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Competitive Advantages and Growth Characteristics of Korea's Tourism Industry - Comparative Analysis with Northeast Asian Countries by Using Shift-Share Method

우리나라 관광산업의 경쟁우위와 성장 특성 - 변이할당분석방법을 이용한 동북아시아 지역 국가들과의 비교 분석

  • Received : 2019.11.27
  • Accepted : 2020.03.06
  • Published : 2020.03.31

Abstract

This study examined the growth characteristics and competitive advantages of Korea's tourism industry compared to other Northeast Asian countries using the Balassa Indices and Shift-Share method. The analysis results showed that the growth of Korea's tourism industry over the past decade was due mainly to external factors, such as the growth of the global economy and the expansion of the tourism sector, while the role of growth momentum of the tourism industry itself was insignificant. Employment in Korea's tourism industry has shown relatively higher increasing rates compared to the rates of the total amount of sales and value-adding. This appears to be caused by the decreased absorption of the labor force in the tourism industry due to the overall capacity of job creation. (Ed note: This sentence was unclear. Please check the edits.)The competitive advantage of Korea's tourism industry has been strengthened over the past decade, but it is still inferior to other countries. The travel account balance showed that the economic size of the Chinese tourism sector had grown rapidly over the past decade, but the competitive advantage of the sector has been weakened. On the other hand, the economic size of the Japanese tourism sector has shown sluggish growth, while its competitive advantage has been strengthened significantly.

본 연구는 국제무역 분야에서 많이 활용되는 발라사 지수와 변이할당분석방법을 이용하여 우리나라 관광산업의 성장 특성과 경쟁우위 변동 현황을 다른 동북아시아 지역 국가들과 비교 분석하였다. 분석 결과 지난 10여년간 우리나라 관광산업의 성장은 주로 세계 경제 전반의 성장과 관광산업의 비중 증가 등 외적인 요인에 힘입은 것으로 관광부문 자체의 성장 동인(動因)의 역할은 크지 않았던 것으로 확인되었다. 다만 관광부문의 고용은 매출액이나 부가가치에 비해 상대적으로 더욱 크게 증가한 것으로 나타나는데 이는 우리나라 경제 전반의 고용창출 역량이 저하되는 가운데 소규모 음식·숙박업 등 관광산업 부문에서 이러한 노동력을 일부 흡수하였기 때문인 것으로 보이며 이는 우리나라 관광산업 부문의 영세화 진전과도 관련이 있어 보인다. 우리나라 관광부문의 경쟁우위는 지난 10여년간 완만하게 개선되어 왔으나 다른 국가들에 비해서는 여전히 열위에 있어 향후 개선할 여지가 많은 것으로 분석되었다. 한편 중국의 경우는 내국인 관광을 포함한 관광부문은 빠르게 성장하였으나 여행수지로 드러난 관광부문의 국제경쟁력은 오히려 약화된 것으로 확인되었다. 반면 일본의 경우는 지난 10여년간 관광부문의 양적인 성장은 미약했던 반면 국제적인 경쟁우위는 크게 향상된 것으로 나타난다.

Keywords

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