1. Introduction
Pandemic COVID-19 has led to the disruption of worldwide activities. Many countries have been forced to keep their citizen home. The lockdown policies to decrease the spread of COVID-19 have led to almost no social activities.
Globally, researchers have shown the declining air pollution and witnessed a massive reduction on in air pollution all over the world during the pandemic. All of China, especially Wuhan, the city where the novel Coronavirus originated, shows biggest air pollution reduction (BBC, 2020). Other countries, such as France, also have had a drastic reduction. Air pollution in Paris has dropped to an astonishing 50% (Bartels, 2020). Furthermore, China’s CO2 emissions have fallen by a quarter after quarantine period (Dutheil, Frédéric, Baker, Julien. S., & Navel, 2020).
The IQAir’s scientists have investigated ten major cities (Delhi, London, Los Angeles, Milan, Mumbai, New York City, Rome, São Paulo, Seoul and Wuhan), which have quite a high number of COVID-19 cases and lockdown regulation or halted activities in regencies around the world in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. They report that due to the limitation of economic activities and lockdowns, air pollution can diminish fine particulates (PM2.5) of up to 60% as compared to 2019 condition (IQAir, 2020).
In addition, some studies have also investigated the relationship between the risks of getting COVID-19 with the high level of air pollution (Martelletti & Martelletti, 2020). Other studies have observed the correlation between COVID-19 infections and outdoor air pollution concentrations using regression model in Wuhan and other provincial capitals in China (Han, Lam, Li, Guo, Zhang, and et al, 2020). A study in the United State has also investigated the association death rate of COVID-19 with PM2.5 level (Wu, Nethery, Sabath, Braun, and Dominici, 2020).
Unlike China, France, and other countries that did an intensive lockdown, Indonesia has only issued a social distancing regulation. In the beginning of March 2020, the government has announced the first confirmed cases in the capital, Jakarta. To prevent the spreading of the Coronavirus while keeping the economy running, the Indonesian government has decided not to apply a full lockdown but to regulate physical distancing and work from home regulations. Hence, the activities in Jakarta which is not as strict as in other countries, makes the improvement of air quality in Jakarta is less drastic. Still, people have stayed home and limited their mobility that would emit air pollution.
In the age of Big Data, massive and real-time data of different structures can be used for policy making (Pramana, Setia ; Yuniarto, Budi ; Kurniawan, Robert ; Lee, Jonggun ; Putu, Ni Luh; Amin, 2017). One of the big data sources measuring air pollution is AQI, which obtains almost hourly combining from different stations all over the world.
The goal of this research is to explore the level of air pollution in Jakarta, the epicenter of COVID-19 Pandemic in Indonesia and its surrounding provinces, Banten and West Jakarta. This study also focusses on air pollution of Jakarta Metropolitan Area (known as Jabodetabek), which refers to Jakarta and the regencies which have direct border with Jakarta, including Jakarta, Bogor, Depok, Tangerang and Bekasi.
2. Literature Review
Air pollution is defined as the occurrence of materials which contain toxic chemicals or composites in the air, having an effect of health risk for livings beings. World Health Organization (WHO, 2010) determines the limits of the concentration of air pollution for outdoor and indoor pollution from buildings or homes that are harmful to the health. The indoor pollutants contain benzene, carbon monoxide, formaldehyde, naphthalene, nitrogen dioxide, polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons, radon, trichlorethylene and tetrachloroethylene. Ambient air pollution is measured mostly by the concentration of PM10 and PM2.5 (WHO, 2016). The Air quality guidelines for Europe had been produced since 1958 and constantly being ratified and improved (Maynard et al., 2017).
The U.S Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), on the other hand, established six criteria of air pollutants for the National Ambient Air Quality Standard (NAAQS) that can endanger environment and human health. These pollutants are carbon monoxide (CO), lead (Pb), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), ozone, PM10, PM2.5 and sulfur dioxide (SO2) (EPA, 2017). Air pollution can be measured by Air Quality Index (AQI) value and the level of Air Quality Index is explained in Table 1.
Table 1: Level of Air Quality Index
Source: NASA space, 2020
AQI AirVisual aggregates and validates air quality data from governments, private individuals, and nongovernmental organizations. The site reports median air quality data of several ground stations of that city for which public data is available. For Jakarta, there are 37 ground level stations, most of which are Indonesian government stations that report data publicly.
For Indonesia, there are two approaches for the AQI calculations, US and Indonesian AQI. The US AQI is globally well established and closely aligned with the air quality guidelines of the World Health Organization (WHO). Indonesian AQI has not yet included PM2.5 pollutant data. For regions with no PM2.5 monitoring, air visual applies AI to estimate PM2.5 based on PM10 measurements. For this study, we use the US AQI.
3. Research Methods and Materials
The AQI data of several cities and region in Indonesia is obtained from www.airvisual.com. The information, such as AQI, temperature, humidity, etc., is obtained eight times a day from API (Application Programming Interfaces) (https://website-api.airvisual.com/v1/cities/location_id). Python modules Requests and Beautifulsoup are used to render and parse the HTML to gather all specified locations. Around 2000 locations have been compiled daily throughout Indonesia during January, March, and April of 2020. This study investigated the AQI of 45 cities and regencies of three provinces in Indonesia, e.g., Jakarta, Banten, and West Java. Furthermore, the focus is at Jakarta and its surrounding regions (Jakarta Metropolitan Area) which is the epicenter of COVID-19 pandemic in Indonesia. The number of COVID-19 cases is obtained from the government’s official COVID-19 website, COVID19.go.id. The data collected is analyzed using descriptive statistics and mapped using QGIS.
AQI average
AQI average is the average AQI value over a certain time span in the i-th region. The formulation of the calculation is as follows:
\(\operatorname{AvgAQI}_{i}=\sum_{t=0}^{n} \frac{A Q I_{i t}}{n}\) (1)
t = date,
n = number of observations
Change in AQI average
The change in average AQI is the difference in value from the average AQI in the i-th region between n2 periods and n1 periods. The formulation is as follows:
\(\text {ChangeAQI}_{i}=\sum_{t 1=0}^{n 1} \frac{A Q I_{i t 1}}{n 1}-\sum_{t 2=0}^{n 2} \frac{A Q I_{i t 2}}{n 2}\) (2)
t1 =date of period 1,
n1 = number of observations period 1,
t2 = date of period 2,
n2 = number of observations period 2.
4. Results and Discussion
Monthly average of Air Quality Index of January to April, in 45 cities of Jakarta, Banten and West Java, varies from 51 to 187. It shows that, in general, some region has moderate quality, while some have unhealthy air.
Figure 1 shows the heatmap of daily AQI from 45 cities, from January, March and April 2020. It shows that some regencies such as Bogor and West Bogor have high AQI in the beginning of the year but then get lower AQI during March and April. However, some region tends to have similar AQI.
Figure 1: Heatmap of AQI from 45 cities and regencies in Jakarta, Banten and West Java.
Figure 2 shows the map of AQI average for January, March and April 2020. Jakarta, the capital, tends to have moderate air quality during the period, while some regions tend to vary over the period.
Figure 2.a: AQI average of January 2020 in Jakarta, Banten and West Java
Figure 2.b: AQI average of March 2020 in Jakarta, Banten and West Java
Figure 2.c: AQI average of April 2020 in Jakarta, Banten and West Java
The condition of AQI also indirectly provides an overview of people mobility within an area. In addition, it can also indicate productivity and activities of industries with dominant pollutants in the form of PM2.5. Conditions in the Tangerang region, which is also located in the Soekarno-Hatta International Airport, lead to high levels of pollutants.
Indonesia announced its first COVID-19 case on the 2 nd of March. Two weeks after that, in mid-March, the Jakarta local government announced work from home policy for all civil servants in Jakarta and private companies as well. In the beginning of April, large-scale social restrictions (PSBB) in Jakarta were implemented. This restricted much more activities with stricter law enforcement. The moderate air quality in Jakarta during the COVID-19 outbreak period shows how Jakarta has been dominated by commuters, despite the pandemic situation.
One area of interest is the southern area around Lebak and Cilangkahan regencies. In contrast to the surrounding area, it appears that the two regions have high levels of pollutants. This may be due to the dense start of the area. Jakarta commuting seems to come from surrounding areas, such as Bekasi, Bogor, Depok and Tangerang. Figure 3 indicates that, in general, the Jakarta Metropolitan Area experienced a decrease in pollutant levels, especially in the Bogor area.
Figure 3: Daily AQI The Jakarta Metropolitan Area
The AQI of Bogor has significantly decreased from 350 (very unhealthy) to below 100, which is moderate. This may be due to mobility restrictions, so areas that are usually crowded throughout the week for both commuting and tourism have decreased levels of pollutants. Although other regions tend to be constant, on average, there is also a slight decrease in pollutant levels.
The map of COVID-19 confirmed case distribution that occurred around Jakarta, West Java, and Banten, can be seen in Figure 4; the distribution seems to be concentrated and dense in the Jakarta area. The condition of high population density on normal days before the virus struck shows Jakarta's vulnerability to the quick spread of the virus. Coupled with the condition of Jakarta on a normal day that is quite dense with tourists, Jakarta's vulnerability to the danger of the COVID-19 outbreak is also strengthened.
Figure 4: Number of Positive COVID-19 Cases in Jakarta, West Java and Banten Provinces
By the 17th of April 2020, there have been 5,923 confirmed cases in Indonesia, with 2,815 cases (47.5%) in Jakarta, 632 cases (10.7%) in West Java province, and 311 cases (5.2%) in Banten province. These cases account for almost 64% of all cases in Indonesia. The number of confirmed cases of metropolitan Jakarta cities are 174 in Bekasi, 147 in Depok, 85 in Tangerang, and 58 in Bogor, (See Table 2 and Figure 5).
Table 2: Number of Positive COVID-19 Cases in Indonesia, Jakarta, West Java, and Banten Regions until 17th April 2020
Figure 5: Bar plot of Number of Confirmed and death cases of COVID-19 Cases in Jakarta and surrounding cities and regencies by 17th April 2020
It can be seen from Figure 6 that regions with high confirmed cases like Jakarta and Bogor experienced a decline in the value of AQI. On the other hand, regions with low cases or even no cases have experienced an increase in AQI. This supports the belief that population mobility within districts during COVID-19 quarantine tend to reduce the pollutant produced leading to better air quality.
Figure 6: Overlay Average Change AQI (Jan-Apr) with Positive Cases of COVID-19 and Scatter plot with three degree of polynomial line
Furthermore, from the scatter plot of number of cases against the AQI change in Figure 6, a declining trend with a polynomial pattern can be seen. The correlation value of - 0.66, shows a moderate correlation. The change in AQI in the Jakarta metropolitan was associated by the COVID-19 outbreak.
5. Conclusions
The air quality of three provinces, Jakarta, Banten, and West Java, especially cities located in the Jakarta Metropolitan Area during COVID-19 outbreak and largescale social restrictions is better. It was found that the areas with high confirmed cases have higher reduction in pollutants. However, in some areas, the reduction is slow, which may be due to some factories and power plants still operating in business and factory areas. The pollutants concentrations need longer time to reduce as it was very high before the pandemic.
참고문헌
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