DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

A study on the Estimation of Weight of Purchasing Power Indicator for Export Market Selection of Defense Industry Products

방산물자 수출시장 선정을 위한 구매력 지표의 가중치 산정에 관한 연구

  • Joo, E-Wha (Institute of Defense Acquisition Program, Kwangwoon University) ;
  • Shim, Sang-Ryul (Department of International Trade, Kwangwoon University)
  • 주이화 (광운대학교 방위사업연구소) ;
  • 심상렬 (광운대학교 국제통상학부)
  • Received : 2019.01.20
  • Accepted : 2019.02.23
  • Published : 2019.02.28

Abstract

It is important to accurately analyze the various factors such as the local situation of the purchasable countries and the international situation in order to export defense industrial goods developed in Korea and to enter overseas markets based on the results. In the case of defense materials, unlike the civilian sector, there are a limited number of countries with high export potential. Therefore, to select a possible export market, it is necessary to consider the purchasing power index through the examination of the purchasability of the exportable market. Therefore, the present study chose a total of 18 purchasing power indicators in five major categories of economic power, military power, defense science and technology level, friendly relations with Korea, and possibility of dispute. By calculating each weight with AHP and Fuzzy-AHP analysis, the results was presented the purchasing power index and the weighting. Based on the results will contribute to the study on the method of selecting the export market of the defense materials and the establishment of the export policy of the defense industry.

Keywords

Acknowledgement

이 논문은 2017년 대한민국 교육부와 한국연구재단의 지원을 받아 수행된 연구임(NRF-2017S1A5B8060156).

References

  1. Han, Bong-Yoon and Won Jun-Ho (2012), "Research on R&D Requirement Planning Support Strategies to Foster Arms Exports: Focused on Researching the Evaluation Model of Marketability of Weapon Systems", Journal of Technology Innovation, 20(3), 93-128.
  2. Buckley, J. J. (1984), "The Multiple Judge, Multiple Criteria Ranking Problem: A Fuzzy Set Approach", Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 13(1), 25-37. https://doi.org/10.1016/0165-0114(84)90024-1
  3. Lee, Byung-Guk (2015), A Study on the Relationship between Strategic Orientation and Export Performance of Korea Defense Industry Advanced Parts Company (Doctoral Dissertation), Daejeon, Korea: Mokwon University.
  4. Chang, Da-Yong (1996), "Applications of the Extent Analysis Method on Fuzzy AHP", European Journal of Operation Research, 95(3), 649-655. https://doi.org/10.1016/0377-2217(95)00300-2
  5. Chen, S. M. (1996), "Evaluating Weapon Systems Using Fuzzy Arithmetic Operations", Fuzzy sets and systems, 77(3), 265-276. https://doi.org/10.1016/0165-0114(95)00096-8
  6. Cheng, C. H. (1994), "Evaluating Weapon System by Analytical Hierarchy Process based on Fuzzy Scales", Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 63(1), 1-10. https://doi.org/10.1016/0165-0114(94)90140-6
  7. Cheng, C. H. (1999), "Evaluating Weapon Systems Using Ranking Fuzzy Numbers", Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 107(1), 25-35. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0165-0114(97)00348-5
  8. Defense Acquisition Program Administration (2018), 2018 Statistical Yearbook of Defense Business, Seoul: Defense Acquisition Program Administration.
  9. Delbecq, A. L., A. H. Van de Ven and D. H. Gustafson (1975), Group Techniques for Program Planning: A Guide to Nominal Group and Delphi Processes, Glenview, IL: Scott, Foresman.
  10. Lee, Hoon-Ick (2011), "An Essay on the Development of the Evaluation Model for Selecting a Target Market of Cultural Contents", Review of Culture & Economy, 14(1), 21-52.
  11. Choi, In-Kyu and Do-Kyung Sung (2009), "Developing an Evaluation Model for the Competitiveness of Local Medical Centers", Korean Public Administration Quarterly, 21(4), 1399-1420.
  12. Choi, Ju-Choel, Il-Young Choi and Jae-Kyeong Kim (2009), "Development of Korean Green Business/IT Strategies Using Delphi Technique", Korean Management Science Review, 26(2), 91-112.
  13. Kim, Ju-Cheol (2009), A Study on the Expansion of Defense Industry Exports (Master's Thesis), Seoul: Kwangwoon University.
  14. Kang, Hoe-Il, Seung-Pyo Hong, Byung-Kwon Min (2006), "A Study on Finding Prospective Export Niche Countries & Prospective Export Items", Proceedings of Symposium of the Korean Institute of communications and Information Sciences, Seoul, Korea, 1736-1741.
  15. Kinoshita, Eizo (2008), Theory and Practice of AHP (Kang Jin-Kyu and Min Byung-Min, Trans.), Seoul: Intervision.
  16. Korea Institute for Defense Analyses (2007), Analysis of Market Research and Establishment of Export Strategy for Export of Defense Industry, Seoul: Korea Institute for Defense Analyses.
  17. Korea Institute for Industrial Economics & Trade (2014), 2014 KIET Top 10 Defense Exporters, Sejong, Korea: Author.
  18. Kulak, O., M. B. Durmusoglu and C. Kahraman (2005), "Fuzzy Multi-attribute Equipment Selection based on Information Axiom", Journal of Materials Processing Technicology, 169(3), 337-345. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmatprotec.2005.03.030
  19. Jang, Lee-Jae (1997), The World of Fuzzy Science, Seoul: Gyowoosa.
  20. Mon, D. L. (1994), "Evaluating Weapon System Using Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process based on Entropy Weight", Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 62(2), 127-134. https://doi.org/10.1016/0165-0114(94)90052-3
  21. Oh, Mun-Hyang (2013), Developing Indicators of Competitiveness Evaluation of International Tourism Industry Using Delphi Technique and AHP (Doctoral Dissertation), Seoul: Seojong University.
  22. Song, Myun and Cheong-Gwon Kim (1994), "AHP Analysis for The Selection of Foreign Market Entry Mode", Korea Trade Review, 19(1), 179-198.
  23. Rowe, G. and G. Wright (2001), "Expert opinions in forecasting: The role of the Delphi Technique", Principles of Forecasting, 125-144.
  24. Saaty, T. L. (1980), The Analytic Hierarchy Process, New York, NY: McGraw Hill.
  25. Security Management Institute (2012), A Study on the Advancement of Defense Industry in Accordance with Expansion of Defense Industry Export, Seoul: Defense Acquisition Program Administration.
  26. Van Laarhoven, P. J. M. and W. Pedrycz (1983), "A Fuzzy Extension of Saaty's Priority Theory", Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 11(1-3), 229-241. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0165-0114(83)80083-9
  27. Kim, Won-Nam (2015), A Study on Marketing Strategies for the Promotion of Defense Export (Master's Thesis), Suwon, Korea: Suwon University.
  28. Yang, Jeong-Seok and Il-Hwan Kim (2013), "Analysis of Promising Country for Seawater Desalination Plant Using Delphi Method", Journal of the Korean Society of Civil Engineers, 33(6), 2351-2357. https://doi.org/10.12652/Ksce.2013.33.6.2351
  29. Kim, Yong-Gyu (2000), "Country Evaluation and Selection Strategy at Emerging Markets in Oversea Entry of International Firms", Korea Trade Review, 25(3), 237-262.
  30. Park, Yoo-Jin (2013), Analysis of SCM Efficiency Using Fuzzy-AHP-DEA Technique (Doctoral Dissertation), Seoul: Yonsei University.
  31. Yu, Yeong-Dae and Ki-Il Choi (2015), "A Study on The Economic Ripple of Defense Industry and How to Support its Growth", Journal of the Korean Association of Defense Industry Studies, 22(3), 92-12.
  32. Zadeh, L. A. (1965), "Fuzzy Sets", Information and Control, 19(4), 285-307.