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The Korean Society of Disaster Information (한국재난정보학회)
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Analysing the Influence of Regional Characteristics on the Migration of Population in the Seoul Metropolitan Area

수도권 권역별 특성이 인구이동에 미치는 영향 분석

  • Kim, HeeJae (Smart City Research Center, Kangnam University) ;
  • Kim, Geunyoung (Department of Real Estate and Construction, Kangnam University)
  • Received : 2020.05.01
  • Accepted : 2020.07.31
  • Published : 2020.09.30
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Abstract

Purpose: The purpose of this study is to analyze the impact of regional characteristics on population movement on the Seoul metropolitan areas. Method: To this end, 66 basic entities in the Seoul metropolitan area were divided into three regions by analyzing the demographic movement data from 2010 to 2016 and the factors for determining population movement within and between regions were identified by applying a stepwise regression technique. Result: The major analysis confirmed that the increase in the number of apartments in all areas of the Seoul metropolitan area, the increase in the number of single-family homes, the increase in the number of employees, the increase in manufacturers, the growth rate of knowledge, culture, and leisure industries, the increase rate of GRDP, and the opening of new subway stations. In particular, the growth rate of the number of apartments, the growth rate of the knowledge, culture and leisure industries, the increase rate of GRDP, and the opening of new subway stations played a positive role in increasing population inflow. Conclusion: The result showed that by region, the growth rate of knowledge, culture and leisure industries contributed greatly to the inflow of population in the first region, and that the opening of new subway stations and the increase of GRDPs were the main factors. The increase in the number of apartments and subway stations were the main factors in the three areas.

연구목적: 본 연구의 목적은 우리나라 수도권을 대상으로 권역별 특성이 인구이동에 미치는 영향을 분석하는 것이다. 연구방법: 이를 위해 수도권의 66개 기초지자체는 2010~2016년 인구이동자료 분석을 통해 3개의 권역으로 구분하고, 단계적 회귀분석기법을 적용하여 권역 내부의 인구이동 결정요인과 권역 간 인구이동 결정요인을 파악하였다. 연구결과: 주요 분석결과로 수도권 전 지역에서의 인구이동에서는 지역의 아파트 수 증가율, 단독·다세대주택 증가율, 고용자 수 증가율, 제조업체 증가율, 지식·문화·여가산업 증가율, GRDP증가율, 지하철역 신규개통이 중요하다는 것이 확인되었다. 특히 아파트 수 증가율, 지식·문화·여가산업 증가율, GRDP 증가율, 지하철 역 신규개통은 인구유입을 늘리는데 긍정적으로 작용하였다. 결론: 권역별로 지식·문화·여가산업 증가율이 1권역의 인구유입에 크게 기여했으며, 2권역에서는 지하철역 신규개통과 GRDP증가율이 주요 요인인 것으로 나타났다. 아파트 수 증가율과 지하철역 증가율은 3권역에서 주요 요인으로 작용하였다.

Keywords

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