theory that argues that stocks neglected in segmented markets will outperform other stocks. However, the findings still leave several unanswered questions, including 1) to what extent do religion-based segmented markets increase or inhibit overall market behavior, and 2) to what extent does religious faith interact with stock investments, stock returns, stock trade, and liquidity decisions? These issues motivate further studies in investments. The classical investment theories, such as portfolio theory (Markowitz, 1954), suggest that investors consider expected risks and returns in making investment decisions but overlook non-economic factors such as beliefs derived from social norms or religious teachings. In this regard, it is crucial to analyze non-economic factors in investment decisions because classical finance theories emphasize risk and return factors that maximize individuals’ utilities but overlook other factors related to non-economic returns (Higgins, 1998). Non-economic returns result from individuals’ evaluation process on their social, cultural, and religious values (Kutschera, 1977). These values arguably satisfy individuals’ personal values and not only maximize monetary values. Individuals’ personal values refer to non-monetary/metaphysical returns, such as having spiritual satisfaction or obtaining blessings because of their observance of religious teachings. On the other hand, these individuals also search for monetary/materialistic factors, such as returns from their investments.

Several follow-up studies have considered non-economic factors that affect individuals’ decision-making processes including psychological factors. This paradigm involves the belief factors derived from Islamic religious teachings that potentially affect individuals’ financial decisions. In particular, scholars argue that religious beliefs lead to a self-categorization process that forms individuals’ identities (Benjamin et al., 2016). Barro and McCleary (2003) established that religions offer moral and ethical teachings for their adherents and encourage them to act according to certain ways. Religiosity forms individuals’ norms and values and affects their tendency to take risks. Consequently, it also affects their personal finance-related behaviors, including investment decisions (León & Pfeifer, 2013; Mahdzan et al., 2016).

The above discussion indicates that beliefs from religious teachings is likely to affect sharia-based stock investments (León & Pfeifer, 2013; Hess, 2012; Mahdzan et al., 2016). However, it is crucial to observe whether highly religious investors are also highly loyal to sharia-based financial products, i.e., whether they still buy or hold their sharia-based investment products although the returns of these products decline sharply because these products are considered consistent with their religious teachings. In other words, it is important to analyze the alignment of religious norms-motivated and economic-driven needs fulfillment.

It is interesting to evaluate the above discussion because prior studies find that more religious individuals are less willing to take risks (Leon & Pfeifer, 2013; Mahdzan et al., 2017). When investors align their economic (materialistic) with non-economic (metaphysical) factors, religiosity will motivate them to prefer sharia-based stocks to conventional ones. After selecting Sharia-based stocks, individuals will evaluate the returns of sharia-based stocks and sell the stocks when the returns decline sharply. Hence, it is interesting to investigate whether highly religious Muslim investors exhibit greater loyalty towards sharia-based stocks, i.e., they will continue to buy or hold sharia-based stocks, although the returns of these stocks decline sharply. It is also crucial to analyze whether religiosity levels affect Muslim investors’ adjustment decisions when determining the thresholds of return decreases to reduce losses. This is important because Indonesian Sharia capital market has volatility risk (Rahmi et al., 2016)

Thus, this study examines whether individuals’ religiosity levels affect sharia-based stock investments and whether religiosity affects investors’ decisions to set the thresholds for tolerable return declines of sharia-based stocks to balance their economic needs. Accordingly, this study administers a survey to students of economics and business faculties in Jogjakarta Special Region, Central Java, and Jakarta, who actively make investment activities through the investment galleries of their faculties/ universities.

The contribution of this study to the faith-based investment literature is twofold. First, we investigate the role of religiosity in Sharia-based stock investment decisions and the determination of the thresholds of tolerable return decreases of Sharia-based stocks. The analysis is important in observing whether the metaphysical or materialistic returns are more dominant in investment decisions. Thus, this paper analyzes whether Muslim investors align their metaphysical and materialistic needs in their investment decisions. Second, this study employs the psychometric approach in measuring religiosity to analyze differences in individuals’ responses from the psychological perspective.

This article is organized into several sections. The first section contains the introduction, followed by the second section that discusses the theoretical analysis and hypothesis development. Next, the third section presents the research methods, while the fourth section discusses the results. Lastly, the fifth section presents the conclusion.

2. Hypothesis Development

2.1. Rationality in Islam

Theories of decision making in highly uncertain environments are largely based on utility theory. Several classical finance theories (the 1950-1980 period), such as portfolio theory (Markowitz, 1952) and Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) by Sharpe (1964) and Lintner (1965), employ Expected Utility Theory (EUT) as the underlying theory. EUT proposes that individuals think rationally in making investment decisions by considering the expected risks and returns of each investment choice to maximize investors’ utilities subject to their risk preferences.

The development of faith-based investment products motivates individuals to consider their religious teachings when buying these investment products. According to the explanation of Islamic rationality, Islamic economics has its own view in explaining consumers’ behavior. Unlike conventional economics, Hossain (2014) illustrates a concept commonly known as Islamic Economic Rationalism (IER). In a similar vein, Ramli and Mirza (2007) classify Islamic rationality into two components, namely worldview and personal interests. In the personal interest component, individuals will fulfill their interests by adhering to sharia principles. Similarly, IER also establishes religion as the main determinant, while sharia is based on religion.

Based on the above discussion, individuals will form unique utilities according to the preferences of their religions. Individuals have different utilities depending on their beliefs, creating subjective preferences toward Sharia-based financial products. This phase is accomplished through all activities, including consumption that adheres to sharia-based ethical and religious values (Ghassan, 2015). Further, Ghassan explains that materialistic and metaphysical satisfaction represent the benefits of satisfaction. Consumption-based Islamic teachings such as using halal goods/ services will deliver utilities or benefits (Ramli & Mirza, 2007) that enable Falah maximization (individuals do not solely search for returns but also worldly and afterlife triumph).

However, on the other hand, rational Muslim investors also maximize their worldly success. As suggested by Ghassan (2015), Muslim investors channel their satisfaction benefits both materialistically and metaphysically. Hence, in making investment decisions, Muslim investors do not solely consider subjective rationality based on Islamic teachings, but they also consider objective rationality as represented by risks and returns to obtain worldly returns.

The above explanations suggest that understanding investors’ behavior when buying sharia-based products involves both financial and non-financial perspectives. Particularly, the financial perspective focuses on worldly (monetary/ materialistic) needs, while the non-financial perspective emphasizes heavenly interests based on Islamic teachings (non-monetary/ metaphysical needs).

2.2. Religiosity and Investment Portfolio

Muslims adhere to the practices of virtue and ethics when making investments that likely affect their financial behaviour. In Arabic terms, these practices are labelled as akhlaq. Some investors do not solely seek returns and wealth accumulation from their investments but also the fulfilment of moral obligations (Shakeel, 2015; Anas & Mounira, 2009). Scientific literature also demonstrates that religiosity affects ones’ risk-taking and portfolio allocation behaviours. As a cultural dimension embedded into individuals’ identities, religion plays a major role in individuals’ economic and financial behaviors (Arora & Marwaha 2014; Benjamin et al., 2016; Yusuff & Mansor, 2016). Empirical studies support the idea and have documented evidence that religion and religiosity affect individuals’ financial and investment behaviours.

The literature generally demonstrates the positive relationship between religiosity and decision making. For example, Tabellini (2010) reveal that values, culture, and norms directly affect attitudes and preferences and, eventually, decision making. Hence, religion-derived values will result in preferences in the decision-making process, particularly when individuals choose financial products that comply with Islamic religious teachings. Canepa and Ibnrubbian (2014) study in Saudi Arabia observes that religious teachings affect individuals’ portfolio formation.

Prior studies have found that religion and religiosity play a major role in decision-making behaviour which indicates that the religiosity factor likely affects the allocation of financial assets in portfolio formation. Thus, this study predicts that higher Islamic religiosity levels will positively affect asset allocation into sharia-based stocks.

H1: Religiosity positively affects investments in sharia-based financial products.

2.3. Religiosity and Declines in Sharia-based Stocks’ Returns

Empirical studies reveal that religion and religiosity affect individuals’ financial and investment decisions and risk- taking behaviour. The literature generally shows a positive association between religiosity and risk-averse behaviour where more religious individuals are more risk-averse (Renneboog & Spaenjers, 2012; Lu & Chan, 2012; León & Pfeifer, 2013; Jiang et al., 2015; Chen et al., 2016; Mahdzan et al., 2017). Because they are more risk-averse, religious people do not tend to participate in risky investments (Tahir & Brimble, 2011; Davutyan & Öztürkkal, 2016; Yusuf & Mansor, 2016).

Based on these studies, besides considering metaphysical factors, highly religious individuals also account for materialistic factors when making investment decisions, as indicated by their reluctance to invest in risky assets. Hence, after choosing sharia-based financial products that adhering to Islamic religious teachings, individuals will evaluate their tolerable risks and returns. Highly religious Muslim investors are arguably less willing to take the risks of declines of their sharia-based investments, as indicated by their tolerable percentage of return declines.

H2: Religiosity negatively affects the willingness to take the risks of the declines of sharia-based stocks’ returns.

3. Methods

This study relies on a survey method to generate data by distributing questionnaires to Muslim students who actively invest through the Investment Gallery of economics and business faculties in Java Island, Indonesia. We use students as the sample to analyse the investment behaviour of retail investors, especially young ones. Using students as the sample is important because younger investors tend to make investment decisions to maximize monetary returns. Additionally, whether they also seek religion-derived permanent returns from their investments is relatively understudied. Hence, it is crucial to determine whether young investors are still attracted to Sharia-based financial products when they are offered both conventional and Sharia-based financial products as alternative investment instruments. The sample is generated with non-probability convenience sampling. Before the pilot test, three Islamic scholars who also actively participated in Islamic financial organizations have validated the questionnaire’s content to analyse whether each question item conforms to Islamic religious teachings. After the question items are validated, we distribute the questionnaires to 90 respondents in the pilot test and subsequently run the Exploratory Factor Analysis to classify the question items into several dimensions.

The Exploratory Factor Analysis (EFA) test results are revalidated by three Islamic scholars to examine whether the dimension formation of the EFA analysis can explain Islamic religious teachings comprehensively. Based on the revised and validated questionnaire, we distribute 250 questionnaires to the targeted respondents, resulting in 184 usable responses or a response rate of 73.6 percent, a considerably high rate for statistical validity. The questionnaire is presented in Indonesian language and consists of three parts. The first part focuses on respondents’ demographic profile. The second part measures Islamic religiosity based on the psychometric approach, as developed by Masri and Priester (2007) and Olufadi (2016). Lastly, the third part involves portfolio selection choices based on Tung et al., (2014), Van Rooij et al., (2011), and Mahdzan et al., (2017).

3.1. Dependent Variables: Investment Portfolio

The dependent variable of this paper is portfolio allocation. A simple quantitative measurement is developed to indicate the tendency to allocate risky assets into portfolios. We ask the following question to the respondents, “Which financial asset combination below that best represents your investment?” This study enables respondents to provide a simple estimation of fund allocation in their portfolios. In particular, they have five possible answers to choose: (1) 100 percent in Sharia-based stocks, (2) 75 percent in Sharia- based stocks and 25 percent in conventional stocks, (3) 50 percent in Sharia-based stocks and 50 percent in conventional stocks, (4) 75 percent in conventional stocks and 25 percent in Sharia-based stocks, and (5) 100 percent in conventional stocks. This categorization follows prior studies (Bertaut & Starr-McCluer, 2002; Duasa & Yusof, 2013; Mahdzan et al., 2017).

Next, the questionnaire also asked respondents’ tolerable declines in Sharia-based stocks’ returns with the following question: What is your tolerable percentage of decline in Sharia-based stocks’ returns that you decide still to buy or hold the stocks? The alternative answers are (1) < 25%, (2) 25%-50%, (3) 50%-75%, and (4) I will continue to hold Sharia-based stocks regardless of the declines of Sharia- based stocks’ returns. The responses reflect the ordinal measure of the tendency to invest in Sharia-based stocks relative to conventional stocks to obtain metaphysical returns that adhere to Islamic religious teachings. Next, investors will justify the percentage of the return declines of Sharia-based stocks selected before to achieve materialistic returns.

3.2. Independent Variable

Islamic Religiosity

Religiosity is a comprehensive sociological term that refers to individuals’ involvement, interests, or participation in various aspects of dedication, belief, and religious activities (Delener, 1990b; Azari et al., 2005 and can be classified into two dimensions: extrinsic and intrinsic religiosity (Allport & Ross, 1967; Vitell et al., 2006). We adapt the measurement scale of Masri and Priester (2007) and Olufadi (2016) to capture various religiosity domains, including Muslims’ faith, beliefs, and practices, by using 29 question items. Next, this study employs the Exploratory Factor Analysis (EFA) to test the internal consistency and form the latent constructs that underlie religiosity. In this case, as suggested by Hair et al. (2014), we use the threshold of 0.6 to develop factors from EFA. Consequently, we have to leave out ten items because of low factor loadings. EFA for the remaining 19 items produces the five solution factors. Further, this study runs the reliability test by using Cronbach’s alpha with Cronbach’s alpha values between 0.668 and 0.805. The following Table 1 below displays the results of EFA and Cronbach’s Alpha.

Islamic Religiosity as Measured with Two Methods

In the first method, following Wan Ahmad et al. (2008) and Mahdzan et al., (2017), respondents are separated into three groups that reflect the relative strength of their religiosity levels: relaxed, moderate, and observant. The categorization process starts with calculating the average and standard deviation values of 19 items that contain the above factors for all respondents. Table III displays the descriptive statistics of religiosity levels.

Religiosity Dimensions

The second method is to measure how religiosity involves the five dimensions of Islamic religiosity produced by the factor analysis procedure in Section 3.1.3. Table I shows that factor analysis produces five reliable dimensions. Based on the discussions with Islamic scholars, the grouping process of the factor analysis produces five dimensions, namely (1) belief in Allah, (2) belief in Islamic Sharia teachings, (3) interaction with fellow human beings (hablum minannash), (4) morals (Akhlaq), and (5) worshiping behaviour.

Table 1: Factor Loading and Cronbach’s Alpha of Religiosity Measurement

3.3. Control Variables

Sociodemographic Variables

The control variables of this study are the demographic variables of the respondents, namely gender, pocket money/ income, age, and participation in Islamic financial organizations. These variables are measured with dummy variables (Gender: male =1, female = 0; Age: 0= 17-20, 1 = 21-24, 2: 25-28, 3=>28; Monthly income/ pocket money: 0=<1,000,000, 1 = 1,000,000 – 2,500,000, 2 = 2,500,001- 4,000,000, 3 > 4,000,001; Participation in Islamic financial organizations: 1 = active 0 = not active).

4. Results and Discussions

4.1. Descriptive Statistics

This section discusses the descriptive statistics of the religiosity measure and respondents’ characteristics. Table 2 below explains the results of the measurement of religiosity. 

Table 2 above informs that the respondents exhibit relatively balanced religiosity levels (observant, moderate, and relaxed). The highest proportion of religiosity levels is the moderate level (37%), followed by the observant level (36%). Next, women dominate our respondents (60% of total respondents), and men constitute the rest (40%). Most respondents earn monthly income or pocket money less than 1,000,000 rupiahs and are between 17 and 24 years old. Further, most respondents (58%) actively participate in Islamic financial organizations and are highly loyal to sharia- based financial products, as indicated by their willingness to hold sharia-based stocks regardless of the magnitude of the return declines (46%).

4.2. Multivariate Analysis

We then run the multivariate analysis using the multiple multinomial regression method after the descriptive analysis and bivariate analyses. This method belongs to logistic regression used when the dependent variable has a polychotomous or multinomial scale. The multinomial scale is a measure that is categorized into more than two categories. Hosmer and Lemeshow (2000) suggest using logistic regression when the response variable is categorical (nominal or ordinal), and the predictor variables are continuous or categorical. The following is the logistic regression model:

\(\pi(x) \frac {e^{g(x)}} {1+e^{g(x)}}\)       ...(1)

With g(x) = β0 + β1 X1 + βp Zp

Table 2: The Descriptive Statistics of Research Variables

g j (x) is investment decisions as the dependent variable with a multinomial scale (five possible decisions) and the decline in Sharia-based stocks’ returns with four possible answers. Next, X is religiosity as the independent variable (total or per dimension), and Z is the control variables (gender, income, age, and participation in Islamic financial organizations). Table 3 below demonstrates the results of the multiple multinomial regression analysis between religiosity and investments.

Table 3: Multinomial Regression Analysis – The Effect of Religiosity on Investment Portfolios

Table 3: Continued

a. The reference category is: 100% Sharia-based stocks.

Explanation: significance levels 10 %(*), 5% (**), and 1% (***)

The above multivariate analysis shows the effect of religiosity (total or per dimension) on stock investment choices controlled by the sociodemographic variables (gender, age, income/ pocket money, and participation in Islamic financial organizations). The results demonstrate that the total religiosity variable has significant and consistent effects on every investment decision. Particularly, individuals with observant religiosity levels are less likely to select 100% conventional stocks than 100% sharia-based stocks. Hence, more religious individuals are less likely to select 100% conventional stocks than invest 100% of their funds in sharia-based stocks. We also find similar results for other investment choices (70% conventional 30% sharia, 50% conventional 50% sharia, and 30% conventional 70% sharia) compared with the reference value (100% sharia- based stocks).

Next, from each religiosity dimension’s perspectives, individuals with the highest score for belief in Allah are less likely to invest in 70% conventional stocks and 30% sharia-based stocks than in 100% sharia-based stocks with the probability value of 0.006. Similarly, individuals with higher scores for their worshiping behavior are less likely to invest in 70% conventional stocks and 30% sharia-based stocks than in 100% sharia-based stocks with the probability value of 0.333.

Belief in Islamic sharia is significant for the investment choice of 50% conventional stocks-50% sharia-based stocks with 100% investment in sharia-based stocks as the comparison. Thus, individuals with higher belief in Islamic sharia are less likely to invest in 50% conventional stocks and 50% sharia-based stocks than in 100% sharia- based stocks with the probability value of 0.142. Several demographic variables exhibit significant values in model 1 (total religiosity), such as age and participation in Islamic financial organizations. Meanwhile, in model 2 (religiosity dimensions), income/ pocket money and participation in Islamic financial organizations are the significant sociodemographic variables.

Based on the above statistical results, religiosity generally affects investment decisions (Mahdzan et al., 2017). More observant individuals (those with higher religiosity scores) prefer 100% sharia-based stocks to other proportions in their investment portfolios. The results demonstrate that Islamic societies have strong desire to avoid conventional stocks that their Islamic religious teachings consider sinful (Fabozzi et al., 2008). The investors avoid firms whose activities conflict with Islamic religious teachings, such as firms who sale products that contain pork, alcohol, and casino contradict Islamic religious teachings (Durand et al., 2013). Canepa and Ibnrubbian (2014) document that religious teachings affect individuals’ portfolio formation in Saudi Arabia. Hence, our findings support prior studies (Fabozzi et al., 2008; Durand et al., 2013; Canepa & Ibnrubbian, 2014; Mahdzan et al., 2017). 

Next, the religiosity measurement dimensions that play crucial roles in investment decisions are belief in Allah, belief in Islamic sharia, and worshiping behaviour. Muslim investors consider sharia-based stocks important because they have strong beliefs in their religious teachings. Consequently, they are highly loyal to sharia-based financial products. These results show that observant Muslim investors will maximize metaphysical returns to obtain blessings (barakah) from Allah when making investment decisions by investing more in sharia-based stocks than conventional ones (Ghassan, 2015). Hence, the risk and return variables are insufficient in analysing the investment patterns of sharia-based financial products because other significant variables that are based on individuals’ values affect investment decisions such as religiosity.

Figure 1: Investment Reasons in Sharia-based Stocks

Our findings also highlight that participation in Islamic financial organizations strengthens further the decisions to buy sharia-based stocks for both model 1 and model 2. Thus, Islamic financial organizations in Indonesia play a crucial role in socializing Islamic finance in Indonesia. This study also include an open-ended question that asks the reasons for the respondents’ choices of investment portfolios. The following figure illustrates the results:

Figure 1 above indicates that more respondents invest in sharia-based stocks based on Islamic religious reasons (57%) than based on economic reasons (43%). Thus, the religiosity factor is more dominant in affecting investment decisions than the economic factor. Next, we analyse further the Islamic religious teachings on which Muslim investors base their investment decisions.

Muslim investors choose sharia-based stocks because they need to avoid riba, invest in halal products that comply with Islamic religious teachings (46%). Next, Muslim investors also expect other returns in the form of blessings (barakah) from Allah because they adhere to Islamic religious teachings (29%). After empirically underscoring the importance of metaphysical returns, we then investigate whether Muslim investors also consider materialistic returns as indicated by the returns of sharia- based stocks, especially when the returns of these stocks continue declining. Particularly, this study asks the percentage of the decline in sharia-based stocks’ returns that are still tolerable by Muslim investors. Table 4 below demonstrates the results.

Table 4 informs that individuals’ religiosity levels likely affect willingness to bear the declines in sharia-based stocks’ returns. In model 1, more religious individuals are less willing to bear the declines in sharia-based stocks’ returns of less than 25% than any percentage of decline in sharia-based stocks’ returns with the probability of 0.300 times. We find similar results for other percentages of return declines (25%- 50%, 50%-75%) as compared with any percentage of return decline. If analysed per religiosity dimension, belief in Allah and Islamic sharia have greater impacts on willingness to bear any percentage of decline in sharia-based stocks’ returns than other dimensions.

Next, for both model 1 and model 2, ages of level 0= 17-20 and 1=21-24 as the control variable significantly affect willingness to bear the return decline. In particular, respondents in these age groups are less willing to bear any percentage of the decline of sharia-based stocks’ returns, and they tend to accept a 25%-75% return decline.

The statistical results above suggest that highly observant Muslim investors tend to hold their sharia-based stocks although these stocks offer significant return declines (they are willing to bear any percentage of return decline). These findings demonstrate that more observant individuals are more loyal to sharia-based stocks and are more willing to sacrifice materialistic returns for metaphysical returns. However, the association is affected by individuals’ age. Specifically, younger individuals are less willing to bear any percentage of declines in sharia-based stocks’ returns. Thus, they still consider materialistic returns important, while older investors tend to prioritize metaphysical returns.

Overall, these findings do not support hypothesis 2 that predicts that individuals who adhere to their religious teachings more strongly are less willing to take risks. This study even documents the opposite results. Higher religiosity levels are associated with risk-taking behaviour, as indicated by the willingness to bear any percentage of the decline in sharia-based stocks’ returns. Thus, sharia-based stocks have a highly loyal market segment, especially for Muslim investors.

Table 4: Multinomial Regression Analysis – The Effect of Religiosity on Tolerable Declines in Sharia-based Stocks’ Returns 

a. The reference category is: Any percentage of decline in sharia-based stocks’ returns.

Explanation: significance levels 10%(*), 5% (**), and 1% (***)

5. Conclusions

This paper concludes that individuals’ religiosity levels affect investment portfolio choices. Individuals with higher piety towards Islamic teachings are more likely to have investment portfolios that entirely (100%) consist of sharia- based stocks. The belief dimensions of religiosity measure (belief in Allah and belief in Islamic sharia) strengthen the results. Further, more observant Muslim investors will bear any decline in sharia-based stocks’ returns, implying that they are highly loyal to sharia products because they believe in Allah and Islamic sharia. The above discussions indicate that individuals’ adherence to religious teachings positions metaphysical returns to be more important than materialistic returns. However, younger investors exhibit different tendencies because they consider both metaphysical and materialistic returns in their investment decisions. Besides, Islamic financial organizations also play crucial roles in socializing Islamic finance to Muslim investors. This study highlights the importance of religiosity in sharia-based stock investments. Hence, future studies can use archival data to investigate the optimal prices for sharia-based stocks by involving the religiosity factor in the analysis.

참고문헌

  1. Akerlof, G. (1980). A theory of social custom, of which unemployment may be one consequence. Quarterly Journal of Economics 94(4), 749-775. https://doi.org/10.2307/1885667
  2. Allport, G. W., & Ross, J. M. (1967). Personal religious orientation and prejudice. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 5(4), p. 432. https://doi.org/10.1037/h0021212
  3. Anas, E., & Mounira, B. A. (2009). Ethical investment and the social responsibilities of the Islamic banks. International Business Research, 2(2), 123-130. https://doi.org/10.5539/ibr.v2n2p123
  4. Arfah, A., Olilingo, F. Z., Syaifuddin, S., Dahliah, D., Nurmiati, N., & Putra, A. H. P. K. (2020). Economic During Global Recession: Sharia-Economics as a Post COVID-19 Agenda. Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business, 7(11), 1077-1085. https://doi.org/10.13106/jafeb.2020.vol7.no11.1077
  5. Arora, S., & Marwaha, K. (2014). Variables influencing preferences for stocks (high risk investment) vis-a-vis fixed deposits (low-risk investment) a comparative study. International Journal of Law and Management, 56(4), 333-343. https://doi.org/10.1108/ijlma-07-2013-0032
  6. Azari, N. P., Missimer, J., & Seitz, R.J. (2005). Religious experience and emotion: Evidence for distinctive cognitive neural patterns. International Journal for the Psychology of Religion, 15(2), 263-281. https://www.doi.org/abs/10.1207/s15327582ijpr1504_1
  7. Awadhi A. M., & Dempsey, M. (2017). Social Norms and Market Outcomes: The Effects of Religious Beliefs on Stock Markets. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions & Money, 50(C), 119-134. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2017.05.008
  8. Baker, H. K., & Nofsinger, J. R. (2012). Socially Responsible Finance and Investing: Financial institutions, Corporations, Investors, and Activists. Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons
  9. Barro, R., & McCleary, R. (2003). Religion and Economic Growth. American Sociological Review, 68(5), 760-781. https://doi.org/10.2307/1519761
  10. Benjamin, D. J., Choi, J. J., & Fisher, G. (2016). Religious Identity and Economic Behavior, The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, 98(4), 617-637, October. https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_00586
  11. Bertaut, C., & Starr-McCluer, M. (2002). Household portfolios in the United States. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
  12. Canepa, A., & Ibnrubbian, A. (2014). Does faith move stock markets? Evidence from Saudi Arabia. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance 54(4), 538-550. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.qref.2014.04.002
  13. Chen, Y., Murgulov, Z., Rhee, S. G., & Veeraraghavan, M. (2016). Religious beliefs and local government financing, investment, and cash holding decisions. Journal of Empirical Finance, 38, 258-271. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jempfin.2016.07.009
  14. Davutyan, N. & Ozturkkal, B. (2016). Determinants of savingborrowing decisions and financial inclusion in a high middle income country: the Turkish case. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 52(11), 2512-2529. https://doi.org/10.1080/1540496x.2016.1187596
  15. Delener, N. (1990b). The Effects of Religious Factors on Perceived Risk in Durable Goods Purchase Decision. Journal of Consumer Marketing, 7(3), 27-38. https://doi.org/10.1108/eum0000000002580
  16. Duasa, J., & Yusof, S. A. (2013). Determinants of risk tolerance on financial asset ownership: a case of Malaysia. International Journal of Business and Society, 14(1), 1-16
  17. Durand, R. B., Koh, S., & Limkriangkrai, M. (2013), Saints versus sinners. Does morality matter?, Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money 24, 166-183. 595. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2012.12.002
  18. Fabozzi, F. J., Ma, K., & Oliphant, B. J. (2008). Sin stock returns. Journal of Portfolio Management 35(1), 82-94. https://doi.org/10.3905/jpm.2008.35.1.82
  19. Ghassan, H. B. (2015). Islamic Consumer Model, Fairness Behavior and Asymtotic Utility. Munich Personal RePEc Archive, pp.1-39.
  20. Hair, J. F., Anderson, R. E., & Black, W. C. (2014). Multivariate Data Analysis (7th ed.). Harlow, UK: Pearson.
  21. Hess, D. W. (2012). The impact of religiosity on personal financial decisions. Journal of Religion and Society, 14, 1-13.
  22. Higgins, E. T. (1998). Promotion and prevention: regulatory focus as a motivational principle. In: P. Z. Mark (Ed.), Advances in Experimental Psychology (pp. 1-46). San Diego, CA; Academic Press.
  23. Hossain, B. (2014). Economic Rationalism and Consumption: Islamic Perspective. International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management, 3(6), 273-281.
  24. Hosmer, D. W., & Lemeshow, S. (2000) Applied logistic regression (2nd ed.). New York, NY: John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
  25. Jiang, F., Jiang, Z., Kim, K. A., & Zhang, M. (2015). Family-firm risk-taking: does religion matter. Journal of Corporate Finance, 33, 260-278. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2015.01.007
  26. Kim, I., & Venkatachalam, M. (2011). Are sin stocks paying the price for accounting sins?. Journal of Accounting, Auditing & Finance 26(2), 415-442. https://doi.org/10.1177/0148558x11401222
  27. Kubler, D. (2001). On the regulation of social norms. Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization 17(2), 449-476. https://doi.org/10.1093/jleo/17.2.449
  28. Kutschera, F. (1977). Subjective Preference, Rationality, and Justice. Social Ethics, 11(1), 97-111. https://doi.org/10.1007/bf00169846
  29. Leon, A. J., & Pfeifer. C. (2013). Religious Activity, Risk Taking Preference, and Financial Behavior: Empirical Evidence from Germany Survey Data. Working paper Series, University of Luneburg.
  30. Lintner, J. (1965). The Valuation of Risk Assets and the Selection of Risky Investments in Stock Portfolios and Capital Budgets. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 47(1), 13-37. https://doi.org/10.2307/1924119
  31. Lu, J., & Chan, C. (2012). Religious-based portfolio selection. Review of Financial Economics, 21(1), 31-38. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rfe.2011.12.004
  32. Markowitz, H. (1952). Portfolio Selection. The Journal of Finance, 7(1), 77-91. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1952.tb01525.x
  33. Masri Jana, A., & Priester, P. E. (2007). The development and validation of a Qur'an-based instrument to assess Islamic religiosity: The Religiosity of Islam Scale. Journal of Muslim Mental Health, 2(2), 177-188. https://doi.org/10.1080/15564900701624436
  34. Merton, R. C. (1987). A simple model of capital market equilibrium within 670 complete information, The Journal of Finance 42(3), 483-510. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1987.tb04565.x
  35. Olufadi, Y. (2017). Muslim Daily Religiosity Assessment Scale (MUDRAS): A new instrument for Muslim religiosity research and practice. Psychology of Religion and Spirituality, 9(2), 165-179. https://doi.org/10.1037/rel0000074
  36. Rahmi, M., Azma, N., Muttaqin, A. A., Jazil, T., & Rahman, M. (2016). Risk Volatility Measurement: Evidence from Indonesian Stock Market, Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business, 3(3), 57-65. https://doi.org/10.13106/jafeb.2016.vol3.no3.57.
  37. Ramli, A. M., & Mirza, A. A. (2007). The Theory of Consumer Behavior: Conventional vs. Islamic", 2nd Islamic Conference (iECONS). Islamic Science University of Malaysia.
  38. Renneboog, L., & Spaenjers, C. (2012). Religion, economic attitudes, and household finance, Oxford Economic Papers, 64(1), 103-127. https://doi.org/10.1093/oep/gpr025
  39. Romer, D. (1984). The theory of social custom: a modification and some extensions. Quarterly Journal of Economics 99(4), 717-727. https://doi.org/10.2307/1883122
  40. Shahnaz, M. N., Zainudin, R., Hashim, R. C., & Sulaiman, N. A. (2017). Islamic religiosity and portfolio allocation: the Malaysian context. International Journal of Islamic and Middle Eastern Finance and Management, 10(3), 434-452, https://doi.org/10.1108/imefm-11-2016-0162
  41. Shakeel, M. (2015), Religiosity effects: Predictors of savings and investment among Muslims in India, CLEAR International Journal of Research in Commerce & Management, 6(5), 6-12.
  42. Sharpe, W. F. (1964). Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions of Risk, The Journal of Finance, 19(3), 425-442. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1964.tb02865.x
  43. Tabellini, G. (2010). Culture and Institutions: Economic Development in the Regions of Europe, Journal of the European Economic Association, 8(4), 677-716. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1542-4774.2010.tb00537.x
  44. Tahir, I. and Brimble, M. (2011). Islamic investment behavior, International Journal of Islamic and Middle Eastern Finance and Management, 4(2), 116-130. https://doi.org/10.1108/17538391111144515
  45. Tung, R. L., Baumann, C., & Hamin, H. (2014). Cross-cultural management of money: The roles of ethnicity, religious affiliation, and income levels in asset allocation, International Journal of Cross Cultural Management, 14(1), 85-104. https://doi.org/10.1177/1470595812470441
  46. Usman, H. (2015). Customer Trust on Islamic Banks in Indonesia. Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business, 2(1), 5-13. https://doi.org/10.13106/jafeb.2015.vol2.no1.5.
  47. Van Rooij, M., Lusardi, A. & Alessie, R. (2011). Financial literacy and stock market participation, Journal of Financial Economics, 101(2), 449-472. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2011.03.006
  48. Venkatachaman, M., & Rajgopal, S. (2011) Financial reporting quality and idiosyncratic return volatility. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 51(2), 1-20. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacceco.2010.06.001
  49. Vitell, S. J., Paolillo, J. G., & Singh, J. J. (2006). The role of money and religiosity in determining consumers' ethical beliefs, Journal of Business Ethics, 64(2), 117-124. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10551-005-1901-x
  50. Wan Ahmad, W. M., Rahman, A., Ali, N. A., & Che Seman, A. (2008). Religiosity and banking selection criteria among Malays in Lembah Klang. Shariah Journal, 16(2), 279-304.
  51. Yusuff, N. and Mansor, F. (2016). Proposed model for the factors influencing Muslim investors in choosing Islamic unit trust funds, Journal of Global Business and Social Entrepreneurship, 1(2), 113-120.