Journal of Korea Water Resources Association (한국수자원학회논문집)

Korea Water Resources Association (한국수자원학회)
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Model development for the estimation of specific degradation using classification and prediction of data mining

데이터 마이닝의 분류 및 예측 기법을 적용한 비유사량 추정 모델 개발

  • Jang, Eun-kyung (Department of Land, Water and Environment Research, Korea Institute of Civil Engineering and Building Technology) ;
  • Kang, Woochul (Department of Land, Water and Environment Research, Korea Institute of Civil Engineering and Building Technology)
  • 장은경 (한국건설기술연구원 국토보전연구본부) ;
  • 강우철 (한국건설기술연구원 하천연구센터 국토보전연구본부)
  • Received : 2020.02.19
  • Accepted : 2020.03.10
  • Published : 2020.03.31
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Abstract

The objective of this study is to develop a prediction model of specific degradation using data mining classification especially for the rivers in South Korea river. A number of critical predictors such as erosion and sediment transport were extracted for the prediction model considering watershed morphometric characteristics, rainfall, land cover, land use, and bed material. The suggested model includes the elevations at the mid relative area of the hypsometric curve of watershed morphomeric characteristics, the urbanization ratio, and the wetland and water ratio of land cover factors as the condition factors. The proposed model describes well the measured specific degradation of the rivers in South Korea. In addition, the development model was compared with the existing models, since the existing models based on different conditions and purposes show low predictability, they have a limit about the application of Korean River. Therefore, this study is focusing on improving the applicability of the existing model

본 연구의 목적은 국내 하천을 대상으로 데이터 마이닝의 분류 및 예측 기법을 활용하여 비유사량 추정 모델을 개발하는 것이다. 이를 위해 유사이송에 영향을 미치는 요소들을 전반적으로 고려하여 유역인자를 추출하였으며, 유역의 지형학적 요소, 강우, 토지 피복, 토지 이용, 하상 재료 등이 고려되었다. 추출된 인자를 활용하여 모델을 도출한 결과 유역 형태학적 특성인자 중 평균 면적비에서 유역고도 및 토지피복인자 중 도시화 비율과 전체 유역 중 습지와 수역의 비율이 조건인자로 활용되었다. 도출된 모델은 실측값과의 비교를 통해 실측 비유사량의 발생 패턴이 유사하게 재현됨을 확인하였다. 또한 기존의 사용되던 산정 공식과 비교하였으며, 국외의 데이터를 기반으로 도출된 모델은 개발 배경 및 국내 하천 환경과의 차이로 인해 국내 하천 데이터 적용에 한계가 있는 것으로 나타났다. 이에 본 연구에서는 개발 및 적용 환경, 데이터 범위의 차이 등으로 인해 발생하던 기존 공식의 한계를 개선하고자 하였다.

Keywords

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