Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society (한국산학기술학회논문지)

The Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society (한국산학기술학회)
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Analyzing the Influence of Policy Measures for Growth Management Plan

성장관리방안 정책수단의 영향력 분석

  • 전병창 (세종특별자치시 도시정책과)
  • Received : 2019.10.25
  • Accepted : 2020.03.06
  • Published : 2020.03.31
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Abstract

This study examined the effectiveness of policy measures in a growth management plan by analyzing empirically the influence of regulations and incentives in a non-urban growth management plan of Sejong City using the binomial logistic model. The parcel unit data related development location of Sejong City from 2012 to 2017 was used in the model. The analysis showed that time regulation in the growth management plan has a negative (-) impact on the spread of development, which means it is effective in slowing urban sprawl by lowering the profits of developers. The time regulation applied in Sejong City needs to be used actively in other cities in Korea to prevent urban sprawl. Nevertheless, floor ratio incentives had no influence in inducing development within the growth management area, which means a new incentive policy to meet the local characteristics is needed to strengthen the effectiveness of the growth management plan. This study is meaningful because it attempted an empirical analysis of the effects of the growth management plan at The National Territory Act, and this study could encourage further studies.

성장관리방안의 주요 정책수단이 성장관리지역 내에서 개발 입지에 어떠한 영향력을 미치는지를 확인하고자 세종시의 수립 사례를 대상으로 이항로짓모형을 이용하여 분석하였다. 2012년부터 2017년까지 세종시의 필지기반 자료를 사용하여 자연환경요인, 인문환경요인, 제도적 요인, 성장관리방안 정책수단요인을 독립변수로, 필지별 개발여부를 종속변수로 하는 이항로짓모형을 구축하였다. 분석 결과, 성장관리지역 내에서 인센티브와 물리적 규제는 영향력이 없는 것으로 나타났으며 시간적 규제는 연접필지 개발을 억제하는 영향력을 발휘하는 것으로 나타났다. 성장관리방안 시행 이전과 이후를 비교하여 분석한 결과, 성장관리방안 시행 이후에 시간적 규제의 영향력이 강화된 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구를 통한 정책적 시사점은 다음과 같다. 첫째, 성장관리방안의 용적률 인센티브는 효과가 미미한 바 지역적 특성이나 용도별 특성에 맞게 적용할 수 있도록 인센티브를 다양화할 필요가 있다. 둘째, 세종시 성장관리방안에서 적용하고 있는 시간적 규제는 간접적으로 개발시기를 조절하고 기허가지 내 기반시설 확보를 앞당기는 효과가 있으므로 규모·입지 규제 위주로 이루어진 현 성장관리방안을 보완하는 정책수단으로서 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

Keywords

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