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Review of earthquake-induced landslide modeling and scenario-based application

  • Lee, Giha (Department of Advanced Science and Technology Convergence, Kyungpook National University) ;
  • An, Hyunuk (Department of Agricultural and Rural Engineering, Chungnam National University) ;
  • Yeon, Minho (Department of Advanced Science and Technology Convergence, Kyungpook National University) ;
  • Seo, Jun Pyo (Division of Forest Disaster Management, National Institute of Forest Science) ;
  • Lee, Chang Woo (Division of Forest Disaster Management, National Institute of Forest Science)
  • Received : 2020.08.25
  • Accepted : 2020.11.10
  • Published : 2020.12.01

Abstract

Earthquakes can induce a large number of landslides and cause very serious property damage and human casualties. There are two issues in study on earthquake-induced landslides: (1) slope stability analysis under seismic loading and (2) debris flow run-out analysis. This study aims to review technical studies related to the development and application of earthquake-induced landslide models (seismic slope stability analysis). Moreover, a pilot application of a physics-based slope stability model to Mt. Umyeon, in Seoul, with several earthquake scenarios was conducted to test regional scale seismic landslide mapping. The earthquake-induced landslide simulation model can be categorized into 1) Pseudo-static model, 2) Newmark's dynamic displacement model and 3) stress-strain model. The Pseudo-static model is preferred for producing seismic landslide hazard maps because it is impossible to verify the dynamic model-based simulation results due to lack of earthquake-induced landslide inventory in Korea. Earthquake scenario-based simulation results show that given dry conditions, unstable slopes begin to occur in parts of upper areas due to the 50-year earthquake magnitude; most of the study area becomes unstable when the earthquake frequency is 200 years. On the other hand, when the soil is in a wet state due to heavy rainfall, many areas are unstable even if no earthquake occurs, and when rainfall and 50-year earthquakes occur simultaneously, most areas appear unstable, as in simulation results based on 100-year earthquakes in dry condition.

Keywords

Acknowledgement

본 연구는 환경부 "표토보전관리기술개발사업; 2019002830001"으로 지원받은 과제임.

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